Horses......... lots of lays

8.20 Killarney Good Decision 1.95 €5.00 backed tbp

Trip and ground ideal, slight concern about the mark of 104 in with this lot though.

8.30 Yarmouth Destiny Blue 2.14 €0.05 & 2.14 €6.95 laid tbp

Woeful 10f form off this sort of mark.

8.40 S'well
Positivity 2.88 €10.00 tbp

CD and nicely weighted I feel amongst this field

8.50 Killarney Jewel In The Sun 1.36 €15.0 laid tbp

well beaten lto over this trip, good ground will help the cause and 4 tbp but I reckon the lay place is the way to go.

9.00 Yar Corr Point 2.42 €9.00 tbp

Great chance at the weights

9.10 S'well Co Dependent 3.15 €7.00 backed tbp

Goes on the Aw and reasonably rated, huge place chance, stays too and has won at shorter trips.

+ €19.57 today

6.10 Killarney Sceal Nua 2.8 €4.00 laid

Three reasons
- up in weights for lto win
- up a furlong, should suit though as stayed on well lto, never know though
- I reckon the ground is firmer than good and the horse has better form on good to yielding than on good to firm.

6.30 Worcester Kayfontaine 1.36 €8.00 laid to be placed

Could be anything really, I decent nhf race and the debut was woeful. Well worth laying.

6.40 Killarney Extra Steps 2.82 €6.00 backed to be placed and to win.. Extra Steps 8.4 €4.00

Enjoyed the step up to a mile lto when 2nd, bunch finish but many runners, none of this field stand out as being exceptionally suited to the trip but this one tempts me off a reasonable and proven mark at a decent price.

6.50 Sandown Bless You 3.6 €4.0 laid

dropped to 5f for HC debut off topweight, wouldn't back it.

7.00 Wor Watch Out 2.34 €2.27 & 2.34 €2.73 laid tbp

Better over the larger obstacles, mad short price even with 4 places.

7.00 Wor Risk Challenge 6.4 €4.00 backed to win

Really like this one's credentials, rated ok, likes the trip and the ground and in good form.

7.10 Killarney Our Gar 3.75 €4.00 laid to win.

Well beaten on previous chase efforts, fav on hurdles form me thinks.

7.50 Killarney Fortune Seeker 3.75 €6.00 backed tbp.

I would like to think the 2f step up in trip rather than the weight hikeage was his undoing last time out, would like it softer but for the place that shouldn't be a deal breaker.

+€25.45 today.

8.40 Don JoBurg 2.8 €6.00 tbp and to win JoBurg 8.4 €4.00

Very good run a year ago in a much better race, nk 2nd to a higher rated 2/1 fav.

8.50 Epsom Empress Charlotte 3.25 €6.00 laid

This is a much better race than the 8f debut last time out.

laid tbp too, Empress Charlotte 1.5 €10.00

8.55 Leop Bob Le Beau 2.88 €5.00 laid

Top rated but that would be on form over shorter trips, might well stay but I wouldn't bet on it

9.00 BAth Running Mate 2 €11.00 backed tbp

Rock of consistency of this sort of rating over this trip.

9.10 Don Goal 11 €4.00 backed to win and tbp....... Goal 3.1 €6.00

Good effort lto off same rating (68) in a similar class of race over this trip, very very generous price.

+ €7.71 today

3.15 Nottingham Musical Valley 1.76 €2.28 & 1.76 €7.72

Backed to be placed, nothing profound about this, highest rated, although for 2yos that's not really overly meaningful. Hadn't a clear run lto over this trip though so better expected.

3.25 Haydock Tom Sawyer 42 €4.00 to win and tbp.......... 8.2 €4.00 & 8.4 €2.28

No sniggering now :pac:

This is a class 4 0 to 85 HC, my selection is topweight but clearly a huge price, fair efforts over 5f and on the AW over 6f and then a seemingly woeful lto 8th of 11 beater 10L effort. However that was class 3 0-95HC were he was eased after losing his place with the leaders a furlong out. There are signs that 6f may be a stretch but it may well be a class thing too. At topweight at the huge price I fancy it

3.40 Haydock Factory Time 1.82 €10.00 laid tbp

Has form over the distance but not at this level, a fair bit to do to get involved me thinks.


Caspar Netscher 2.04 €10.00 backed tbp

Has decent form at the trip and this level, backed to win too Caspar Netscher 5.8 €6.00

3.50 Nottingham Oriental Scot 4.8 €10.00 backed to win and to be placed.

A mile 0to85 on good to firm, going off 84 here, horse's form over this trip on such ground is ..........

Thi 8Gd C2Hc 12K 8-13 9/15 (5L Justonefortheroad 8-8) 7/1
that was a 0 to 100 class 2 handicap

and

Don 8Gd C2Hc 24K 9-5 7/22 (10½L Eton Forever 9-7) 16/1

.........

