November 2010 forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

For November, 2010 ...

(1) IMT value -- mean monthly temp -- deg C. (1961-90 avg was 6.6)

(2) highest temp anywhere in Ireland as per met.ie

(3) lowest temp anywhere in Ireland as per met.ie

(4) rainfall percentage of normal (all stations monthly summary)

(5) sunshine percentage of normal (all stations monthly summary)

(6) Bonus question -- Strongest wind gust at any land station in knots.

If you wish to use the template ...

( IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN ..... RAIN ..... SUN ..... GUST)

As always, entry deadline is end of the first day of the month, which is a Monday this year. Entries accepted under penalty on Tuesday 2nd.

I considered snow for the question but was concerned that it could snow somewhere on the first (not too likely but it would tend to wreck the contest), but if you want to comment on when it might snow, be my guest.

The race seems likely to tighten up looking at the October forecasts, so good luck to all in November. And don't forget we have a winter forecast contest thread too.

Rebelbrowser

I'll start the ball rolling so:-

( 7.7 ..... 17.6 ..... -4.3..... 103 ..... 93 ..... 65)

As for snow, I'll say the first snow at one of the met.ie stations will be on 26 November.

pauldry

7.9 ..... 17.1 ..... -2.3..... 124 ..... 98 ..... 69

Snow for me too reckon end of month prob 28th

Deep Easterly

( 8.1c ..... 17.3c ..... -2.1c ..... 70% ..... 90% ..... 61knts)


Snow 17th

WolfeIRE

( 6.8 ..... 15.8 ..... -7.5 ..... 135 ..... 100 ..... 57)

first snow in Knock on November 19

nacho libre

6.7 ..... 17.3 ..... -3.9..... 115% ..... 90% ..... 61)

snow will fall on mt erigal, on the 28th of November, at 10:15pm

cherryghost

Long time no post :pac:

7.5

16.4

-5.1

110%

105%

68knts



Snow in the Wicklow Mountains, November 20th. Niiiice.

200motels

( IMT 5.9..... MAX 13.9..... MIN -2.8.... RAIN 168..... SUN 71.... GUST)66

thetonynator

(1) IMT value -- mean monthly temp -- deg C. (1961-90 avg was 6.6) :7.6

(2) highest temp anywhere in Ireland as per met.ie :16.0

(3) lowest temp anywhere in Ireland as per met.ie :-2.0

(4) rainfall percentage of normal (all stations monthly summary) :200%

(5) sunshine percentage of normal (all stations monthly summary) :75%

(6) Bonus question -- Strongest wind gust at any land station in knots. :71 knots


As always, entry deadline is end of the first day of the month, which is a Saturday this year. Entries accepted under penalty on Sunday 2nd.

Isn't the first a Monday???



As for snow: I predict no snow for the month of november.

gothwalk

( 7.1 ..... 19.2 ..... -4.5 ..... 90% ..... 110% ..... 72)

I'm guessing at snow in the latter half of the month, but only on northern hills.

talkabout

( 6.7 ..... 16.6 ..... -4.0..... 92 ..... 102 ..... 71)

Snowfall on 19th November

M.T. Cranium

Thanks for setting me straight on the calendar, get a grip MTC ... so anyway might as well have a wild guess today, can always edit later ...

6.0 ..... 17.1 ..... -7.0 ..... 115 ..... 127 ..... 52

and I think it may snow a few times after the 20th, but possibly as early as the 14th. my research model suggests a mild first half and a cold second half as you might guess from the current models and the forecast above. confidence not that high but I think we may see some Scandi blocking later in the month. :eek:

homolumo

6.7 ..... 16.8 ..... -7.2 ..... 133 ..... 113 ..... 55

TheInquisitor

( IMT 5, MAX 13 MIN -7 RAIN 83% SUN 115% GUST 56 )

Snow 18th

M.T. Cranium

BTTT

John mac

7.1 ..... 16.3 ..... -5.3 ..... 110 ..... 92 ..... 64

snow on 24th dont know where. but it will.:D

jd

( 7.1 .....16.8..... -4.7 ..... 102 ..... 95 ..... 68)

21st

thetonynator

I apologise for my indecisiveness but all this talk of a cold few weeks soon has worried me that my mild and wet forecast could be wrong . . .

( 6.8 ..... 16.0 ..... -4.5 ..... 105% ..... 90% ..... 75)


And snow on the 13th.


Sorry again!!!

kindredspirit

(7.0°C.....16.0°C.....-5.0°C.....170%.....70%.....58kn)

I'm not forecasting, I'm only guessing. And I'm not very good at guessing as you can see. :mad:

hellboy99

6.8 ..... 17.1 ..... -5.1 ..... 103 ..... 92 ..... 73

Snow on the 14th

jambofc

IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN ..... RAIN ..... SUN ..... GUST
7.2

---

15.9---- -4.2

---

120%----143%

---

72


snow to fall 25th

dasa29

( 7.3°C.... 18°C ..... -6°C ..... 125% ..... 95% ..... 70)


Snow on the 19th. (my birthday:D)

Strasser

7.8 ..... 16.0 ..... -2.3..... 133 ..... 83 ..... 70

Lumi

( 6.9 ..... 15.8 ..... -5.1 ..... 72 ..... 126 ..... 70)

Snow on the 15th

mickger844posts

( IMT 6.3c MAX 15.8c MIN -5.1 RAIN 89% SUN 110% GUST 70)

Snow on the 30th

nilhg

( 7.2 ..... 16.2 ..... -3.2 ..... 119 ..... 89 ..... 79)

Sponge Bob

( 7.1 ..... 16.1 ..... -3.8..... 111 ..... 122 ..... 75) kt gust

SeaFields

6.2 ..... 17.5 ..... -6.2 ..... 120 ..... 70 ..... 80

Su Campu

6.6 ..... 16.1 ..... -4.1 ..... 85 ..... 95 ..... 54

Danno

(1) IMT value -- mean monthly temp -- deg C. 7.2c

(2) highest temp anywhere in Ireland as per met.ie 16.6c

(3) lowest temp anywhere in Ireland as per met.ie -5.6c

(4) rainfall percentage of normal (all stations monthly summary) 90%

(5) sunshine percentage of normal (all stations monthly summary) 70%

(6) Bonus question -- Strongest wind gust at any land station in knots. 57kt.

Joe Public

6.9 ..... 16.9 ..... -4.9 ..... 139 ..... 99 ..... 79


Some snow on the 9th maybe.