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World Cup 2014 Qualification

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,516 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    No Paraguay this time. Not sure they'll be missed.

    I thought they were fine last time, drew with Italy and beat Slovakia, then won on penalties in an admittedly dreadful game against Japan before giving Spain a right scare in the quarter final (missed a penalty to take the lead I think).
    I always associate Ecuador as being the dourest of the South American teams and Paraguay as being 'middling' on the entertainment scale.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,406 ✭✭✭✭LuckyLloyd


    So with 31 teams in the finals and baring something strange happing in Uruguay tonight you can say they are there too.

    Full list of teams in

    AFC
    Iran
    South Korea
    Japan
    Australia

    CAF
    Algeria
    Ivory Coast
    Nigeria
    Cameroon
    Ghana

    CONCACAF
    USA
    Costa Rica
    Honduras
    Mexico

    CONMEBOL
    Brazil
    Argentina
    Colombia

    Chile
    Ecuador
    Uruguay

    OFC

    UEFA
    Belgium

    Italy
    Germany
    Holland
    Switzerland
    Russia
    Bosnia and Herzegovina
    England
    Spain
    Portugal
    France
    Greece
    Croatia

    Teams in bold are top seeds according to the latest FIFA Rankings.

    If Uruguay do manage to mess up tonight they will be replaced in the Seeding with Holland

    World Cup Power Rankings:

    1. Brazil (Hosts, Confed Cup impressive)
    2. Spain (Evil Empire)
    3. Argentina (Home Continent, Messi)
    4. Germany (Never count out, etc)
    5. Columbia (Dark horses)
    6. Italy (Solid)
    7. Portugal (Ronaldo)
    8. Holland (More talented than Portugal or Italy but it's Holland)
    9. France (On paper they have to be top 10 imo)
    10. Uruguay (As per France)
    11. Ivory Coast (The best African side by a distance with one of the best players in the tournament)
    12. England (This seems an appropriate ranking)
    13. Belgium (I don't buy the hype)
    14. Switzerland (People will argue all of the remaining European teams higher than I've placed them for sure)
    15. USA (Maybe a bit high? But breezed through qualifying)
    16. Chile
    17. Bosnia & Herzegovina
    18. Russia
    19. Cameroon (Have a decent spine, could get out of their group with the right draw)
    20. Greece
    21. South Korea (Best of Asia imo)
    22. Croatia
    23. Australia
    24. Ecuador
    25. Japan
    26. Mexico (Dreadful qualifying campaign)
    27. Iran
    28. Nigeria (Looked very limited in Confed Cup and against Ethiopia in the playoffs)
    29. Algeria (People like to rate African sides higher, but record don't lie)
    30. Ghana
    31. Costa Rica (Record against the other two qualifiers from this region)
    32. Honduras


    What do people think themselves?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,690 ✭✭✭✭Skylinehead


    LuckyLloyd wrote: »
    World Cup Power Rankings:

    1. Brazil (Hosts, Confed Cup impressive)
    2. Spain (Evil Empire)
    3. Argentina (Home Continent, Messi)
    4. Germany (Never count out, etc)
    5. Columbia (Dark horses)
    6. Italy (Solid)
    7. Portugal (Ronaldo)
    8. Holland (More talented than Portugal or Italy but it's Holland)
    9. France (On paper they have to be top 10 imo)
    10. Uruguay (As per France)
    11. Ivory Coast (The best African side by a distance with one of the best players in the tournament)
    12. England (This seems an appropriate ranking)
    13. Belgium (I don't buy the hype)
    14. Switzerland (People will argue all of the remaining European teams higher than I've placed them for sure)
    15. USA (Maybe a bit high? But breezed through qualifying)
    16. Chile
    17. Bosnia & Herzegovina
    18. Russia
    19. Cameroon (Have a decent spine, could get out of their group with the right draw)
    20. Greece
    21. South Korea (Best of Asia imo)
    22. Croatia
    23. Australia
    24. Ecuador
    25. Japan
    26. Mexico (Dreadful qualifying campaign)
    27. Iran
    28. Nigeria (Looked very limited in Confed Cup and against Ethiopia in the playoffs)
    29. Algeria (People like to rate African sides higher, but record don't lie)
    30. Ghana
    31. Costa Rica (Record against the other two qualifiers from this region)
    32. Honduras


    What do people think themselves?
    I think Germany can do it this time around, but there's always that nagging doubt that a European team has never won it in South America...


