Horses......... lots of lays

2.15 Wincanton Fontano 7.4 €8.50 backed to win
Seems a tad overpriced in this, HC debut wasn't great but may not be a true representation of ability, 4lbs off for this one.

2.50 Wincanton Gullible Gordon 6 €12 backed to win

Trip ideal, course suits, has gone very well fresh in the past, ground should be perfect, huge chance.

3.10 Aintree Battle Group 2.84 €11 layed tbp
9lbs higher than CD success, first run in 6 months too.

3.45 Aintree Sports Line 2.36 €15.00 layed tbp
Seems best on softer going, not getting a break at the weights either.

3.50 Wincanton Great Esteem 4.8 €10.00 backed tbp & Great Esteem 22 €5.00 backed to win

Seems quite reasonably handicapped on lto perfromance, step up in trip is an unknown but the price compensates handsomely for that.

4.15 Galway Forjoetheplumber 2.04 €19.00 layed tbp
This one will like the ground, but the price is too skinny.

4.20 Aintree Barbatos 3 €20.00 backed to win :eek:
Trip suits very well indees, the price is bigger than I would have expected, I can see it winning so why not

4.35 Win' Graduation Night 1.75 €28.00 layed tbp
Don't like this ones credentials at all, first run in a while, no banker at all for the place.

RoverJames

RoverJames wrote: »

2.15 Wincanton Fontano 7.4 €8.50 backed to win
.....................

5th

RoverJames wrote: »

2.50 Wincanton Gullible Gordon 6 €12 backed to win
...................

4th

RoverJames wrote: »

3.10 Aintree Battle Group 2.84 €11 layed tbp....................

13th

RoverJames wrote: »

3.45 Aintree Sports Line 2.36 €15.00 layed tbp..............

Pulled up

RoverJames wrote: »

3.50 Wincanton Great Esteem 4.8 €10.00 backed tbp & Great Esteem 22 €5.00 backed to win

............

6th, was well beaten, didn't appreciate the step up in trip me thinks,'twas the 4.00 too not the 3.50

RoverJames wrote: »

4.15 Galway Forjoetheplumber 2.04 €19.00 layed tbp
This one will like the ground, but the price is too skinny.

5th

RoverJames wrote: »

4.20 Aintree Barbatos 3 €20.00 backed to win :eek:...............

Won at 7/4

RoverJames wrote: »

4.35 Win' Graduation Night 1.75 €28.00 layed tbp
...................

Won at 15/8

+ €24.33 today

7.35 Kempton Bounty Seeker 5.7 €4.00 backed to be placed

Looks a bit of value, won lto at W'ton in a 7f class5 maiden, staying on over 7f. HC rating is 77, made HC debut off 4lbs higher in a Goodwood class 2 nursery at 12/1, finishing last that day.

The mark off 77 looks fair in this, place price is too tempting for me.

8.35 Kempton Requisite 9.8 €5.00 backed to win & tbp Requisite 3.25 €4.00

This one won over CD 3 runs back in a 0 to 85 off 74, back to a mark of 75 after two runs off 76, good chance here and the price is juicy.

8.35 Kempton Al Aqabah 3.35 €9.00 layed tbp
Looks to be struggling at the current rating more often than not, the rest look to have better chances.

9.05 Kempton Catchanova 3.7 €10.00 layed to win
Looks held on CD from off 75 in a 0 to 75, beaten almost 8l, came out and won on turn off 68 lto but back to 75 here.


Rock Anthem 4 €10.00 layed to win too, 4l to find on Catchenova, 13lb better off but still a big ask and I don't fancy Catchenova.

Douze Points 19.5 €5.00 backed to win and tbp Douze Points 4.8 €4.00
3rd off 77 in a 0 to 85 CD handicap, good chance off 75 I think, great price.

RoverJames

RoverJames wrote: »

7.35 Kempton Bounty Seeker 5.7 €4.00 backed to be placed.............

Last

RoverJames wrote: »

8.35 Kempton Requisite 9.8 €5.00 backed to win & tbp Requisite 3.25 €4.00..............

3rd

RoverJames wrote: »

8.35 Kempton Al Aqabah 3.35 €9.00 layed tbp........

This one won.

RoverJames wrote: »

9.05 Kempton Catchanova 3.7 €10.00 layed to win...............

Rock Anthem 4 €10.00 layed to win too, ...............


