Wicklow

mgmt

RTE is finally up to date.

http://www.rte.ie/news/election2011/results/wicklow.html

Capt'n Midnight

RTEwicklow: Donnelly camp looking very happy and very confident ahead of final results announcement. Brady's people much less so. #wk

skearon

Tallies have Donnelly (Ind) now ahead of Brady (SF) by 127, Doyle's (FG) surplus should then extend this lead

psycho-hope

i thought they werent distrubuting Doyles surplus or did i unerstand that wrong?

celtictiger32

whats the best site for current tallies etc ive been looking at the rte site but doesnt seem to be updating on wicklow and laois/offaly

mgmt

celtictiger32 wrote: »

whats the best site for current tallies etc ive been looking at the rte site but doesnt seem to be updating on wicklow and laois/offaly

Twitter
http://twitter.com/search?q=%23ge11%20%23wk

d'Oracle

mgmt wrote: »

Do you trust this tweet?



http://twitter.com/NiallOCo

No.
He has been talking **** all night.

mgmt

psycho-hope wrote: »

i thought they werent distrubuting Doyles surplus or did i unerstand that wrong?

They didn't distribute them in the last count because they would not push the last candidate above the 2nd last. They'll save them for next count.

celtictiger32

mgmt wrote: »

Twitter
http://twitter.com/search?q=%23ge11%20%23wk

cheers

psycho-hope

mgmt wrote: »

They didn't distribute them in the last count because they would not push the last candidate above the 2nd last. They'll save them for next count.

ah ok thanks

Blowfish

psycho-hope wrote: »

i thought they werent distrubuting Doyles surplus or did i unerstand that wrong?

Basically they distribute Fitzgeralds votes first as it's enough to elect people if it went the right way. If after that, the difference between the last 2 electable people (Donnelly and Brady) is less than Doyles surplus, they'll distribute Doyle's as it has the potential to change the result if they went entirely in one direction.

psycho-hope

so in other words its just a formality to distrubute those votes unless they all go to one person, or is tiredness getting to me and my brain has given up?

d'Oracle

Laois Offaly is in.

Blowfish

psycho-hope wrote: »

so in other words its just a formality to distrubute those votes unless they all go to one person, or is tiredness getting to me and my brain has given up?

That depends how close Donnelly and Brady actually are.

Capt'n Midnight

FLANAGAN, Charles FG 14.1%
CORCORAN KENNEDY, Marcella FG 7.8%
COWEN, Barry FF 11.1%
STANLEY, Brian SF 10.8%
FLEMING, Sean FF 8.1%

d'Oracle

Here Goes.........

murpho999

Timmins is now elected!

Harris almost there, haven't heard Brady's or Donnelly's votes.

Savage Tyrant

Capt'n Midnight wrote: »

FLANAGAN, Charles FG 14.1%
CORCORAN KENNEDY, Marcella FG 7.8%
COWEN, Barry FF 11.1%
STANLEY, Brian SF 10.8%
FLEMING, Sean FF 8.1%

Brilliant! 14th seat for us.
C'mon John! Fingers crossed though it's looking unlikely for the 15th.

ergo

think Donnelly on 9909 but didn't hear Brady's...

mgmt

Savage Tyrant wrote: »

Brilliant! 14th seat for us.
C'mon John! Fingers crossed though it's looking unlikely for the 15th.

Thank god it's capped at 14:)

Mothman

murpho999 wrote: »

Timmins is now elected!

Harris almost there, haven't heard Brady's or Donnelly's votes.

Brady 9797
Donnelly 9909

psycho-hope

Brady is on 9797

Blowfish

ergo wrote: »

think Donnelly on 9909 but didn't hear Brady's...

9797

Capt'n Midnight

RTEwicklow: Now distributing Andrew Doyle's surplus of 240 #wk
Tue Mar 01 01:50:58 via web

mgmt

ergo wrote: »

think Donnelly on 9909 but didn't hear Brady's...

9797

https://spreadsheets.google.com/lv?authkey=CNmA4JUO&hl=en&key=tJuOtPoe46JqAQJSEQHmxRQ&toomany=true

d'Oracle

ergo wrote: »

think Donnelly on 9909 but didn't hear Brady's...

9797

skearon is on the ball still.

psycho-hope

feck thats close

ergo

so Donnelly ahead by 112

Doyle's surplus distribution of 240 unlikely to turn that around.....

gonna be close though*whispers* I don't want to mention the dreaded word mentioned much higher up this thread.........

