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Winter 2011/2012
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Met Eireann: No indications of arctic weather this winter.
http://www.breakingnews.ie/ireland/met-eireann-no-indications-of-arctic-weather-this-winter-527688.html
Yaaaaaaaaaawnn.... doesnt mean no snow.
Either way folks....... IM goin to Kiruna In January!!.... oh ... wait... did i already mention that?........ Sorry .....
:pac::P
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From the Germans http://www.wetterpro...-2011-2012.html
Translated with Google translator
In recent days we have again increased e-mails received with questions such as: When is the snow? Can you even make a snow forecast?. Almost seems as though many now in a frenzy of winter and the snow against what our survey shows for the winter 2011/2012. Most likely it is to the present time that the weather situation around the 17th/18th. November is going to change around. Both weather models expect a large accumulation of cold air north of the Arctic Circle - Experience shows that it is only a matter of time until it finds its way to the south. Whether Germany will then be affected, to the present state can not be said, but there are already trends and probabilities. The U.S. weather model anticipates a moderate form of the temperature drop on november typical values between 2 and 5 degrees from 20 Of November. The European weather model calculated from 19 November with a more typical winter constellation (high between Greenland and Scandinavia, gravure east Scandinavia), which enables the transport of cold air southward. If the scenario of the European weather model to arrive, with the first onset of winter around the 19th Expected around November. The view of the control runs indicates that a significantly cooler phase is significantly more likely than a continuation of the mild phase. The odds are still not bad for the first snow in the last Novembderdrittel.
i couldnt help but read that article in a german accent:p0 -
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doesnt mean no snow.
Firstly, Met Eireann do not do long range forecasts anymore so the story must be taken with a dose of salt (actually as much salt as they need according to the story). Furthermore, Gerald's comments must be taken in context and there is indeed no concrete evidence of severe winter on the way, just the many opinions, valid or otherwise, of the long range forecasters who have issued their outlooks.
Tabloid subeditors already planning tomorrow's headlines:
"Met Eireann pour cold water on Winter Ready Campaign"
"Fleming Shatters New Government Snow Readiness Campaign"
"Met Eireann Says No Snow This Winter"
"Met Eireann Predict Repeat Of 1947"
"Sled.ie Call On Gerald Fleming To Resign Over Wreckless Comments"
"Gerald Fleming And Jean Byrne Big It Up In Lillies, As Gerry Byrne Downs 18 Pints Of Goldschläger"0 -
Firstly, Met Eireann do not do long range forecasts anymore so the story must be taken with a dose of salt (actually as much salt as they need according to the story). Furthermore, Gerald's comments must be taken in context and there is indeed no concrete evidence of severe winter on the way, just the many opinions, valid or otherwise, of the long range forecasters who have issued their outlooks.
Tabloid subeditors already planning tomorrow's headlines:
"Met Eireann pour cold water on Winter Ready Campaign"
"Fleming Shatters New Government Snow Readiness Campaign"
"Met Eireann Says No Snow This Winter"
"Met Eireann Predict Repeat Of 1947"
"Sled.ie Call On Gerald Fleming To Resign Over Wreckless Comments"
"Gerald Fleming And Jean Byrne Big It Up In Lillies, As Gerry Byrne Downs 18 Pints Of Goldschläger"
HAHHAHAHa!... Ah sure i might just ask him at the Met Soc . conference 2moro ! 0 -
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From the Germans http://www.wetterpro...-2011-2012.html
Translated with Google translator
In recent days we have again increased e-mails received with questions such as: When is the snow? Can you even make a snow forecast?. Almost seems as though many now in a frenzy of winter and the snow against what our survey shows for the winter 2011/2012. Most likely it is to the present time that the weather situation around the 17th/18th. November is going to change around. Both weather models expect a large accumulation of cold air north of the Arctic Circle - Experience shows that it is only a matter of time until it finds its way to the south. Whether Germany will then be affected, to the present state can not be said, but there are already trends and probabilities. The U.S. weather model anticipates a moderate form of the temperature drop on november typical values between 2 and 5 degrees from 20 Of November. The European weather model calculated from 19 November with a more typical winter constellation (high between Greenland and Scandinavia, gravure east Scandinavia), which enables the transport of cold air southward. If the scenario of the European weather model to arrive, with the first onset of winter around the 19th Expected around November. The view of the control runs indicates that a significantly cooler phase is significantly more likely than a continuation of the mild phase. The odds are still not bad for the first snow in the last Novembderdrittel.i couldnt help but read that article in a german accent:p
I'll be calling this month Novembderdrittel from now on. Or, Novembderdrizzle, as it were.:p0 -
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ha the irish met wouldent know what the ao index was last year 3 days before the big thunder snow and big freeze they said there could be sleet and temps around 3 c instead it was -4 and snow they dont know there ass from there elbow
waste of space they are
joe basterdi has just said on his twitter the ao and nao are about to drop in dec so if this does happen ireland will get hit just like last year also signs are there for strat warming too PIERS AND JOE B are both looking at the ao going very low in dec
before i heard this i was going with a normal irish mild winter but with the Ao AND Nao going low in dec this can only mean one thing artic air being pushed south and the AO index effects west europe the worst
also look at the models notice very cold air over norway and russia in 7 days or so it wouldent take much for this to come over us a good push could see this over ireland in a matter of days0 -
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i bought piers forecast last dec he was way off for jan 2011 i mean way off said there woudl be snowstorms etc at start of jan and there was none however joe b said irish winter snow was over after dec he was spot on i have to say
joe has said where going to get hit again this dec uk ireland etc
and piers seems sure too so at least joe seems to be going with same idea as piers this year
i think come dec we will have snow
if not maybe a normal **** irish winter till we get too around 2014 and the sunpots dip off again i think from 2014 till around 2028 we could see some of the worst winters since the 1600 1700s even in the mini ice age there was mild winters in between so if this winter is mild normal irish winter dont get down
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