The Football / Soccer Tips Thread

seklly

clearodara wrote: »

Hey lads, good looking bet tomorrow in the Slovakian League. Top of the table Trnava are away to rock bottom Presov who only have one win in 13 games. Trnava are 10/11 for the away win. Looks a pretty decent bet considering the circumstances.

Yeah it looks like they should prob win maybe 1 or 2 nil.

Presov have only scored once in the last 6 matches at home, but have also only conceded 6, while Trnava have only scored 8 in their last 6 away matches so it points to a low scoring match i reckon.

Trnava also seem to be missing 2 first teamers, providing google translates knowledge of slovakian is correct!!

Lasagna Diarra

clearodara wrote: »

Hey lads, good looking bet tomorrow in the Slovakian League. Top of the table Trnava are away to rock bottom Presov who only have one win in 13 games. Trnava are 10/11 for the away win. Looks a pretty decent bet considering the circumstances.

Presov have lost 4 of their last 5 games by the same scoreline : 1-0, and Trnava have won 3 of their last 5 games 1-0

Presov not to score is at 2.10, I'll take that.

mike65

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Their predictions are in the TIP column, not sure what the figures in the 1 X and 2 columns mean though.

Cheers, I think the 1 X 2 numbers are - home win/draw/away win "weighting" based on form

Porto (1) v Ferreira (11) 61 (home win) 11 (draw) 6 (away win) with 1 (tip home win)

AdrianII

Going with
Huddersfield / Sapmdoria / chelsea / dynamo dresden to win 12/1

AdrianII

mike65 wrote: »

Cheers, I think the 1 X 2 numbers are - home win/draw/away win "weighting" based on form

Porto (1) v Ferreira (11) 61 (home win) 11 (draw) 6 (away win) with 1 (tip home win)

1 - home
X - draw
2 - away

1X is home win or draw
2x is away win or draw

i think

mike65

Here is another example of Poisson distribution predictions, but this one adds in a value rating for the pick

Rubin Kazan vs Rostselmash X2 (away/draw) 21.0 (value) odds home 1.30/ draw 4.70/ away 10.00 so it looks like the double chance is a high value bet.

http://zaloji.net/

Lasagna Diarra

mike65 wrote: »

Here is another example of Poisson distribution predictions, but this one adds in a value rating for the pick

Rubin Kazan vs Rostselmash X2 (away/draw) 21.0 (value) odds home 1.30/ draw 4.70/ away 10.00 so it looks like the double chance is a high value bet.

http://zaloji.net/

Dont know what to think of that website, they think Porto will lose, CSKA Moscow and Plzen will not win...

EDIT: and Man City not to win vs Wolves wtf...

mike65

I agree there are some strange win predictions but when you add in the value weighting I can see where its coming from. You will loose plenty of bets but if the stake reflects the "value" then it might pay over time, clearly its one for singles and a large bank.

warder6161

Football Matches
Russia Premier League
CSKA Moscow v Spartak Nalchik
28th of Oct 2011 4:15 pm
Alternative Handicap
CSKA Moscow (-1.0) @ 8/11
Pending

Selection Selection Details Result
2
Football Matches
Russia Premier League
Rubin Kazan v FK Rostov
28th of Oct 2011 2:00 pm
Handicap Betting
Rubin Kazan (-1.0) @ evens
50 pays 172

Football Matches
Russia Premier League
Rubin Kazan v FK Rostov
28th of Oct 2011 2:00 pm
Alternative Handicap
Rubin Kazan (-2.0) @ 11/4
Pending

Selection Selection Details Result
2
Football Matches
Russia Premier League
CSKA Moscow v Spartak Nalchik
28th of Oct 2011 4:15 pm
Handicap Betting
CSKA Moscow (-2.0) @ 2/1
Pending
30 pays 340

MoscowFlyer

Ov 3.5 bookings in the Freiburg/Leverkusen match could be promising

MARCO FRITZ is in charge, lowest card count this season has been 4.

http://www.soccerway.com/referees/marco-fritz/48801/

baddebt

for the weekend I've gone for :
Norwich, Swansea, Rangers, Marseille, Cologne, Uidenese.

wp_rathead

Card Index:

Over 45 points Everton V Man Utd @13/5

bit risky with Halsey in charge as he not to fond of the yellows but these games are generally robust, could easily see 4 or 5 yellows

Warper

Was in a PP shop and they had even money that there would be a goal in every EPL game tomorrow (Sat only). There are 8 games on asfaik. The last 0-0 i see was on the 24/09/11 WBA v Fulham. Is this good value????

Saturday, 29 October 2011
Everton v Man Utd, 12:00
Chelsea v Arsenal, 12:45
Man City v Wolverhampton, 15:00
Norwich v Blackburn, 15:00
Sunderland v Aston Villa, 15:00
Swansea v Bolton, 15:00
Wigan v Fulham, 15:00
West Brom v Liverpool, 17:30

wp_rathead

Warper wrote: »

Was in a PP shop and they had even money that there would be a goal in every EPL game tomorrow (Sat only). There are 8 games on asfaik. The last 0-0 i see was on the 24/09/11 WBA v Fulham. Is this good value????