Douze Points 19.5 €5.00 backed to win and tbp Douze Points 4.8 €4.00
3rd off 77 in a 0 to 85 CD handicap, good chance off 75 I think, great price.

None were placed.

-€10.89 today

3.45 Clonmel Datokepe 7.4 €5.00 backed to win

Course winner, has won over the trip has also won on soft ground, looks decently priced considering lots in its favour.

4.10 Lingfield Cill Rialaig 3.4 €15.00 backed to win

Going off the ratings literally this one has a good few pounds on all but Qushchi, who at a rating of 96 as a three year old is no doubt a decent animal but I doubt would get within a length of the likes of Meeznah.

Cill Rialaig did just that lto ....

1 11 Dancing Rain (IRE) 6/1 3 8-10 William Haggas 116 * *
J Murtagh

Made all, good pace to halfway and breather, stretched on again well over 2f out, ridden and stayed on well from over 1f out (op 5-1 tchd 9-2)


« 2 8 2 Bible Belt (IRE) 14/1 3 8-10 Mrs John Harrington 111 * *
F M Berry

Held up in 7th, progress just over 2f out, chased winner over 1f out and briefly looked dangerous, no impression final furlong (op 16-1)


« 3 2 2¼ Gertrude Bell 16/1 4 9-3 John Gosden 110 * *
William Buick

Chased winner, ridden and outpaced over 2f out, lost 2nd over 1f out, clung on for 3rd at finish (op 14-1)


« 4 1 hd Crystal Capella 6/1 6 9-3 Sir Michael Stoute 117 * *
Ryan Moore

Held up in last pair, ridden over 2f out and outpaced, stayed on from over 1f out, nearly snatched 3rd (op 15-2 tchd 8-1)


« 5 4 nk Meeznah (USA) 6/1 4 9-3 David Lanigan 114 * *
Frankie Dettori

Tracked leading trio, ridden and not quicken over 2f out, soon lost place, kept on again final furlong (op 8-1)


« 6 6 1 Cill Rialaig 33/1 6 9-3 Hughie Morrison 99


Cill Rialaig also should be quite happy on the surface here, has had one AW spin so far, that was Kempton in a maiden.....

21Apr09 Kem 12St C5Md 2K 9-13 3/7 (½L Inhibition 8-8) 4/1 Steve Drowne —

I'm surprised at the price, sub 3.0 would be more on the mark I feel.

4.40 Lingfield Green Wadi 7 €8.75 backed to win

Up 5lbs for lto win to a mark of 73, would have a decent chance off that in this 0 to 75, came 2nd off 70 in a 0 to 85 over 12f at Kempton and was 3rd off 71 in a 0 to 85 over 10f on soft ground on the turf in the past. Price is more than fair I feel.

4.40 Birdolini 2.62 €13.0 layed tbp, untried beyond 8f and seemed better over shorter than that.

5.10 Lingfield Fedora 2.78 €12.00 layed to be placed

HAs work cut out off a mark of 57, in an apprentice race the chance of going in is less again I feel, rightly or wrongly and no offence meant at all to any of the jockeys in this but there is an increased element of anything can happen.

Rio Royale 3.43 €5.00 layed tbp
7f a stretch for this one I think.

Karate 9.8 €4.00 backed to win, won a 7f 0 to 75 at W'ton off today's mark in July, first time back to that mark since, has gone well at Kempton so surface here isn't a negative.

5.20 Stratford Orion Express 7.8 €4.00 backed to win
Could well make the price look very big if putting in a decent shift.

6.30 Kempton Paradise Sea 2.56 €13.00 layed tbp

fto, skimpy price, that's about it really.

7.00 Kempton Lightning Spirit 1.89 €22.00 layed to be placed.
Has never been placed yet, seems better over 7f than 8f and Lingfield performances aren't the best, Kempton may well not bring out the best in this one.

7.30 Kempton Carlitos Spirit 16 €4 backed to win

Ok, this one could, like all selections run a sh1tter, in fairness though there is I feel a decent chance we may see a good run too.

A class 7 0 to 50 HC doesn't take much winning, this lad won a 0 to 75 8f HC ar Beverley off a mark of 60 in July 2010. As recently as August he came 2nd off 55 in a 0 to 65 also at Beverley, a course and distance winner here at Kempton and still not over the hill at 7 must have a chance greater than the Betfair price suggests

7.30 Kempton Spice Fair 2.89 €10.00 layed tbp
Seems to be best over a tad shorter and on turf with it, career high mark to contend with too.

