UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

awful hard imo to find value in this one

torn between taking a load of shorties (brazilians) or taking a pop at
martins who I think is overpriced

andrade/silva/ferreira looks good at around 6/4

wonder is martins overpriced at 4/1?

even johnson pts at same price

so undecided on what to do

next time I'm undecided ill just go with it feck

m.j.w

m.j.w wrote: »

who was the favorite for that fight? Johnson didnt stop going foward at all. Good fight

Barbosa was slight favourite.

Last fight Ive got a double on Johnson on points and Mir by Sub and a single on Mir by KO.
I hope its not a sad end to Mir's career! But I think he beats bigfoot everywhere

Boom beautiful Frankie!!

califano

Aftertiming!?. Hopefully this article doesn't upset anyone, spoilered just in case it does!.

UFC costs sportsbook nearly $1M

Hoki

califano wrote: »

Aftertiming!?. Hopefully this article doesn't upset anyone, spoilered just in case it does!.

UFC costs sportsbook nearly $1M

Doing accumulators containing all underdogs is dumb as hell but they're a great story when they click I suppose.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_vDF42gR6LY

mailburner

Reckon koscheck is a tad overpriced myself at 9/5

the nikkei is rising

Why is Holly Holm 9/5 to win by KO? What am I missing?

the nikkei is rising

the nikkei is rising wrote: »

Why is Holly Holm 9/5 to win by KO? What am I missing?

She was 33-2 in pro boxing, and she has lethal kicks

Mellor

the nikkei is rising wrote: »

Why is Holly Holm 9/5 to win by KO? What am I missing?

I'm not really sure what your are questioning there tbh. Do you think it should be lower or higher?

7-0 with 6 Knock outs in MMA. And Combined record is 41-3, and most of them were in boxing were she couldn't kick.

the nikkei is rising

Mellor wrote: »

I'm not really sure what your are questioning there tbh. Do you think it should be lower or higher?

7-0 with 6 Knock outs in MMA. And Combined record is 41-3, and most of them were in boxing were she couldn't kick.

Deleted User wrote: »

She was 33-2 in pro boxing, and she has lethal kicks

I meant the odds should be lower, I couldn't believe she wasn't odds on. Pennington's striking is rudimentary and I don't think she has the athleticism to get Holm to the ground

Mellor

the nikkei is rising wrote: »

I meant the odds should be lower, I couldn't believe she wasn't odds on. Pennington's striking is rudimentary and I don't think she has the athleticism to get Holm to the ground

I think it's a good price for the punter. I've just placed €75 on the KO.
But it's not outrageous or anything.
Pennington is tough. And it's not difficult to clearly lose a fight and make it to the final bell.
KO's are rare at 135, even more so for women.

Mellor

Mellor wrote: »

I think it's a good price for the punter. I've just placed €75 on the KO.
But it's not outrageous or anything.
Pennington is tough. And it's not difficult to clearly lose a fight and make it to the final bell.
KO's are rare at 135, even more so for women.

Yeah, if Pennington has any smarts she'll try and take it to the floor, she can't stand with Holm. If thats her strategy then I can see it going the distance maybe. Anything else and your 75 yoyo's should be good.

Mr. Manager

Couldn't not bet on that...

Mr. Manager

And this with the remaining tenner because why not!?

the nikkei is rising

Went with a double of Holm by KO and Cat/Ronda to last over 1.5 rounds at 6/1.

Holm looked jacked at the weigh ins, she'll have the weight and we know she has the technique to finish Pennington, who should probably be on an invicta undercard.
Ronda could well break Cat's arm in the first but I think Cat's resilience will keep her alive through the beating

dulux99

I'm gonna go with Pennington at 5/1. I don't know why, but I'm just not convinced by Holly Holm just yet, and she's only fought once in the past year, hopefully she'll fall victim to the famous "Octagon jitters". To think she's as big a favourite as Rousey, is just a bit mad I think.

Hoki

the nikkei is rising wrote: »

Went with a double of Holm by KO and Cat/Ronda to last over 1.5 rounds at 6/1.

Holm looked jacked at the weigh ins, she'll have the weight and we know she has the technique to finish Pennington, who should probably be on an invicta undercard.
Ronda could well break Cat's arm in the first but I think Cat's resilience will keep her alive through the beating

Are the weigh ins not on tonight??

the nikkei is rising

Hoki wrote: »

Are the weigh ins not on tonight??

