Horses......... lots of lays

3.20 Ascot Primevere 4.3 €5.00 backed

Better on good than good to firm so good to soft may well not inconvenience, rated 2lbs above the favourite, Winter's Night who has winning form on GS over 7f but who has yet to win over 8f despite 2 attempts, one of which was very impressive showing the trip is within range, might well fire here on the softer ground but the price is prohibitively short to back.

The place price for the fav is looney too, not far off a third of the win price, so I've laid that for the value...

Winters Night 1.54 €8.00 laid tbp

3.45 Thirsk Sole Danser 1.76 €6.00 laid tbp

Placed once in 3 efforts, that was lto over 7f when 6/4 fav. Only placed in Betfair land as their was a non runner, only 7 ran.

Wouldn't back this to be placed at anything less than 2.5 in this.

4.05 Southwell Danny Zuko 2.22 €8.00 backed tbp

At favourable weights when compared to the fav, and 2.5 times the price tbp, distance winner too.

4.20 Rastaban 1.3 €5.00 laid tbp and to win Rastaban 1.85 €4.00

First try over 12f in this 0 to 80 HC, stays 10f well and has won over 8f, nothing to suggest he is so far ahead of the other three to warrant the price, place price is really skinny given the win price.

4.30 Ascot Dhaamer 2.66 €0.05 & 2.68 €4.95 laid tbp


10f no doubt suits this lad and so too does the ground, recent form as follows..........


19Jun11 Pon 10Gd C3Hc 7K 9-12 4/12 (2¼L Suits Me 9-11) 9/4F Richard Hills 88
4th off 88 in a 0 to 90, those ahead rated 87,89 and 85.



03Jun11 Eps 10Gd C2Hc 28K 8-9 3/11 (2¾L Resurge 9-5) 5/1 Richard Hills 87
3rd off 87 in a 0 to 95, those ahead rated 97 and 97.

No doubt a decent horse but a 0 to 100 is a tad too much to ask me thinks on what it's shown so far, won a 0 to 85 off 83 last year, I reckon a similar race would be ideal, after today it might well get into a 0 to 85 again.

Place price is quite skinny me thinks.


Suits Me 4.5 €6.00 tbp

I sort of like this one off 91 here, lto 2nd in a 0 to 95 off 91, won a 0 to 90 off 87. Way back 2nd in a 0 to 95 off 88.

This race is effectively a 0 to 95 anyway as the topweight may as well be a non runner (topweight wins by 10 L :pac:)

RoverJames

RoverJames wrote: »

..........

This race is effectively a 0 to 95 anyway as the topweight may as well be a non runner (topweight wins by 10 L :pac:)

ffs :pac:

Unreal

4.55 Thirsk Caranbola 2.52 €5.00 laid tbp

Better over 5f than 6f me thinks, although topweight in this is a plus off 70, still 'tis tight so shouldn't matter.

Forevers Girl 2.94 €4.00 laid too tbp, better on the AW, rating too high for turf.

Leonid Glow 3.97 €5.00 backed tbp and to win Leonid Glow 12 €4.0

Won a CD 0 to 75 HC off 73, this is the first time since then it's been placed in a race that suits off a realistic mark me thinks. Well worth a bet.

6.00 York Ingleby Exceed 2.12 €6.00 backed tbp

0 to 80 on GS, selection is rated 70, lto came a 1/4l 3rd off same rating in a 0-75 on GS too. Trip, ground and rating ok.

6.10 New Signor Sassi 3.25 €4.00 laid

First time out, no thanks

same race Eightfold 1.53 €5.0 laid tbp, looney short price

6.20 Chepstow The Blue Banana 1.08 €100.0 laid tbp

Two efforts to date

07Jul11 Don 6GF C52yMd 2K 9-3 2/15 (2¼L Al Khan 9-3) 20/1 Martin Dwyer

18Jun11 Nmk 7GS C52yMd 3K 9-3 8/15 (13½L Coupe De Ville 9-3) 25/1 Martin Dwyer

Decent 6f effort on GD, woeful 7f effort on GS, as he was never challenging over 7f I would hope 'twas the ground and not the trip was the issue.

6.35 Wexford Golden Starlet 4.1 €6.00 backed tbp

Better over 8f than 10 me thinks, rating an issue but this is a woeful HC.

6.40 Newm Roedean 3.7 €4.00 laid

7f seemed to suit but that was an AW run, back on turf it's less than appealing.

6.50 Chepstow Delaware Dancer 2.18 €6.00 backed

Stays 7f (AW form), turf form not too bad, this is a weak 0 - 70, tw is rated 63.

6.55 DownRoyal Flic Flac 1.08 €100.00 laid tbp

Will have to catch one sooner or later :pac:

7.00 York Saffa Hill 1.53 €4.0 laid tbp

Place price dis proportionally short.

7.05 Wexford Cristal Island 3.5 €8 backed tbp
Horses for courses

7.10 Newm Mashatu 3.5 €10.00 backed tbp
Trip and ground to suit, rating ok.

7.20 chepstow Diamond Vine 4.4 €6.0
backed tbp

GS and ratin in it's favour, 7f who knows

7.30 York Sajjhaa 1.11 €100.00 laid tbp

Winner on the ratings, GS suits too, one never knows though.

7.35 Wexford Black Belt 1.23 €50.00 laid tbp

Not looney price wise in this case.

7.40 Newm Thimaar 1.14 €80.00 laid tbp

7.50 Chepstow Triple Dream 6.4 €5.00 backed to win and tbp Triple Dream 2.24 €15.0

Poor effort 2 runs ago on GS but that was one of those races that splits in two, hate them :pac:
Decent run lto, GS may not have been the previous issue.

7.55 DR Why But Why 3.8 €20.00 backed

Won a similar HC over same distance, same rating as today.

8.00 York Apprimus 6 €20.00
Joint best off at the weights, stays, doesn't mind a tad of cut

Comedy Act 1.29 €20.00 laid tbp badly off at the weights

Comedy Act 1.29 €20.00 to win Granston 4.1 €10.00 tbp

Strangley large price for this one,.

8.20 Chepstow Korngold 1.49 €30.00 laid tbp

10f on GS brought a decent effort lto, 12f is another cup of tea which isn't reflected in this price.

8.25 DR Stigh Collain 2.24 €9.59 laid tbp

Dunno what this lad has tbh

8.30 Berberana 6.6 €8.00 &
Berberana 32 €4.00

backed form on soft