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The Return of the Messiah

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  • 26-04-2011 1:34am
    #1
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭


    Certainly wasn't a Messiah but it had a nice ring to it. :p

    Anyway, after a dreadful end to a somewhat profitable thread I have decided to give this another go.

    Hopefully the fresh start will generate some luck, I am currently working on something for the weekend which should be up in the next few days.

    Glad to see some old faces and new profitable logs, long may it continue fellow gamblers :)

    Denners


«1345

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    #2
    Vurnon San Benito
    Registered Users Posts: 3,979 ✭✭✭Vurnon San Benito


    Denners.ie wrote: »
    Certainly wasn't a Messiah but it had a nice ring to it. :p

    Anyway, after a dreadful end to a somewhat profitable thread I have decided to give this another go.

    Hopefully the fresh start will generate some luck, I am currently working on something for the weekend which should be up in the next few days.

    Glad to see some old faces and new profitable logs, long may it continue fellow gamblers :)

    Denners

    Coughlan? :eek:


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    #3
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    Doocey wrote: »
    Coughlan? :eek:

    Ah jaysus Doocey don't curse the log already :rolleyes:

    And just so there is no misunderstanding no I'm not Coughlan! http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055899311


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    #4
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Good luck Denners.
    Why the new account?


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    #5
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    Thanks greetings/Urban Sea, good to see your still around and making a bit of coin for yourself. :)

    I just wanted to start fresh and keep this account for the log, hopefully it will bring some luck.


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    #6
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Fair enough my dear fellow. Hopefully there's a few quid to be earned.


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    #7
    quiz
    Registered Users Posts: 114 ✭✭quiz


    So whats your previous account name?


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    #8
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Denners!


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    #9
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    Thanks Mike.

    Pyro can cross-reference the IP's for those of you that think I'm Coughlan :pac:


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    #10
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,965 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    You can spell and use punctuation, therefore you definitely aren't Coughlan!:D


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    #11
    jive
    Registered Users Posts: 5,762 ✭✭✭jive


    Gavin shels wrote: »
    You can spelt and use punctuation, therefore you definitely aren't Coughlan!:D

    Oh he can spelt alright


    :P


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    #12
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,965 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    jive wrote: »
    Oh he can spelt alright


    :P
    It's spell not spelt :S ?


    Look at my edit reason btw! ;)


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    #13
    jive
    Registered Users Posts: 5,762 ✭✭✭jive


    Gavin shels wrote: »
    It's spell not spelt :S ?


    Look at my edit reason btw! ;)

    :pac: All the banter comes out in Coughlan threads!! We welcome your return Coughlan08!!


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    #14
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    jive wrote: »
    :pac: All the banter comes out in Coughlan threads!! We welcome your return Coughlan08!!

    Not even a bet placed and there is already vicious rumours circulating over my identity :pac:

    Serious craic all the same :D

    (Edit) I have given my OP the seal of approval for the naysayers ;)


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    #15
    x PyRo
    Moderators Posts: 8,719 ✭✭✭x PyRo


    Welcome back mate. Glad to have you here again. No more Cygnet's I hope! :pac:


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    #16
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    x PyRo wrote: »
    Welcome back mate. Glad to have you here again. No more Cygnet's I hope! :pac:

    Thanks Pyro.

    Ah for every Cygnet there is a Canford Cliffs :pac: On that note it should be interesting if he comes up against Goldikova sometime this year.


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    #17
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    Alright gentlemen it is time to start making some coin. :)

    I thought I would have a few bets for the weekend but it is proving to be more difficult than I thought, might have 1 or 2 for tomorrow.

    Anyway, just something small for today.

    Perth, 17:10 -Trendelenburg (5/4)

    There is a question mark over the distance and ground, but I can't see any real danger in the field. A lot of horses with question marks surrounding them but if this fella takes well to the conditions he is definitely the one to beat.

    Bank: €100

    Stake: €10


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    #18
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    Only pennies but it was nice to start off with a winner :) Great ride by Callum Whillans.

