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Wintry spell forecasting discussion - 25/11/2010 onwards
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No, I mean in terms of the most accumulation potential. Wexford is a coastal county so it will have the same issues as Dublin with snow thawing quicker then inland. I did not forget about Wexford:P
Well Waterford is a coastal county too.
Do you think that won't be as much of an issue since the wind will be coming over land here rather than from the coast?
It's just from historical experience I've seen those Irish Sea showers die out before they reach us virtually all of the time.0 -
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premiercad wrote: »Hi all, long time looker first time poster on this forum, (Love Snow by the way
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Just looking at the more major frontal snow event scenarios rather than this weekends showers, that low heading up for spain is v interesting for midweek, uk met already issuing advisories for potential blizzard conditions in uk due to that wrasping NE wind fighting the front of the Low as it heads for Belgium we could get lucky if it stays east of UK and drags that lovely Scandi wind towards us...:eek:
Any one any comments on the long term models, dare I say a predicted breakdown coming up to next weekend?? Looks to my (uneducated eye) that a low could form under this current greenland high a bust through.. although it's projected track is over scotland so good for after it passes.. long way off and very unpredictable I KNOW!
great forum
It's tricky by midweek. It's a long way out due to the evolution - it depends how deep and how far north the system gets and for snow it's hard to know which is better but the 6z GFS has a pretty good scenario
ECM has it a bit further north and the deeper it is the bigger the warm sector. The ECM is not ideal but it's not bad either.0 -
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maquiladora wrote: »Well Waterford is a coastal county too. Do you think that won't be as much of an issue since the wind will be coming over land here rather than from the coast?
It's just from historical experience I've seen those Irish Sea showers die out before they reach us virtually all of the time.
Yes, Waterford is not as exposed as Wexford to a Northeasterly wind. Ok maybe I should keep my mouth shut now for fear of revenge from Waterfordonians if this all goes pear shaped:o0 -
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WHAT,.... SKI LIFTS IN THE WICKLOW MOUNTAINS?!
EDIT: and here's the real thing: http://www.skiclub.ie/Location/Default.209.html0 -
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maquiladora wrote: »I would assume they mean below, with perhaps higher accumulations above 250m.
I would also assume they do mean below 250m,hence the warning. I doubt they would issue alerts for snow that would only affect high altitude areas as it's a given that those areas would get it??
their latest warning seems to have expanded the areas in the firing line now with West connaght and Kerry also so more of you can get in on the fun!!
Issued at 26 November 2010 - 12:30
Update to snow warning
Very cold wintry conditions this weekend
From late Friday (26th November) through the weekend, snow showers will mainly affect Ulster, east and south Leinster, as well as parts of north and west Connaught and Kerry. Accumulations of 3 to
5 cm are likely at times below 250 metres. These accumulations will occur mainly during the night time, with occasional thawing by day.
A few scattered wintry showers elsewhere.
There will be sharp or severe frosts at night, leading to ice formation on damp untreated roads, with some freezing fog in parts too.
Further regular updates will follow as events unfold.0 -
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Just caught the sky news forecast there, There graphic showed all the showers in the irish sea which are currently brushing wales as ALL snow. Then showed the wind change between 11 pm and 2am to north easterly and all the showers hammer the east coast all the way from the north to rosslare all still graphically represented as snow.
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Just caught the sky news forecast there, There graphic showed all the showers in the irish sea which are currently brushing wales as ALL snow. Then showed the wind change between 11 pm and 2am to north easterly and all the showers hammer the east coast all still graphically represented as snow.
That is reflected in the latest Met Eireann forecast :
"Later in the night snow showers will feed in from the Irish Sea to affect much of east Leinster"
No mention of sleet, rain or hail there. Thats not to say there won't be mixing, but Met Eireann who are usually cautious in how they term things seem confident enough to mention snow exclusively for the east tonight & tomorrow morning.0 -
They've changed that already...9 mins laterI would also assume they do mean below 250m,hence the warning. I doubt they would issue alerts for snow that would only affect high altitude areas as it's a given that those areas would get it??
their latest warning seems to have expanded the areas in the firing line now with West connaght and Kerry also so more of you can get in on the fun!!
Issued at 26 November 2010 - 12:30
Update to snow warning
Very cold wintry conditions this weekend
From late Friday (26th November) through the weekend, snow showers will mainly affect Ulster, east and south Leinster, as well as parts of north and west Connaught and Kerry. Accumulations of 3 to
5 cm are likely at times below 250 metres. These accumulations will occur mainly during the night time, with occasional thawing by day.
A few scattered wintry showers elsewhere.
There will be sharp or severe frosts at night, leading to ice formation on damp untreated roads, with some freezing fog in parts too.
Further regular updates will follow as events unfold.
:eek::eek: saying rain on the east coast...
26 November 2010 12:39
Today Some scattered wintry showers of rain, hail and sleet today, generally affecting Ulster, Connacht and west Munster. A few of these will fall as snow over higher ground, mainly over Ulster. Mostly dry and bright elsewhere with good sunny spells Cold, with highest temperatures just 3 to 7 degrees, and moderate, occasionally fresh northwesterly winds.
Tonight
Wintry showers affecting northern and western counties tonight, some falling as snow, in particular over Ulster. Later in the night snow showers will feed in from the Irish Sea to affect much of east Leinster, with some snow accumulations here towards morning. Lowest temperatures of -3 to 0 degrees, with a widespread severe frost and icy patches, and light northerly breezes.
Tomorrow
Some further snowfall across the north and east tomorrow morning. Sunny spells elsewhere, but wintry showers of rain, hail, and sleet feeding into west Connacht and west Munster later in the day, falling as snow in places too. Bitterly cold, with highest temperatures just 1 to 3 degrees. Winds will be mainly moderate to fresh northeasterly, later switching northerly and easing.
Outlook
Saturday night will be extremely cold with a widespread severe frost and icy stretches on roads. Most places will be dry. However wintry showers of sleet and snow will affect coastal counties of Leinster, Ulster and north Connacht. The showers in these areas will continue on Sunday. They'll fall mainly as rain or sleet along the coast, but will fall as snow further inland. Most of the country will be dry and bright with sunny spells. Day time temperatures will only reach between 0 and 2 degrees and there'll be another severe frost on Sunday night. From Monday through to Friday it will continue to be extremely cold mainly moderate northeasterly winds. Daytime temperatures will range from 0 to 2 degrees and with values dropping as low as -5 or -6 at night giving severe frosts. Most of the country will be dry, but wintry showers of sleet and snow will continue to affect coastal counties of Leinster, Ulster and north Connacht. The showers in Leinster will push further inland at times and will fall as snow.0 -
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