GAA tips from the Amateur

Sir Vival

Saturday's Bet.

Tyrone(half-time/full-time) v Antrim @8/11

Really fancy tyrone to get their league back on track this weekend. Antrim are arguably the worst team in the division so tyrone could go to town on them. They boast an extremely potent attack on paper in the two cavanaghs, mugsy, o'neill, penrose and mcguigan. I've gone for tyrone to be winning at half-time and full-time as I think they'll come out of the blocks fairly fast tomorrow to put immediate pressure on Antrim. Meath were 5pts at a stage in the first half away to Antrim so I can see tyrone doing the same.

Antrim totally reliant on corner forward Cunningham who accounts for 60/70% of their scores. Tyrone will have a system to stop him, in that i'm sure so Antrim will find scores hard to come by if tyron keep their discipline.

Mayo(u-21) v Roscommon(u-21) @4/9

Bit disappointed by Mayo's price but I fully expect them to come through this game tomorrow. Roscommon have struggled in pre-season losing to cavan twice, cork, westmeath and offaly. They lack a forward that will get them 5/6pts like Shine did last year. Injury concerns also trouble them with collins and kilroy doubtful, two big players for them.

Mayo have all-ireland aspirations with their current panel. Previous successful minor teams are all merged with this panel. They've got plenty of talent in o'connor, o'shea(sometimes), freeman and nally. Home advantage is also a plus for them. They should prevail by 3 or 4 pts.

€27 double returns €67.36
€3 double on Tyrone(half-time/full-time) @8/11 and Mayo/Ros draw @7/1 returns €41.45

The €3 double is a saver as draws have f***** me over a couple of times.

In-play: €30
Closing Bank: €70 (-€30)

Sir Vival

Sir Vival wrote: »

Tyrone(half-time/full-time) v Antrim @8/11


Mayo(u-21) v Roscommon(u-21) @4/9


€27 double returns €67.36
€3 double on Tyrone(half-time/full-time) @8/11 and Mayo/Ros draw @7/1 returns €41.45

Bet loses at first hurdle, Ros u-21 beat Mayo by 2pts. Myself and a lot of roscommon shocked (in a good way) about that result. Ros started without 5 definite first team players and still disposed of a much fancied Mayo team who paid the price for missing a clear cut goal chance mid-way through the 2nd half. It looked that my draw saver would come to the rescue but roscommon pushed on to deservedly take victory.

Will have to stop backing against my own county anymore...

Weekend damage limitation

Tyrone(half-time/full-time) v Antrim @8/11

Reasoning above...

Roscommon v Fermanagh @4/7

Fermanagh are in turmoil with a depleted panel through injury and players leaving resulting in a big home defeat to longford. Roscommon unbeaten so far and playing at home.

Ros should have enough to take this game by 3/4 points

€20 double returns €54.29

In-play:€20
Closing Bank: €50 (-€50)

Sir Vival

Sir Vival wrote: »

Weekend damage limitation

Tyrone(half-time/full-time) v Antrim @8/11

Roscommon v Fermanagh @4/7

€20 double returns €54.29

Both teams win but bet loses. Tyrone trailed by 2pts at half-time before winning by 5pts.

Need to have a re-think, perhaps singles on handicaps or something.

Hopefully I can stop the rot next week.

Sir Vival

Short write-ups, just going with gut instinct this week, maybe the lack of analysis will get me back on track.

Dublin(-1) v Mayo @2/5
Dublin at home, unbeaten so far, accustomed to putting up big scores, massive firepower.
Mayo unsure of best team, inconsistent, a little short of physicality.

Wexford v Cavan @4/11
Wexford are flying, very strong home record.
Cavan struggling big time, conceeding lots and look like relegation fodder.

