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National: Severe Cold/ Snow Discussion (Thanks to all!)

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    #452
    rossc007
    Registered Users Posts: 627 ✭✭✭rossc007


    gbee wrote: »
    That was the point, but I like yours better. :)

    Either of you watch The IT Crowd :D

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c4yffKvkt_s


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    #453
    Rodar08
    Registered Users Posts: 280 ✭✭Rodar08


    Can anyone tell me where to find M.T's last forecast? I can't find it .. thanks ;)


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    #454
    average_runner
    Registered Users Posts: 12,851 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    met eirann data is from yesterday, they will now cause a panick and nothing will happen.


    How can they make a mistake like this consider ye guys have more up to date info than them?


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    #455
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    If the 12Z ECM dowgrades the snow potential like the 06Z GFS and NAE did with the low further south then we will see a downgrade from Met Eireann by tonight too.


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    #456
    wildefalcon
    Registered Users Posts: 932 ✭✭✭wildefalcon


    Starting to snow in North Laois. Temperature dropping too.


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    #457
    force eleven
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,039 ✭✭✭force eleven


    I believe the 06z and 18z GFS are less reliable because they are fed less data than the 00 and 12z runs. So holding my fire till I see the 12z run, about 3.30pm or so and thereafter.

    I agree with WC regarding Met Eireanns warning. That usually jinxes it, and I've been through many before....:rolleyes:


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    #458
    davidsr20
    Registered Users Posts: 769 ✭✭✭davidsr20


    I think someone should change the heading to snow not approaching!


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    #459
    gbee
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6,388 ✭✭✭gbee


    Rodar08 wrote: »
    Can anyone tell me where to find M.T's last forecast? I can't find it .. thanks ;)

    The forecast thread. http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055579971&page=124

    This was earlier today though.


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    #460
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 16,720 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Rodar08 wrote: »
    Can anyone tell me where to find M.T's last forecast? I can't find it .. thanks ;)

    There's a forecast thread sticked at the top of the weather forum here: http://boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055579971


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    #461
    MJohnston
    Registered Users Posts: 10,654 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    Kind of funny seeing everyone spend hours poring over dozens of scientific data and charts and in the same thread worry about the possibility of a jinxing :p


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    #462
    millymoo
    Registered Users Posts: 78 ✭✭millymoo


    I'm kinda getting excited it's near Meath now! Just waiting. I suppose nothing will stick today anyway!!


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    #463
    ro_chez
    Registered Users Posts: 574 ✭✭✭ro_chez


    Dublin Airport gone from Temp 5.4, DP 2.4 to Temp 4.0, DP 1.0 between 12 and 1pm.


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    #464
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    average_runner wrote: »
    met eirann data is from yesterday, they will now cause a panick and nothing will happen.


    How can they make a mistake like this consider ye guys have more up to date info than them?

    Met Eireann don't use the most commonly looked at and talked about model on here, the GFS. They use ECMWF and HIRLAM models.

    The main models are showing slighlty different outcomes and are changing a lot from run to run, thats why there is such a mixture of opinions.

    Usually there is fairly good agreement on the models within 96 hours, but this is not the case at the moment.


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    #465
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Belting snow in Dublin


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    #466
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    maquiladora wrote: »
    If the 12Z ECM dowgrades the snow potential like the 06Z GFS and NAE did with the low further south then we will see a downgrade from Met Eireann by tonight too.

    Ya think, at this stage i am thinking they're 12 hours behind the latest, there 6pm forecast certainly wont have 12z ECM data and i question if the 9pm will.


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    #467
    decies
    Registered Users Posts: 3,460 ✭✭✭decies


    Sunny 6.8 deg in waterford.Right nothing to see here move along ,come back midday tomorrow,move along i say.


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    #468
    WolfForager
    Registered Users Posts: 4,532 ✭✭✭WolfForager


    El Horseboxo wrote: »
    Belting snow in Dublin

    Whereabouts? I'm in UCD atm and see nawthing.


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    #469
    Vudgie
    Registered Users Posts: 859 ✭✭✭Vudgie


    WolfForager wrote: »
    Whereabouts? I'm in UCD atm and see nawthing.

    Thats because it's not snowing in Dublin.....yet


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    #470
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    Ya think, at this stage i am thinking they're 12 hours behind the latest, there 6pm forecast certainly wont have 12z ECM data and i question if the 9pm will.

    Agree about the 6pm forecast but surely by 9pm they won't be using the 0Z, especially if there is a major change.


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    #471
    Avns1s
    Registered Users Posts: 3,422 ✭✭✭Avns1s


    Snowing here now!! Wettish but nice to see!

    At work at the moment in East Mayo.

    Edit: Stopped again!! :-(


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    #472
    guideanna
    Registered Users Posts: 492 ✭✭guideanna


    El Horseboxo wrote: »
    Belting snow in Dublin

    yea where abouts i'm in sandyford and nothing here either


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    #473
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 6,012 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    davidsr20 wrote: »
    I think someone should change the heading to snow not approaching!

    Why would we do that now.


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    #474
    NTC
    Registered Users Posts: 894 ✭✭✭NTC


    Wind has just picked up and sky has got dark.

    A few drops of rain, nothing major.

    Parkmore, Galway.


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    #475
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Vudgie wrote: »
    Thats because it's not snowing in Dublin.....yet

    Proof

    http://tiny.cc/ezz4m


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    #476
    gbee
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6,388 ✭✭✭gbee


    WolfForager wrote: »
    Whereabouts? I'm in UCD atm and see nawthing.

    Not on cams either


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    #477
    LuckyLloyd
    Registered Users Posts: 36,348 ✭✭✭✭LuckyLloyd


    El Horseboxo wrote: »
    Belting snow in Dublin

    Which part are you in? I'm seeing nothing down in Cherrywood. Though the winds have freshened up the last couple of hours and it feels a fair bit colder out.


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    #478
    wildefalcon
    Registered Users Posts: 932 ✭✭✭wildefalcon


    baraca wrote: »
    Why would we do that now.

    What's up? What's the panic? Is the snow called off? Cancelled? What's going on?

    What Does MT Cranium say?


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    #479
    cian1500ww
    Registered Users Posts: 2,904 ✭✭✭cian1500ww


    El Horseboxo wrote: »
    Proof

    http://tiny.cc/ezz4m

    :mad:


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    #480
    IRCA
    Registered Users Posts: 385 ✭✭IRCA


    Sleet in Ballina Co. Mayo ... a few flakes of the real stuff


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    #481
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    maquiladora wrote: »
    Met Eireann don't use the most commonly looked at and talked about model on here, the GFS. They use ECMWF and HIRLAM models.

    The main models are showing slighlty different outcomes and are changing a lot from run to run, thats why there is such a mixture of opinions.

    Usually there is fairly good agreement on the models within 96 hours, but this is not the case at the moment.
    Hirlam by the way is now a sort of higher res ecm.
    ECMWF control the model


This discussion has been closed.
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