Government to hold SW bye-election this month

Carrickman

If Doherty ran as an Independent I think he would coast in as people as very weary of Sinn Fein.

muffler

Do people want a poll included with this thread?

Carrickman

muffler wrote: »

Do people want a poll included with this thread?

Yes please I was going to ask about that later.

sligopark

muffler wrote: »

Do people want a poll included with this thread?

would be interesting with an option would people be more willing to vote Doherty if he were not sinnfein?

Essexboy

<SNIP>

sligopark

<SNIP>

muffler

sligopark wrote: »

would be interesting with an option would people be more willing to vote Doherty if he were not sinnfein?

That wont be an option on the poll as it isn't going to be an option on the ballot paper.

muffler

Essexboy wrote: »

<SNIP>

sligopark wrote: »

<SNIP>

Both those posts have nothing to do with this topic and I have removed the content.

Im a little fed up at this stage at having to repeat myself here so I wont. Next person who wishes to spoil this thread will be banned until after the by-election. No more warnings will be given.

Simple really.

Ford4000

Carrickman wrote: »

If Doherty ran as an Independent I think he would coast in as people as very weary of Sinn Fein.

I think u have a very good point there, that seems to be the thinking of an awfull lot of people

bigwormbundoran

muffler wrote: »

Do people want a poll included with this thread?

Twould be nice to see the general consensus alright

muffler

On the point of putting up a poll which type do you all feel is best?

A. Who are you going to vote for?

or

B. Who do you think will be elected?

The candidates names will be included of course so if I can get an idea of which type of poll you want I can get it up and running sometime tomorrow.

Personally I'd go for option A

bigwormbundoran

muffler wrote: »

On the point of putting up a poll which type do you all feel is best?

A. Who are you going to vote for?

or

B. Who do you think will be elected?

The candidates names will be included of course so if I can get an idea of which type of poll you want I can get it up and running sometime tomorrow.

Personally I'd go for option A

Personally Id prefer A, only because it would give a more accurate reflection of who is likely to get in, if only those who have a vote cast in the poll

But its not as if people who do not have a vote for it will be stopped from voting anyway which could lead to inaccuracy

So B may be preferable in that sense

puffdragon

It might be a wee bit soon for "who are you going to vote for?" some people may still be undecided," Who do you think will win ?", would spark more discussion at this stage and might help those undecided, my preference is "A" as I know who i'm voting for but I'll go with either.

GoldenGreen

thought i read in one of the weekend papers that all the runners will be on the Frontline Need to double check though

implausible

Carrickman wrote: »

If Doherty ran as an Independent I think he would coast in as people as very weary of Sinn Fein.

Weary or wary? If the latter, I'd agree. He really has earned the respect of people and a national profile by taking that High Court challenge. The party he represents could be a step too far for a lot of people. However, if he got in, he could change the face of Sinn Féin, as let's face it, Ferris comes across as a bit of a gangster and O'Caoileán is beginning to sound like Paisley in his heyday - 'no' to everything!

muffler

Just to point out that if we agree on option "A" for the poll it wont be possible for anyone to see who "voted" for who

Just thought Id point that out in case people didnt want to take part in the poll because of the thought that their "vote" could be viewed.

puffdragon

I was sitting in a friends house yesterday when he got a phonecall from a guy in galway ,I'll not say his name, asking him to vote for O'Donnell because of his pro-life status ,(what exactly is Fiana Fails stance on this ?) so the full armoury of Fiana Fail is at work here , I think its sad that these tactics are being used to try to sway voters . Id still go for option "A".

K-9

Carrickman wrote: »

If Doherty ran as an Independent I think he would coast in as people as very weary of Sinn Fein.

