Fursttimer's Sports Betting Log

Fursttimer

Setting this log up to help me track my bets. Hopefully select some winning picks along the way

Bet 1

Sevilla v Villarreal (Sevilla to score 2 or more goals) 4/5 (sbet) 3pt win

Sevilla have won 10 of their last 11 home games v Villarreal scoring 2 or more goals on 8 occasions

Fursttimer

Bet 2 (baseball)

2pt double @ 2.27/1

braves @ giants (giants) 5/7

sanchez (giants) has a disappointing 1-3 v the braves but with the mediocre brandon beachy on the mound for the visitors, a home win for the 2010 world series champions looks nailed on

red sox @ angels (run total over 9) 10/11

winds are blowing out to left field at 15-20 mph which makes this match a hitters haven. two average pitchers on the mound should result in plenty of runs

Fursttimer

Fursttimer wrote: »

Setting this log up to help me track my bets. Hopefully select some winning picks along the way

Bet 1

Sevilla v Villarreal (Sevilla to score 2 or more goals) 4/5 (sbet) 3pt win

Sevilla have won 10 of their last 11 home games v Villarreal scoring 2 or more goals on 8 occasions

Good start. 2-0 after 15 minutes

Hopefully a sign of things to come

Vurnon San Benito

Best of luck sir

Fursttimer

Fursttimer wrote: »

Bet 1

Sevilla v Villarreal (Sevilla to score 2 or more goals) 4/5 (sbet) 3pt win

Sevilla have won 10 of their last 11 home games v Villarreal scoring 2 or more goals on 8 occasions

Bet 1 = WIN (+2.4pts)

Fursttimer wrote: »

Bet 2 (baseball)

2pt double @ 2.27/1

braves @ giants (giants) 5/7

sanchez (giants) has a disappointing 1-3 v the braves but with the mediocre brandon beachy on the mound for the visitors, a home win for the 2010 world series champions looks nailed on

red sox @ angels (run total over 9) 10/11

winds are blowing out to left field at 15-20 mph which makes this match a hitters haven. two average pitchers on the mound should result in plenty of runs

Bet 2 = LOSS (-2pts)

Overall profit: +0.4pts more bets to follow..

Fursttimer

Bet 3 (football)

1pt accum @ 10.5/1

Crystal Place v Leeds (Leeds to score over 1.5 goals) 6/5

M'boro v Coventry (M'boro to score over 1.5 goals) evens

Norwich v Derby (Norwich to score over 1.5 goals) 4/9

QPR v Hull (QPR to score over 1.5 goals) 4/5

quiz

Whats your record with one team to score 2 or more?

which bookie is good for this market?

fkiely

Good luck with this fella, good to see you get off to a good start.

Fursttimer

quiz wrote: »

Whats your record with one team to score 2 or more?

which bookie is good for this market?

I do okay mate.

The majority of my bets on this market are doubles and trebles. Doubles or trebles can consist of two teams to score 2 or more and/or mixed with teams to score 3 or more.

Paddy P offer this market on a wide range of leagues (european included), while B'sports would only tend to offer it on Prem League and Championship and Champions League. B'sports odds are usually far better than PP.

Bet 365, Skybet and VCbet are generally well priced also. B365 would offer the best odds all round. Betfair also have select leagues that offer the bet too.

I prefer to place a bet on a team to score 2 or more goals rather than fixed match odds. Usually you would get a better price on 2 or more goals and the majority of the time the team you bet on would need to score that many to win. Betting 2 or more goals takes away the actual result so I feel I have an edge especially with plenty of firms pricing the market up nowadays. I do get carried away and place 4 and 5 team accums quite regular. It's quite fustrating because you will find 1 goal letting you down time and time again but when they cop the returns are good.

Fursttimer

Fursttimer wrote: »

Bet 3 (football)

1pt accum @ 10.5/1

Crystal Place v Leeds (Leeds to score over 1.5 goals) 6/5

M'boro v Coventry (M'boro to score over 1.5 goals) evens

Norwich v Derby (Norwich to score over 1.5 goals) 4/9

QPR v Hull (QPR to score over 1.5 goals) 4/5

Bet 3 = LOSS

Overall profit/loss: -0.4pts

x PyRo

Best of luck with the thread Sir. Hope all goes to plan.

Fursttimer

Bet 4 (football)

Real Zaragoza v Almeria (Real Zaragoza to score over 2.5 goals) 10/3 (sjames) 1pt win

Zaragoza had one of the worst home records in la liga but 3 straight wins (scored 2 or more goals v Getafe and Bilbao and 4 v Valencia) has propelled them up the table and they now look for 3pts that would take them within touching distance of safety. Almeria are nestled at the foot of la liga, 6 points behind Hercules and it's no wonder considering they are leaking goals left right and centre. If Zaragoza open the scoring, I can see Almeria throwing in the towel and conceding that their season is all but over.

jive

Good luck dude I'll be keeping an eye on your golfing bets if you make any in here!!