    However, my previous log started off well but ended disastrously, hopefully the omens aren't bad for this one :pac:

    Bank: €112.50


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    #19
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    Not enough value in what I was initially planning so I have decided to steer clear. Just a treble at the moment.

    Jose Aldo
    Lyoto Machida
    Jake Ellenberger

    Works out at just under 6/4.

    Bank: €112.50

    Stake: €50


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    #20
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    John Higgins (6/4 In-running)

    Only took it around 3/4 minutes ago and it has gone into 11/10 now.

    Bank: €62.50

    Stake: €12.50


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    #21
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    16:55 Newbury, Cai Shen (4/1)

    Hamlool's 2nd to Dubawi Gold looks solid after his run earlier in the Guineas but this fella has an impressive turn of foot. Not sure how good he is but HAnnon and Hughes are lethal here.

    Bank: €50

    Stake: €5 e/w


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    #22
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    Denners.ie wrote: »
    16:55 Newbury, Cai Shen (4/1)

    Hamlool's 2nd to Dubawi Gold looks solid after his run earlier in the Guineas but this fella has an impressive turn of foot. Not sure how good he is but HAnnon and Hughes are lethal here.

    Bank: €50

    Stake: €5 e/w

    Was beaten by a Godolphin and better horse, 2nd. E/w @ 4/1 got my money back.

    Bank: €50


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    #23
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    Denners.ie wrote: »
    John Higgins (6/4 In-running)

    Only took it around 3/4 minutes ago and it has gone into 11/10 now.

    Bank: €62.50

    Stake: €12.50

    Win

    Bank: €81.25


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    #24
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    Already have €50 in-play so just a very small bet on Lyoto Machida to win on points or KO. (4/7)

    Bank: € 81.25

    Stake: € 11.25


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    #25
    quiz
    Registered Users Posts: 114 ✭✭quiz


    Your betting above a full kelly stake.

    even if every bet you place has value you will lose in the long run. It may be the reason for the end of the last log.

    how do you find pricing up multiple sports?


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    #26
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    quiz wrote: »
    Your betting above a full kelly stake.

    even if every bet you place has value you will lose in the long run. It may be the reason for the end of the last log.

    how do you find pricing up multiple sports?

    Nice to see my log will lose in the long run, cheers for the heads up.

    I take my bets on confidence really, if you want me to explain all my bets in detail so far I can.

    I think the the reason my last log ended was because I bet everything on one event, up until that I think I was around 300% + up on my initial bank.


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    #27
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    Denners.ie wrote: »
    Not enough value in what I was initially planning so I have decided to steer clear. Just a treble at the moment.

    Jose Aldo
    Lyoto Machida
    Jake Ellenberger

    Works out at just under 6/4.

    Bank: €112.50

    Stake: €50

    Win
    Denners.ie wrote: »
    Already have €50 in-play so just a very small bet on Lyoto Machida to win on points or KO. (4/7)

    Bank: € 81.25

    Stake: € 11.25

    Win

    A good 2 days really, have already turned over 100% profit on my initial bank.

    No. of Bets Placed: 5
    Win: 4
    Push: 1 ( Second place horse e/w, money returned)
    Lose: 0
    Profit: €109.49 +

    Bank: €209.49


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    #28
    quiz
    Registered Users Posts: 114 ✭✭quiz


    Its not my personal opinion. Its the maths. Google kelly criterion.


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    #29
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    quiz wrote: »
    Its not my personal opinion. Its the maths. Google kelly criterion.

    You obviously haven't heard of the Denners' Special which consists of making as much money as possible ;)


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    #30
    quiz
    Registered Users Posts: 114 ✭✭quiz


    Good luck.

    prebook the ferrari now as the waiting lists are long.


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    #31
    Denners.ie
    Registered Users Posts: 453 ✭✭Denners.ie


    Punchestown 18:40, Quel Esprit (10/3)

    Seems like a very open day of racing at the festival and it is the same in this race, however after seeing how well he was travelling at Cheltenham it could be that the 3m 1f is what this horse needs. His jumping is dodgy at times and he fell in his two previous runs, but with PP refunding all losing bets on horses who fall this is worth a shot.

    Bank: €200

    Stake: €9.49


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