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Cold Spell Media Forecasts and Model Output (General Chat)

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    #1172
    inabina
    Registered Users Posts: 631 ✭✭✭inabina


    Leeside wrote: »
    On the Farming Forecast last Sunday they had a temp of +10c for Christmas Day. Now they have a temp of 0c. Now thats what I'd call second thoughts!

    Siobhan Ryan has temps between 5 and 10 yesterday for xmas day:D


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    #1173
    WallyGUFC
    Registered Users Posts: 2,053 ✭✭✭WallyGUFC


    Met Eireann were really overjoyed yesterday at the tropical +10C for Saturday. Backtracking now? I hope they were wrong anyway. Sure ya can't trust Gerry Murphy, he's too shuffley.


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    #1174
    inabina
    Registered Users Posts: 631 ✭✭✭inabina


    WallyGUFC wrote: »
    Met Eireann were really overjoyed yesterday at the tropical +10C for Saturday. Backtracking now? I hope they were wrong anyway. Sure ya can't trust Gerry Murphy, he's too shuffley.

    Ye Gerry even mentioned a "Decent thaw" for Xmas night in his web update this morning. "Decent"


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    #1175
    homolumo
    Registered Users Posts: 1,080 ✭✭✭homolumo


    mickger844posts wrote: »
    Very disappointing morning but not total unexpected. To come so close was hard to take and looking at the current radar i find it hard to see where our snow will come from. What i'm hoping for now is calm clear weather and a chance to break my station record of -7.7c. At least it will be an ice day as temp now is -1.3c :)

    I heard the snow made it as far as Cheekpoint which is a little further west than the radar suggested.


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    #1176
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    mickger844posts wrote: »
    Very disappointing morning but not total unexpected. To come so close was hard to take and looking at the current radar i find it hard to see where our snow will come from. What i'm hoping for now is calm clear weather and a chance to break my station record of -7.7c. At least it will be an ice day as temp now is -1.3c :)

    I think over the next 24 hours or so some of those showers will probably squeeze far enough west to give something between a dusting and a bit more. Might be unluckly and miss out completely but since the last batch got as far as New Ross and there are probably more hefty showers to follow later this evening/tonight, chances are decent still.

    Dublin/Wicklow is the place to be though. ;)


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    #1177
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 6,012 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    maquiladora wrote: »
    I think over the next 24 hours or so some of those showers will probably squeeze far enough west to give something between a dusting and a bit more. Might be unluckly and miss out completely but since the last batch got as far as New Ross and there are probably more hefty showers to follow later this evening/tonight, chances are decent still.

    Dublin/Wicklow is the place to be though. ;)

    Don't forget wexford maq! :P


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    #1178
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,467 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    maquiladora wrote: »
    I think over the next 24 hours or so some of those showers will probably squeeze far enough west to give something between a dusting and a bit more. Might be unluckly and miss out completely but since the last batch got as far as New Ross and there are probably more hefty showers to follow later this evening/tonight, chances are decent still.

    Dublin/Wicklow is the place to be though. ;)

    There is a little bit of hope there so Maq, was thinking that normally these showers tend to pep up a bit in the evening and night time.


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    #1179
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    baraca wrote: »
    Don't forget wexford maq! :P

    :P Whoops.


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    #1180
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,846 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Leeside wrote: »
    On the Farming Forecast last Sunday they had a temp of +10c for Christmas Day. Now they have a temp of 0c. Now thats what I'd call second thoughts!

    this is why I couldn't understand them being so definite seven days out, it was asking for trouble given the great uncertainity between models in the 24-48 hours period never mind a week later. Perhaps rather than intuition, some let personal preference get in the way. What i mean is with such a vast pool of cold air over western europe, experience should have informed them that's not going to be easy to shift in one fell swoop- especially given the Atlantic is in a weakened state. The ukmo have it right i think, despite the model uncertainity, a gradual return to milder conditions after Christmas day. If they don't backtrack on their outlook for January then i think we're saying goodbye to cold weather for a good while. They've been spot-on for the last month so i don't see a reason to start doubting them now.

