Ulster and Connacht: Cold spell and snow discussion (15/12/2010)

naughto

snaps wrote: »

very strange, even the farmers down the pub today are saying this will be a non event and nothing will come of it.

what where u doing in the pub in the middle of the day ??

snaps

naughto wrote: »

what where u doing in the pub in the middle of the day ??

Drinking.

snow ghost

snaps wrote: »

very strange, even the farmers down the pub today are saying this will be a non event and nothing will come of it.

It's probably because they have experience that Northerly fronts usually just bring us a few moderate snow showers and nothing major in these parts.

This time - I think it is different and I also think Belmullet will get snow.

Accountsplus

Hi,
I have to travel from Galway to Dungloe on Thursday morning and then on to Letterkenny late on Thursday afternoon I was planning on returning to Galway on Friday afternoon/evening, leaving Letterkenny between 3 and 4 pm.
Should I postpone now or should I wait til the morning and see if there might be any developments.
I did a similar trip at the start of the last cold spell and it went fine - travel between Sligo and Galway was slow because of snow but otherwise it was no problem.
I lived in Donegal for a number of years and in my experience, the forecast events rarely turned out as bad as forecast, it was the unforecasted ones that caused problems. This looks a bit different though.

irish1967

OK for those asking about travel. With the 2 opposing viewpoints of this forthcoming event (ME and here on boards) it is understandable that confusion is going to reign supreme in this until it happens. If we tell you not to travel and its a damp squid of an event then you will be pissed off and whoever gives the advice will look like a fool.

If someone says its ok and its total hell then again the same reactions. The fact that the 2 opposing views are so different makes the call on this far more difficult. 5 years ago you would have listened to ME after the 6.1 news and thought to yourself ah thats grand or whatever and if they were wrong you would be like ..holy F*** this wasnt forecast !

The bottom line is be prepared for a worst case scenario. I for one and i am sure most of the other regulars will be glued to this thread from around 7-8 am in the morning. We can tell you what its like.. whats on the radar and what we have heard from non boardies in the area.

I would call ambulance control and make them aware of your situation and ask them a few 'what if' questions. They are public servants and wont mind you enquiring. As for the Galway to Donegal trip I would not commit until this thing hits and also be prepared to check on here on your way up and be prepared to turn around.

Regulars, being snow/extreme weather lovers are secretly hoping this will be a snowmageddon and would love to be able to paint the most extreme outcome and tell you to cancel etc but we are all used to the rollercoasters on here and know you can never really tell what is going to happen with 100% certainty.

I hate to use the word 'nowcast' but thats what it will be.

Pangea

Vudgie wrote: »

What is the source of the comments?

Thanks

Not sure , didnt catch it all, think it was on 2fm , source was met eireann I think.

met eireann havent really ramped up anything , just saying flurries , and several cms for north and west and some accumulations, I notice that the word significant is for the South and east.

Pangea

Looks like this thread party is gona stop before it even begun judging by the voting on the other thread, shame it could of been a special one .
Exact same as a few weeks ago the ulster thread was set up for snowfall the next day and was closed in the middle of the night before we even had any snow.

Mayo_Boy

Is Mayo gonna get snow for sure so

snow ghost

Deep Easterly wrote: »

Hey weather guru's, what do you think the chances are of seeing snow in Dublin on the 28th June 3014?

If you enter your address or GPS coordinates into the Snowgrometer Deep and wait to see which gauranteed precipitation lights up, all will be revealed:

johngalway

snaps wrote: »

very strange, even the farmers down the pub today are saying this will be a non event and nothing will come of it.

Coincidentally I'm a farmer and also think this will be a non event. (But I'm marinating my hat just in case I need to eat it). My non farming mate keeps on about blizzards :eek: & snow :eek:, I do believe he actually said a foot of snow :pac: a little excitable methinks.

Perhaps us farmers are just naturally more optimistic than the rest of ye when it comes to weather :pac:

snow ghost

Mayo_Boy wrote: »

Is Mayo gonna get snow for sure so

YES

Mayo_Boy

snow ghost wrote: »

YES

:D
When will we get it?

naughto

(from wolfie website)at least he knows what hes on about


http://www.irishweatheronline.com/2010/12/snow-risk-chart-for-ireland-thursday-am.html
The below chart relates to the risk of disruptive levels of snowfall in Ireland between 00:01 Thursday to 08:00 Friday.


