Horses......... lots of lays

2.35 Tipp Deire Na Sli 3.65 €9.00 backed tbp

Weird ole game, this one has ground and trip to suit and has ran well off the mark recently, a consistent animal, happy to back at a large price for the credentials.

2.40 Kelso Residence And Spa 2.2 €10.00 layed tbp
place price far too tight.

2.50 Utt Beat The Devil 2.72 €15 layed tbp

Couldn't fancy this one to finish really.

3.00 Huntingdon Songe 2.88 €12.00 layed to win

Seasonal reappearance, wasn't great last few runs, have to take it on trust that he's primed for this race.

3.05 Tipp Look At Me 3.9 €8.00 layed to win

Might be a bit short for this one's strengths

3.25 Kelso Rossinis Dancer 1.97 €20.00 layed tbp

I think 25f stretches this one's resources, I expect Rossinis Dancer to be beaten by a good few lengths and in a 0 to 115 I hope there'll be at least two horses between the winner and Rossinis Dancer.

Putting money where my mouth is regarding the win..
Rossinis Dancer 5.2 €6.00 layed to win

3.40 Tipp The Bull Hayes 2.04 €15.00 layed tbp

Hardly profound thinking but this one shouldn't feature among this lot.

3.45 Hun Alfraamsey 1.3 €20.00 layed tbp

Under a penalty the place price which wouldn't be value for horse 2.5 to win is hard to resist, savage value.

3.55 Kelso Arctic Court 1.35 €20.00 layed tbp

Versatile tripwise but the place price is dis proportionally short.

4.10 Tipp Tavern Times 2.04 €20.00 layed to win

Much better on a sounder surface so with conditions a tad sticky the price is too short.

4.25 Kelso Dar Es Salaam 2.04 €30.00 layed tbp

Tried over the larger obstacles, back hurdling again which he didn't excel at, very tight price.

4.35 Utt Inishrush 2.24 €25.00 layed tbp

Got a nice spanking for a win in a class 5 HC chase where there wasn't much to beat in comparison to this lot, jockey takes a bit off but that's needed both weight wise and due to the jockey (no disrespect to the chap or anything)

4.50 Hun Mohanad 1.9 €30 layed tbp

Hasn't run well over this length trip in the past.

5.10 Utt Shammy Buskins 14.5 €10 backed to win and tbp Shammy Buskins 4.1 €10.00

Well handicapped on chase form, if the mood takes him he could go close.

-€62.86 today

Last two lays did the damage, they both won, really surprised to be honest. Ah well.

6:40
BACK OR LAY AT BETDAQ.COM HANDICAP (DIV I) (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-65) Winner £1,617 14 runners 1m4f Standard RUK

NO. FORM HORSE AGE WGT TRAINER RTF% JOCKEY OR


1 1 479351 Green Lightning 5 6xb 4 9-13 Mark Johnston52 Franny Norton 66
Handicapped ok, Kempton debut, 1 win from 3 at W'ton

2 7 237527 Free Tussy 101 tb 7 9-12 Gary Moore47 George Baker 65
Course, trip and rating fine I think, go back 18 months and this one was contesting and being placed in 0 to 95s here, very fanciable, admittedly getting on a bit but at 7 years old can still take this if putting in a shift. Lingfield from from Feb and March is fine too, at the weights this won is hard to ignore.

3 9 796615 Dazakhee 18 4 9-11 David Flood100 Tony Culhane 64
Shouldn't feature, Green Lightning beat this one at W'ton, admittedly there is a few pounds thrown into the reckoning now but still, I don't fancy this one.

4 14 254428 Mediterranean Sea 25 5 9-9 J R Jenkins60 Richard Hughes 62
12f doesn't suit this one, shouldn't be involved.

5 5 5-5477 Bin End 37J 5 9-8 Barry Brennan Lee Newnes5 61
Good runs at Lingfield so quite rationale to expect a good run here, on a realistic mark, has a chance.

6 10 653428 Jodawes 7 4 9-7 John Best38 Jim Crowley 60
12f debut, better over 7/8f than 10f so hard to fancy.

