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Cold Spell Media Forecasts and Model Output (General Chat)

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    #932
    irish1967
    Registered Users Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    What in under god is ME forecasting on its 5 day rainfall chart here? Do my eyes decieve me or have we got full country precip for Christmas day???? Is it rain??:eek:

    http://www.met.ie/forecasts/5day-ireland.asp


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    #933
    darkman2
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,632 ✭✭✭darkman2


    About to start bucketing down here again. Nothing has melted. Still 4cm's or there abouts on the ground.


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    #934
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    The 850 hPa Wind chart for Friday/Saturday from south south-west, looks like dragging a front up and a wet Christmas.


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    #935
    Musicman2000
    Registered Users Posts: 1,461 ✭✭✭Musicman2000


    mike65 wrote: »
    The 850 hPa Wind chart for Friday/Saturday from south south-west, looks like dragging a front up and a wet Christmas.

    Could be pushed back yet, be intersting what the latest ECMWF run says after 6


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    #936
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Gotta the cold weirdos! Its going to be mild and wet! :mad:


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    #937
    Musicman2000
    Registered Users Posts: 1,461 ✭✭✭Musicman2000


    mike65 wrote: »
    Gotta the cold weirdos! Its going to be mild and wet! :mad:

    ha ha cold and dry is much better than mild, dull, depressing altlantic muck:)


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    #938
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    irish1967 wrote: »
    This is the first mention on any model or map I've seen of the northwest getting another dose of snow. Are there any other charts etc out there that back this up?
    According to the DMI it should start snowing at us at 11pm till 6am. :cool:


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    #939
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 6,012 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    mike65 wrote: »
    Gotta the cold weirdos! Its going to be mild and wet! :mad:

    Cold weirdos? Nice generalisation there mike. And if you knew anything about weather you would understand that this could very easily be pushed back on the next few runs.


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    #940
    Elmo5
    Closed Accounts Posts: 270 ✭✭Elmo5


    irish1967 wrote: »
    What in under god is ME forecasting on its 5 day rainfall chart here? Do my eyes decieve me or have we got full country precip for Christmas day???? Is it rain??:eek:

    http://www.met.ie/forecasts/5day-ireland.asp

    Yup, it's rain!


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    #941
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,186 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Pangea wrote: »
    According to the DMI it should start snowing at us at 11pm till 6am. :cool:

    where did this feature come from?! all the way down the west tomorrow??! never heard it mentioned anywhere on the forecasts.


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    #942
    GSF
    Registered Users Posts: 1,731 ✭✭✭GSF


    baraca wrote: »
    Cold weirdos? Nice generalisation there mike. And if you knew anything about weather you would understand that this could very easily be pushed back on the next few runs.

    Humour bypass perhaps? It looks like its ok to wish for cold leading to widescale disruption including financial loss, property damage, etc but anyone wanting a return to normality gets jumped on.


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    #943
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 6,012 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    GSF wrote: »
    Humour bypass perhaps? It looks like its ok to wish for cold leading to widescale disruption including financial loss, property damage, etc but anyone wanting a return to normality gets jumped on.

    lol, Jumped on? Mike said and i qoute "It's going to be mild and wet! :mad:"

    Seemed pretty certain of that didn't he i was just letting him know it could all change on the next few runs and go back to cold.

    Jumped on :rolleyes:


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    #944
    opr
    Registered Users Posts: 8,267 ✭✭✭opr


    Looking at the GFS rolling out at the minute would I be right in saying it pushes the breakdown a little further back ?

    Also it seems to show the east coast getting decent snow tomorrow ?

    Opr


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    #945
    cherryghost
    Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,134 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    Interesting, an upgrade in snowfall for the East coast tonight. Pushing inland overnight and tomorrow, wouldnt be surprised if it makes a bit more headway with the wind direction

    ukprec.png


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    #946
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,846 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Pangea wrote: »
    According to the DMI it should start snowing at us at 11pm till 6am. :cool:

    Yes. It would be super if it comes off. A nice little top up.:D
    It has been a little unreliable in the last couple of days though.


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    #947
    premiercad
    Registered Users Posts: 352 ✭✭premiercad


    Looking at the GFS rolling out at the minute would I be right in saying it pushes the breakdown a little further back ?

    Also it seems to show the east coast getting decent snow tomorrow ?