Blowfish

ergo wrote: »

so Donnelly ahead by 112

Doyle's surplus distribution of 240 unlikely to turn that around.....

gonna be close though*whispers* I don't want to mention the dreaded word mentioned much higher up this thread.........

Brady's bound to call for it.

DeVore

C'MON STEVEOOOOOOO!!

(and I havent even been drinking yet )


DeV.

psycho-hope

well i hope they count quick so i can go to bed how long can it take to share out 240 votes

worsel

Thought i might Just Ask ?? - How is the Voting Going -- Just Jumped In Here -- hope you dont Mind -- Will Brady GET IN ??

Watching it HERE - http://www.rte.ie/news/election2011/results/wicklow.html

ergo

Blowfish wrote: »

Brady's bound to call for it.

wouldn't blame him

said on east coast that if there was a recount it would be from the 13th count onwards

psycho-hope

not looking good for him tbh unless something drastic happens with doyles surplus

Capt'n Midnight

Scores on the doors Quota = 11,751
11392 HARRIS, S FG
10948 FERRIS, A LAB
9909 DONNELLY, S IND
9797 BRADY, J SF

240 votes to share and 112 between the last two

d'Oracle

THE NOT KNOWING IS KILLING ME.

Capt'n Midnight

d'Oracle wrote: »

THE NOT KNOWING IS KILLING ME.

the other count is over here if you want to divert yourself for a moment http://www.rte.ie/news/election2011/results/galway-west.html

Dannygirl

Me too!

worsel

It not just 240 Papers they have to Look At

---

I think they have to Look at all of Doyles 10035 First Pref .. Votes --and see what the Next or next or next Pref is --is that Correct ???
How does PR Work

ergo

worsel wrote: »

It not just 240 Papers they have to Look At

---

I think they have to Look at all of Doyles 10035 First Pref .. Votes --and see what the Next or next or next Pref is --is that Correct ???
How does PR Work

do they not just randomly pick 240 of Doyle's votes and then distribute them?

murpho999

worsel wrote: »

It not just 240 Papers they have to Look At

---

I think they have to Look at all of Doyles 10035 First Pref .. Votes --and see what the Next or next or next Pref is --is that Correct ???
How does PR Work

AFAIK, they won't look at all of Doyle's votes but a random sample of them and then apportion the percentages out from them and distribute votes.

In interests of fairness they should look at every vote and record the preferences but that takes too long, so random samples is what they use.

18th count now in

Brady +42
Donnelly +37

Mothman

Brady 9839
Donnelly 9946

Timmons surplus to be distributed

d'Oracle

This should only take 15min, right?

murpho999

Is this all we are waiting on now?

Have Fitzgerald's votes, who was the last eliminated candidate been transferred?

worsel

Dont think its looking too good for J Brady -- although he picked up 10.1& FP votes and with Donnely on 9.3% FP... cant see Brady picking up !! - Unlickely that a FG vote will go to SF ?

DeVore

From what I can tell we are only distributing the surpluses of the FG candidates who are exceeding the quota. FitzG's have already been distributed.

DeV.

DeVore

In short, and without jinxing anything.... this is looking good for Stevoooooo!

DeV.

murpho999

Have to laugh at music on East Coast FM while they are waiting on results

So far I have heard.

Against All Odds Phil Collins

One -U2

No Promises Shayne Ward


Very middle of the road but funny election songs!

ergo

After count 18

John Brady (SF) 9839 (+42)
Stephen Donnelly (Ind) 9946 (+37)
Anne Ferris (Lab) 11042 (+94)
Simon Harris (FG) 11459 (+67)

Billy Timmins' surplus of 116 votes now being distributed

so nobody (by my reckoning) can reach quota even if they get all the surplus votes..so will she call it then?

murpho999

ergo wrote: »

After count 18

John Brady (SF) 9839 (+42)
Stephen Donnelly (Ind) 9946 (+37)
Anne Ferris (Lab) 11042 (+94)
Simon Harris (FG) 11459 (+67)

Billy Timmins' surplus of 116 votes now being distributed

so nobody (by my reckoning) can reach quota even if they get all the surplus votes..so will she call it then?

Yep, defo, Harris and Ferris will be elected without reaching quota as will one from Brady and Donnelly, then tomorrow will be a recount from 13th count and then there will be Dick Roche's court challenge when he arrives tomorrow with George Bush's lawyers!