    Mike65, do you think the ukmo is right;)


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    #1181
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Weather Warning

    Issued at 21 December 2010 - 14:00

    Severe weather alert update

    Continuing extremely cold countrywide with sub zero temperatures and very severe frost,ice and freezing fog.
    Further heavy snow showers in Eastern counties of Leinster, especially the coastal counties through the rest of today(Tuesday), and into tomorrow with a continuing risk of thunder though showers may be less intense tomorrow.
    Further falls of 5 to 10cm expected in places.
    Snow showers in parts of Clare,west Limerick, Kerry and Cork will clear Southwards later this afternoon and evening.
    Scattered snow showers at times also on the north and northwest coast.

    http://www.met.ie/forecasts/warnings.asp


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    #1182
    kstand
    Registered Users Posts: 1,248 ✭✭✭kstand


    In my experience, ME are unable to tell you what the weather would be like in 10 minutes. I don't recall them giving any warnings about this heavy shower activity that has shut Dublin Airport. Useless. A waste of money. You'd be better off watching out the window than to rely on what they come up with.


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    #1183
    homolumo
    Registered Users Posts: 1,080 ✭✭✭homolumo


    That activity heading across to Dublin atm looks like it will be snowing there for most of the day. Lucky backsterds!


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    #1184
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    kstand wrote: »
    I don't recall them giving any warnings about this heavy shower activity that has shut Dublin Airport.

    Not true. There was a severe weather alert, which has since been updated at 2pm. The national forecast from 5am this morning also says "Heavy snow showers in east Leinster".

    This is all available on the Met Eireann website and the Met Eireann warnings have been mentioned on RTE and other media sites.

    You could only miss it by not looking for it really.


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    #1185
    fizzycyst
    Closed Accounts Posts: 399 ✭✭fizzycyst


    MT said earlier about west and east showers merging across the south, if this happens surely Waterford will see snow :rolleyes:


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    #1186
    Ogie84
    Registered Users Posts: 83 ✭✭Ogie84


    fizzycyst wrote: »
    MT said earlier about west and east showers merging across the south, if this happens surely Waterford will see snow :rolleyes:
    well it's still Sunny about 15 km West of Cork City, but cloudy and clearly snowing further west, i.e. Kerry


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    #1187
    kstand
    Registered Users Posts: 1,248 ✭✭✭kstand


    maquiladora wrote: »
    Not true. There was a severe weather alert, which has since been updated at 2pm. The national forecast from 5am this morning also says "Heavy snow showers in east Leinster".

    This is all available on the Met Eireann website and the Met Eireann warnings have been mentioned on RTE and other media sites.

    You could only miss it by not looking for it really.

    Yeah? So they predicted it at 5am this morning? Thats useful all right. How come they didn't predict it yesterday? Or what happened last night? Useless.


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    #1188
    Babooshka
    Registered Users Posts: 1,142 ✭✭✭Babooshka


    kstand wrote: »
    Yeah? So they predicted it at 5am this morning? Thats useful all right. How come they didn't predict it yesterday? Or what happened last night? Useless.


    Well I watched the weather forecast last night after 9 news and I was expecting snow in the east from this morning having watched it, so are you sure you watched the weather forecast last night? :confused:


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    #1189
    kstand
    Registered Users Posts: 1,248 ✭✭✭kstand


    My Mrs has been in Heathrow all day flying back to Dublin with the little lad. Just been told now the flight is cancelled.
    How come none of this was forecast yesterday?


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    #1190
    kstand
    Registered Users Posts: 1,248 ✭✭✭kstand


    Babooshka wrote: »
    Well I watched the weather forecast last night after 9 news and I was expecting snow in the east from this morning having watched it, so are you sure you watched the weather forecast last night? :confused:

    Live in London. Was on the ME website etc yesterday afternoon and had no idea that something this disruptive was on the way.


