Horses......... lots of lays

2.45 Wetherby Kings Counsel 2.38 €15.00 backed tbp

showed lto albeit in a voided race that the current mark is viable, trip and ground suits.

3.00 New't Miss Lahar 5.2 €5 backed to win
Zero imagination here, 2nd fav, highest rated, tinge of value due to bf lto.

3.10 Utt Catawollow 3.2 €10 backed to be placed
Viable mark, trip ok, has it to do in this company but in form and price decent

3.20 Wetherby Safari Adventures 3.35 €11.00 backed tbp
Ignoring the recent runs when pulled up this one is value on it's form when finishing races

3.35 Newmarket Miss Topsy Turvy 2.36 €21.00 backed tbp
Only beaten 3/4l in a 0 to 85 lto off 2 lbs lower, should feature here if firing.

4.10 Newmarket Conducting 2.84 €11.00 backed tbp
I think this one might be getting to a mark that's workable with a trip that suits.

4.45 Newmarket
Parc De Launay 3.9 €7.79 backed to win

Not rocket science again :pac:
Price seems decent for the chances at the weights over the trip.

5.05 Wetherby Via Archimede 3.06 €10.00 backed tbp
A mistake or two scuppered effort lto, clear round would put him in with a shout, 0 to 105 a tall ask but 4 tbp in this

5.20 New Orsippus 8 €5.00 backed to win and tbp Orsippus 2.52 €17.0

Wouldn't be a fan of backing NH horses on the flat but this one has good NH form and decent flat form, could well be better than this lot over 2m.

6.10 wton green apple 10 at 5.0 backed tbp. 3rd in a 6f 0 to 85 when outpaced by kid winner and runner up, extra furlong to contend with tonight but its a 0 to 75.

7.10 mj woodward 20 at 2.81, favourable price in comparison to the fav considering what little distance was between them recently

7.40 taxseef 10 at 2.6 backed

8.40 sweet secret 10 at 4.7 backed tbp, won a 61 to 72 8f at Kempton off 4lbs lower, has a place chance at the price.

RoverJames

RoverJames wrote: »

2.45 Wetherby Kings Counsel 2.38 €15.00 backed tbp............

3rd

RoverJames wrote: »

3.00 New't Miss Lahar 5.2 €5 backed to win
Zero imagination here, 2nd fav, highest rated, tinge of value due to bf lto.

3rd

RoverJames wrote: »

3.10 Utt Catawollow 3.2 €10 backed to be placed.......

Unplaced

RoverJames wrote: »

3.20 Wetherby Safari Adventures 3.35 €11.00 backed tbp........

Unplaced

RoverJames wrote: »

3.35 Newmarket Miss Topsy Turvy 2.36 €21.00 backed tbp
................

3rd

RoverJames wrote: »

4.10 Newmarket Conducting 2.84 €11.00 backed tbp..........

2nd

RoverJames wrote: »

4.45 Newmarket
Parc De Launay 3.9 €7.79 backed to win

..........

3rd

RoverJames wrote: »

5.05 Wetherby Via Archimede 3.06 €10.00 backed tbp.......

Unplaced

RoverJames wrote: »

5.20 New Orsippus 8 €5.00 backed to win and tbp Orsippus 2.52 €17.0........

Unplaced

RoverJames wrote: »

6.10 wton green apple 10 at 5.0 backed tbp. ............

Unplaced

RoverJames wrote: »

7.10 mj woodward 20 at 2.81, favourable price in comparison to the fav considering what little distance was between them recently

2nd

RoverJames wrote: »

7.40 taxseef 10 at 2.6 backed

Unplaced

RoverJames wrote: »

8.40 sweet secret 10 at 4.7 backed tbp..............

2nd


+€50.07 today

Mixed feelings, not a lay in site

2.05 Newmarket Irish Flame 3.2 €10 backed tbp

Interesting race, Ecliptic is priced to bolt up, nothing he has done to date justifies the price though. Secrecy who is rated much of a muchness with Ecliptic has failed to win a few times when short priced.

Irish Flame comes here after coming down in the ratings, also down in trip, some of the 10f efforts in better company suggested 10f was a stretch, it may have been the better company too of course, one wouldn't be a nutter to see the value here in the place price, I reckon this contest is wide open, which the betting doesn't mirror.

2.30 Ascot Baseball Ted 2.4 €17.50 backed tbp
In great form, actual HC mark would be ok, little niggle about contesting a race of this quality ( 0 to 150 ) but that's HCing :pac:

2.55 Ayr Pacey Outswinger 3.7 €12.00 backed tbp

2 1/4l 4th lto in similar race on soft ground off same mark, might well find conditions today to please.