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,385 ✭✭✭Nerdlingr


    Would love to see Germany win it actually. Think they deserve it after all these years of coming close in the Euros/WC...they play some great stuff.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 54,652 ✭✭✭✭Headshot


    I would have Chile in the top 10 myself. They were brilliant in the qualifiers . Great team spirit and great manager.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,652 ✭✭✭I am pie


    Headshot wrote: »
    I would have Chile in the top 10 myself. They were brilliant in the qualifiers . Great team spirit and great manager.

    I don't know what qualifiers you were watching, but Chile are not the team I would identify as brilliant in CONMEBOL. Argentina and Colombia were both better in the qualifiers. They lost 6 games, 1 more than both of Uruguay and Venezuela. Colombia beat them 3-1 in Chile, Argentina beat them in Chile (it wasn't as close as the 2-1 scoreline suggests).

    They have been good, but not brilliant. Argentina were pretty commanding in a very tough group, Colombia have played some great football and look in very good shape. Chile have had a good campaign but really did have to fight off strong competition from Ecuador and Uruguay who lost less games. Uruguay drew a lot of stupid games(having beaten chile 4-0 in Montevideo on the way) when they were in control. I believe they'll outshine Chile in the World Cup as they have a knack of winning games they need to do. Argentina have legitimate claims of anywhere between 1st to 4th, Colombia might actually surprise this year where Brazil might disappoint, can see them falling out at the Q/F stage. Ecuador won't do much.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,652 ✭✭✭I am pie


    ps...Paraguay are and always have been one of the least entertaining sides in South America. They have a reputation in the region of being defensive, packing the midfield and not being particularly progressive. Awful side, glad they struggled.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 54,652 ✭✭✭✭Headshot


    That is so harsh on a team that came 3rd place and only 4points behind the leaders Argentina. Who be the way are a superb team but they will get killed in the defence. Garay is an accident waiting to happen.

    We shall see who goes further, Chile or Colombia.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,775 ✭✭✭✭kfallon


    When is the draw for the Groups, is it usually first Saturday in December?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,276 ✭✭✭batistuta9


    kfallon wrote: »
    When is the draw for the Groups, is it usually first Saturday in December?

    the 6th


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,709 ✭✭✭shrewdness


    Don't get the hate for Paraguay, I for one will miss their fans.

    paraguay_fan_larissa_riquelme_pa.jpg


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 10,469 ✭✭✭✭GTR63


    Headshot wrote: »
    I would have Chile in the top 10 myself. They were brilliant in the qualifiers . Great team spirit and great manager.

    I tipped them going in last time (under Bielsa with an exciting young team )& they let me down Big Time that summer. Great midfield options with Vidal, Pizzaro and Isla(who I still rate). Vargas seems to be improving a bit aswell, had a lot of hype going to Napoli & bar a europa league hattrick it never worked out for him. Not yet anyway....
    Headshot wrote: »
    That is so harsh on a team that came 3rd place and only 4points behind the leaders Argentina. Who be the way are a superb team but they will get killed in the defence. Garay is an accident waiting to happen.

    Garay is one of their better options then(you got Fernandez, Campagnaro, Collocini & Otamendi with him). Think they are weak in the middle of the park too Mash(if played there), Banega, Biglia & Gago. The latter 3 are as patchy as it gets


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,652 ✭✭✭I am pie


    Headshot wrote: »
    That is so harsh on a team that came 3rd place and only 4points behind the leaders Argentina. Who be the way are a superb team but they will get killed in the defence. Garay is an accident waiting to happen.

    We shall see who goes further, Chile or Colombia.

    What is harsh? Saying that they had a good campaign? Doesn't seem overly harsh, especially for a team with 6 defeats in that campaign? Is 6 defeats "brilliant" ?

    Let's see when the groups came out, Colombia were better in qualifying, clearly better, but it will depend on what groups the respective teams get.

    Argentina conceded the 2nd least goals in the Conmebol qualification (15), Colombia were excellent defensively and conceded the least (13).

    Chile? Conceded 25 goals in qualification, worse than 6th placed Venezuela and tied with 5th placed Uruguay. Again, if i picking a team to zero in on the defence, I'd probably start with Chile's leaky backline, although that is arguably due to Bielsa's tactics, which although pretty on the eye, leave them badly exposed at times.