I'd be very critical of SF but see Doherty as a credible candidate to me. Think it is, he is a younger generation and that counts for something.

shaggykev

somebody on this thread said it was a two horse race between FG & SF

I wish that were true but as a betting man, i should note the betting on FF has collopased

They started this election at 4/1 and are now into 13/8, 6/4(thats 1.5/1 to non bettors)

FG have been on the slide especially after O Neills poor show on Vinn cent Browne

I think even with how bad FF are doing nationally, DSW will still give FF over 30% of the vote. Pearse will not top the poll on the first count imo, only transfers will get him elected

How's everybody elses feeling on FG barry O Neill. Surely he's a better chance than 6/1 7/1 would indicate. I know hes very vocal on the health issue which is a real hot potato and if he and FG could promise to reverse some of the govs policies, they'd get huge votes.

But don't discount the noises about not cutting the OAP Pension getting O DOmhaill elected on the grey vote(its the biggest voting base FF have and can get him elected especially as most younger Donegal people are either in College(will they get back for Thursday election) or emigrated

Backard_Pell

Odds-checker still has Doherty as favorite, and FF at 7/4 http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/politics-and-election/donegal-south-west/winning-partyThe Labour transfers are critical. Very few (max 10%) will go to FF, the rest will split between FG and SF. Normally you would expect these to break 3-1 for FG, but here they may not. The could even split 1-1 and keep SF ahead of FG. Either way. Labour transfers split in favour of FG. So it could be SF transfers that will decide the winner.It may not matter either way, as we are on the brink of national bankruptcy

muffler

Backard_Pell wrote: »

Odds-checker still has Doherty as favorite, and FF at 7/4 http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/politics-and-election/donegal-south-west/winning-partyThe Labour transfers are critical. Very few (max 10%) will go to FF, the rest will split between FG and SF. Normally you would expect these to break 3-1 for FG, but here they may not. The could even split 1-1 and keep SF ahead of FG. Either way. Labour transfers split in favour of FG. So it could be SF transfers that will decide the winner.It may not matter either way, as we are on the brink of national bankruptcy

What you are saying effectively is that you think McBrearty will be eliminated at an early stage. Thats the only way his transfers would come into play.

bigwormbundoran

Pearse just put up on his Facebook page that he and the other candidates are to appear on the Frontline tonight, it's on RTÉ 1 at 22:35

feelpablo

clashing with the apprentice!

after the vincent brown fiasco im not really sure what i should tune into for my comedy fix tonight

bigwormbundoran

feelpablo wrote: »

clashing with the apprentice!

after the vincent brown fiasco im not really sure what i should tune into for my comedy fix tonight

Apprentice, shashmentrice! :pac:

Id imagine Frontline will be quite the bit more important now, does anyone know if Pringle and the other independent candidates are set to appear? It could just be the four lads who were on Vincent Browne on again.

What are the odds of Frank learning how the bond markets work in the past week, and showing of this fact at any opportunity tonight?

Carrickman

bigwormbundoran wrote: »

What are the odds of Frank learning how the bond markets work in the past week, and showing of this fact at any opportunity tonight?

I hear he has watched all 22 Bond movies this past week so he is well up to speed...

sligopark

muffler wrote: »

Next person who wishes to spoil this thread will be banned until after the by-election. No more warnings will be given.

Simple really.

mindful of this warning muffler but want to answer a post - if out of order no problem but would rather not get a ban for replying ... should I PM the reply?

muffler

sligopark wrote: »

mindful of this warning muffler but want to answer a post - if out of order no problem but would rather not get a ban for replying ... should I PM the reply?

As you obviously believe that it is going to be off topic then Id appreciate it if you PM'd the reply.

Thanks for asking in advance.

sligopark

muffler wrote: »

As you obviously believe that it is going to be off topic then Id appreciate it if you PM'd the reply.

Thanks for asking in advance.

welcome - PM'ed

sligopark

puffdragon wrote: »

(what exactly is Fiana Fails stance on this ?)

pm'ed you puffdragon

Carrickman

I only looked through Thursdays Donegal Democrat this evening and I see Frank Galligan gave this thread a mention, hi Frank;)