7 8 7-2922 Croix Rouge 9 9 9-4 Ralph Smith67 Matthew Lawson5 57
Trip doesn't suit, would be of interest if the mark dropped again, a 0 to 55 over a suitable trip would be ideal me thinks.

8 11 843 Fairest Isle 20 t 3 9-4 James Fanshawe67 Stevie Donohoe 64
Handicap debut but trip and course suit, as a 3yo this one could do the business, hard to evaluate chances though.

9 12 70-347 Deceptive 117 3 9-1 Roger Charlton63 Steve Drowne 61
Iffy one, trip suits though.

10 3 641515 Newby Lodge 3J 3 9-1 Alan Bailey71 Darryll Holland 61
Hard to fancy this one, up 6lbs after a victory here in an 11f 0 to 60 apprentice race, I don't put huge emphasis on such wins, I'm often wrong though.

11 2 863535 Gower Rules 21 3 9-0 John Bridger57 Rosie Jessop5 60
I'm thinking that 12f might be stretching this one although it has decent 12f too as well as fading over the trip. I fancied this one to win a few weeks back but it finished a good way back in 3rd, defo has place chances and I think a slower pace might suit it, I dunno, I do think shorter would be better but I'm not 100%.

12 13 184777 Suhailah 50 5 8-12 Michael Attwater50 Shane Kelly 50
Could sneak into a place.

13 4 477246 Rosy Dawn 23 6 8-12 Mark Hoad William Carson 46
In the company, couldn't fancy.

14 6 353533 Drumadoon 23 p 3 8-11 John Dunlop64 Ted Durcan 57
AW debut, on turf form it would want to absolutely love the AW and improve a really decent lash to get involved.

Green Lightning 3.5 €4.00 layed to win

Free Tussy 26 €5.00 backe to win


Drumadoon 3.2 €5.00 layed tbp

Might as well add the result seems as I've time....



1st 9 12 70-347 Deceptive 117 3 9-1 Roger Charlton63 Steve Drowne 61
Iffy one, trip suits though.



2nd 5 5 5-5477 Bin End 37J 5 9-8 Barry Brennan Lee Newnes5 61
Good runs at Lingfield so quite rationale to expect a good run here, on a realistic mark, has a chance.



3rd 6 10 653428 Jodawes 7 4 9-7 John Best38 Jim Crowley 60
12f debut, better over 7/8f than 10f so hard to fancy.



...........
Green Lightning 3.5 €4.00 layed to win

Free Tussy 26 €5.00 backe to win


Drumadoon 3.2 €5.00 layed tbp

7:10
BACK OR LAY AT BETDAQ.COM HANDICAP (DIV II) (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-65) Winner £1,294 14 runners 1m4f Standard


NO. FORM HORSE AGE WGT TRAINER RTF% JOCKEY OR

1 10 989-01 Mister Bit 167 b 4 9-12 John Best25 Luke Morris 65
Trip too long

2 1 113364 Carlton Scroop 29 8 9-11 Paddy Butler Robert L Butler3 64
Trip ok, course ok, won CD off 60, one of the few here with a decent chance I think, 8 year old though so obvious won't be improving in leaps and bounds, still if on a good day there's great value in the price

3 3 172396 Bubbly Braveheart 36 4 9-10 Pat Phelan43 Ian Mongan 63
Trip too long

4 7 37/800 Phonic 103 4 9-9 John Dunlop55 Eddie Ahern 62
I reckon this one has no chance on it's AW debut.


6 4 293731 Abigails Angel 40 4 9-6 Brett Johnson George Baker 59
12f on AW, hard to fancy.

7 9 835023 Corvette 21 v 3 9-3 J R Jenkins40 Richard Hughes 63
Looks held at the weights, which shouldn't be of course but I think this is too much a task.


9 11 0801 Ulla 27 3 9-1 Chris Wall36 Ted Durcan 61
Trip too long

10 6 537222 Rowan Ridge 14 v 3 9-0 Jim Boyle75 Pat Cosgrave 60
Trip suits this one, up 3lbs for a 0 to 65 1& 3/4l 2nd, hard to discount really.

