Thunderstorm/Convective Watch - Summer 2011

Iancar29 · 22-06-2011 9:03pm

Darwin wrote: »

Cheers Ian, I've seen the recent pics on your blog and they are just fantastic. Alas it was just a heavy shower. Some very unusual looking low level cloud which was swirling a bit before the rain arrived though.

Cheers man , if ya 'd like a copy of the dvd that im doing let me know

Rotation is quite possible , the last few days have been some good for storms like that.

redsteveireland · 23-06-2011 9:16am

Some early action in Galway/Mayo.
http://andvari.vedur.is/athuganir/eldingar/i_dag_na.html
Hope it's an indication of how the day will pan out.

gbee · 23-06-2011 9:34am

Any reliable live lightening links?

Deep Easterly · 23-06-2011 6:14pm

Violent downburst in NE Italy during a thunderstorm in June 2010 :eek:

Now that is what I call WEATHER!!

jimmynokia · 23-06-2011 6:34pm

Deep Easterly wrote: »

Violent downburst in NE Italy during a thunderstorm in June 2010 :eek:

Now that is what I call WEATHER!!

CAN we have some of that?:D

Su Campu · 23-06-2011 7:37pm

Deep Easterly wrote: »

Violent downburst in NE Italy during a thunderstorm in June 2010 :eek:

Now that is what I call WEATHER!!

Northern Italy is a great place for storm chasing, Europe's Tornado alley!

They called it an "uragano" (hurricane in Italian)....eh, I don't think so!

jimmynokia · 24-06-2011 8:26am

thunderstorms reported for Monday on weather bulletin on news this morning bring it on

Iancar29 · 24-06-2011 2:49pm

jimmynokia wrote: »

thunderstorms reported for Monday on weather bulletin on news this morning bring it on

The lads i went chasing are gettin excited about some storm potential for them MOn-TUes.... HOpefully it could be the same for us!

jimmynokia · 24-06-2011 5:16pm

Well lets see what happens i dont believe the weathermen on tv/radio i come here but its exciting news to hear lets hope it comes true.:D:D:D:D:D

jimmynokia · 24-06-2011 5:20pm

http://www.nightskyhunter.com/Sky%20Events%20Now.html

jimmynokia · 24-06-2011 5:21pm

http://www.nightskyhunter.com/images/LONEOS%20CHART-1.gif

http://www.nightskyhunter.com/images/LONEOS%20CHART-2.gif

weisses · 24-06-2011 5:45pm

Su Campu wrote: »

Northern Italy is a great place for storm chasing, Europe's Tornado alley!

Don't forget the plains of Hungary massive storms there during the summer

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o2OuUDSvC-8&feature=related

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1fFf2d7kwU&feature=related

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ph0tfV7cOgA

http://www.idokep.hu/

Great website lots of pics

Iancar29 · 24-06-2011 9:30pm

jimmynokia wrote: »

http://www.nightskyhunter.com/images/LONEOS%20CHART-1.gif

http://www.nightskyhunter.com/images/LONEOS%20CHART-2.gif

THese are the model runs the lads that i went chasing with from the UK are drooling at since this morning, 4/5 of them are goin chasing!... if only i could get a cheap flight!

jimmynokia · 24-06-2011 9:41pm

Iancar29 wrote: »

THese are the model runs the lads that i went chasing with from the UK are drooling at since this morning, 4/5 of them are goin chasing!... if only i could get a cheap flight!

so this event could be coming our way after all?

Iancar29 · 24-06-2011 9:43pm

jimmynokia wrote: »

so this event could be coming our way after all?

NO sadly not pal, just for the SE of the UK and France.

jimmynokia · 24-06-2011 9:51pm

So the weatherman on news got it wrong this morning huh

Iancar29 · 24-06-2011 9:57pm

jimmynokia wrote: »

So the weatherman on news got it wrong this morning huh

I dunno man, havent seen that, im just goin by what the models are saying.

Sure we still could get something! , just not a good as the UK or france ya know?

Iancar29 · 24-06-2011 10:08pm

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=64H_SjwLOh8

.... Made by Corkman John H.

thebiglewbowski · 25-06-2011 10:04am

That vid is too funny

Iancar29 · 25-06-2011 12:19pm

The traffic in the net weather forum for Monday-tuesday's storm potential Is crazy , as if it was snowing!!

