Cold Spell Forecasts and Synoptic Forecast Discussion - 26/11/1020 onwards

WolfeIRE

WolfeIRE wrote: »

that snow system to the south is growing in size. serious dumping of snow for cork and kerry on the way

http://www.sat24.com/Region.aspx?country=gb&sat=vis&type=loop

I don't want to cause alarm but if you look at that loop,that low is going west,slightly southwest so the precip may only reach coastal areas south of a line from cork city across to South Kerry.
It should hit cork city though.

WolfeIRE

Ireland will experience a countrywide snow event next Wednesday as a frontal system crosses the country from the northwest. This will deliver snow to areas that have yet to see any snow falling during this cold spell, namely the Midwest.

leahyl

WolfeIRE wrote: »

no further than charleville and i doubt it will extend much further north than tralee. however, the fact that it is pushing north before tracking sw means that the peripheries of the areas mentioned will most likely see flakes.

admittedly, i am a little nervous as i don;t want to have mislef people. just making my predictions based on latest weather model output. I am very confident though.

Snow day anyone?

and we're still on the right track for Cork City yes?

ellieh1

WolfeIRE wrote: »

Ireland will experience a countrywide snow event next Wednesday as a frontal system crosses the country from the northwest. This will deliver snow to areas that have yet to see any snow falling during this cold spell, namely the Midwest.

Come on snow to Limerick :D:D:D

Supercell

I give up trying to forecast the track of the precip in the Irish sea, it seems to be wandering all over the place. There is a clump to the south that may give north Wexford/south Wicklow a dumping..but who knows, its a watch wait and hope scenario.

patneve2

system still spinning away in the irish sea (very slowly)...you guys think the shower system just west of wales will hit wexford/wicklow/dublin??

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

munsterlegend

So selfish! How about us?!

leahyl

ellieh1 wrote: »

Come on snow to Limerick :D:D:D

Looks like it's gonna get worse before it gets better! Yeah baby bring it ON!:D

JanuarySnowstor

As I said earlier this ppn could easily miss the south coast.
In fact presently it's likely to miss!

Timistry

WolfeIRE wrote: »

Ireland will experience a countrywide snow event next Wednesday as a frontal system crosses the country from the northwest. This will deliver snow to areas that have yet to see any snow falling during this cold spell, namely the Midwest.

I presume that is the trough on the FAX chart for wednesday?

HyperSkypeWiper

I'm a complete novice but I think Navan will get some, what do you more experienced forecasters think?

ellieh1

leahyl wrote: »

Looks like it's gonna get worse before it gets better! Yeah baby bring it ON!:D

Wohoo!!!!!!!!

mickger844posts

homolumo wrote: »

how will Waterford be fixed?

Looking at sat24 and the latest predictive radar from raintoday.co.uk i would be surprised if we didn't see some sort of snow in the next hour. There is action to our south and east so hopefully we will get something from those.

Temps today were really unbelievable daytime values. Never got above -1.7c all day. Temp now is -3.5 with a DP of -4.4c. Hopefully we will see some snow action soon

More Detail @ www.waterfordcityweather.com

TheMilkyPirate

Clouds rolling in from the south here in wexford town precip showing up nicely on the radar, could do with topping our 5 inches. :P

inabina

looks like wicklow/south dublin will benefit from that band generating some energy out to sea east of wicklow/wex, seems to have a north westerly trajectory?

WOLFE - your thoughs?

Im confused now. Is it game on, or Game off for dublin, whats the consensus?

WolfeIRE

Timistry wrote: »

I presume that is the trough on the FAX chart for wednesday?

yes.

ME said THursday but the charts say Wednesday

leahyl

WolfeIRE wrote: »

yes.

ME said THursday but the charts say Wednesday

link?

delw

Jake1 wrote: »

Im confused now. Is it game on, or Game off for dublin, whats the consensus?

it seems to be game over out the the low system jake1,hopefully winds will change ENE& fingers crossed the irish sea brews up something later

BEASTERLY

Big cb's heading towards here, here hoping they don't fizzle out before they make landfall!

Supercell

Looking at the radar here is my best guess where the precip is going. Though its wandering all over the place. The stuff seemingly headed for Dublin may just melt away or take a different track, confidence is very low.

WolfeIRE

inabina wrote: »

looks like wicklow/south dublin will benefit from that band generating some energy out to sea east of wicklow/wex, seems to have a north westerly trajectory?

WOLFE - your thoughs?

snow will drift sw and then se i.e. it will swing anticlockwise.


as for cork leahyl, yes it's still on the way.

Cosmo Kramer

Wow that system off the south coast took the most unnatural looking turn away from Cork at around 3:30 on raintoday - its like there really is a snowshield down there, bizarre. Also looks to be fizzeling out a bit.

Supercell

Supercell wrote: »

Looking at the radar here is my best guess where the precip is going. Though its wandering all over the place. The stuff seemingly headed for Dublin may just melt away or take a different track, confidence is very low.

be nice if the three arrows merged into a snowfest over dublin.

thetonynator

Supercell wrote: »

I give up trying to forecast the track of the precip in the Irish sea, it seems to be wandering all over the place. There is a clump to the south that may give north Wexford/south Wicklow a dumping..but who knows, its a watch wait and hope scenario.

Supercell wrote: »

Looking at the radar here is my best guess where the precip is going. Though its wandering all over the place. The stuff seemingly headed for Dublin may just melt away or take a different track, confidence is very low.

Someone posted a pic from the raintoday forecast and it had that big clump off wexford going almost directly west . . .

WolfeIRE

leahyl wrote: »

link?

leahyl

Cosmo Kramer wrote: »

Wow that system off the south coast took the most unnatural looking turn away from Cork at around 3:30 on raintoday - its like there really is a snowshield down there, bizarre. Also looks to be fizzeling out a bit.

not listening to you *blocks ears - lalalalalalala:D

doublejj

so will waterford be hit...it looks to be heading back towards se coast

Figuramatyi

WolfeIRE wrote: »

Jaaay, this would be snowfest for Galway indeed
12z GFS looking great for us so far.

Ali Babba

Looking out over Cork Harbour here, very snowy clouds moving in from the east and I mean very dark, if it doesn't snow i'd say it never will.:)