7.30 Kempton Huff And Puff 3.4 €3.42 backed tbp and to win Huff And Puff 10 €4.00

Likes the surface, one win from one run here, stepping up to 16f but perhaps with some decent handling from KF resources can be managed to stay out this trip.

8.00 Kempton Buddy Holly 16 €8.00 backed to win and tbp Buddy Holly 3.35 €4.00.

Favourite, Fascinating has an obvious chance but the price is horrendously short, Buddy Holly I reckon also has a solid chance having won a CD 0 to 70 off 64 in July, back down to 65 here after fruitless efforts off up to 73.

As 'tis a HC, anything can happen so Fascinating 1.25 €20.00 layed tbp

8.30 Kempton Fifty Cents 1.75 €25 layed tbp, I can see this one struggling in the final furlong, hopefully at least three will finish ahead.

8.30 Kempton Beat Route 7.8 €7.00 backed to win
CD 2nd off 68 in a 0 to 70 in April wasn't bad, back down to 65 now, might just have enough, another 5lb off with the jockey.

9.00 Kempton Brandywell Boy 3.9 €10.00 backed tbp and to win Brandywell Boy 16 €5.00

It's been quite a while since this one could contest a 0 to 60 HC, obviously the recent performances haven't been great to allow the mark to slip but they have been in good company. CD winner and the jockey has a great record on the AW so no worries there.

RoverJames

RoverJames wrote: »

3.45 Clonmel Datokepe 7.4 €5.00 backed to win................

2nd

RoverJames wrote: »

4.10 Lingfield Cill Rialaig 3.4 €15.00 backed to win...........

3rd, jockey was woeful I thought

RoverJames wrote: »

4.40 Lingfield Green Wadi 7 €8.75 backed to win...........

Won

RoverJames wrote: »

4.40 Birdolini 2.62 €13.0 layed tbp, untried beyond 8f and seemed better over shorter than that.

unplaced

RoverJames wrote: »

5.10 Lingfield Fedora 2.78 €12.00 layed to be placed.........
Rio Royale 3.43 €5.00 layed tbp
7f a stretch for this one I think.

Karate 9.8 €4.00 backed to win........

Karate unplaced, other two 3rd and 1st respectively

RoverJames wrote: »

5.20 Stratford Orion Express 7.8 €4.00 backed to win
Could well make the price look very big if putting in a decent shift.

2nd

RoverJames wrote: »

6.30 Kempton Paradise Sea 2.56 €13.00 layed tbp......

unplaced

RoverJames wrote: »

7.00 Kempton Lightning Spirit 1.89 €22.00 layed to be placed........

Won :rolleyes:

RoverJames wrote: »

7.30 Kempton Carlitos Spirit 16 €4 backed to win

........

Nope

RoverJames wrote: »

7.30 Kempton Spice Fair 2.89 €10.00 layed tbp
Seems to be best over a tad shorter and on turf with it, career high mark to contend with too.

Won :rolleyes:

RoverJames wrote: »

7.30 Kempton Huff And Puff 3.4 €3.42 backed tbp and to win Huff And Puff 10 €4.00.....

unplaced

RoverJames wrote: »

8.00 Kempton Buddy Holly 16 €8.00 backed to win and tbp Buddy Holly 3.35 €4.00.

Favourite, Fascinating has an obvious chance but the price is horrendously short, Buddy Holly I reckon also has a solid chance having won a CD 0 to 70 off 64 in July, back down to 65 here after fruitless efforts off up to 73.

As 'tis a HC, anything can happen so Fascinating 1.25 €20.00 layed tbp

Buddy Holly 3rd, Fascinating won

RoverJames wrote: »

8.30 Kempton Fifty Cents 1.75 €25 layed tbp, I can see this one struggling in the final furlong, hopefully at least three will finish ahead.

2nd

RoverJames wrote: »

8.30 Kempton Beat Route 7.8 €7.00 backed to win
CD 2nd off 68 in a 0 to 70 in April wasn't bad, back down to 65 now, might just have enough, another 5lb off with the jockey.

unplaced

RoverJames wrote: »

9.00 Kempton Brandywell Boy 3.9 €10.00 backed tbp and to win Brandywell Boy 16 €5.00.........

Nope


-€81.40 today


Of more concern is the overall balance, account is down to €690.53 now, last 12 weeks have been diabolical really.