11 12 436013 Prince Blue 34 4 9-0 John E Long Sam Hitchcott 53
Can't fancy

12 8 748006 Burnbrake 34 v 6 8-12 Les Hall Darryll Holland 50
I'd give this one a realistic place chance.


14 13 6486 Beckfield Dancer 14 3 8-5 Stuart Williams80 William Carson 49
Should be more than a few better than this one.


So the bets...
Carlton Scroop 15.5 €5.00 backed to win

Burnbrake 10 €4.00 backed tbp


Abigails Angel 3.55 €5.00 layed tbp

The result....

1st 10 6 537222 Rowan Ridge 14 v 3 9-0 Jim Boyle75 Pat Cosgrave 60
Trip suits this one, up 3lbs for a 0 to 65 1& 3/4l 2nd, hard to discount really.


2nd 4 7 37/800 Phonic 103 4 9-9 John Dunlop55 Eddie Ahern 62
I reckon this one has no chance on it's AW debut.



3rd 9 11 0801 Ulla 27 3 9-1 Chris Wall36 Ted Durcan 61
Trip too long



.............
So the bets...
Carlton Scroop 15.5 €5.00 backed to win

Burnbrake 10 €4.00 backed tbp


Abigails Angel 3.55 €5.00 layed tbp

8:10
TURFTV HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-60) Winner £1,617 14 runners 1m Standard RUK


NO. FORM HORSE AGE WGT TRAINER RTF% JOCKEY OR


1 14 58911 Swansea Jack 7 6xtv 4 9-9 Stuart Williams82 Harry Bentley3 65
Form over the mile trip is less than great, all four wins were over shorter trips, AW suits but up a good few pounds for the last AW win, beaten by lower rated horses over the mile trip here off a lower rating itself 12 months ago, doesn't look like a winner to me unless the rest are all on a very bad day.

2 7 403348 Ilie Nastase 11 b 7 9-4 Conor Dore Richard Hughes 60
Last AW spin was here over today's trip in April, that day finished 4th in a 0 to 75 off 66 beaten 2 3/4l by higher rated horses, I like this one down to a mark of 60 here. Really, really interesting.

3 11 425532 Kai Mook 116 tb 4 9-4 Roger Ingram50 Harry Poulton7 60
A trier no doubt but not one to be on really, usually almost there at best.


4 9 234710 Jonnie Skull 6 tv 5 9-3 Phil McEntee Kieren Fallon 59
Can't see the mile trip here bringing out the best in this one.

5 5 343074 Wishformore 28 p 4 9-3 J S Moore53 Liam Keniry 59
CD 0 to 70 winner off 58 but lto here wasn't great, on best form would have a great chance but not wonderfully rated, in fairness to connections a 0 to 60 is an ideal race to be in so it might feature if running a race, not a solid pick though.

6 2 766079 Gallantry 63 9 9-2 Michael Squance Shane Kelly 58
Seems to be in decline but a repeat of it's April run tonight would have it well up there but it's hard to have faith in it. Huge price though.


8 8 065793 Dichoh 28 p 8 9-1 Michael Madgwick Chris Catlin 57
Hasn't one in a while, another one possibly in decline, on a declining mark too so would have a chance, I'm not tempted though, would be deserving of a place though at least if on form.



10 1 64899 Querido 28 tp 7 9-1 Paddy Butler Robert L Butler3 57
Couldn't fancy this one now.

11 13 494/94 Nina Rose 25 4 9-1 Clive Cox41 John Fahy3 57
Has youth on side but AW debut and seems better over shorter trips on a firm suface, not one I can see featuring and at a realistic lay tbp price.


12 6 865332 Elegant Muse 18 h1 3 9-1 Walter Swinburn71 Sean Levey3 60
Not much to go on but a mile on the AW wouldn't be a certainty for this one, price is skinny.

13 3 78670 Ninfea 27 p 3 9-1 Sylvester Kirk47 James Doyle 60
Well fanciable, HC ok, CD winner and has run in better races, potentially classier than many of the rest.

