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Horses......... lots of lays

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191012141553

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  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    4.35 HAydock Dark Dune 10.5 €10.00 backed

    Raised 3lbs to 72 after a win over this trip, has work to do stepped up in class against this lot but having won over the trip is a huge plus.

    Have laid both of the fancied ones too.....

    Captain Brown 2.88 €20.00
    Colour Vision 2.74 €20.00

    Only won of them can win and they can both lose.


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    4.45 Newbury Even Bolder 3.3 €10.00 backed to be placed and to win
    Even Bolder 13 €4.53 & 13 €5.47

    Things aren't going to plan today but I reckon this lad is a great bet, a 0 to 70 5f HC on GF and the selection is topweight off 70. Lto came shd 2nd off 70 in a 0 to 75 5f HC on GF, also came 2nd off 73 in a 0 to 85 5f HC.

    However when one is having a sh1tter one has a sh1tter :rolleyes:
    Still though, see no reason why he's this big a price.


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    4.55 Corvette 24 €4.00 backed to win and tbp Corvette 5.2 €6.00

    tasty 10f form on GF in a 0 to 75 HC


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Bold Marc 6.2 €15.00


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Struggled to get that last post out, fav was too short and the selection was of those highest up the handicap the only one with decent form over the distance.


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  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    5.20 Newbury Udabaa 1.53 €20.00 laid tbp

    A non runner so 3 of the 7 placed on Betfair hence the seemingly short price, it's a 0 to 95 over 10f and he's rated 92, lto in a 0 to 100 he was beaten 2.25l by a 95 rated rival crossing the line a nose behind the 89 rated 2/1 fav. On the bare figures he has a great chance, but 2 to 1 on tbp is not value, even with 3 places up for grabs.


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    5.50 Newmarket Kalendar Girl 1.73 €12.00 laid tbp

    Number of non runners, 4tbp on Betfair. This yoke is fancied as it stayed on in an 8f race, a bit if and but for my liking so I'm laying it. Woeful race this is.


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    6.10 Ham Hits Only Jude 4 €6.00 backed

    Won an admiitedly weak 0 to 70 over CD lto on similar ground, this is a 0 to 60 so has a huge chance on the bare facts. them facts will do for me.


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    6.20 Newmarket Parley 1.69 €13.00 laid tbp

    Decent debut on the AW over this trip, turf is another kettle of fish though, looney place price.


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    6.35 Pon Vital Gold 1.41 €20.00 laid tbp

    Much the same as many of my place lay selections, too short, ifs and buts, plenty of unknowns in the field.


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  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    6.45 HAm Half A Billion 1.11 €25.56 & 1.11 €44.44

    LAid tbp

    Haven't even read the form tbh, looney price for anything to do anything :pac:


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    6.50 Killbeggan South Wing 1.72 €15.00 laid tbp

    Would be surprised if this yoke defied the HCers efforrts over this trip


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    7.15 Ham Arch Walker 3.8 €10.00 backed

    Worthy fav, 6f 0 to 65 HC on GF, selection won a similar race in Newcastle off 60, beating the evens fav topweight fav. Decent form, this is a poor race, clear ice has never won on turf and the rest look not too attractive to back.


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    -€17.53 today


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    1.40 Ripon First Bid 2.18 €4.00 laid

    lto effort suggests that 6f is not this horses ideal trip, now I can't find anything in the field that seems overly capable at 6f either but the best of a bad lot at that price is a lay for me.


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    2.15 Ripon Kimbali 2.06 €5.00 wasn't overly impressive lto, market reckons he'll improve though. I think the weather there won't help him and the ground seems softer than GF, another lay.


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    2.20 Newbury Deacon Blues 1.67 €4.00 laid tbp

    Just don't think this lad is remotely classy enough for this. Too big to lay to win though in saying that.


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    2.35 Ripon Wild Coco 1.82 €4.00 laid

    Same as above lay, don't think this one is good enough amongst these, price well worth opposing. On ratings it's 10th of 11.


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    2.55 Newbury Belle Royle

    No bets placed as yet as I imagine they'll be getting bigger on Betfair closer to the off, currently 2.9 place and 10.0 win.