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    #1191
    Babooshka
    Registered Users Posts: 1,142 ✭✭✭Babooshka


    kstand wrote: »
    Live in London. Was on the ME website etc yesterday afternoon and had no idea that something this disruptive was on the way.


    Oh, I see ... Honestly don't think they can predict more than the next few hours though at times, because of the unpredictable nature of this particular spell. I haven't been reading all of the thread but if you're stranded because of it, I wish you a speedy journey soon.


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    #1192
    irishmotorist
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,268 ✭✭✭irishmotorist


    kstand wrote: »
    Yeah? So they predicted it at 5am this morning? Thats useful all right. How come they didn't predict it yesterday? Or what happened last night? Useless.

    Erm - they did predict it last night. And the night before, I think. Did you watch the forecast?


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    #1193
    Speak Now
    Registered Users Posts: 8,679 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    homolumo wrote: »
    I heard the snow made it as far as Cheekpoint which is a little further west than the radar suggested.

    Yeah i heard Dunmore as well, may i'll see a sprinkling at home :pac:

    Looking like dry and very cold evening now, i'll be leaving the tap on early tonight.


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    #1194
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    kstand wrote: »
    Yeah? So they predicted it at 5am this morning? Thats useful all right.

    Yes, it is quite useful, for most people who get up early to commute.
    kstand wrote: »
    How come they didn't predict it yesterday? Or what happened last night? Useless.

    As Babooshka said it was forecast last night. There is no archive of Met Eireann forecasts so I cannot copy what was there but...

    Met Eireann warned of heavy snow in east Leinster, Ulster, Connaught and west Munster for Monday night and Tuesday.

    http://www.google.com/hostednews/ukpress/article/ALeqM5hQx5GaoN5GKDd62hTQgAXyiYwRFA?docId=N0252461292884786068A


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    #1195
    channaigh
    Registered Users Posts: 419 ✭✭channaigh


    ok to get back on track when will this hit midlands and kilkenny for feck sake coming from both sides now and we are still missing out


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    #1196
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    channaigh wrote: »
    ok to get back on track when will this hit midlands and kilkenny for feck sake coming from both sides now and we are still missing out

    It will be mostly coastal counties in the east that will get hit though the leftovers of some showers will probably get a bit further west. Hard to know how far, keep an eye on the radar later. :)


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    #1197
    channaigh
    Registered Users Posts: 419 ✭✭channaigh


    maquiladora wrote: »
    It will be mostly coastal counties in the east that will get hit though the leftovers of some showers will probably get a bit further west. Hard to know how far, keep an eye on the radar later. :)

    i was looking for something really postive why do you have to ruin it this is no fun hate ye all with yer snow:D


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    #1198
    WallyGUFC
    Registered Users Posts: 2,053 ✭✭✭WallyGUFC


    kstand wrote: »
    Yeah? So they predicted it at 5am this morning? Thats useful all right. How come they didn't predict it yesterday? Or what happened last night? Useless.
    This is a constantly changing situation. If you're that pissed off with ME go watch Sky or something.:rolleyes:


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    #1199
    compsys
    Registered Users Posts: 1,092 ✭✭✭compsys


    Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »
    Yeah i heard Dunmore as well, may i'll see a sprinkling at home :pac:

    Looking like dry and very cold evening now, i'll be leaving the tap on early tonight.

    Yes, well done. Please waste water so that there's none for the rest of us!


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    #1200
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    12Z NAE precip accum. at 48 hours.

    Dublin could be in for some serious snow.

    10122312_2112.gif


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    #1201
    Inquitus
    Registered Users Posts: 13,762 ✭✭✭✭Inquitus


    maquiladora wrote: »
    12Z NAE precip accum. at 48 hours.

    Dublin could be in for some serious snow.

    [/IMG]

    We already have serious snow here in Swords, how much more serious can it get? :)


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