    Any team conceding 15 goals in a 10 team group over 2 years looks reasonably solid to me. Garay has been most solid in qualification for Argentina, any doubts are around his partner Fernandez. Rodriguez at Fiorentina and Otamendi in Porto have some recent good form this year to stake claims as back up. With mascherano, banega or gago in front of them they won't be exposed. Actually, if you look along the Chile squad, what they really lack is a specialist CB pairing, both playing at a high level, i.e. not in Chile.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,652 ✭✭✭I am pie


    GTR63 wrote: »
    I tipped them going in last time (under Bielsa with an exciting young team )& they let me down Big Time that summer. Great midfield options with Vidal, Pizzaro and Isla(who I still rate). Vargas seems to be improving a bit aswell, had a lot of hype going to Napoli & bar a europa league hattrick it never worked out for him. Not yet anyway....



    Garay is one of their better options then(you got Fernandez, Campagnaro, Collocini & Otamendi with him). Think they are weak in the middle of the park too Mash(if played there), Banega, Biglia & Gago. The latter 3 are as patchy as it gets

    Gago, when fit, was very good for Argentina in qualifications, Banega was solid too. Mascherano and weak does not compute.

    Meant to say also, recently Maxi Rodriguez has been dropping back into m/f for Argentina. He has been outstanding for Newell's in that role for the last 2 seasons. Doesn't offer a lot defensively but is a such an intelligent footballer he is often under rated.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,295 ✭✭✭✭citytillidie


    batistuta9 wrote: »
    the 6th

    5pm on Friday 6th live on BBC

    ******



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,849 ✭✭✭764dak


    LuckyLloyd wrote: »
    World Cup Power Rankings:

    1. Brazil (Hosts, Confed Cup impressive)
    2. Spain (Evil Empire)
    3. Argentina (Home Continent, Messi)
    4. Germany (Never count out, etc)
    5. Columbia (Dark horses)
    6. Italy (Solid)
    7. Portugal (Ronaldo)
    8. Holland (More talented than Portugal or Italy but it's Holland)
    9. France (On paper they have to be top 10 imo)
    10. Uruguay (As per France)
    11. Ivory Coast (The best African side by a distance with one of the best players in the tournament)
    12. England (This seems an appropriate ranking)
    13. Belgium (I don't buy the hype)
    14. Switzerland (People will argue all of the remaining European teams higher than I've placed them for sure)
    15. USA (Maybe a bit high? But breezed through qualifying)
    16. Chile
    17. Bosnia & Herzegovina
    18. Russia
    19. Cameroon (Have a decent spine, could get out of their group with the right draw)
    20. Greece
    21. South Korea (Best of Asia imo)
    22. Croatia
    23. Australia
    24. Ecuador
    25. Japan
    26. Mexico (Dreadful qualifying campaign)
    27. Iran
    28. Nigeria (Looked very limited in Confed Cup and against Ethiopia in the playoffs)
    29. Algeria (People like to rate African sides higher, but record don't lie)
    30. Ghana
    31. Costa Rica (Record against the other two qualifiers from this region)
    32. Honduras


    What do people think themselves?

    There are so many things wrong with this I don't even know where to start.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,478 ✭✭✭✭gnfnrhead


    764dak wrote: »
    There are so many things wrong with this I don't even know where to start.

    How about at the top? :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,061 ✭✭✭keith16


    shrewdness wrote: »
    Don't get the hate for Paraguay, I for one will miss their fans.

    Man, I can't wait for the "Politically Incorrect, Hot Girls of the 2014 World Cup" thread.

    Think I will revisit the Euros thread later for some erm......research.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,429 ✭✭✭✭Fr Tod Umptious


    764dak wrote: »
    There are so many things wrong with this I don't even know where to start.

    Well come on, tell us what you think ?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,652 ✭✭✭I am pie


    5 is very high for Columbia
    6 is pretty high for Italy
    7 is kind of high for Portugal who but for himself would not have featured
    9 For France is nuts. Failed last world cup, almost didn't make this one. Nuts.

    Certainly would have England below Russia and Chile.

    Don't see Brazil as favourites, for me:

    Germans
    Spanish
    Argentina
    Brazil

    Can't see past zee Germans really, Spain haven't changed too much since the Euros and last W/C. Argentina have an attacking line up which would make Barca and Madrid look light in attacking options. Brazil seem to be still looking for their best team.

