National: Severe Cold/ Snow Discussion (Thanks to all!)

dillo2k10

Stopped completely in Palmerstown

Supercell

Eased off for a bit , now its back with a vengance in D4 snowmaggedon stuff, fantastic!

Speak Now

eigrod wrote: »

In mid-November he called something special for 19-21 December. Can't expect more accurate than that to be honest.

I dont think MT will claim that somehow. I dont think he was giving a Dublin only forecast

darkman2

Weathercheck wrote: »

This is hilarious, but you cant blame the Met.

Latest NAE has accumulated precip upto 30mm in parts of east coast in 30hrs.

This was at around 3mm this morning.

I expect the risk will be more focused in the southeast tomorrow but showers all up the coast.

But as we know it is a guessing game.

Snow here to last for the night:D;)

Slashermcguirk

Outrageous heavy snow in city centre, even main roads now covering

Wertz

Impressive snow storm in/near Drogehda right now according to my cousin. That means precip has pushed somewhat north since this afternoon...reckon it'll keep creeping north or will it fizzle out?

[edit] What is it about a monday evening? Was same there forthnight ago, rush hour on the east coast and we got a pasting too

df1985

nothing in leixlip, dublin hogging it all!

CiaranC

Was snowing for about 30 seconds in D24 before there was instant gridlock. <Sigh>

mumo3

yey snowing in clondalkin :P thought it would never happen.. its not much but its a start :D:D

dacogawa

Originally Posted by John.Icy
Screw it, look at the latest radar, nothing is happening out to sea, showers are stagnent...

It's over till much much later.....

Maybe even till enxt year for the east.


Quote:
Originally Posted by dacogawa
We'll hold you to that!

dacogawa wrote: »

Where's John.Icy ? :D:D:D

I repeat where is John.Icy ?

Supercell

Wertz wrote: »

Impressive snow storm in/near Drogehda right now according to my cousin. That means precip has pushed somewhat north since this afternoon...reckon it'll keep creeping north or will it fizzle out?

It hasnt crept north, so much as it got bigger!
East coast pounding!!

ciaranm

CiaranC wrote: »

Was snowing for about 30 seconds in D24 before there was instant gridlock. <Sigh>

CiaranM here in D24 too

http://www.guinness-storehouse.com/WeatherCam.aspx
check out the guinness cam

Loomis

mrsdewinter wrote: »

Texts from colleague in Merrion Square 5mins ago... traffic not moving at all

I left an hour ago right as it started. Just in time by the sound of things

Rougies

That's it, Dublin is screwed.

most of these aren't even updated yet.

http://www.dublincity.ie/dublintraffic/

Mike Litoris

Realtine wrote: »

falling steadily for the last hour or so in Ballyfermot.:mad:

I know. Back to kids scutting and windows getting pelted with snowballs.:mad:

LookingFor

Stopped altogether here. Was really very little out of the light snow we had. Dunno, maybe some of the stuff to the east will reach here or maybe it'll stall again at the coast

Supercell

Supercell wrote: »

It hasnt crept north, so much as it got bigger!
East coast pounding!!

Scratch that, just checked latest radar and sat images.
This streamer seems to be dying in the Irish sea, maybe an hour or so left then nothing I would guess. Still, its been impressive!

Pentecost

Belting down in Drumcondra still. Good few inches on the ground now by the looks of it.

DOCARCH

Supercell wrote: »

Scratch that, just checked latest radar and sat images.
This streamer seems to be dying in the Irish sea, maybe an hour or so left then nothing I would guess. Still, its been impressive!

Are you on East Link watch?

lucy2010

Supercell wrote: »

Scratch that, just checked latest radar and sat images.
This streamer seems to be dying in the Irish sea, maybe an hour or so left then nothing I would guess. Still, its been impressive!

Bray Head must be robbing it all on me - nothing really apart from a bit of dandruff

Wertz

Supercell wrote: »

It hasnt crept north, so much as it got bigger!
East coast pounding!!

Well the heap of Cbs out to my east at sunset would suggest that there's an awful lot of precip yet to march in....but we have little or no wind here so hard to know if it's going to grow in this direction.
Snow clouds look majorly impressive with near full moon rising behind them...

[edit] Jesus look at the N11 shots on trafficwatch cams :eek:

googsy

All Runways at Dub Air closed for 4 hours while they clean them up

http://www.liveatc.net/flisten.php?mount=eidw2

Supercell

DOCARCH wrote: »

Are you on East Link watch?

Yep, colder than when we had the last streamer here a couple of weeks back - the road is full of compacted snow but this time its not wet compacted snow so none of the pandemonium as last time.

Danbo!

googsy wrote: »

All Runways at Dub Air closed for an hour while they clean them up

http://www.liveatc.net/flisten.php?mount=eidw2

Make that 4 hours according to ATC just now

steveLFC24

I was in the city centre doing some shopping on my day off, got home literally 2 mins before it started snowing...absolutly blessed by the sound of it :cool:

Shane O' Malley

Lots more on the way.

darkman2

Supercell wrote: »

Scratch that, just checked latest radar and sat images.
This streamer seems to be dying in the Irish sea, maybe an hour or so left then nothing I would guess. Still, its been impressive!

Been stopped here now for about 15 mins.

JONJO THE MISER

Its snowing in Dublin, i expect the six-one news will be blanket coverage with about 8 reporters live:rolleyes:

Speak Now

This was a great post from M.T yesterday morning

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Anyway, I hold out some hope for snow for just about all regions between now and Christmas, based on the concept I explained once before in another thread.

Suppose you have four or five days in a row with "slight chances" of something happening, in this case snow. Is it therefore true to say there is a slight chance of that happening any time in the four or five days?

No, and here's why, using the laws of probability.

I'll take as my example a theoretical 20% chance of snow from streamers any day now to Friday, that's six days, each with a 20% chance of snow. In fact the chances might be better than that, but I'll show that even with this rather grim negative-sounding assessment, you would probably get snow.

The probability chances of getting no snow in just three days, using that 20% figure, is this:

1.0 - (.8 x .8 x .8) =

1.0 - (.512) = .488

In other words, your chances of missing snow every day for three days in that sort of framework, would be 51.2% giving you a 48.8% chance to see snow. For six days, that reduces to a mere 26% chance of avoiding snow and a 74% chance of seeing snow.

In other words, a long-duration marginal setup usually delivers. Which day it delivers, makes for very difficult forecasting. But would look for the day with the strongest wind gradient from the best direction as your odds-makers' favourite. Personally, I think it will snow eventually just about everywhere in this set-up. But it will be dry most of the time too. The combination should suit everyone, the snow fancier, the merchant, the person who needs to travel -- let's hope everyone feels they got what they wanted for Christmas.

Certainly has come to pass for Dublin anyway.

googsy

Danbo! wrote: »

Make that 4 hours according to ATC just now

Yeah just heard there...