Saturday, 29 October 2011
Norwich v Blackburn, 15:00
Swansea v Bolton, 15:00
Wigan v Fulham, 15:00

these 3 could be 0-0
is this bet in shop only?

Edit: but to answer your question, this is very good value, basically an accum of over 0.5 goals in 8 games @evens, happy days

mike65

Norwich v Blackburn, 15:00 - Norwich can attack well, as can Blackburn at times (see Wednesday)
Swansea v Bolton, 15:00 - Swansea are scoring goals
Wigan v Fulham, 15:00 - Wigan are very soft at the back.

refusetolose

gone with a wild one for tomorow

Man united
arsenal
cork city

10 pays nearly 300

El Horseboxo

Warper wrote: »

Was in a PP shop and they had even money that there would be a goal in every EPL game tomorrow (Sat only). There are 8 games on asfaik. The last 0-0 i see was on the 24/09/11 WBA v Fulham. Is this good value????

Saturday, 29 October 2011
Everton v Man Utd, 12:00
Chelsea v Arsenal, 12:45
Man City v Wolverhampton, 15:00
Norwich v Blackburn, 15:00
Sunderland v Aston Villa, 15:00
Swansea v Bolton, 15:00
Wigan v Fulham, 15:00
West Brom v Liverpool, 17:30

Well it's better value than doing over 0.5 goals in an accumulator. That works out at 1.49 on bet365 for the saturday games. And only 1.66 when you include the 2 saturday games.

I can see a goal in each game. Think after the mid week Carling cup games there might be a few lapses in judgment at the back in teams. I actually wouldn't be surprised if every team scored on Saturday.

Gavin "shels"

Sligo Rovers -1, Shamrock Rovers -1, Man City -1, Man Utd, Crawley, Swindon and Sheff Utd 14/1 any opinions?

Headshot

Gavin any news about Rovers lineup?

Gavin "shels"

None, keep an eye here http://extratime.ie/fixtures/detail/12687/1/

mike65

The team are being awarded the championship trophy after the game so I'm pretty sure they'll want to sign off with a good win.

That 14/1 looks pretty good, you could swap Shef Utd for Wednesday away against Wycombe Wandrs for better value

Gavin "shels"

mike65 wrote: »

That 14/1 looks pretty good, you could swap Shef Utd for Wednesday away against Wycombe Wandrs for better value

Not a fan of backing away teams, cheers for the input though.

Headshot

Gavin shels wrote: »

Not a fan of backing away teams, cheers for the input though.

Gavin will you reply here if Rovers have their full strength team or not please

Gavin "shels"

Headshot wrote: »

Gavin will you reply here if Rovers have their full strength team or not please

I will if you give me your opinion on my 14/1 bet on the other page.:D

Headshot

Gavin shels wrote: »

Sligo Rovers -1, Shamrock Rovers -1, Man City -1, Man Utd, Crawley, Swindon and Sheff Utd 14/1 any opinions?

Gavin shels wrote: »

I will if you give me your opinion on my 14/1 bet on the other page.:D

black mailing fecker

Id be unsure on sligo because they have nothing to play for, any other day of the week they should get that -1 but will they be really up for it ?

Rovers - have to see the team
city looks good for it
man utd look dodgy to me, they havent performed that well as of late and Everton is a hard place to go
I dont have a clue on crawley, swindon and sheff utd, sorry

Gavin "shels"

Ye a few people said Man Utd were dodge. Them out and it's a nice 7/1+ accum.

Nuri Sahin

El LoCo Ade wrote: »

All over CSKA on the handicap, -1 @ 10/11 and -2 @ 5/2 in the afternoon.

Nom nom nom nom nom

Fizbo

Really fancy Shamrock Rovers to hammer Galway tonight ..With the size of Rovers squad even if they start a second team it will still be a very good side as they have so many options in each position ..(Kilduff, O Neill , Dennehey , Rice , Turner etc..)
Also it will be the party atmosphere , the place will be buzzing and they will want to sign off with a nice win , and with them in Europe the players will want to play as well as possible to get into the squad for the European game to be in the "Shop Window " or to tie up a contract for next season.
I can see a scoreline or 6-0 + and Galway getting a man sent off
(btw I dont support Rovers , i'm a Bohs fan so i am not being bias )
Have a good amount on the -4 at 23/10 . I was in Ladbrokes and PP looking for -5 but neither would give me odds on it :S ..Does anyone know where I could get odds on it ?

Nuri Sahin

Pacos de Ferreira haven't won away from home in Primeira Liga since February and will be languishing nearer the bottom of the table come the seasons end.

Porto are Porto :pac:

Porto -2 @ evens

MoscowFlyer

Gavin shels wrote: »

Ye a few people said Man Utd were dodge. Them out and it's a nice 7/1+ accum.

Everton did go to Extra Time on Wed night and lost.

I fancy Man Utd to do the business on Sat