    Bosnia/Herz...lower for me, came through a very poor group.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,076 ✭✭✭Eathrin


    Australia are awful too, should be lower.


  • Registered Users Posts: 543 ✭✭✭CorsendonkX


    Pots should look something like this, FIFA rankings in brackets.

    Pot 1 Seeded Teams Pot 2(AFC & CONCACAF) Pot 3(CAF & CONMEBOL) Pot 4(UEFA)
    Brazil(11) USA(12) Chile(12) Netherlands(8)
    Spain(1) Mexico(24) Ivory Coast(17) Italy(8)
    Germany(2) Costa Rica(31) Ecuador(22) England(10)
    Argentina(3) Honduras(34) Ghana(23) Portugal(14)
    Colombia(4) Japan(44) Algeria(32) Greece(15)
    Belgium(5) Iran(49) Nigeria(33) Bosnia & Herzegovina(16)
    Uruguay(6) South Korea(56) Cameroon(59) Croatia(18)
    Switzerland(7) Australia(57) France(21) Russia(19)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,382 ✭✭✭✭greendom


    I am pie wrote: »
    5 is very high for Columbia
    6 is pretty high for Italy
    7 is kind of high for Portugal who but for himself would not have featured
    9 For France is nuts. Failed last world cup, almost didn't make this one. Nuts.

    Certainly would have England below Russia and Chile.

    Don't see Brazil as favourites, for me:

    Germans
    Spanish
    Argentina
    Brazil

    Can't see past zee Germans really, Spain haven't changed too much since the Euros and last W/C. Argentina have an attacking line up which would make Barca and Madrid look light in attacking options. Brazil seem to be still looking for their best team.

    Bosnia/Herz...lower for me, came through a very poor group.

    I really don't think the rating given by LuckyLoyd is that bad. When you realise that teams grouped 17 - 32 won't get past the group stage, 9 - 16 will reach the 2nd round, 5 - 8 the quarters and so on.

    I think the final will contain at least 1 South American team, I really can't see it being an all European final as you are suggesting.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,690 ✭✭✭✭Skylinehead


    Pots should look something like this, FIFA rankings in brackets.

    Pot 1 Seeded Teams Pot 2(AFC & CONCACAF) Pot 3(CAF & CONMEBOL) Pot 4(UEFA)
    Brazil(11) USA(12) Chile(12) Netherlands(8)
    Spain(1) Mexico(24) Ivory Coast(17) Italy(8)
    Germany(2) Costa Rica(31) Ecuador(22) England(10)
    Argentina(3) Honduras(34) Ghana(23) Portugal(14)
    Colombia(4) Japan(44) Algeria(32) Greece(15)
    Belgium(5) Iran(49) Nigeria(33) Bosnia & Herzegovina(16)
    Uruguay(6) South Korea(56) Cameroon(59) Croatia(18)
    Switzerland(7) Australia(57) France(21) Russia(19)
    France in the wrong place there?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,406 ✭✭✭✭LuckyLloyd


    764dak wrote: »
    There are so many things wrong with this I don't even know where to start.

    Give us your 32 so, I don't expect mine is perfect but it would be interesting to see how people go from 1 - 32.

    Bear in mind 1 - 16 is qualify from group stage.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,888 ✭✭✭Charisteas


    France in the wrong place there?

    Yep. I assume it's also a maximum of two European teams in a single group, and a maximum of one South American, North American, African, and Asian per group.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,295 ✭✭✭✭citytillidie


    France in the wrong place there?

    9 European teams unseeded 8 groups means 1 is going to be outside the European pot

    ******



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,076 ✭✭✭Eathrin


    Would they allow it if 3 European teams landed together?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,888 ✭✭✭Charisteas


    Won't they just have all 9 European teams in one pot?

    I don't think three European teams can land in the same pot. If I remember, they pick the country, and then they pick the group letter. So if a group already has two Euro teams picked from it, and another European team is drawn, then that group won't be an option.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,516 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    Charisteas wrote: »
    Won't they just have all 9 European teams in one pot?

    I don't think three European teams can land in the same group. If I remember, they pick the country, and then they pick the group letter. So if a group already has two Euro teams picked from it, and another European team is drawn, then that group won't be an option.