Fursttimer

Fursttimer wrote: »

Bet 4 (football)

Real Zaragoza v Almeria (Real Zaragoza to score over 2.5 goals) 10/3 (sjames) 1pt win

Zaragoza had one of the worst home records in la liga but 3 straight wins (scored 2 or more goals v Getafe and Bilbao and 4 v Valencia) has propelled them up the table and they now look for 3pts that would take them within touching distance of safety. Almeria are nestled at the foot of la liga, 6 points behind Hercules and it's no wonder considering they are leaking goals left right and centre. If Zaragoza open the scoring, I can see Almeria throwing in the towel and conceding that their season is all but over.

Bet 4 = LOSS

Overall profit/loss: -1.4pts

time to kick this losing streak into touch

Fursttimer

Bet 5 (football)

Stoke v Wolves (Stoke to score over 1.5 goals) evens 3pt win

Wolves have conceded 2 or more goals in 11 of their 16 away games in the Premier League this season, it's no wonder they are the worst away team in the league. Stoke are unbeaten in 9 home games, scoring over 1.5 goals in six of them.

Wolves are without Elokobi, Ebanks-Blake and Doyle. The latter gives Wolves a breather and possession in the opposition half by holding the ball up and bringing play further up the field. With his absence, Wolves will have to defend on the back foot constantly and I'll be hugely surprised if Stoke don't dominate in the oppositions half and score at least twice.

Fursttimer

Fursttimer wrote: »

Bet 5 (football)

Stoke v Wolves (Stoke to score over 1.5 goals) evens 3pt win

Wolves have conceded 2 or more goals in 11 of their 16 away games in the Premier League this season, it's no wonder they are the worst away team in the league. Stoke are unbeaten in 9 home games, scoring over 1.5 goals in six of them.

Wolves are without Elokobi, Ebanks-Blake and Doyle. The latter gives Wolves a breather and possession in the opposition half by holding the ball up and bringing play further up the field. With his absence, Wolves will have to defend on the back foot constantly and I'll be hugely surprised if Stoke don't dominate in the oppositions half and score at least twice.

Stoke 2-0 up at half-time . Finished 3-0. Actually should be 5pt win as I had €50 on it but I'll leave it at 3pts as stated

Bet 5 = WIN

Overall profit/loss: +1.6pts

Fursttimer

Bet 6 (football)

Fulham v Bolton (card index over 40pts) 7/5 2pt win

Ref Anthony Taylor has shown 5 or more yellow cards in 5 of his last 6 matches. He's no stranger to showing red cards either. Odds on offer look great value

Fursttimer

Bet 7 (golf)

Zurich Classic - Top 20 Finish (D.A. Points) 9/2 1pt win

Points' game is in great shape this year. He's a bermuda grass specialist and makes lots of birdies

Bet 8 (golf)

Zurich Classic - Top 20 Finish (Dean Wilson) 8/1 1pt win

Wilson has made 25 top-25 finishes on bermuda grass during his PGA Tour career. He hits lots of greens and is a good putter

Fursttimer

Fursttimer wrote: »

Bet 6 (football)

Fulham v Bolton (card index over 40pts) 7/5 2pt win

Ref Anthony Taylor has shown 5 or more yellow cards in 5 of his last 6 matches. He's no stranger to showing red cards either. Odds on offer look great value

Bet 6 = LOSS

Overall profit/loss: -0.4pts

frat

Did PaddyPower give you the flick?

Fursttimer

Fursttimer wrote: »

Bet 7 (golf)

Zurich Classic - Top 20 Finish (D.A. Points) 9/2 1pt win

Points' game is in great shape this year. He's a bermuda grass specialist and makes lots of birdies

Bet 8 (golf)

Zurich Classic - Top 20 Finish (Dean Wilson) 8/1 1pt win

Wilson has made 25 top-25 finishes on bermuda grass during his PGA Tour career. He hits lots of greens and is a good putter

D.A. Points (-3) tied 27th at the halfway stage while Dean Wilson sits tied 4th on -7

frat

frat wrote: »

Did PaddyPower give you the flick?

Why did you remove your reply?

