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Ex Katia storm thread - TECHNICAL DISCUSSION, FORECASTS AND OBSERVATIONS ONLY!

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    #602
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Slightly further southeast and slightly weaker at 6 hours.


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    #603
    howlinwolf
    Registered Users Posts: 332 ✭✭howlinwolf


    have to say i think here in the south east it will be a bit of a non event the winds we had yesterday from the first low will probably be stronger than what we get tonight/tomorrow. sounds like the west and north could be hit hard hope veryone out there stays safe


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    #604
    skelliser
    Registered Users Posts: 2,985 ✭✭✭skelliser


    well we have had strong winds and some big gusts constantly since friday here in galway!!


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    #605
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    A fairly decent shift to the east at 18 hours but less intense than the 06Z.


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    #606
    Harps
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    Further east and weaker up to 18h


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    #607
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    GFS 12z UPGRADE of sorts

    Downgrades intensity again, but i think delays the intensifications.

    Places center decent bit further south. Also accelerates its track east.

    Big change for so close.

    Recommended action - Look at the satellite pics!


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    #608
    Harps
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    Further south but weaker, central pressure only 975 now. Should affect more of the country but not as strong for those of us in the north west

    gfs-0-24_hsn9.png


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    #609
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    12z doesnt get the storm much below 970mbar and filling as approaching Scotland to just sub 975mb

    Wind field more expansive.

    More widespread gusts but less intense across the northwest districts.

    Rtavn241.png


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    #610
    Radharc na Sleibhte
    Registered Users Posts: 2,534 ✭✭✭Radharc na Sleibhte


    Fairly calm here in Sligo at the moment........ .......... ..........


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    #611
    Tactical
    Registered Users Posts: 1,542 ✭✭✭Tactical


    Its very like a lovely autumn evening here in West Limerick.

    Nice and breezy, dry (been a great day for getting the washing dry!) and grey. All we're missing are the leaves falling off the trees and the lovely brown colours they turn during autumn.

    Gonna start monitoring the sat pics and Met Eireann weather radar, keeping fingers crossed for some pretty nice winds (and of course everybody staying safe).

    Feels a bit like snow watch during the winter, hope there are no wind shields deployed ;):D


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    #612
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    ala 12z i would expect more widespread gusts above 60mph inland over Ireland. Northern Ireland will see more widespread gusts to 75mph even inland. 80mph along coasts.


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    #613
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    The considerable changes on the GFS between 12Z and 6Z at 0-24 hours just shows how uncertain the exact track/intensity/speed of this is.


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    #614
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    maquiladora wrote: »
    The considerable changes on the GFS between 12Z and 6Z at 0-24 hours just shows how uncertain the exact track/intensity/speed of this is.

    Yea, the speed difference is very big. The 6z had this moving alot slower east. Sig differences for such a small timeframe.


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    #615
    je55ie
    Closed Accounts Posts: 423 ✭✭je55ie


    Is there links to follow it on Satellite ?


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    #616
    Harps
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    www.sat24.com

    Just coming in to view now


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    #617
    Solair
    Closed Accounts Posts: 7,230 ✭✭✭Solair


    The wind's definitely picking up here in Cork City at the moment. There's a kind of strange blustery quality to it.

    Any idea what time the Katia system is due to be over us / near us?


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    #618
    the drifter
    Closed Accounts Posts: 7,348 ✭✭✭the drifter


    Breezy here just outside limerick city...suns out...overall a nice afternoon...seem to have and odly quite feel to it...


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    #619
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    NAE 12z

    Again further south and again showing the storm losing a few MB's.

    Widespread high winds. Gusts inland 60-70mph. Upto 80mph on coasts of the northwest and north.

    11091209_1112.gif

    11091212_1112.gif


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    #620
    Redsunset
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    174036.JPG


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    #621
    howlinwolf
    Registered Users Posts: 332 ✭✭howlinwolf


    maybe we will see some stormy weather after all down here in south east:)


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    #622
    tu2j2
    Registered Users Posts: 111 ✭✭tu2j2


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    We are currently between stage 1 and 2 with a classic hammer head cloud structure appearing in satellite imagery.

    This link shows a nice development of what your talking about

    http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html

    I think :pac:


    The Met Eireann rainfall radar shows some rain sweeping in from the south west at the moment too.


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    #623
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    12Z UKMO is also further east and weaker at 18 hours.


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    #624
    kn
    Registered Users Posts: 3,867 ✭✭✭kn


    Radharc na Sleibhte wrote: »
    Fairly calm here in Sligo at the moment........ .......... ..........
    Postively dead calm in Kerry.......


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    #625
    Winger_PL
    Registered Users Posts: 295 ✭✭Winger_PL


    What's the best place to be tomorrow at 10am then, will Achill Island be enough or should we aim further north like Malin Head?


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    #626
    je55ie
    Closed Accounts Posts: 423 ✭✭je55ie


    kn wrote: »
    Postively dead calm in Kerry.......

    Yes very much so, was small bit windy this morning but now there isn't a thing


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    #627
    Min
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,550 ✭✭✭Min


    It will be very windy here whatever happens, high ground exposed to the SW, W and NW.


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    #628
    anoble66
    Registered Users Posts: 1,096 ✭✭✭anoble66


    pretty much no wind here right now, dry and not much of a cloud in sight. Off for a couple of pints, I hope to see 60 knots and lashing rain upon my return :)


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    #629
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Winger_PL wrote: »
    What's the best place to be tomorrow at 10am then, will Achill Island be enough or should we aim further north like Malin Head?

    Right now, I'd say Erris Head between 8-9am. But the speed and track of this thing is not certain yet.


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    #630
    howlinwolf
    Registered Users Posts: 332 ✭✭howlinwolf


    if ye have enough pints you will see it no matter what the weather :)


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    #631
    RobitTV
    Registered Users Posts: 4,517 ✭✭✭RobitTV


    West Scotland webcam with weather details

    http://www.isleofskyeweather.org.uk/24elgol/wxcam.php


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