Wish I could get there !!

Tornando9 · 25-06-2011 1:14pm

That setup is progressively moving eastwards on every run. Although CAPE and LI are off the scale there is very little LL Shear or Deep Layer Shear so not much tornadic potential yet.

Hopefully it all shifts back west on the next few runs. I'm working in London for the next few days and will have a great vantage point as i'll be commissioning a chiller on the top of a building off Bond street.

France is going to be pounded for the next few days and tennis ball sized hail should easily form as the updrafts will be faily potent.

ESTOFEX's tornadic potential charts are based on the GFS and show some excellent vorticity over france so supercell development is quite good at the moment.

Very exciting few days ahead.

Iancar29 · 25-06-2011 4:20pm

The Shear charts for France a belgium are crazy!, they could easily get some US style storms there on monday!... golf-baseball size hail!!

270057_10150295542066718_631736717_9823953_2148169_n.jpg

270057_10150295542066718_631736717_9823953_2148169_n.jpg

Like this one... hehe

jimmynokia · 25-06-2011 5:54pm

Iancar29 wrote: »

The traffic in the net weather forum for Monday-tuesday's storm potential Is crazy , as if it was snowing!!

Wish I could get there !!

any outlook on us getting some action?

jimmynokia · 25-06-2011 6:00pm

http://www.netweather.tv/strikestar/strikestar60.png

boring:mad::mad::mad::mad::mad::mad::mad:

Iancar29 · 25-06-2011 6:09pm

jimmynokia wrote: »

any outlook on us getting some action?

If anything maybe a chance of a rumble on MOnday... i wouldnt get my hopes up though....

Latest CAPE chart For +48hrs... THis is shockin!! , London feckers!
index.php?app=core&module=attach&section=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=119158

index.php?app=core&module=attach&section=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=119158

jimmynokia · 25-06-2011 6:14pm

possibly where is MT cranium with his thoughts anyhow we will keep checking up

BEASTERLY · 25-06-2011 6:47pm

Iancar29 wrote: »

If anything maybe a chance of a rumble on MOnday... i wouldnt get my hopes up though....

Latest CAPE chart For +48hrs... THis is shockin!! , London feckers!

Serious downgrade for the se of the uk though in the last couple of runs though.

Hal1 · 25-06-2011 7:45pm

That would be shocking if it's to be believed. Those gfs charts chop and change on every run though. T+48 that's 8 runs so too far out to be anyway accurate.

Iancar29 · 26-06-2011 5:15pm

Met Office Forecast for the SE of England 2moro.

"Issued at - 26 Jun 2011, 12:20
Valid from - 27 Jun 2011, 15:00
Valid to - 28 Jun 2011, 12:00

Heavy showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop in places during Monday afternoon and evening, persisting through into Tuesday. These have the potential to bring localised rainfall totals of 25-50 mm in a few hours, with a risk of flash flooding and large hail.

The public are advised to take extra care, further information and advice can be found here: Issued at - 26 Jun 2011, 12:20
Valid from - 27 Jun 2011, 15:00
Valid to - 28 Jun 2011, 12:00

Heavy showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop in places during Monday afternoon and evening, persisting through into Tuesday. These have the potential to bring localised rainfall totals of 25-50 mm in a few hours, with a risk of flash flooding and large hail.

The public are advised to take extra care"

jimmynokia · 26-06-2011 6:29pm

Iancar29 wrote: »

Met Office Forecast for the SE of England 2moro.

"Issued at - 26 Jun 2011, 12:20
Valid from - 27 Jun 2011, 15:00
Valid to - 28 Jun 2011, 12:00

Heavy showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop in places during Monday afternoon and evening, persisting through into Tuesday. These have the potential to bring localised rainfall totals of 25-50 mm in a few hours, with a risk of flash flooding and large hail.

The public are advised to take extra care, further information and advice can be found here: Issued at - 26 Jun 2011, 12:20
Valid from - 27 Jun 2011, 15:00
Valid to - 28 Jun 2011, 12:00

Heavy showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop in places during Monday afternoon and evening, persisting through into Tuesday. These have the potential to bring localised rainfall totals of 25-50 mm in a few hours, with a risk of flash flooding and large hail.

The public are advised to take extra care"

that better take care our direction

Thunderstorm/Convective Watch - Summer 2011

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