UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

Mr. Manager

Gonna see if the price changes at all and get a few quid on him. Ideally would want to find the market that Brandao finishes the fight but its not up yet.

Mellor

PP prob just based his price off a McGregor price if 1/3

Brandao is 3.5 on betfair. I can't see him going further than that

broders3

Not a bad betting card this weekend. My treble for the weekend is Johnson, Bader & Woodley. I think Bader can put that fight wherever he wants it and Calvacante looked 'fleshy' to say the least in the UFC Countdown show so I expect him to gas. I haven't felt this strongly about a Woodley win since he stunk up the joint against Jake Shields but I think this is his time. I just can't see Rory forcing Woodley to take a backward step and I think his quickness getting inside will see him score enough points to get the win. Rory is quite tentative when put on the back foot and I think Woodley will do this. Rory has most success when his opponent's are retreating (Maia). 10 euro bet pays out 36 including the stake.

I also have a sneaking suspicion that Johnson will get the finish, he is looking better and better in each fight and the 'will the fight go the distance' bet is 5/4 to end inside the 5 rounds. This covers the chance that Bagautinov pulls the shock upset as well.

mailburner

struggling to find any value here but went with this double at 13/10

ovince st preux
rory/tyrone to go the distance

Think ovince st preux is better standing than jimmo

rory mac and tyrone I think will be a very cagey affair with
rory trying to win safe gsp style and woodley...honestly don't
know what he's gonna do
I know he's good enough and explosive enough to do serious
damage but ive lost faith since the shields fight
I really think the first round will be instantly forgettable
with both being very cagey and lots of boos

was awful tempted by mighty mouse at 10/11 by decison but
not confident enough to have a decent bet
it's an obvious one but a chitty enough price for a five rounder

weemcd

Alot of close fights on this card tonight. Not one for gambling much on.

I've a few quid on Baga as he is good value in my book

EuskalHerria

I think Bagautinov at 10/1 by knock out could be worth a few quid. I haven't done any bets but if he was to upset things I'd imagine it could be that way.

callaway92

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

struggling to find any value here but went with this double at 13/10

ovince st preux
rory/tyrone to go the distance



was awful tempted by mighty mouse at 10/11 by decison but
not confident enough to have a decent bet
it's an obvious one but a chitty enough price for a five rounder

easy win but a tiny stake sadly

califano

Locomotion

califano wrote: »

Nice work, shame ya didn't lob them all into an accumulator. Would've been 66/1!

Easy Rod

Nate Marquardt @ 2/1 against Te Huna seems like a fantastic bet to me.

mailburner

The hulk at 6/4 v rosholt looks huge imo

I'd see that as a very even match up myself


great picking there cali

weemcd

Wouldn't back Marquardt this weather against anyone, let alone a LHW moving down in weight to fight him. TeHuna is not high level by any stretch of imagination but Nate has been lit up in his last 3 fights against Welterweights.

califano

mailburner wrote: »

The hulk at 6/4 v rosholt looks huge imo

I'd see that as a very even match up myself


great picking there cali

Thanks it was decent plundering. In the interests of full disclosure i had one more bet 20 on the main event not to go 5 rounds(can never resist that as 5rds is a lot of fighting, but this wasnt a good fight to do it) which was the bet just above McDonald one at the top, but shur why wouldnt i crop that out!.

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

The hulk at 6/4 v rosholt looks huge imo

I'd see that as a very even match up myself


great picking there cali

best at 6/5 two days later
why did I wait?

Hoki

mailburner wrote: »

best at 6/5 two days later
why did I wait?

Thats still a good price imo, i was just gonna post about it without even knowing he started at 6/4. Soa is on a tear at the moment & I cant see Rosholt stopping him whatsoever.

mailburner

few bets this weekend

all singles
main bet on the hulk with two smaller ones


the hulk at 6/5 (paddy)
the longer it goes on the more chance i'd give rosholt but
cant ignore that price


ferreira by sub 11/4 (888)
don't rate craig at all, ferreira likes subs :pac:


swanson by ko 7/4 (888)
will blow stephens away despite his toughness
his striking is on a different level

good luck with yer wans

Davei141

I have a double on Craig and Soa. Ferreira has a weak chin and the reason Craig lost badly vs Luke Barnatt was he had no respect for him and paid for it. I don't expect him to be so sloppy again.

mailburner

Davei141 wrote: »

I have a double on Craig and Soa. Ferreira has a weak chin and the reason Craig lost badly vs Luke Barnatt was he had no respect for him and paid for it. I don't expect him to be so sloppy again.

he was so bad v barnatt I couldnt understand that at all.
he wasnt much better v leban, a fight I thought he'd sail through

I think ferreira is a level above him myself
I had ferreira down as a 2/7 shot not an 8/15

Davei141

Well Soa was complete rubbish..goodbye bet ha.

mailburner

Davei141 wrote: »

Well Soa was complete rubbish..goodbye bet ha.

Oh fuk
Thought this was tonight

Davei141

mailburner wrote: »

Oh fuk
Thought this was tonight

Apologies if i spoiled it! It was in NZ so started at 7.30am.

mailburner

Davei141 wrote: »

Apologies if i spoiled it! It was in NZ so started at 7.30am.

No worries
its a mistake i rarely make

you dont notice these things on a betting site sadly
sherdog all the way

Davei141

mailburner wrote: »

No worries
its a mistake i rarely make

you dont notice these things on a betting site sadly
sherdog all the way

Apologies still! It was a awful fight though it went exactly how you didn't want it to go. It was a very good card though, enjoy.

dulux99

Gastelum, Lamas and Swanson treble tonight. Pays about 9/4

dulux99

dulux99 wrote: »

Gastelum, Lamas and Swanson treble tonight. Pays about 9/4

Wahey

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

few bets this weekend

all singles
main bet on the hulk with two smaller ones


the hulk at 6/5 (paddy)
the longer it goes on the more chance i'd give rosholt but
cant ignore that price


ferreira by sub 11/4 (888)
don't rate craig at all, ferreira likes subs :pac:


swanson by ko 7/4 (888)
will blow stephens away despite his toughness
his striking is on a different level

good luck with yer wans

well that went well

mailburner

machida decision just taken at 4/1 (betv)

that's all I can see
don't see any other way machida can win this given
his style

Mr. Manager

Out of curiosity, who here is backing Brandao?

Looking at the prices and I think they're crazy. Brandao @4.0 to win, 6.0 for a KO/TKO and 8.5 for a sub.

Ok, yea, Brandao has a bit of a glass jaw but still - the guy is a fucking animal and has come along way and worked his cardio so well.

Davei141

Cereal Rapist wrote: »

Out of curiosity, who here is backing Brandao?

Looking at the prices and I think they're crazy. Brandao @4.0 to win, 6.0 for a KO/TKO and 8.5 for a sub.

Ok, yea, Brandao has a bit of a glass jaw but still - the guy is a fucking animal and has come along way and worked his cardio so well.

I think Brandao is a perfect style for Conor, sloppy striker is what he thrives off and Brandao still has very questionable cardio, he only has a chance in the first round IMO.