Cold Spell Media Forecasts and Model Output (General Chat)

hotwhiskey

Pangea wrote: »

Christmas day forecast is nearly a carbon copy of last years, warm air pushing up, could turn to snow in places ,and there will be a thaw later, only thing is what really happened last year was I got 2 inches of snow on Christmas day and the thaw didnt come till around the 14th of January.

I,m in shock in what i heard on the farming weather. ME 100% positive with there forecast of the milder air sweeping through.

I think the have put all their eggs in the one basket (ECM)

nacho libre

Pangea wrote: »

Christmas day forecast is nearly a carbon copy of last years, warm air pushing up, could turn to snow in places ,and there will be a thaw later, only thing is what really happened last year was I got 2 inches of snow on Christmas day and the thaw didnt come till around the 14th of January.

well, yeah if they are right, which of course i'm skeptical of, you will be in the best place to see some snow fall but it would turn back to rain eventually. The deeper snow cover will give those inland, who didn't get snow last year, a better chance of seeing snow before it turns back to rain. In any case it will be a white Christmas for some, even if snow doesn't fall:D

Musicman2000

th3 s1aught3r wrote: »

Looking good for Tuesday snow in east going by that RTE forecast
Yesterday they said most of the midweek would be dry
All over the shop
Who would be a weather forecaster

Yeah they said that about the weekend, Im fairly sure it will change again by tue because the BBC country file forecast didint show a flake of snow over us

mike65

Nobody knows anything.

MonicaBing

Hey guys, my apologies for hijacking the thread but i was unsure as to where to post this and am a little desperate for your weather advice!

My fella is flying from Hong Kong on Wed nite/Thur Morn into Heathrow, now i know at the minute Heathrow is closed but he had planned on sailing from Holy head (he has a lot of baggage!) into dublin to be here fri morning?
Can u guys give me any heads up weather wise? Am i going to be spending Christmas with my fella or is there going to be tears!

lucernarian

Very dark clouds heading in over around Dunleer for the last hour or two. And dark clouds to my south also. Clear skies overhead and to my east:rolleyes:

But it's early days yet! There's going to be flurries over the afternoon throughout Louth I expect.

nacho libre

MonicaBing wrote: »

Hey guys, my apologies for hijacking the thread but i was unsure as to where to post this and am a little desperate for your weather advice!

My fella is flying from Hong Kong on Wed nite/Thur Morn into Heathrow, now i know at the minute Heathrow is closed but he had planned on sailing from Holy head (he has a lot of baggage!) into dublin to be here fri morning?
Can u guys give me any heads up weather wise? Am i going to be spending Christmas with my fella or is there going to be tears!

it really is impossible to say, but based on the current forecast it could be tough going for people in England looking to travel to Ireland next Thursday and Friday. of course this may well change in the coming days, so don't despair just yet.

th3 s1aught3r

Raintoday chart seems to be showing showers coming in to the east coast, to the north of Dublin

Kippure

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mW-6qyOX4iw&feature=player_profilepage

Country tracks forecast today for those who missed

traco

Now snowing in Portmarnock, has been working towards it for the last few hours with small flurries every now and again but coming down continuoulsy for the last 45 mins or more.

As far as I can see there is extensive cloud cover to the East and South with it being patchy more North. Its starting to sick on the road out side the house and also on the grass.

BTW - thats my head out the front window forecast so no predictions just observation.

th3 s1aught3r

Kippure wrote: »

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mW-6qyOX4iw&feature=player_profilepage

Country tracks forecast today for those who missed

Hmm. A bit different to the RTE forecast for the same period
Thanks

Kippure

th3 s1aught3r wrote: »

Hmm. A bit different to the RTE forecast for the same period
Thanks

I cant seem to bring up the Farming forecast on the rte player. Would anyone have a link.

redsteveireland

datk wrote: »

Snowing in Dublin 11 for the past 10 minutes - light enough - not enough to stick or show up yet. At the risk of offending, hopefully it'll go away soon.

At the risk of offending, this is the forecast, model discussion thread.
Looking at the cloud movement on sat24.com it's understandable that precip location is hard to call.

Darwin

Looking promising for more widespread precipitation on Tuesday for parts of Leinster/Munster:

http://www.dmi.dk/dmi/index/danmark/vejrkort.htm

However, I would still consider this unreliable as we are more than 24 hours away.

cherryghost

Darwin wrote: »

Looking promising for more widespread precipitation on Tuesday for parts of Leinster/Munster:

http://www.dmi.dk/dmi/index/danmark/vejrkort.htm

However, I would still consider this unreliable as we are more than 24 hours away.

Dream on is what I say. Event is over. One week from now we'll get some Atlantic follow through. That's about it.

