Thunder watch - mid April 2011?

CarMuppet

Just seen Met forecast on RTE. A mention of possible thunderstorms due to warm humid south (SE) airflow. What do the experts here think?

I personally love a good light show....

EDIT: now I feel dumb.... Just seen the other thunder thread.... Sorry lads

BEASTERLY

CarMuppet wrote: »

Just seen Met forecast on RTE. A mention of possible thunderstorms due to warm humid south (SE) airflow. What do the experts here think?

I personally love a good light show....

EDIT: now I feel dumb.... Just seen the other thunder thread.... Sorry lads

It's looking good, but i would advise against any anticipation because as always only a minority if anybody will see storms this week.

Keep the fingers crossed though.

maquiladora

GFS is showing good potential for late in the week and next weekend. Worth checking back on in a couple of days.

BEASTERLY

I know this will probaly be downgraded, but talk about weather porn!!!:eek:


:D:D

Remember it's only April, a good omen for June/July.

highdef

Netweather radar is showing extensive and fairly heavy showers currently over the wicklow mountains and also a lightish shower that has been sitting over the Dunshaughlin/Rathoath area for the past hour or so. Are these false readings?

rc28

highdef wrote: »

Netweather radar is showing extensive and fairly heavy showers currently over the wicklow mountains and also a lightish shower that has been sitting over the Dunshaughlin/Rathoath area for the past hour or so. Are these false readings?

We had a very light shower about 10 mins ago - didn't even wet the ground.

highdef

That particular shower has almost fizzed out now, rc28. The other band (if it's real) is currently stretching in a line from just south east of Naas all the way out to see through Arklow. Might be dodgy returns though. Anyone see any nasty looking clouds out that way?

Iancar29

BEASTERLY wrote: »

I know this will probaly be downgraded, but talk about weather porn!!!:eek:


:D:D

Remember it's only April, a good omen for June/July.

Havent seen something like that in ages! , dam u folks out WESHT! * shakes fist*

haha

maquiladora

BEASTERLY wrote: »

I know this will probaly be downgraded, but talk about weather porn!!!:eek:

GFS has already downgraded those CAPE figures... :P

Just to compare the storms we get here to the storms over in the US, if you look at the scale on the Netweather chart there, it tops out at a max of 3,000 j/kg. The SPC forecast for tomorrow says that CAPE figures "should easily exceed 3000 j/kg".

Seriously jealous of Ian going over to chase those storms!

BEASTERLY

maquiladora wrote: »

GFS has already downgraded those CAPE figures... :P

Ah well, for us in the east its the potential over the uk we need to watch as imported storms are our only hope!

Iancar29

maquiladora wrote: »

Seriously jealous of Ian going over to chase those storms!

Lets just hope i picked the right time to go! ....

highdef

highdef wrote: »

That particular shower has almost fizzed out now, rc28. The other band (if it's real) is currently stretching in a line from just south east of Naas all the way out to see through Arklow. Might be dodgy returns though. Anyone see any nasty looking clouds out that way?

yes,it got very black,just off the coast of arklow today,I was looking at it and wondering what was going on as I wasn't expecting showers.
It stayed off the coast in my area but we could see the black,it looked heavy!

Birdnuts

This setup is perfect for serious ALtocumulus Castellanus storms in the West of the country - Mayo being a prime spot given my several years experience of living in Erris under such set-ups(humid SEasterly drift interacting with Sea breeze fronts = weather dynamite!!!:D)

lolie

BEASTERLY wrote: »

I know this will probaly be downgraded, but talk about weather porn!!!:eek:


:D:D

Remember it's only April, a good omen for June/July.

Whats the link for this chart?

highdef

Still looking great for Sunday evening but more so for the east midlands now:

maquiladora

Yeah, 0Z GFS is showing thundery potential is possible from Thursday through to next Monday.

plein de force

I want there to either be huge thunderstorms or just leave it nice, clear and sunny.

Nothing worse than a gloomy day in exchange for one clap of thunder

BEASTERLY

lolie wrote: »

Whats the link for this chart?

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=nwdc;sess=

BEASTERLY

Downgrades galore in the CAPE and LI values on the last run, potential still there though.

maquiladora

BEASTERLY wrote: »

Downgrades galore in the CAPE and LI values on the last run, potential still there though.

That will chop and change on each run though. There is potential there for thundery showers in places on the 06Z GFS for everyday from Thursday to next Tueday.

maquiladora

Could be a few booms and flashes later today, especially in Western areas.

After today though, its not looking very good for thundery potential on the latest GFS...

lolie

BEASTERLY wrote: »

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=nwdc;sess=

Thanks for that. Not much hope after tomorrow.

thebiglewbowski

Yea, massive downgrade for the weekend. was always too good to be true :rolleyes:

dexter647

Yea big let down alright but hopefully a long hot summer ahead, with might i add many a spanish plume:D:D

Su Campu

A nice pulse storm is giving a few flashes in western Connemara this evening.

snaps

Yes there has been some rumbles heard here. It looks very heavy out towards the mountains.

IMBACKLATER

spectacular lightning across west mayo this evening, near louisburgh, looked very dramatic as it moved out into the ocean, drifting out now past clare island , it was awesome,

IMBACKLATER

thunderstorm approaching

IMBACKLATER

pauldry

Yeah met eireann are reporting RECENT THUNDER from their Belmullet station

Oscar Bravo

Looking towards the NW from Castlebar i can see the flashes of lightening from that storm.Just saw one there.Way in the distance but nice to see.