14 4 095549 Jeeran 9 tb 3 9-0 Alastair Lidderdale60 Jamie Spencer 59
HArd to fancy, wouldn't back it.

The bets.........
Ilie Nastase 9.8 €5.00 backed to win

Swansea Jack 3.75 €5.00 layed to win

Elegant Muse 2.7 €4.85 layed tbp

Result..........




1st 8 8 065793 Dichoh 28 p 8 9-1 Michael Madgwick Chris Catlin 57
Hasn't one in a while, another one possibly in decline, on a declining mark too so would have a chance, I'm not tempted though, would be deserving of a place though at least if on form.


2nd 4 9 234710 Jonnie Skull 6 tv 5 9-3 Phil McEntee Kieren Fallon 59
Can't see the mile trip here bringing out the best in this one.

3rd 11 13 494/94 Nina Rose 25 4 9-1 Clive Cox41 John Fahy3 57
Has youth on side but AW debut and seems better over shorter trips on a firm suface, not one I can see featuring and at a realistic lay tbp price.



The bets.........
Ilie Nastase 9.8 €5.00 backed to win

Swansea Jack 3.75 €5.00 layed to win

Elegant Muse 2.7 €4.85 layed tbp

9.10 Love Nest 4.1 €5.00 layed to win & layed tbp Love Nest 1.77 €9.00

Seems better over the mile, has tried the 7f trip before and the performances particularly here at Kempton wasn't great, lacking a bit of pace I reckon.

RoverJames

RoverJames wrote: »

6.40...........

Green Lightning 3.5 €4.00 layed to win

Free Tussy 26 €5.00 backe to win


Drumadoon 3.2 €5.00 layed tbp

Green Lightning was 5th
Free Tussy was 6th
Drumadoon was 10th

RoverJames wrote: »

7:10.................
So the bets...
Carlton Scroop 15.5 €5.00 backed to win

Burnbrake 10 €4.00 backed tbp


Abigails Angel 3.55 €5.00 layed tbp

Carlton Scroop was 10th
Burnbrake was 11th (last )
Abigails Angel was 7th

RoverJames wrote: »

8:10.............
The bets.........
Ilie Nastase 9.8 €5.00 backed to win

Swansea Jack 3.75 €5.00 layed to win

Elegant Muse 2.7 €4.85 layed tbp

Ilie Nastase dh for 5th
Swansea Jack was 8th
Elegant Muse was 9th

RoverJames wrote: »

9.10 Love Nest 4.1 €5.00 layed to win & layed tbp Love Nest 1.77 €9.00......

Was well back, didn't see the race to be honest.

All the lays went my way, none of the back bets came in though.

+€17.62 today, not too bad considering the guts of €25 was put on back selections. Happy enough with that to be honest.

6.50 W'ton Colourbearer 4.6 €5.00 layed to win and tbp Colourbearer 2 €5.00

the rise to 64 seems to have anchored this one on the turf, I expect the same here in a fairly competitive 0 to 65 over 5f, I'd fancy it more over 6f really.

7.20 W'ton Uphold 1.44 €20.00 layed tbp

4 attempts over 12f so far, last one was at Kempton, beaten 2 1/2l finishing 5th of 9, those ahead were no great shakes and on the ratings better was expected.

The other 3 were on turf, only one was decent, staying on well on GS.

W'ton 12f debut tonight and I think shorter is better for this one.

7.50 W'ton Excellent Vision 6.8 €8.00 backed to win

Worth excusing the lto run here off 51 when not having luck in running down the straight, previous CD effort was a victory in a 0 to 60 off 48, still off 51 has a great chance I reckon.

Market leader, Cothcart Castle has been raised to 59 after a CD victory in a 0 to 55 off 53, one by 3/4l which is cosy enough but this is a harder task all things considered.

Gee Major 3.2 €10.00 layed tbp
I don't think Gee Major likes 9f around here, has tried it twice, a maiden and recently a HC, didn't stay the trip.

8.20 W'ton Peponi 2.83 €10.00 layed tbp

Competitive little race, 9f is a stetch for this one I think, W'ton debut too.