    Really fancy this ones chances here off 91, lto in a 0 to 95 HC over 8f the selection camea neck 2nd off 89 to the 9/4 fav who was rated 86. 1 length clear of the 3rd horse, raised 2lbs for that. Goes on GF but won't mind if the going is easier.


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Belle Royale 3.2 €10.00 tbp
    Belle Royale 12 €1.85 & 12 €2.15 to win :)


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  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    3.10 Newmarket WannabeKing

    Same as before, I reckon there may be more value in a little while before the off, currently 14.0 win and 3.4 place.

    So a 0 to 105 on GF.

    3 runs ago won a 0 to 105 8f off 95, then contested a o to 110 off 98, finished well down the field but only beaten 7l. lto was over 9f so I'm not bothered with that form ,weakened 1f out though which is nice.


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    RoverJames wrote: »
    .............. currently 14.0 win and 3.4 place.

    ..........



    Wannabe King 17 €4.00 win
    Wannabe King 3.7 €8.00 place


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    3.25 Ripon The Bells O Peover 6.11 €10.00 backed tbp

    This is a fairly woeful 0 to 100 hc, conditions and trip suit this one, way up in class compared to previous efforts but I think this lot are awful and the place price is very decent.


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Not my day so I'm off to the betting office to watch my Lucky15 horses and to chill out :pac:

    Lucky 15 is

    5.10 NewB CosimoDe Meaci
    4.05 NewB Enak
    4.45 NewM Halfsin
    5.05 Ripon Slarab

    €1 Lucky 15 and €2.50 e/w acc (nothing to do with this log)

    One of them though is getting in here

    Enak in the 4.05 Newbury

    Trip and ground perfect and ran to his rating lto

    Enak 15.5 €5.00 to win
    Enak 4.02 €10.0 to be placed

    Also Elusive Pimpernel 2.08 €13.00 laid tbp


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    They're savage prices :eek:


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    -€35.56 today

    though not in the log here Halfsin from the Lucky15 won so morale is fine thankfully :)

    The 4 week total to follow.............


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    ............Only €100 being risked.... ............

    Well it was Sunday the 19June I started this log, with a modest bank, 4 weeks on and the running total is +€435.15.

    Daily totals are fairly meaningless at the lark, monthly (4 weeks to be precise) are better me thinks. At the beginning of my punting career (not far off 9 years ago now) I used to hanker after a daily profit, not the way to go, bookies dream having punters like that.

    Fingers crossed the next 4 weeks are good too. I'm unlikely to have any more bets this evening but if I do the above total will be amended.


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    7.40 Haydock Shadow Catcher 2.14 €6.00 to be placed
    and to win Shadow Catcher 6.2 €4.00

    First positive is he's the only one of the field to have an 8f win to his name. ~That was in a 7 to 75 HC off 72, raised to 75 lto he didn't do too well in a 0 to 85 but he was hampered one furlong out.

    Fav (Inglebee Exceed) is quite a worthy fav, raised 6lbs for a 7f 0 to 75 win, stayed on really well and won easy. Theoretically 8f should be no bother and a 6lb rise is not an issue either, but the step up in trip along with the 6lbs rise might be.


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    7.50 Lingfield Stand Guard 1.59 €10.00 laid to be placed
    laid to win Stand Guard 2.34 €6.00

    10f Lingfield AW form is dire ....

    15Dec10 Lin 10St C4Hc 3K 9-1 7/8 (7¼L Dark Promise 9-1) 9/1 Jimmy Quinn 79


    28Nov09 Lin 10St C2Hc 11K 8-11 8/9 (6¾L Bound By Honour 9-4) 11/2 Andrew Heffernan 89

    23Jan09 Lin 10St C4Hc 4K 9-1 4/14 (2¼L Confidentiality 9-4) 11/4F Ian Mongan 80


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  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    8.10 Haydock Rare Ruby 9.6 €4.00 backed
    and tbp Rare Ruby 2.53 €10.00

    Has both speed and stamina and is a propor flat performer, up in class but tempting price.


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