I was so hopeful of an epic event, we got 3/4 inches on Friday and a flurry yesterday. As unreliable as the charts are, Irelands in the centre of Low pressure stagnation. We'll need a 200-300 mile southerly shift if we want anything

Musicman2000

cherryghost wrote: »

Dream on is what I say. Event is over. One week from now we'll get some Atlantic follow through. That's about it.

I was so hopeful of an epic event, we got 3/4 inches on Friday and a flurry yesterday. As unreliable as the charts are, Irelands in the centre of Low pressure stagnation. We'll need a 200-300 mile southerly shift if we want anything

Have to agree with Cheeryghost, apart from the atlantic follow bit early to be saying that yet, but Tuesdays event like every other event the weekend prob will not happen it will be pushed over the UK, Im fairly sure that Hirlam chart will change when its updated if not today on Monday

mac80

Radar interference?

Bluefrog

Very light shower of large flakes in Glasnevin, sticking to ground. Hopefully the first of the streamer activity for tonight.

Mayo Exile

12Z GFS is similar now to the ECMWF in anticipating a warming trend for Xmas Day.

JanuarySnowstor

Latest NAE is big upgrade for the South on Tuesday.
A bit of advice for Corkonians, do your shopping tomorrow because it could snow heavy Mon night and Tuesday and if it does this will then likely freeze until Christmas. In fact the reason the roads are passable here is because the wind is on-shore. As soon as this veers Northeast after Tuesday we will see lethal roads as everywhere is white

J.S. Tip SHOP TOMORROW!!

Trotter

Baby watch continues here in Waterford ..

Could I have the latest for Waterford city over the next 24 hours lads n ladies if possible? I think I can cancel my request to borrow my friends 4x4 anyway.

lucy2010

nacho libre wrote: »

it really is impossible to say, but based on the current forecast it could be tough going for people in England looking to travel to Ireland next Thursday and Friday. of course this may well change in the coming days, so don't despair just yet.

significant other on the horrendous drive from london over to holy head. Roads fine till you get to Chester then its into a different planet... Compacted snow & iced over....... hopefully things change to help the tons of people stuck with no flights... His company tried to book flights this morning & earliest was Thursday ...

nacho libre

lucy2010 wrote: »

significant other on the horrendous drive from london over to holy head. Roads fine till you get to Chester then its into a different planet... Compacted snow & iced over....... hopefully things change to help the tons of people stuck with no flights... His company tried to book flights this morning & earliest was Thursday ...

Yeah. It's looking dodgy for my Brother and Sister to make it home from London for Christmas at the moment.

Sierra Oscar

nacho libre wrote: »

Yeah. It's looking dodgy for my Brother and Sister to make it home from London for Christmas at the moment.

Likewise - brother is due to travel tomorrow but thats not going to happen now. One of my mates is trying to get back home to London but is stranded here in Dublin.

Not

lucy2010 wrote: »

significant other on the horrendous drive from london over to holy head. Roads fine till you get to Chester then its into a different planet... Compacted snow & iced over....... hopefully things change to help the tons of people stuck with no flights... His company tried to book flights this morning & earliest was Thursday ...

Has he been forced to abandon his road journey ? Is that route reasonably driveable or is it a no go ?

pokerface_me

Sierra Oscar wrote: »

Likewise - brother is due to travel tomorrow but thats not going to happen now. One of my mates is trying to get back home to London but is stranded here in Dublin.

Have to completly disagree, ive travelled home from London today via rail and boat, was over for the Chelsea game that got called off. Left London at 8am this morning. Will be making a business trip over Wed and back Thur the same way if flights are still having difficulty.

Musicman2000

Trotter wrote: »

Baby watch continues here in Waterford ..

Could I have the latest for Waterford city over the next 24 hours lads n ladies if possible? I think I can cancel my request to borrow my friends 4x4 anyway.

Mainly dry tonight, Light snow showers Monday, then some heavy snow Tuesday, but that might not happen, better off checking back here every day

isle of man

temp is dropping like a stone, -6 now

little bess

pokerface_me wrote: »

Have to completly disagree, ive travelled home from London today via rail and boat, was over for the Chelsea game that got called off. Left London at 8am this morning. Will be making a business trip over Wed and back Thur the same way if flights are still having difficulty.

Did you go to Holyhead ?If so were the trains running ok ? I've booked my kids to go over tmrw as flights were cancelled yesterday .

Sorry shouldn't be posting here ,model discuusion i know , thought I was in the other thread

Trotter

Musicman2000 wrote: »

Mainly dry tonight, Light snow showers Monday, then some heavy snow Tuesday, but that might not happen, better off checking back here every day

Thanks a lot! Makes things much easier knowing its not on the list of things to worry about for the next 24 hrs