    As the lowest ranked Euro nation they'll be in a seperate pot, there'll only be 8 nations in the 'euro pot'.
    Btw it actually guarantees they'll be get one of the 4 groups with south americans seeds.

    Onviously FIFA could change it to put all 9 in a pot and have the last one out be the 'floater' but up to now they've said the lowest ranked will be that team.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,652 ✭✭✭I am pie


    greendom wrote: »
    I really don't think the rating given by LuckyLoyd is that bad. When you realise that teams grouped 17 - 32 won't get past the group stage, 9 - 16 will reach the 2nd round, 5 - 8 the quarters and so on.

    I think the final will contain at least 1 South American team, I really can't see it being an all European final as you are suggesting.

    Never said it was bad, just gave my thoughts on a few changes, not sure about the final, impossible to be specific so far out. Just my thoughts on ratings.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,295 ✭✭✭✭citytillidie


    Charisteas wrote: »
    Won't they just have all 9 European teams in one pot?

    I don't think three European teams can land in the same pot. If I remember, they pick the country, and then they pick the group letter. So if a group already has two Euro teams picked from it, and another European team is drawn, then that group won't be an option.

    France will be drawn into a group with either Brazil, Argentina, Colombia or Uruguay

    ******



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,888 ✭✭✭Charisteas


    Perhaps I missed the point, but does that not give France an unfair advantage as they are guaranteed to avoid Spain and Germany who are number one and two in the world?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,382 ✭✭✭✭greendom


    Charisteas wrote: »
    Perhaps I missed the point, but does that not give France an unfair advantage as they are guaranteed to avoid Spain and Germany who are number one and two in the world?

    If the tournament was being held in Europe then possibly. I think the fact that it is in South America negates that though. It also means they won't be in a group with Switzerland - the team every non pot 1 team wants to be drawn against.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,486 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    Pots should look something like this, FIFA rankings in brackets.

    Pot 1 Seeded Teams Pot 2(AFC & CONCACAF) Pot 3(CAF & CONMEBOL) Pot 4(UEFA)
    Brazil(11) USA(12) Chile(12) Netherlands(8)
    Spain(1) Mexico(24) Ivory Coast(17) Italy(8)
    Germany(2) Costa Rica(31) Ecuador(22) England(10)
    Argentina(3) Honduras(34) Ghana(23) Portugal(14)
    Colombia(4) Japan(44) Algeria(32) Greece(15)
    Belgium(5) Iran(49) Nigeria(33) Bosnia & Herzegovina(16)
    Uruguay(6) South Korea(56) Cameroon(59) Croatia(18)
    Switzerland(7) Australia(57) France(21) Russia(19)

    So the Top Seeds all look formidable (bar the Swiss), the Asian/North American pot looks weak and the other 2 pots have a high enough standard with some obvious weak spots.

    In other words there is the potential for a really horrible group and a really easy group

    e.g.

    Germany, USA, Ivory Coast, Italy
    or
    Switzerland, Honduras, Algeria, Greece


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,516 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    Pots should look something like this, FIFA rankings in brackets.

    Pot 1 Seeded Teams Pot 2(AFC & CONCACAF) Pot 3(CAF & CONMEBOL) Pot 4(UEFA)
    Brazil(11) USA(12) Chile(12) Netherlands(8)
    Spain(1) Mexico(24) Ivory Coast(17) Italy(8)
    Germany(2) Costa Rica(31) Ecuador(22) England(10)
    Argentina(3) Honduras(34) Ghana(23) Portugal(14)
    Colombia(4) Japan(44) Algeria(32) Greece(15)
    Belgium(5) Iran(49) Nigeria(33) Bosnia & Herzegovina(16)
    Uruguay(6) South Korea(56) Cameroon(59) Croatia(18)
    Switzerland(7) Australia(57) France(21) Russia(19)

    Looking at the overall FIFA October rankings the final 32 is just about as strong as it could possibly be with the highest ranked nations in each confederation nearly filling all their available places. (though obviously by definition the teams who qualified have been receiving a bump up the rankings).

    Only exceptions are Europe where non-qualifier Ukraine were ranked 13th ahead of 14th place France but seeing as France beat them directly in a play off we can't really argue.
    Then in Africa non-qualifier Mali are ranked 5th whilst Cameroon are just 10th.
    And Asia sees non-qualifier Uzbekistan 3rd ahead of 5th ranked Australia.
    Concafaf and Conmebol places are filled by their highest ranked teams.