Kildare(-1) vs Meath @8/11
Kildare going well, great team spirit, could welcome back big names like doyle and kavanagh.
Meath going poorly, haven't won an away league match in and around 2 years, have injury concerns

€25 returns €82.44

In-play: €25
Closing Bank:€25(-€75)

Sir Vival

Sir Vival wrote: »

Dublin(-1) v Mayo @2/5

Wexford v Cavan @4/11

Kildare(-1) vs Meath @8/11

€25 returns €82.44

Bet Wins, Dublin by 5pts, Wexford by 2pts and Kildare by 2pts

Might save my bets till the day of the match for a few weeks and see what my gut says on the day.

Back in profit, woo...

Closing Bank: €107.44(+7.44)

Sir Vival

U-21 odds available for wednesday's games.

Westmeath look great value @2/5.
I've backed them twice before and they came through with ease. Longford are no great shakes even though they beat Meath aet. Westmeath should go on and win leinster.

Tyrone v Down @4/7
Same tyrone team that won the minor all-ireland. Down are no slouches but tyrone should prove to strong at home, just.

€12.44 double returns €27.37

In-play: €12.44
Closing Bank: €95 (-€5)

Sir Vival

Today's selections:

(1) Limerick v Westmeath(+3) @8/11
Really fancy westmeath to win this but going to play it safe on this alternative handicap. Strong westmeath team with an inside line of greville, glennon and dolan. Both teams have struggled a bit so far but I fancy westmeath to push on and contest for promotion.

(2) Donegal(-4) v Antrim @8/13.
This bet looks solid on paper as Antrim have a significant injury list including niblock, crozier and most importantly their scorer-in-chief cunningham. Donegal have hit top form and have a lethal forward line.

€20 double returns €48.36

Also a sneak treble of the following...

(1) Limerick v Westmeath @2/1

(2) Derry v Meath @15/8 (this one goes against all my previous thinking but derry have been so inconsistent and even though Meath haven't won an away game in a couple of years, I think they may battle to a narrow victory here/

(3) Sligo v Laois @11/10
Going to this game and think sligo with the home support will pull through.

€5 returns €90.56

In-play: €25
Closing Bank: €70(-€30)

Sir Vival

Sir Vival wrote: »

Today's selections:

(1) Limerick v Westmeath(+3) @8/11

(2) Donegal(-4) v Antrim @8/13.

€20 double returns €48.36

Bet Wins, Westmeath win by 2pts and Donegal ease to a 9pt victory

Also a sneak treble of the following...

(1) Limerick v Westmeath @2/1

(2) Derry v Meath @15/8

(3) Sligo v Laois @11/10

€5 returns €90.56

Treble loses, Westmeath won, Meath scored 3-8 and still lost, Sligo should have won but lost by 3pts.

No more wallowing between profit and loss, pushing on from here and that's that...

In-play: €0
Closing Bank: €118.36(+€18.36)

jive

^ Thanks for the reasoning on the bets above.

Usually just follow your bets as they are but didn't have enough in the account due to taking some out! Took Westmeath +2@evens, Tyrone -1@5/6 and Donegal -4@8/13.

Sir Vival

jive wrote: »

^ Thanks for the reasoning on the bets above.

Usually just follow your bets as they are but didn't have enough in the account due to taking some out! Took Westmeath +2@evens, Tyrone -1@5/6 and Donegal -4@8/13.

Thanks but it's been a rocky ride for me, think leaving me bets til the day of the match is the way forward. Could have been over-thinking a lot of games. Just going with gut now.

Prefer the club championships to be honest though, they'll probably start in about 6 weeks or so.

Sir Vival

This weekend's fancies..

Bet 1: Double

(1) Kildare(-2) v Sligo @8/13
I expect a big backlash from kildare this week following mcgeeney's damning enditement of them last week labeling the forwards "terrible" and "pathetic". On their day kildare are a class act and should have too much for sligo who aren't the same team without david kelly.

(2) Galway v Dublin @8/13
I know dublin have nothing to play for while galway have everything to play for but on paper dublin should come through this. Even though dublin have a recent poor record against galway in the nfl, I can't back against an inside forward line of b.brogan, connolly and a.brogan. I just can't see galway's endeavour to survive the drop being enough as I don't think they've enough quality all over the pitch.

