UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

ASOT

Gone with a few bets tonight, really looking forward to the card!

Lentz on Points
Overeem by KO
Jacare by Sub
Moraga Win
54/1

Lentz on Points
Overeem by KO
Moraga Win
15/1

Lewis in RD1
Overeem in RD1
Lentz/Olivera to do the Distance
8/1

CurryFlavoured

Why is Moraga such big odds? He's only lost to the top 2 flyweights and beat Scoggins last loss. Am I missing something here?

ASOT

CurryFlavoured wrote: »

Why is Moraga such big odds? He's only lost to the top 2 flyweights and beat Scoggins last loss. Am I missing something here?

I said the same thing myself, WAY overpriced. I dont rate Scoggins myself so i would have been backing Moraga regardless.

SnitchingBubs

Alot of close fights on tonights cards, alot of potential for the betting under-dogs to come up trumps.

Matt Mitrione is 5/4 to beat Derrick Lewis, im going to be all over that.

I might chance a small bet on Joe Lauzon(11/10) because Chiesa's stand up isnt all that great and on the ground they're fairly even , I might even give the edge to Lauzon.

As said before John Moraga is great value at 7/4

And would anyone be surprised if Mousasi beat Souza tonight, I know I wouldnt, and especially at 2/1.

If all the fighters I picked win tonight it wouldn't be a massive upset in the eyes of MMA fans. And lets put it this way, a bet of €5 returns 204.19.

mailburner

few small bets

main bet, treble of
kelly
overeem
lewis
15/8

small singles on these

lewis round one 17/10 looks good if meathead decides to stand and bang

for value alone hopefully
reem round two 9/2 played it very safe v mir last time out when it looked
like he couldve finished anytime he wanted but big ben albeit tough isnt very
good at all but managed to go two rounds with cain so is durable enough
worth a shot when round one is only evens, doubt very much he'll win in
the third as he'll have the first two rounds won and will probably cruise to a
pts win like against mir/werdum

mousasi decision 11/2 seems huge to me for what looks like a very even fight, really hoping mousasi can win this bet or no bet

treble on above also at 95/1 (all pp)


mad accum that will surely lose also, not worth posting and wont be
posting up like some when it's all over :pac:

mailburner

can't do any worse that last week...


went for the double of
spencer and bigfoot
pays slightly over evens with pp

don't rate paulo thiago so confident enough spencer will send him packing
thiago hasnt beaten anyone of note since swick in 2010 and has lost 6 of his
last 8 fights albeit some of those against top guys
bigfoot a better fighter since beating aa over three round 4 years ago
silva ko looks an obvious one whenever he manages to catch aa

Devastator

I've went for Thiago(13/8)/Tibua(4/9) double

John_D80

mailburner wrote: »

can't do any worse that last week...


went for the double of
spencer and bigfoot

Both are pretty much as close as you will get to a sure thing on this card I reckon.

I went for trebles from 5 of:

Silva
Spencer
Tibau
Alacantra
Bedford

50 quid will return just under 150 (PP) if they all win but i reckon i'll be doing very well to see my stake returned. I think I may have went with my heart instead of my head in the Yahya/Bedford fight.

mailburner

thiago drifting by the hour
now 21/10 in two places, wonder is he fit, they usually dont drift like that without a reason, someone knows something and is profiting as a result imo

seen lentz shorten a lot last week before the fight was called off v oliveira
turned out oliveira wasnt fit to fight

Devastator

I would love to know whats going on before putting any moe money on him lol

mailburner

Devastator wrote: »

I would love to know whats going on before putting any moe money on him lol

I'd be wary myself

on another note if i had a winner account i could guarantee profit by backing both
4/7 v 21/10

663+336 guarantees a return of 42 profit either way
by the time i set up a winner account itll probably be gone

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

I'd be wary myself

on another not if i had a winner account i could guarantee profit by backing both
4/7 v 21/10

663+336 guarantees a return of 42 profit either way
by the time i set up a winner account itll probably be gone

gone back to 2/1 with both already, always someone out there ready to strike :pac:

Devastator

PP had it scheduled for 10:30 so its not on offer there

mailburner

Devastator wrote: »

PP had it scheduled for 10:30 so its not on offer there

prices were taken down about 20mins ago as far as i can remember


first prelim about to start now bedford v yahya

mailburner

you watching dev?