    Should be some absolutely cracking groups with no really obvious weak links (though obviously it's inevitable that a few teams will have a mare)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,888 ✭✭✭Charisteas


    greendom wrote: »
    If the tournament was being held in Europe then possibly. I think the fact that it is in South America negates that though. It also means they won't be in a group with Switzerland - the team every non pot 1 team wants to be drawn against.

    I get the South America argument but I still think it's fairer if all 9 non-seeded European teams were in the same pot, with France having the possibility to face any of the 8 seeded teams. Then the team drawn last from this pot gets drawn into a group which hasn't already had it's 2 European team quote filled.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,097 ✭✭✭roanoke


    If FIFA believe so much in their ranking system then why not just divide the 32 teams into pots 1 to 4 based on ranking and then draw that (with group shifts where regions get over-represented?)

    So...
    Pot 1
    Brazil(11) , Spain(1) , Germany(2) , Argentina(3) , Colombia(4) , Belgium(5) , Uruguay(6) , Switzerland(7) ;

    Pot 2
    Netherlands(8) , Italy(8) , England(10) , USA(12) , Chile(12) , Portugal(14) , Greece(15) , Bosnia & Herzegovina(16) ;

    Pot 3
    Ivory Coast(17) , Croatia(18) , Russia(19) , France(21) , Ecuador(22) , Ghana(23) , Mexico(24) , Costa Rica(31) ;

    Pot 4
    Algeria(32) , Nigeria(33) , Honduras(34) , Japan(44) , Iran(49) , South Korea(56) , Australia(57) , Cameroon(59) ;

    Seems a better way to ensure more even groups (presuming of course that the FIFA rankings are indeed an accurate measurement tool - which we all of course agree that they are!).

    Besides I'm fairly certain this is actually how it used to be done? For instance at World Cup 90, iirc Ireland were '3rd' seeds (based on what exactly, I don't know) but the split was done by rating all the teams , rather than just splitting them by region.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,516 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    roanoke wrote: »
    If FIFA believe so much in their ranking system then why not just divide the 32 teams into pots 1 to 4 based ranking and then draw that (with group shifts where regions get over-represented?)

    So...


    Seems a better way to ensure more even groups (presuming of course that the FIFA rankings are indeed an accurate measurement tool - which we all of course agree that they are!).

    Besides I'm fairly certain this is actually how it used to be done? For instance at World Cup 90, iirc Ireland were '3rd' seeds (based on what exactly, I don't know) but the split was not done along rating all the teams rather than just splitting them by region.

    Nope, 1990 was regionally split as well. Can actually remember the papers explaining it that morning (though had to check wiki now for the actual details).
    Pot 1 the 6 seeds.
    Pot 2 the Top 6 ranked Europeans.
    Pot 3. Remaining 4 Europeans + 2 Conmebol (who couldn't be drawn with seeded Brazil or Arg).
    Pot 4. Africa + Asia + NorthAmerica.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 543 ✭✭✭CorsendonkX


    I suspect that the FIFA rankings under rate the Asian teams particularly Japan and ROK. Qualifying against teams way below you in the FIFA rankings, isn't going to improve your ranking. Japan did well in it's recent friendlies against the Nederlands and Belgium. 44th in the world seems harsh, perhaps more of a high 20s team?

    That said I expect Australia and Iran to be bottom of the group candidates.



    pg-74-world-cup-graphic.jpg


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,097 ✭✭✭roanoke


    Nope, 1990 was regionally split as well. Can actually remember the papers explaining it that morning (though had to check wiki now for the actual details).
    Pot 1 the 6 seeds.
    Pot 2 the Top 6 ranked Europeans.
    Pot 3. Remaining 4 Europeans + 2 Conmebol (who couldn't be drawn with seeded Brazil or Arg).
    Pot 4. Africa + Asia + NorthAmerica.

    Hmm, I see what you're saying but I'm still not sure about that one tbh. I even see the seedings/groupings section on wiki that I think you're referring to and yes they are exactly as I remember them also.