€18.36 returns €47.91

Bet 2: Double

(1) Westmeath(-1) v Offaly @10/11
Don't know what my fascination with westmeath teams is but I really like backing them. I think they'll push on and get promotion to div. 2 having found good form over the past few rounds.

(2) Wicklow(-3) v Clare @ evens
Wicklow in aughrim are a formidible team and have the capability of putting up big scores. Clare were hammered by a vastly depleted fermanagh team in the last round and face a more daunting away trip this weekend.

€10 returns €38.18

In-play: €28.36
Closing Bank: €90 (€-10)

Daryl Strawberry

Unlucky with the bets today Sir, lot of close games

Sir Vival

Daryl Strawberry wrote: »

Unlucky with the bets today Sir, lot of close games

Yeah i'll just put those bets down to bad luck. Bet 1 looked very solid at one stage with Dublin winning by 6pts and Kildare winning by 5pts but alas...

In-play: €0
Closing Bank: €90 (-€10)

tomombo

well cork u21s -2 v galway 10/11 what you think?

has to be a dead cert for all accums this weekend?

Sir Vival

tomombo wrote: »

well cork u21s -2 v galway 10/11 what you think?

has to be a dead cert for all accums this weekend?

Not too sure about this game. Cork are definitely being over-hyped and the galway team they're playing are decent. Think i'll hang onto my money.

Sir Vival

Had a look through the markets and really like the look of this bet.

Cavan(u-21s) over 12.5pts @10/11.

Very strong cavan team this year having won the ulster championship beating tyrone in the final. They have showed great consistency all year and won the hastings cup (pre-championship tournament) at a canter beating connaught final champions Roscommon twice along the way.

Although they played only 3 days ago I think that on a perfect day for football like it is today they should get 13pts or more.

€22 returns €42

dougal-maguire

Sir Vival wrote: »

Had a look through the markets and really like the look of this bet.

Cavan(u-21s) over 12.5pts @10/11.

Very strong cavan team this year having won the ulster championship beating tyrone in the final. They have showed great consistency all year and won the hastings cup (pre-championship tournament) at a canter beating connaught final champions Roscommon twice along the way.

Although they played only 3 days ago I think that on a perfect day for football like it is today they should get 13pts or more.

€22 returns €42

i cant see it being less than 15 points for cavan.great conditions and a very good team.quality bet IMO

Sir Vival

Sir Vival wrote: »

Cavan(u-21s) over 12.5pts @10/11.

€22 returns €42

Bet wins... just... Cavan scored 1-10 (13pts)

Gonna put €10 on Galway(-1) @evens, reasoning GAA betting thread c/o KevIRL

In-play: €10
Closing Bank:€100 (+/- €0)

Sir Vival

A double for me this week combining the div.4 and div. 3 NFL finals.

(1) Roscommon (under 17.5pts) @8/11.
This bet stuck out to me when looking through the markets. It's seems like a very big target to me. Putting up 18pts or equivalent is a big ask for any team. Croker could well suit Ros but Longford are no mugs and have improved defensively this year. The game could go either way (like longford(+2) @8/11..) so i'll stick with the unders.

(2) Westmeath v Louth @8/11
I fancy westmeath to take this by a couple of points. Although they're without dessie they have a nice looking forward line and they're recent form is impressive. Louth seem to mix the good with the awful so hopefully they show they're awful side today.

€25 returns €74.59

In-play: €25
Closing Bank: €75 (-€25)

Sir Vival

Last bet lost due to Westmeath's disappointing performance.

Smaller bet this week...

I also have a bet running posted in the GAA betting thread but I won't count it towards the log.

(1) Cavan (u-21) over 12.5pts @11/10.
I think they'll definitely be aiming to score over 13pts before off and with the firepower they have and the good conditions for football I think they can achieve it.

(2) Kilkenny v Dublin @4/9
Just can't see the dubs beating the cats, simple as that really.

