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Advice please

  • 12-04-2011 11:49pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 239 ✭✭


    was wondering if paddy power do any obvious bets online that are pretty much guarented to win ?.. remember reading before that they used ti do in rugby a try to happen in a match .. PP eventually took it down coz they were losing too much money :P.

    so was wondering f there was any other easy/obvious bets online on PP ?? thanks


Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,783 ✭✭✭Pj!


    neiler987 wrote: »
    was wondering if paddy power do any obvious bets online that are pretty much guarented to win ?

    Nope.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,817 ✭✭✭myflipflops


    neiler987 wrote: »
    was wondering if paddy power do any obvious bets online that are pretty much guarented to win ?.. remember reading before that they used ti do in rugby a try to happen in a match .. PP eventually took it down coz they were losing too much money :P.


    Average 'No Tryscorer' price in a rugby union match is about 17/1 so 'any try' would have been 1/100. In a rugby league match it's 33/1 so the other side is 1/200 at biggest.

    I doubt anybody was winning or losing much money at those prices.


  • Registered Users Posts: 239 ✭✭neiler987



    I doubt anybody was winning or losing much money at those prices.

    Im only saying wat i read man ? mehh 1/100 aint bad considering a try is pretty much "guarented" ? say ppl wudve threw 200 quid get 2 quid back but keep on doin it consistently .. sounds very profitable ti win if a try is a sure thing yeno


  • Registered Users Posts: 239 ✭✭neiler987


    Pj! wrote: »
    Nope.

    there has to be somethin there surely ??


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    It's gambling dude. Ain't nothing guaranteed. To win a decent amount on those low odds 99.99% chance of occuring bets you need to go huge to make it worthwhile. All you need is one bit of bad luck.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 239 ✭✭neiler987


    It's gambling dude. Ain't nothing guaranteed. To win a decent amount on those low odds 99.99% chance of occuring bets you need to go huge to make it worthwhile. All you need is one bit of bad luck.

    i know theres nothing absoluetly guarenteed .. but im looking for bets that are nearly almost guaranteed say 90% eg. real madrid ti qualify to semi final but not neccessarily winning the match 2ni if u get me ? or for a try to be scored in a rugby match.. or for a free kick to be awarded in a football match ?
    get me ?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,588 ✭✭✭Bluetonic


    neiler987 wrote: »
    i know theres nothing absoluetly guarenteed .. but im looking for bets that are nearly almost guaranteed say 90% eg. real madrid ti qualify to semi final but not neccessarily winning the match 2ni if u get me ? or for a try to be scored in a rugby match.. or for a free kick to be awarded in a football match ?
    get me ?
    Surely to God you can search the site and just pick some selections which are 1/9 as in 90% chance, if that's your thing.

    Are you that lazy?


  • Registered Users Posts: 239 ✭✭neiler987


    Bluetonic wrote: »
    Surely to God you can search the site and just pick some selections which are 1/9 as in 90% chance, if that's your thing.

    Are you that lazy?

    wen i meant 90% i didnt mean 1/9.. sure ive lost bets on 1/9 before like :P

    i mean somethin like 1/100 for example a free kick to be taken in a football match 1/200 ? no bookies do free kicks i think

    1/9 wudnt be good enough coz u cud still easily lose


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,588 ✭✭✭Bluetonic


    neiler987 wrote: »
    wen i meant 90% i didnt mean 1/9.. sure ive lost bets on 1/9 before like :P
    A 90% chance is 1/9 :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 239 ✭✭neiler987


    Bluetonic wrote: »
    A 90% chance is 1/9 :)

    well yeno wat i mean :P


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    There's one bet tomorrow that's a cert.

    Foundations in the 4.05. Put your house on it.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11 Stanivlasky


    neiler987 wrote: »
    wen i meant 90% i didnt mean 1/9..

    ha ha!what a shark


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11 Stanivlasky


    UrbanSea wrote: »
    There's one bet tomorrow that's a cert.

    Foundations in the 4.05. Put your house on it.

    no! go for Loose Button,its bound to come off!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,817 ✭✭✭myflipflops


    neiler987 wrote: »
    Im only saying wat i read man ? mehh 1/100 aint bad considering a try is pretty much "guarented" ? say ppl wudve threw 200 quid get 2 quid back but keep on doin it consistently .. sounds very profitable ti win if a try is a sure thing yeno

    There are probably tryless games in ruby in the Northern Hemisphere 1 out of every 20 to 25 games. Way, way higher than that in the Top 14. The margins mean you will lose money. Wherever you read the original 'fact', I wouldn't go back to.

    By all accounts, the closest thing to a 'guaranteed' winner in gambling over the last 5-10 years has been to back Federer/Nadal in the early rounds when they are 1.01 shots but what you are looking for is 'free money' and it does not exist unless you arb.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 773 ✭✭✭seklly


    Is a 90% chance not 1/10?!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,588 ✭✭✭Bluetonic


    seklly wrote: »
    Is a 90% chance not 1/10?!
    90.91% (approx) chance is 1/10.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mathematics_of_bookmaking


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 773 ✭✭✭seklly


    Bluetonic wrote: »

    Ah yes, it all makes sense now!!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    OP if you're looking for risk free investment save your money for about 3-4% interest.


  • Registered Users Posts: 239 ✭✭neiler987


    UrbanSea wrote: »
    There's one bet tomorrow that's a cert.

    Foundations in the 4.05. Put your house on it.

    did it or loose button come in ? didnt get a chance ti bet on it ?

    why did youz think they would come in do u know if they got injections ??


  • Registered Users Posts: 239 ✭✭neiler987


    There are probably tryless games in ruby in the Northern Hemisphere 1 out of every 20 to 25 games. Way, way higher than that in the Top 14. The margins mean you will lose money. Wherever you read the original 'fact', I wouldn't go back to.

    By all accounts, the closest thing to a 'guaranteed' winner in gambling over the last 5-10 years has been to back Federer/Nadal in the early rounds when they are 1.01 shots but what you are looking for is 'free money' and it does not exist unless you arb.

    yeah ive done a lil bit of research nd found out that there is the odd rugby game here nd there that doesnt have a try

    but thats kind of irrelevant now anyways seein as paddy power took that market away anyway :(

    thanks for the tennis hint but its not somethin that u can bet on nearly every day


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  • Registered Users Posts: 239 ✭✭neiler987


    UrbanSea wrote: »
    OP if you're looking for risk free investment save your money for about 3-4% interest.

    god if i only had a massive amount of money in the first place i would do that ive no money ti save just about have money ti spend dont mind save :( .. thanks anyways


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,706 ✭✭✭premierstone


    UrbanSea wrote: »
    There's one bet tomorrow that's a cert.

    Foundations in the 4.05. Put your house on it.

    I went for Clothes Line in the same race, put my shirt on it, got beaten :mad: V-Neck was the name of the horse that beat it, a very good jumper might back him the next day ;)


  • Registered Users Posts: 239 ✭✭neiler987


    I went for Clothes Line in the same race, put my shirt on it, got beaten :mad: V-Neck was the name of the horse that beat it, a very good jumper might back him the next day ;)

    how do ppl know and find out that a certain horse in some races are given injections (possibly steroids) before a race ? so that they ll win .. seemingly without the bookies or very few ppl knowing about it ???


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Neiler that was only messing.

    I'm not quite sure what you're looking for here. If you're looking for really good things maybe wait for in running football and do an accum of teams that are about 1/50 when 2 up or something.


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