    However. I do remember that there was a very clear distinction made at the time between 'pot 2' , 'pot 3' and 'pot 4'. For instance 'pot 4' was very much 'pot *rank = 4*' and not 'the CAF/AFC/CONCACAF pot'. Likewise 'pot 2' was 'pot *rank = 2*' and not 'the UEFA pot'ete etc. Maybe that was just a media thing I picked up on though, rather than any official wording from FIFA?

    I'd love to seem some definitive writings on how exactly those teams were ranked/grouped and whether regionally based or whether the teams were sliced up into 4 groups largely along some sort of perceived quality line. Maybe it was just a very arbitrary thing though? For instance I read that England weren't actually a seed but were swapped with Spain so that FIFA could contain England and their fans in Sardinia.

    The only official article I could find was one that gave a single sentence that said that teams were ranked according to their performances at WC82 and WC86. However that then that makes me wonder why Netherlands (clearly one of the top teams on paper) just 'happened' to be the team in Pot#2 when they (just every other Euro team in pot 3) failed to qualify for WC82 and WC86?

    However, all that said, since I've nothing to dispute your point so I'll accept what you're saying is correct. :D


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,097 ✭✭✭roanoke


    I suspect that the FIFA rankings under rate the Asian teams particularly Japan and ROK. Qualifying against teams way below you in the FIFA rankings, isn't going to improve your ranking.

    I agree with that. Just at a a glance, there seems to be some major flaw in the FIFA rankings atm whereby federations who apply a protracted series of games against the all* the best in their fed (i.e. CONMEBOL and CONCACAF) seem to be getting a boost in the FIFA rankings. Then again, maybe their standard is just rising across the board as a result of playing better teams more regularly.

    * = except Brazil


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,888 ✭✭✭Charisteas


    In true Fifa style, they seem to change the system every time. Depending on the circumstances I suppose but it does seem to have changed every time since 1994 used the same format as 1990 -

    In 2010, there were 8 non-seeded European teams, so it was easy to divide the teams into the four equal pots -

    f1egeg.jpg


    In 2006 when there was 9 non seeded European, as we have now for 2014, they placed Serbia and Montenegro (European team with lowest world ranking) in a 'special pot'.

    30rmy3q.jpg


    For 2002, all 11 non-seeded European teams were together in one pot -

    t71gqw.jpg


    In 1998, when 6 out of the 8 seeded teams were European anyway, all the 9 non seeded European teams were in the same pot.

    2zoknea.jpg


    In 1994, pretty much kept to the same format as 1990. It was 4 pots of 6, with non seeded European teams split into two groups with the two Asian countries (whereas in 1990 it was two South Americans). Ireland, Italy, and Norway ended up in the same group, it was before the rule of a maximum of two Europeans teams in a group.

    e0jq8k.jpg


    And 1990 the non seeded European teams were split into two groups with the two non seeded South American teams, to create 4 pots of 6 teams. Before the days of two European teams in a group, obviously had Ireland with England and Netherlands here.

    2ch8fmo.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,516 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    roanoke wrote: »
    Hmm, I see what you're saying but I'm still not sure about that one tbh. I even see the seedings/groupings section on wiki that I think you're referring to and yes they are exactly as I remember them also.

    However. I do remember that there was a very clear distinction made at the time between 'pot 2' , 'pot 3' and 'pot 4'. For instance 'pot 4' was very much 'pot *rank = 4*' and not 'the CAF/AFC/CONCACAF pot'. Likewise 'pot 2' was 'pot *rank = 2*' and not 'the UEFA pot'ete etc. Maybe that was just a media thing I picked up on though, rather than any official wording from FIFA?

    I'd love to seem some definitive writings on how exactly those teams were ranked/grouped and whether regionally based or whether the teams were sliced up into 4 groups largely along some sort of perceived quality line. Maybe it was just a very arbitrary thing though? For instance I read that England weren't actually a seed but were swapped with Spain so that FIFA could contain England and their fans in Sardinia.

    The only official article I could find was one that gave a single sentence that said that teams were ranked according to their performances at WC82 and WC86. However that then that makes me wonder why Netherlands (clearly one of the top teams on paper) just 'happened' to be the team in Pot#2 when they (just every other Euro team in pot 3) failed to qualify for WC82 and WC86?

    However, all that said, since I've nothing to dispute your point so I'll accept what you're saying is correct. :D

    My understanding is that the 6 seeds were arbitrarily decided on this basis, with as you said caused quite a bit of fuss over England getting the 6th spot as it was believed it was for the purposes of kettling their fans!