Yeah sorry, it was just a stare down picture, the stage was the same but she was wearing a dress should have copped it.

https://instagram.com/p/zlT_O6PAyG/

Hoki

Yea she's a big girl, towering over Pennington there , I might just have to get on the Holm by Ko bandwagon as well. That looks like its at the media day.

mailburner

went with this treble at 3/1 (only betv pricing up the bellator card)
daley fights in about 2-3 hours
ruan potts doesnt belong in the ufc, I'd be surprised if he made it out
of the first



Paul Daley To Win By KO TKO or Disqualification @ 4/5
(Method of Victory - Match)
Derrick Lewis To Win By KO TKO or Disqualification @ 4/9
(Method of Victory - Match)
Ronda Rousey To Win By Submission @ 4/7
(Method of Victory - Match)

stiffler123

Holm by KO, Rousey by KO double 8/1
Holm by KO, Rousey by sub double 3/1

stiffler123

Also taking Josh Koscheck at 7/4. Ellenberger has looked really tentative in his last few fights, he has big power but he has looked very hesitant to throw. It looked liked he broke against Gastelum and I think the long layoff could suit Koscheck here.

Hoki

Hoki wrote: »

Yea she's a big girl, towering over Pennington there , I might just have to get on the Holm by Ko bandwagon as well. That looks like its at the media day.

The only thing to note about Holm is that she didn't KO chicks in her boxing career. She's only started doing that in MMA because of these kicks she has.

The other thing is that Pennington is tough, she's a 'rocky' type character. She can take a beating and hang in there. Betting the house on Holm by KO could be a mistake, Ive no doubt she'll win but Pennington will be a tough nut to finish, she's got some good trainers and shouldn't be getting caught by the inevitable head kicks thrown.

the nikkei is rising

Deleted User wrote: »

The only thing to note about Holm is that she didn't KO chicks in her boxing career. She's only started doing that in MMA because of these kicks she has.

The other thing is that Pennington is tough, she's a 'rocky' type character. She can take a beating and hang in there. Betting the house on Holm by KO could be a mistake, Ive no doubt she'll win but Pennington will be a tough nut to finish, she's got some good trainers and shouldn't be getting caught by the inevitable head kicks thrown.

Holm didn't KO boxers in her boxing career, but Pennington is no boxer. If the fight stays standing Pennington's head will be spinning and a big punch or kick will catch her on the chin. It's not guarantee but the odds are great considering the relative skill levels.

the nikkei is rising

the nikkei is rising wrote: »

Holm didn't KO boxers in her boxing career, but Pennington is no boxer. If the fight stays standing Pennington's head will be spinning and a big punch or kick will catch her on the chin. It's not guarantee but the odds are great considering the relative skill levels.

Pennington is good on the inside, she's a brawler. She could pressure hard tie the fight up with dirty boxing and maybe nullify holm who's grappling would be the weakest part of her game.
Dont get me wrong I think Holm will win by KO, but its not a foregone conclusion, 9/5 is about right for me. I'll be betting on a points win as well

EuskalHerria

Those confident of a stoppage in the Holms fight, paddy power have round betting as follows.

Round 1: 3/1
Round 2: 11/2
Round 3: 15/2

€20 on each would mean, if Holms wins in the first €20 profit. Round 2 and 3 would see you doubling your money at least. Can someone point out my mistake, as I assume I made one.

EuskalHerria

Placed this double at 20/1.


Method of Victory
Roan Carneiro by Submission @ 13/2

Method of Victory
Holly Holm by KO @ 9/5

mailburner

EuskalHerria wrote: »

Those confident of a stoppage in the Holms fight, paddy power have round betting as follows.

Round 1: 3/1
Round 2: 11/2
Round 3: 15/2

€20 on each would mean, if Holms wins in the first €20 profit. Round 2 and 3 would see you doubling your money at least. Can someone point out my mistake, as I assume I made one.

no mistake
imagine the hurt if it went to pts though

best prices on all three rounds are 7/2 11/2 10/1

10/11 v 9/5 pts v ko
I'd be guessing pts myself but wouldnt be confident enough to back either and at those prices maybe the 9/5 represents a bit of value
if a man had 500 to spare he could guarantee 67 profit by backing both those given a sub looks unlikely for holm