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Lay of the Day Thread

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  • 19-08-2011 2:26pm
    #1
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭


    Thought it'd be a good idea to post this thread,similar to fancies for today but lays that you fancy.

    Hoof It 3.40 York 3.65

    I've been saying it for a while I think he's a crazy price for a horse having his first try in anything about handicap company. May well win but I'd rather be a layer than a backer in this case.


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    #2
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Was never in the race. If only they were all like that


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    #3
    mixed up
    Registered Users Posts: 493 ✭✭mixed up


    Well done mate never in doubt.I love these threads i hope it lasts.


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    #4
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    I do hope people will join in.


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    #5
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Free World 4.25 Ballinrobe 4.1

    This is a crazy price for a horse who's won once over fences. Unseated at the first for his new trainer last time and his form figures are uninspiring. This race isn't particularly strong but I'd lay him all day before backing him.


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    #6
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Good idea.

    14:00 Newton Abbot Class 4 Novices Hurdle
    Lay He's Our Lad evens on BF which looks too short when Businessmoney Judi is 2/1, I'm sure if her failure LTO (in handicap coming after 2 novice wins over hurdles including beating American Ladie ) hadn't happened she'd be the hot favourite and so I'd prefer to trust she'll bounce back than back the favourite.


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    #7
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Thanks Mike. Now available to lay at 4


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    #8
    ILOVEMCLOVIN
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6 ✭ILOVEMCLOVIN


    Nice start, hopefully you will make it 2/2 :)


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    #9
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    mike65 wrote: »
    Good idea.

    14:00 Newton Abbot Class 4 Novices Hurdle
    Lay He's Our Lad evens on BF which looks too short when Businessmoney Judi is 2/1, I'm sure if her failure LTO (in handicap coming after 2 novice wins over hurdles including beating American Ladie ) hadn't happened she'd be the hot favourite and so I'd prefer to trust she'll bounce back than back the favourite.

    That was who I was going to pick actually


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    #10
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Thanks McLovin


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    #11
    Eire-Dearg
    Registered Users Posts: 8,900 ✭✭✭Eire-Dearg


    New to laying but there isn't much financial advantage to it is there?


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    #12
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    It all depends really. In theory,it's safer than backing to win. That said,if you're laying large priced horses you'll get stung bad,so I try to lay shorter priced horses. It can often lose,but it's limited liability compared to laying a 50/1 shot if it came in


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    #13
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    UrbanSea wrote: »
    That was who I was going to pick actually

    Pick to win or pick to lay? I think using BACK or LAY rather than pick is wise on this thread :)


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    #14
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Haha my apologies. To lay


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    #15
    Oscars Well.
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,285 ✭✭✭Oscars Well.


    Good luck with the thread!


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    #16
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Oscar haven't seen you since Cheltenham


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    #17
    Oscars Well.
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,285 ✭✭✭Oscars Well.


    Just having a nice relaxing summer :D. I'll be back for another few Grade 1's soon :p.


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    #18
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    mike65 wrote: »
    Good idea.

    14:00 Newton Abbot Class 4 Novices Hurdle
    Lay He's Our Lad evens on BF which looks too short when Businessmoney Judi is 2/1, I'm sure if her failure LTO (in handicap coming after 2 novice wins over hurdles including beating American Ladie ) hadn't happened she'd be the hot favourite and so I'd prefer to trust she'll bounce back than back the favourite.

    Businessmoney Judi wins and He's Our Lad didn't finish. :)


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    #19
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Nice call mike. Free World wins. You still would have had to be bonkers to back him I think


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    #20
    Oscars Well.
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,285 ✭✭✭Oscars Well.


    Forever My Friend 3.3 19:00 Hereford
    The favourite (Jive Master) will be hard to beat I'd say after a good debut over hurdles. Forever My Friend is too short for a horse making his hurdling debut against a 2 time bumper winner who ran second on hurdling debut.


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    #21
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Grand Lahou 4.55 Hereford 2.62

    A modest handicap chaser who is dropping back to novice hurdle company for the first time since 2008. Has had a recent run over fences so he's fit,but Eastlake looks progressive and won first time up over hurdles. If he's fit after a break he could be a good bet.


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    #22
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Lads something weird here in the 4.45 Kempton...BF have it 2/1 on fav while 9/4 in the bookies with evens bar and its 6/1 in the bookies bar.

    I;ve just layed the life of the fave at 1.5 but can back at 9/4


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    #23
    Oscars Well.
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,285 ✭✭✭Oscars Well.


    Well done Urban, McCoy comes out on top in a finish again.


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    #24
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Thanks Oscar. You should have seen that Kempton race on BF,I couldn't believe it :eek:


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    #25
    Oscars Well.
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,285 ✭✭✭Oscars Well.


    I hope you made yourself a few bob! :D


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    #26
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Aw I made sure of it.


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    #27
    Oscars Well.
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,285 ✭✭✭Oscars Well.


    Oscars Well. wrote: »
    Forever My Friend 3.3 19:00 Hereford
    The favourite (Jive Master) will be hard to beat I'd say after a good debut over hurdles. Forever My Friend is too short for a horse making his hurdling debut against a 2 time bumper winner who ran second on hurdling debut.
    Jive Master wins and Forever My Friend only 3rd :D.


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    #28
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Jasus we're good! :D


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    #29
    Oscars Well.
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,285 ✭✭✭Oscars Well.


    We'll be millionaires by Christmas :pac:


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    #30
    UrbanSea
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    Hope so :P


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    #31
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    14:45 Sedgefield Aggora Novices' Hurdle(Qualifier) (4) 2m1f

    Bullet Man currently about 2/1, this is my fav type of lay, a débutante over the sticks
    going up against a winner with scope for improvement - Art Broker. He was poor LTO fading away badly and in a different parish as Bhaltair crossed the line but look past that and he easily has the form to win this.


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