    Opr


    was going to say the same thing, 12 z looks like that adlantic low is moving slower and more due east in track :rolleyes:


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    #948
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,186 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    nacho libre wrote: »
    Yes. It would be super if it comes off. A nice little top up.:D
    It has been a little unreliable in the last couple of days though.

    yeah it has been very unreliable. seems to change every run and would still believe there will be more changes before tomorrow for the east snowfall event. hopefully changes for the better!


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    #949
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    GSF wrote: »
    Humour bypass perhaps? It looks like its ok to wish for cold leading to widescale disruption including financial loss, property damage, etc but anyone wanting a return to normality gets jumped on.
    baraca wrote: »
    lol, Jumped on? Mike said and i qoute "It's going to be mild and wet! :mad:"

    Seemed pretty certain of that didn't he i was just letting him know it could all change on the next few runs and go back to cold.

    Jumped on :rolleyes:

    Yep a definite humour bypass, anyway whats so great about snow/ice/freezing fog? Only total nutters can find anything postive in such conditions (and children of course).


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    #950
    premiercad
    Registered Users Posts: 352 ✭✭premiercad


    mid stephens's day and still low upper temps and a slow mixing of the warmer air

    h850t850eu.png


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    #951
    cherryghost
    Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,134 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    I might add, the 12Z charts show Ireland as a battleground for cold vs milder air on Christmas day. And guess what? The cold might just win it. Would be interesting to see whether rain will fall or if the cold easterly stream will give a pillar of snow to the country.

    gme-0-132.png?12


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    #952
    Mutor_CS
    Registered Users Posts: 27 ✭Mutor_CS


    yr.no is now projecting Dublin snow from lunchtime tomorrow (Tuesday), warming into sleet/rain through the night into Wednesday am.

    http://www.yr.no/place/Ireland/Dublin/Dublin/hour_by_hour.html


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    #953
    snow ghost
    Registered Users Posts: 1,379 ✭✭✭snow ghost




    ME's latest:

    Monday, 20 December 2010 16:03

    Today
    Tonight will be dry and clear over many areas, but there will be further snow showers along the east and north coast with the risk of thunder. Later this evening the snow showers over the north coast will drift southwards overnight affecting parts of the northwest and west. It will be extremely cold with a widespread severe frost as temperatures fall to -5 to -12 degrees with icy roads and freezing fog returning.


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    #954
    Elmo5
    Closed Accounts Posts: 270 ✭✭Elmo5


    cherryghost wrote: »
    I might add, the 12Z charts show Ireland as a battleground for cold vs milder air on Christmas day. And guess what? The cold might just win it. Would be interesting to see whether rain will fall or if the cold easterly stream will give a pillar of snow to the country.

    gme-0-132.png?12

    Judging by that chart, could be another "blocking high" type scenario?

    Going to be an interesting week


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    #955
    snow ghost
    Registered Users Posts: 1,379 ✭✭✭snow ghost


    cherryghost wrote: »
    I might add, the 12Z charts show Ireland as a battleground for cold vs milder air on Christmas day. And guess what? The cold might just win it. Would be interesting to see whether rain will fall or if the cold easterly stream will give a pillar of snow to the country.

    Could be snomageddon.


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    #956
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,846 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    mike65 wrote: »
    Yep a definite humour bypass, anyway whats so great about snow/ice/freezing fog? Only total nutters can find anything postive in such conditions (and children of course).

    In the same way only a total nutter could like milder weather during Winter. :p


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    #957
    cherryghost
    Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,134 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    snow ghost wrote: »
    Could be snomageddon.

    Being extremely hopeful, odds are it'll rain though :)


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    #958
    fizzycyst
    Closed Accounts Posts: 399 ✭✭fizzycyst


    would I be correct in saying that the snow for S/SE for tonight has disappeared once again? :(


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    #959
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 6,012 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    mike65 wrote: »
    Yep a definite humour bypass, anyway whats so great about snow/ice/freezing fog? Only total nutters can find anything postive in such conditions (and children of course).

    Nope sorry i've tried and i can't see anything remotely funny in your original post. And meh on your second point people always come in here saying what's so great about snow bla bla, We like it that's what's so great.


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    #960
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,186 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    cherryghost wrote: »
    Being extremely hopeful, odds are it'll rain though :)

    well living down south which is the mildest part of the country i have never felt it as cold or seen such low day time temps. am sure this cold air will be hard to budge and interesting to see whether met eireann change their forecast in any way.


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    #961
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Yes, the 12Z GFS wants to push back the breakdown to the 26th. No surprise to see this, it has been pushed back several times now. Still though, there will be a breakdown at some stage ,probably before the end of the month, maybe not as fast as the models are showing, but it has to happen. :pac:


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