...04Sep10 Thi 8GF C33yHc 6K 8-9 1/7 (3L Aquarian Spirit 8-2) 4/1

Should be well there at the finish

4.00 Haydock Mahubo 7.8 €5.00 backed

2nd best on the ratings, price is too big for him over this trip

4.15 Newbury Countermarch 7 €6.00tbp

Best effort so far was over 9f on the AW, 6f & 8f efforts on GS were less impressive. This is a weak handicap and 10f should suit.

Not my fecking day today :mad:

4.25 Nottingham Urban Kode 2.44 €10.00 laid

10f should be ideal but on the ratings this one shouldn't be this price.

4.35 HAydock Dark Dune 10.5 €10.00 backed

Raised 3lbs to 72 after a win over this trip, has work to do stepped up in class against this lot but having won over the trip is a huge plus.

Have laid both of the fancied ones too.....

Captain Brown 2.88 €20.00
Colour Vision 2.74 €20.00

Only won of them can win and they can both lose.

4.45 Newbury Even Bolder 3.3 €10.00 backed to be placed and to win
Even Bolder 13 €4.53 & 13 €5.47

Things aren't going to plan today but I reckon this lad is a great bet, a 0 to 70 5f HC on GF and the selection is topweight off 70. Lto came shd 2nd off 70 in a 0 to 75 5f HC on GF, also came 2nd off 73 in a 0 to 85 5f HC.

However when one is having a sh1tter one has a sh1tter :rolleyes:
Still though, see no reason why he's this big a price.

4.55 Corvette 24 €4.00 backed to win and tbp Corvette 5.2 €6.00

tasty 10f form on GF in a 0 to 75 HC

Bold Marc 6.2 €15.00

Struggled to get that last post out, fav was too short and the selection was of those highest up the handicap the only one with decent form over the distance.

5.20 Newbury Udabaa 1.53 €20.00 laid tbp

A non runner so 3 of the 7 placed on Betfair hence the seemingly short price, it's a 0 to 95 over 10f and he's rated 92, lto in a 0 to 100 he was beaten 2.25l by a 95 rated rival crossing the line a nose behind the 89 rated 2/1 fav. On the bare figures he has a great chance, but 2 to 1 on tbp is not value, even with 3 places up for grabs.

5.50 Newmarket Kalendar Girl 1.73 €12.00 laid tbp

Number of non runners, 4tbp on Betfair. This yoke is fancied as it stayed on in an 8f race, a bit if and but for my liking so I'm laying it. Woeful race this is.

6.10 Ham Hits Only Jude 4 €6.00 backed

Won an admiitedly weak 0 to 70 over CD lto on similar ground, this is a 0 to 60 so has a huge chance on the bare facts. them facts will do for me.

6.20 Newmarket Parley 1.69 €13.00 laid tbp

Decent debut on the AW over this trip, turf is another kettle of fish though, looney place price.

6.35 Pon Vital Gold 1.41 €20.00 laid tbp

Much the same as many of my place lay selections, too short, ifs and buts, plenty of unknowns in the field.

6.45 HAm Half A Billion 1.11 €25.56 & 1.11 €44.44

LAid tbp

Haven't even read the form tbh, looney price for anything to do anything :pac:

6.50 Killbeggan South Wing 1.72 €15.00 laid tbp

Would be surprised if this yoke defied the HCers efforrts over this trip

7.15 Ham Arch Walker 3.8 €10.00 backed

Worthy fav, 6f 0 to 65 HC on GF, selection won a similar race in Newcastle off 60, beating the evens fav topweight fav. Decent form, this is a poor race, clear ice has never won on turf and the rest look not too attractive to back.

-€17.53 today

1.40 Ripon First Bid 2.18 €4.00 laid

lto effort suggests that 6f is not this horses ideal trip, now I can't find anything in the field that seems overly capable at 6f either but the best of a bad lot at that price is a lay for me.

2.15 Ripon Kimbali 2.06 €5.00 wasn't overly impressive lto, market reckons he'll improve though. I think the weather there won't help him and the ground seems softer than GF, another lay.

2.20 Newbury Deacon Blues 1.67 €4.00 laid tbp

Just don't think this lad is remotely classy enough for this. Too big to lay to win though in saying that.

2.35 Ripon Wild Coco 1.82 €4.00 laid

Same as above lay, don't think this one is good enough amongst these, price well worth opposing. On ratings it's 10th of 11.

2.55 Newbury Belle Royle

No bets placed as yet as I imagine they'll be getting bigger on Betfair closer to the off, currently 2.9 place and 10.0 win.

Really fancy this ones chances here off 91, lto in a 0 to 95 HC over 8f the selection camea neck 2nd off 89 to the 9/4 fav who was rated 86. 1 length clear of the 3rd horse, raised 2lbs for that. Goes on GF but won't mind if the going is easier.

Belle Royale 3.2 €10.00 tbp
Belle Royale 12 €1.85 & 12 €2.15 to win