RED = 80% confidence
ORANGE = 60% confidence
YELLOW=40% confidence
BLUE= 20-30% confidence


This map will be updated later tonight as weather model data is collated. A full text summary also will be issued tonight.

Mayo_Boy

naughto wrote: »

(from wolfie website)at least he knows what hes on about


http://www.irishweatheronline.com/2010/12/snow-risk-chart-for-ireland-thursday-am.html
The below chart relates to the risk of disruptive levels of snowfall in Ireland between 00:01 Thursday to 08:00 Friday.


RED = 80% confidence
ORANGE = 60% confidence
YELLOW=40% confidence
BLUE= 20-30% confidence


This map will be updated later tonight as weather model data is collated. A full text summary also will be issued tonight.

Is this correct? How long will we expect the snow to stay?

snow ghost

naughto wrote: »

(from wolfie website)at least he knows what hes on about


http://www.irishweatheronline.com/2010/12/snow-risk-chart-for-ireland-thursday-am.html
The below chart relates to the risk of disruptive levels of snowfall in Ireland between 00:01 Thursday to 08:00 Friday.


RED = 80% confidence
ORANGE = 60% confidence
YELLOW=40% confidence
BLUE= 20-30% confidence


This map will be updated later tonight as weather model data is collated. A full text summary also will be issued tonight.

Poor Achill. :pac: Did Wolfe forget about them?

irish1967

Weatherchecks quote;

I personally don't like the idea of regional threads but it was getting far too messy, and i think more people want regional threads than don't.

We will reconsider it for the next spell (if we get another one!) but for the moment we are giving this a shot.

Feel free to keep commenting below though.

So it seems we will have this thread till the end of this event

Avns1s

Mayo_Boy wrote: »

Is this correct? How long will we expect the snow to stay?

OwenC, is that you?? :D

naughto

snow ghost wrote: »

Poor Achill. :pac: Did Wolfe forget about them?

just seen that now sure achil is nearly in america well nearly.


i dont no mayo boy how long its going to last u.from my reading of the maps
and i know very little we will have it untill tues or wednesday then they may be some mild weather for a day or two, and back to the clod weather again after that.

as i said i have no real clue ,u are better of going on to wolfies site,there is loads of info ther,he even as a live report wher people as questions

irish1967

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Well, the balance of probability is now swinging towards an extreme alert/warning type forecast and so watch for an update over in the forecast section at 8 p.m.

The concept that "this won't be as bad as the last time" is looking somewhat shaky -- everything's relative but at the moment, this is looking like saying World War II won't be as bad as World War I. Many found it worse. :eek:

Now that sounds... ominous :eek::eek::eek:

Mayo_Boy

Avns1s wrote: »

OwenC, is that you?? :D

Ah no

irish1967

Percip just about to hit north of Scotland

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

irish1967

Roll up roll up.. get your souvenir signature pic here...

1 right click on the pic below and 'copy image location'
2 go to edit your signature
3 click the insert image box and paste the image location

and thats it !!

Tom Cruises Left Nut

irish1967 wrote: »

Roll up roll up.. get your souvenir signature pic here...

1 right click on the pic below and 'copy image location'
2 go to edit your signature
3 click the insert image box and paste the image location

and thats it !!

The Donegal Delboy !! :pac:

irish1967

t|nt|n wrote: »

The Donegal Delboy !! :pac:

Luvly jubbly:cool:

Tom Cruises Left Nut

irish1967 wrote: »

Luvly jubbly:cool:

irish1967 you plonker :p:pac:

bandit197

Heres another weather cam for this cold spell. Bandits Weather Cam. Details are on the channel. Enjoy

snaps

Temps rising here still, 7.2c now. Thinking of getting the BBQ out ready for the cricket at 2am!

willyg

Anyone know where to buy snow tyres cheap in Donegal or Strabane?

Pangea

Very mild here at the moment.
I see on my local road there is loads of grit on the sides of the road dumped in small piles for people to put it on themselves as see fits.

Vizual Pics

Any guesses on how much we will get over the next few days - Im going for approx 6-8 inches of snow around Central Mayo (Castlebar) with maybe less towards coast around Westport and Ballina, as Pat Shortt would say on T'Weather, its a hard wan to call, a hard one to call!