Devastator

yeah mate, just found a stream

mailburner

Devastator wrote: »

yeah mate, just found a stream

good stuff, same as that

Devastator

1st punch thrown & Thiago goes down not the start I was wanting lol
Spencer is far better at striking

mailburner

Devastator wrote: »

1st punch thrown & Thiago goes down not the start I was wanting lol
Spencer is far better at striking

he's been awful
no idea how he got 4 fights

Devastator

mailburner wrote: »

he's been awful
no idea how he got 4 fights

He looks finished after 2nd rd

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

thiago drifting by the hour
now 21/10 in two places, wonder is he fit, they usually dont drift like that without a reason, someone knows something and is profiting as a result imo

seen lentz shorten a lot last week before the fight was called off v oliveira
turned out oliveira wasnt fit to fight

so often the betting tells a story esp in this case
spencers chance was obvious but you couldnt have expected a performance quite that bad by thiago

mailburner

evens a good price for anyone who backed andrade

didnt know her opponent myself but quite a few fancied andrade

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

can't do any worse that last week...


went for the double of
spencer and bigfoot
pays slightly over evens with pp

lost but delighted for arlovski

John_D80

mailburner wrote: »

lost but delighted for arlovski

Same here. Arlovski put a cap on a terrible weeks of bets for me but fair play to him. Have it Sky +'d. Looking forward to watching it now.

I'll need about 6 wwinners in the curragh today to break even for this week.

Devastator

Made back money lost on Thiago in the Tibau fight but it was a little close for comfort lol

Good luck John!

Any tips?......errr on 2nd thoughts :D

John_D80

Devastator wrote: »

Made back money lost on Thiago in the Tibau fight but it was a little close for comfort lol

Good luck John!

Any tips?......errr on 2nd thoughts :D

Best tip I can give is stay miles away from anything I'm backing til I get through this slump !!

mailburner

sadollah v sexyama


my thinking is sadollah is huge at 6/4 here
sexyama was just plain sh1te when last seen which was feb 12
hasnt fought since by choice and now takes this fight in japan
I cant for the life of me expect sexyama to be any better then when last seen.
amir has been off for 2yrs also with injuries but has been active and has spent a while in thailand training
The amir of today will have no problem beating akiyama who I expect to be much slower than when last seen in action
Ive no doubt he'll die trying here but I see nothing but an easy pts win for amir

anyone have any thoughts on this?

looks to me like the best or second best odds against shot of the year

broders3

6/4 is big odds for Sadalloh but I reckon it will be close and the chance of a gift decision for the sexy one is strong in Japan.

Both Hunt and Nelson are 9/10 at the moment. I favour Hunt here even though he came in pretty heavy. Worth a tenner I think, might double him up with Jury.

In the same vein as the Sadollah odds Mizugaki is 5/2 against Cruz next week. 3 year lay off against a guy on a 5 fight win streak would be worth a sneaky punt.

weemcd

I'd bet on Hunt myself, better chance of a ko/decision. Roy has a round or less to win after that he gasses like no one else. Hunt has better striking pedigree, should land more and better footwork to keep away from Roy's big right hand.

Suppose Roy could sneak a sub but I doubt it.

mailburner

broders3 wrote: »

6/4 is big odds for Sadalloh but I reckon it will be close and the chance of a gift decision for the sexy one is strong in Japan.

it's the only thing stopping me from having a bigger bet on him but I really feel I'll be kicking myself this time tomorrow for not doing so
There's no doubt in my mind it'll have to be a comfortable pts win for it
to be judged that way