UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

CurryFlavoured

Alvarez shortening. He was about 6/4 not long ago iirc, around 10/11 or evens now. Expect money to come in for Conor late and Alvarez will drift a bit again.

Mellor

KingJamsie wrote: »

Any support for the idea of Tate losing by sub?

Her opponent loves a sub & is 15/2 with pp

Or is Tate just too good for her?

She has a few sub wins, but boxing is her strength here. By making this a grappling match is tipping it back in Tate's favour.
It's possible, but probably shouldn't be part of her Game plan

mailburner

so far just the double of wonderboy and frankie which was best priced at evens last night

expecting a very comfortable win tbh

surely jj a cert or close also
think mj will spend most of the bout trying to avoid being taken down so it's surely khabib all the way (same as trujillo fight imo)

think there's value in romero on pts as I don't see him finishing weidman, value at 11/2 imo (betv)

frankie+khabib fights to go the distance at 2.92 not bad also or both on pts and a bigger price maybe (4/5+13/10)

even wonderboy pts at 7/2, I see a repeat of the rory wonderboy fight here with woodley being picked apart for 5 and being very hesitant as he had been when fighting rory, maybe I'm giving woodley too much credit thinking he might even last five

I think the 1/2 on wonderboy is the bet of the year, I'll give up betting on this lark for the year if wonderboy loses this...he can't though imo

CurryFlavoured

I've done edgar/khabib both by decision.

Also done a small bet on Belal r3 at 15/1, I watched his last 2 fights and he was strongest in r3 (won it against Jouban, finished last opponent). Luque is a finisher who starts with a good pace, haven't seen a lot of him but I think there's a chance that he's tired by the time r3 comes (if it gets there).

Shanotheslayer

Any reason as to the big drift on McGregor?

Have him at 1.61 in a double and a treble.


Thinking taking the 1.8 ina single now

Shanotheslayer

Any reason as to the big drift on McGregor?

Have him at 1.61 in a double and a treble.


Thinking taking the 1.8 ina single now

CurryFlavoured

Shanotheslayer wrote: »

Any reason as to the big drift on McGregor?

Have him at 1.61 in a double and a treble.


Thinking taking the 1.8 ina single now

I'd take McGregor now if you fancy him. His odds will shorten again by fight time imo.

CurryFlavoured

Jut added a 4 fold -

Yoel/Weid over 2.5
McG/Eddie under 3.5
Thompson to win
JJ by tko/ko or decision

At about 4/1

Having looked into the JJ/Karolina fight I don't see how JJ loses this. Fought much better opposition and beaten them more comfortably.

CurryFlavoured

Jut added a 4 fold -

Yoel/Weid over 2.5
McG/Eddie under 3.5
Thompson to win
JJ by tko/ko or decision

At about 4/1

Having looked into the JJ/Karolina fight I don't see how JJ loses this. Fought much better opposition and beaten them more comfortably.

Gamebred

Disagree, Conor's price here with the uk and Irish bookies is going one way and its drifting



http://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma/conor-mcgregor-v-eddie-alvarez/winner

Shanotheslayer

CurryFlavoured wrote: »

I'd take McGregor now if you fancy him. His odds will shorten again by fight time imo.

I think so too, seems like huge value atm.

icanmunch

I done the below accumulator all to win.

Miesha Tate
Chris Weidman
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Stephen Thompson
Conor McGregor

20 quid returns 171

0gac3yjefb5sv7

I'd say this will be an easy one for Conor, over within 2 rounds

ASOT

Have 50 on McGregor R2 KO @ 6s then a few accumulators across a few sports. Absolutely dying for the fights.

Useful.Idiot

icanmunch wrote: »

I done the below accumulator all to win.

Miesha Tate
Chris Weidman
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Stephen Thompson
Conor McGregor

20 quid returns 171

I have an accumulator with these plus Frankie and Khabib to win. 25 returns 380. My second ever ufc bet, first was 50 on rockhold to win over bisping lol.

Gamebred

Useful.Idiot wrote: »

I have an accumulator with these plus Frankie and Khabib to win. 25 returns 380. My second ever ufc bet, first was 50 on rockhold to win over bisping lol.

You put 50 on Rockhold at 1/10 to win a 5er?

0gac3yjefb5sv7

Looking to put a bigish bet of 25 quid on something. Looking for about returns of 150/200. Any tips?

csallmighty

A ko in each title fight

0gac3yjefb5sv7

csallmighty wrote: »

A ko in each title fight

20/1 odds for that seems ridiculously high!?

Useful.Idiot

Gamebred wrote: »

You put 50 on Rockhold at 1/10 to win a 5er?

I was meant to put it on a few fights but accidentally placed it after picking that bet.

CurryFlavoured

CurryFlavoured wrote: »

Value = Odds represent a less chance of it coming off than there actually is (ie. Higher odds). Conor is 25/1 for the sub on BV, I'd say that's pretty fair in terms of chance. There are no likely scenarios where Conor subs him in my head. People are saying if he hurts Eddie he'll jump in and sub him, but he had top control on a wobbled Siver and decided to pound him out. Top control on Holloway and threatened nothing (I know it was a while ago but we don't have much to go by). In terms of Eddie on top, he's had Pettis and Giblert on bottom recently and they've threatened nothing.

Anyway good luck. I've just noticed people quote value on Conor sub most fights but I don't see it. I only see him winning via KO in r1 or possibly r2.

As in that is the only way you see Conor is going to win? or if he is to win he will win in round 1 or 2?

CurryFlavoured

Those are two very similar questions, not sure what you want.

I think if Conor wins tonight it's very very likely that it's in r1 or maybe r2 by KO. Any other route to victory is unlikely in comparison imo.

CurryFlavoured

Those are two very similar questions, not sure what you want.

I think if Conor wins tonight it's very very likely that it's in r1 or maybe r2 by KO. Any other route to victory is unlikely in comparison imo.

Burial.

Eddie, Yoel and Woodley treble for the laugh.

tinpib

Gone with:

Edgar pts
Meisha pts
Weidman rd 1 KO
Joanna pts
Woodley KO
McGillicutty rd 2

0.35c Heinz to return €3134.12 with PP

Hoki

Luque by Sub - 11/2
Khabib by Sub - 9/2

Did a small stakes double on the above.

Luque - Evs
Pennington - 6/4
Weidman - 6/10
Wonderboy - 8/15
Conor - 4/6

Small stakes accum on the above.

Will have a few bets throughout the night as well probably.. Conor by Ko in the 2nd is tickling my fancy

Whelo79

McGregor to win in rounds 1, 2 or 3 now 6/4 with PP.

rogieop

Little bit of after timing butso be it.... went with...

pimblett
mcgregor ko
miller
khabib on points
thompson
jj on points.

also got
Stephens ko
romero ko double.

jj vs kk fight of the night and khabib performance of the night.

Enjoy folks!

mailburner

i'd have muhammed favourite for this one,surprised hes the underdog

lol

Away From Home

I have €50 on Alverez in the 4th, haven't a clue about betting or Alverez, asked a mate to stick it on, I just smelt it in my waters.