4.25 Newmarket Dux Scholar 3.85 €15.0 backed to win

This one has a right good chance today, lto trip wasn't ideal, before that the ground wasn't firm enough. Today I feel everything drops right, all going well this consistent horse should out in a right effort and I feel it might well be enough.

5.00 Newmarket Rash Judgement 3.77 €10.00 backed tbp

down to a workable mark, 7f is an unknown quantity, often seems to be lacking the pace over 6f though and there is 8f+ in the pedigree, juicy enough place price and 4 tbp, seems fair enough.

6.20 W'ton Riflessione 1 0 at 3.65 backed tbp, has been placed and very close to the winner in similar races off this mark, looks overpriced.

7.20 W'ton Chookie Avon 3.28 €15.00 backed tbp and to win Chookie Avon 12 €5.00

lto wasn't bad at all, beaten 2l here off this mark in an 8 1/2 f contest, this 7f trip much more suitable so I reckon this one has a very decent chance.

7.50 W'ton Bavarian Princess 2.86 €11.00 backed tbp
lto effort was decent enough, off 64 here, might be anchored but is there such a thing in a proper HC :pac:

8.50 W'ton Dream Of Fortune 4.8 €9.09 backed tbp

Potent animal around here at the trip, stats suggest 50/50 chance of coming home placed, has done so off this mark too, I'l take 4.8 happily on it

RoverJames

RoverJames wrote: »

2.05 Newmarket Irish Flame 3.2 €10 backed tbp..........

Unplaced

RoverJames wrote: »

2.30 Ascot Baseball Ted 2.4 €17.50 backed tbp.........

Unplaced

RoverJames wrote: »

2.55 Ayr Pacey Outswinger 3.7 €12.00 backed tbp............

2nd

RoverJames wrote: »

4.25 Newmarket Dux Scholar 3.85 €15.0 backed to win.........

2nd

RoverJames wrote: »

5.00 Newmarket Rash Judgement 3.77 €10.00 backed tbp...........

Unplaced

RoverJames wrote: »

6.20 W'ton Riflessione 1 0 at 3.65 backed tbp...........

Unplaced

RoverJames wrote: »

7.20 W'ton Chookie Avon 3.28 €15.00 backed tbp and to win Chookie Avon 12 €5.00 .........

Won

RoverJames wrote: »

7.50 W'ton Bavarian Princess 2.86 €11.00 backed tbp............

3rd, edit, won actually

RoverJames wrote: »

8.50 W'ton Dream Of Fortune 4.8 €9.09 backed tbp..........

3rd

+€105.48 today
No lays again.

RoverJames

RoverJames wrote: »

4th 4 week term concludes
From Sun 11th September to Sat 8th Oct..........

5th 4 week term has another week in it, I reckon I'll wrap this one up at month end and proceed with monthly tallies from then on, 'tis a tad confusing otherwise :pac:

2.25 Huntingdon Nesnaas 4.15 €10.00 backed tbp
Tasty (relative to the price) chase form over similar trips in the not too dstant past off higher marks..

26Jul11 Wor 16Gd C5HcCh 1K 11-12 3/11 (2¼L Crack At Dawn 11-1) tb 8/1 Danny Cook 90

03Jul11 Mar 18GF C4HcCh 2K 10-12 3/7 (5¾L Stagecoach Amber 11-12) 7/1

3.35 Huntingdon Absolute Shambles €10.00 backed tbp
Recent CD form in a 0 to 95, this tougher but back down the weight so has a decent chance. Four tbp on Betfair too so tasty tasty me thinks, well I hope as I've gone SP :pac: 3.15 at the moment to back.
That's it for today.

RoverJames

RoverJames wrote: »

2.25 Huntingdon Nesnaas 4.15 €10.00 backed tbp...........

RoverJames wrote: »

3.35 Huntingdon Absolute Shambles €10.00 backed tbp.........

Both unplaced.

-€20 today

2.40 Kempton E Major tbp €5 at SP
Won ltlo, up 10lbs to a mark it saw as a novice, didn't perform at it then at Cheltenham but could well defy the mark now. Might be 4.0 SP.


2.50 W'ton Carnac €10 at 3.7 tbp
This horse has won at Southwell over the 14f trip, also placed 2nd here at W'ton off 54 in a 0 to 60, decently priced considering I think.

5.00 W'ton Kidlat 10 at 5.5 backed tbp. More often than not placed when tried over course and distance, price a tad fat in my book.