(3) St. Lomans v St. Malachys @3/10
Reasoning in the GAA Betting thread.

€15 treble returns €59.15

In-play: €15
Closing Bank: €60 (-€40)

Sir Vival

Last bet lost.

€50 on Western Gaels v St. Aidans @4/5

Check out the GAA Betting Thread for details..

In-play: €50
Closing Bank: €10 (-€90)

Sir Vival

Sir Vival wrote: »

Last bet lost.

€50 on Western Gaels v St. Aidans @4/5

Check out the GAA Betting Thread for details..

In-play: €50
Closing Bank: €10 (-€90)

This won easily. Still deciding what i'll go with for my main bet this week.

It will definitely include kilmore though in the roscommon championship...

Closing Bank: €100 (€+/- 0)

Sir Vival

Just set up an account with Boyles and placed €20 on Kilmore to beat St. Croans in the ros championship @4/9.

Small bet + short odds but it qualifies me for a €40 free bet which i'll get tomorrow regardless of the above bet winning or losing so i'll have another bet tomorrow with bigger stakes and bigger prices.

In-play: €20
Closing Bank: €80(-€20)

Sir Vival

Sir Vival wrote: »

Just set up an account with Boyles and placed €20 on Kilmore to beat St. Croans in the ros championship @4/9.

Small bet + short odds but it qualifies me for a €40 free bet which i'll get tomorrow regardless of the above bet winning or losing so i'll have another bet tomorrow with bigger stakes and bigger prices.

In-play: €20
Closing Bank: €80(-€20)

Bet wins, Kilmore won by 3pts. Hopefully these wins continue, starting to find my feet now.

One bet looks great to me in the early match between Laois and Longford. Colm Begley under (1.5pts) @8/13. He could possibly get a point but can't see him getting two. He plays midfield and isn't a consistent scorer from that position, he's a more defensive player where he plays centre back for Parnells in Dublin.

€18.89 on Begley under (1.5pts) returns €30.51

Will prob have another bet on the kildare and/or derry match id this bet wins.

In-play: €18.89
Closing Bank: €90 (-€10)

Sir Vival

Sir Vival wrote: »

Bet wins, Kilmore won by 3pts. Hopefully these wins continue, starting to find my feet now.

One bet looks great to me in the early match between Laois and Longford. Colm Begley under (1.5pts) @8/13. He could possibly get a point but can't see him getting two. He plays midfield and isn't a consistent scorer from that position, he's a more defensive player where he plays centre back for Parnells in Dublin.

€18.89 on Begley under (1.5pts) returns €30.51

Will prob have another bet on the kildare and/or derry match id this bet wins.

In-play: €18.89
Closing Bank: €90 (-€10)

Bet wins, Begley had a half chance for a goal but otherwise did nothing in attack.

Nothing interesting me in the other games so i'll leave it at that for this weekend.

In-play: €0
Closing Bank: €120.51 (+€20.51)

ft9

Thanks for the Begley tip, had €20 on, not been settled yet though for some reason, has yours?

Sir Vival

ft9 wrote: »

Thanks for the Begley tip, had €20 on, not been settled yet though for some reason, has yours?

Nope, not settled yet. Definitely a winner though.. These type of markets are very interesting, pity they can only be done as singles

Sir Vival

Wexford/Offaly game under 29.5 pts @5/6 doubled with Dublin (-3) in the hurling tomorrow @ 8/13. Football reasoning in Gaa Betting Thread and following others advice with the hurling...

€20 returns €59..23

In-play: €20
Closing Bank: €100.51 (+€0.51)

Sir Vival

Sir Vival wrote: »

Wexford/Offaly game under 29.5 pts @5/6 doubled with Dublin (-3) in the hurling tomorrow @ 8/13. Football reasoning in Gaa Betting Thread and following others advice with the hurling...

Wexford somehow manage to score 2-15 including a point in injury time to put the games total points to 30pts. Can't say anything but great call by the bookies...

That's me done for this week...

Closing Bank: €100.51 (+€0.51)