Fursttimer

Bet 9 (football)

1.5pt accum @ 10/1

Hull v Crystal Palace (Hull to score over 1.5 goals) 11/10

Palace have conceded a total of 44 goals on the road and over 1.5 in 13 of their 22 away games. Hull have scored 9 in their last 5 games

Hannover v Monchengladbach (Hannover to score over 1.5 goals) 4/7

Hannover have scored over 1.5 goals in 11 of their 15 home games and are up against a side that's conceded over 1.5 goals in 9 of their 15 away games

FC Koln v Bayer Leverkusen (Bayer Leverkusen to score over 1.5 goals) 4/6

Koln have conceded 2 or more goals in 18 of their 31 games while Leverkusen have scorerd 2 or more in 21 of their 31 games

Derby v Bristol City (Derby to score over 1.5 goals)

Derby have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 8 Championship games

Fursttimer

Fursttimer wrote: »

Bet 9 (football)

1.5pt accum @ 10/1

Hull v Crystal Palace (Hull to score over 1.5 goals) 11/10

Palace have conceded a total of 44 goals on the road and over 1.5 in 13 of their 22 away games. Hull have scored 9 in their last 5 games

Hannover v Monchengladbach (Hannover to score over 1.5 goals) 4/7

Hannover have scored over 1.5 goals in 11 of their 15 home games and are up against a side that's conceded over 1.5 goals in 9 of their 15 away games

FC Koln v Bayer Leverkusen (Bayer Leverkusen to score over 1.5 goals) 4/6

Koln have conceded 2 or more goals in 18 of their 31 games while Leverkusen have scorerd 2 or more in 21 of their 31 games

Derby v Bristol City (Derby to score over 1.5 goals)

Derby have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 8 Championship games

Bet 9 = LOSS

Overall profit/loss: -1.9pts

Fursttimer

Bet 10 (football)

1pt accum @ 10.5/1

Arsenal v Man Utd (Arsenal to score over 1.5 goals) 6/4

Malaga v Hercules (Malaga to score over 1.5 goals) 8/11

Man City v West Ham (Man City to score over 1.5 goals) 4/9

Villarreal v Getafe (Villarreal to score over 1.5 goals) 5/6

Fursttimer

Bet 11 (golf)

Zurich Classic

Joe Durant 66/1 0.5pt win

Durant has won 4 PGA Tour titles when entering the final round within 5 shots of the lead

Fursttimer

Fursttimer wrote: »

Bet 10 (football)

1pt accum @ 10.5/1

Arsenal v Man Utd (Arsenal to score over 1.5 goals) 6/4

Malaga v Hercules (Malaga to score over 1.5 goals) 8/11

Man City v West Ham (Man City to score over 1.5 goals) 4/9

Villarreal v Getafe (Villarreal to score over 1.5 goals) 5/6

All scored 2 or more bar Arsenal

Bet 10 = LOSS

Overall profit/loss: -2.9pts

Fursttimer

Fursttimer wrote: »

Bet 7 (golf)

Zurich Classic - Top 20 Finish (D.A. Points) 9/2 1pt win

Points' game is in great shape this year. He's a bermuda grass specialist and makes lots of birdies

Bet 8 (golf)

Zurich Classic - Top 20 Finish (Dean Wilson) 8/1 1pt win

Wilson has made 25 top-25 finishes on bermuda grass during his PGA Tour career. He hits lots of greens and is a good putter

Fursttimer wrote: »

Bet 11 (golf)

Zurich Classic

Joe Durant 66/1 0.5pt win

Durant has won 4 PGA Tour titles when entering the final round within 5 shots of the lead

Bet 7 = LOSS

Bet 8 = LOSS

Bet 11 = LOSS

Overall profit/loss: -5.4pts

Fursttimer

Bet 12 (baseball)

LA Angels @ Boston Red Sox (no runs in 1st inning) 4/5 3pt win

Fursttimer

Fursttimer wrote: »

Bet 12 (baseball)

LA Angels @ Boston Red Sox (no runs in 1st inning) 4/5 3pt win

Miraculously the red sox managed to get a run in the bottom of the 1st :mad:

Bet 12 = LOSS

Overall profit/loss: -8.4pts

Fursttimer

Bet 12 (golf)

Wells Fargo

I posted my picks in the Quail Hollow thread but have fell out of favour with one or two of them and confident on the quartet I've settled on now so deciding to post them up here. Reasoning will follow later tonight along with selections from the other markets

Martin Kaymer (18/1) 1pt win

Played great at this course on his only appearance in 2009. In my opinion, the best golfer in the game right now. Shouldn't be 8/1 let alone 18's

Justin Rose (55/1) 1pt e/w

Stats are usually misconceived in golf but one that isn't is bogey avoidance. Rose is high on the list in that department and despite having a dreadful record here from 4 appearances, prior to last week's missed cut, Rose's golf game is in exceptional shape

Gary Woodland (85/1) 1pt e/w

Good bogey avoidance stats. Has the game to dominate the par 5's and his golf game is top notch this year

Heath Slocum (300/1) 0.5pt win

Hits lot of fairways and greens which is a big advantage at Quail Hollow. His scrambling is pretty good too. His game ticks all the boxes for this course and from 7 appearances here he has a very respectable scoring average of 71.75 (Mickelson 70.39)