8.20 W'ton Blue Moon 2.71 €12.00 backed tbp
Course and distance suits, has ran to the rating recently on both AW at Kempton and at turf, could well go in..
Blue Moon 7.8 €7.00 backed tbp.

RoverJames

RoverJames wrote: »

6.50 W'ton Colourbearer 4.6 €5.00 layed to win and tbp Colourbearer 2 €5.00.....

Won

RoverJames wrote: »

7.20 W'ton Uphold 1.44 €20.00 layed tbp

.....

Won

RoverJames wrote: »

7.50 W'ton Excellent Vision 6.8 €8.00 backed to win...................
Gee Major 3.2 €10.00 layed tbp.............

6th and 7th respectively

RoverJames wrote: »

8.20 W'ton Peponi 2.83 €10.00 layed tbp

11th

RoverJames wrote: »

8.20 W'ton Blue Moon 2.71 €12.00 backed tbp
..........
Blue Moon 7.8 €7.00 backed tbp.

Won, just holding on, thought he was done on the line tbh

+€44.01 today

6:40
32REDBET.COM HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-65) Winner £1,909 12 runners 7f32y Standard ATR

NO. FORM HORSE AGE WGT TRAINER RTF% JOCKEY OR
1 12 782171 Master Of Dance 9 6xp 4 9-10 Keith Dalgleish60 Joe Fanning 71
1 from 16 on the AW, two turf wins over 8f recently have resulted in this mark, well layable over 7f at W'ton in a race where so many have good credentials.

2 5 8-5R52 Timeteam 16 5 9-4 Alan Bailey57 Richard Mullen 65
Has taken a right plunge in the ratings, stayed on well over 6f lto, place chances me thinks.


3 9 5-3375 Eager To Bow 69 5 9-4 Patrick Chamings80 George Baker 65
Not beaten much at Kempton over 7f in a 0 to 65, finishing a length down in 3rd, unraced at W'ton but still with chances I would think.


5 7 57-318 Twinkled 18 3 9-2 Michael Bell27 Ian Burns7 65
Won a Lingfield 7 to 70 off 61 on penultimate start by 1 1/2l, has had two runs here at W'ton, neither of which were too bad, defo has a chance to be in the picture.

6 10 967674 Golden Taurus 20 3 9-2 J W Hills58 Seb Sanders 65
Won a 6f classified stakes here, lto 4th of 12 in a 9f 0 to 70 off 65, should have a chance over today's more suitable trip.

7 6 86075 Global Village 21 6 9-2 Brian Ellison47 Silvestre De Sousa 63
CD win in a 0 to 70 off 65 in Feb 2010, lto 2l 5th off 64 in a 0 to 65, another with place chances.

8 3 212393 Sarangoo 10 3 9-2 Malcolm Saunders33 Luke Morris 65 39 80
Has been tried here over the 7f trip in a 0 to 60, didn't inspire


9 4 125540 Gemma´s Delight 13 p 4 9-1 James Unett33 Liam Jones 62
CD runs in HCs off lower marks weren't great, seems better over longer

10 8 061653 All Honesty 28 3 9-1 William Knight25 Jim Crowley 64
lto CD effort beaten 3l in a 0 to 65

11 1 789218 Spinning Ridge 10 v 6 9-1 Ronald Harris56 Paul Hanagan 62
CD winner in a 0 to 70 off 66 in May 2010, won penultimate start on turf so recent form shows this one is in good spirits, decent win ratio on AW 1:9 over 46 runs, must have a very decent chance here.

12 11 405244 Army Of Stars 28 5 9-0 Michael Blake Ryan Clark3 61
Another one who has claims


Soooooooooooo, loads have chances, the fav Global Village currently trading at 3.4 on Betfair is far far too short at that, Master of Dance tbp looks no value at all and as above I don't fancy it anyway so in a race where many have a shout that's a lay for me..

Master Of Dance 2.84 €9.31 layed tbp

And a small win wager on my fancy..
Spinning Ridge 19 €4.00 backed to win
the place price is decentish too actually Spinning Ridge 5.2 €5.0 backed tbp