    But after that I'm fairly sure three pots were geographical segregation. When you think about it there was no way they could have said 'hey all you non-Euros and non-SouthAmericans, you are 4th seeds coz you is all sh1t'. (even if there would have been some truth in it!). If they were doing 4 pots of 6 on perceived quality I think they'd have made some token effort for political correctness reasons to move the African champs up to the third pot.

    I definitely agree that bits of the Irish media regarded us as being '3rd seeds', but the media is generally spectacularly terrible about understanding these draws. (It takes us internet nerds to see the underlying processes :)).


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,849 ✭✭✭764dak


    I suspect that the FIFA rankings under rate the Asian teams particularly Japan and ROK. Qualifying against teams way below you in the FIFA rankings, isn't going to improve your ranking. Japan did well in it's recent friendlies against the Nederlands and Belgium. 44th in the world seems harsh, perhaps more of a high 20s team?

    FIFA uses "Regional Strength" as a weighting for rankings. UEFA and CONMEBOL get 1, CONCACAF gets 0.88, AFC and CAF get 0.86, and OFC gets 0.85. The regional strength of both teams are averaged when calculating the points for a match. Wales and Japan currently have the same ranking. If they both played the same opponent and received the same result Wales would get more points than Japan.

    So basically European and South American teams are very overrated according to rankings.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FIFA_World_Rankings#Ranking_formula
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FIFA_World_Rankings#Current_calculation_method

    Regional strength formula is based on performance in previous 3 World Cups. The regional strength weighting is changed after every World Cup. The actual formula for regional strength was actually changed in 2010. It seemed CONMEBOL would have had a higher weighting than Europe but FIFA didn't want that.
    http://www.football-rankings.info/2011/08/confederation-weightings-one-answer.html


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,486 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    764dak wrote: »
    If they both played the same opponent and received the same result Wales would get more points than Japan.

    This sounds so wrong that I assumed it was an error on your behalf so I double checked the link and lo and behold it's not. They average the regional factor for both teams competing in the match. Surely they should just mutliply by the regional factor for the opponents. I don't understand what their own regional factor has to do with it.

    This basically acts as an artificial buffer keeping teams from the more competitive regions higher and the less competitive regions lower.


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 15,694 Mod ✭✭✭✭dfx-


    I thought they were fine last time, drew with Italy and beat Slovakia, then won on penalties in an admittedly dreadful game against Japan before giving Spain a right scare in the quarter final (missed a penalty to take the lead I think).
    I always associate Ecuador as being the dourest of the South American teams and Paraguay as being 'middling' on the entertainment scale.

    Paraguay's run between the World Cup and Copa America in 2011 was one of the least interesting teams (one Spain game aside) in a very long time for me.

    As I've said before, the Copa America semifinal between Paraguay and Venezuela was horrendous. The second half was the worst half of football I've ever seen at any level ever and probably will ever be....ever.


  • Registered Users Posts: 543 ✭✭✭CorsendonkX


    Draw Simulator, weighed so France is drawn with a South American seed thereby avoiding 3 UEFA teams in one group.

    http://ultra-zone.net/2014-FIFA-World-Cup-Group-Stage-Draws


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,516 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    As the lowest ranked Euro nation they'll be in a seperate pot, there'll only be 8 nations in the 'euro pot'.
    Btw it actually guarantees they'll be get one of the 4 groups with south americans seeds.

    Onviously FIFA could change it to put all 9 in a pot and have the last one out be the 'floater' but up to now they've said the lowest ranked will be that team.

    Seems they've gone with my idea!
    The 9 unranked European Teams will be in the same pot, and the first one drawn will be the 'floater' who gets placed in Pot 2 (the African pot).
    They will then be drawn against one of the 4 South American seeds in order to ensure a max of two Euros per group.

    http://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/article/165/9055691/how-the-world-cup-draw-works


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,888 ✭✭✭Charisteas


    Yes that's the best way to do it by far.

    Like I said a few posts back when people were speculating that France would be put in the CAF and CONMEBOL pot, having them guaranteed to avoid Spain and Germany (number 1 and 2 in the rankings) would have given them an unfair advantage. It was as if they were being rewarded for being the lowest ranking European country, it seemed backwards.

    At least this way, it's fair game.


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