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Official Free Money Betting Superthread 2011/12

1121315171831

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,071 ✭✭✭✭wp_rathead


    wprathead wrote: »
    Scarlets vs Glasgow
    Glasgow +11 @ 10/11

    Scarlets in Rabo at home:
    Only vs Aironi and Edinburgh would they have beaten the 11point handicap.

    Glasgow in Rabo away:
    Won all but one +11 away handicaps (bar Vs Ulster)

    Past meetings (Glasgow +11 won all):
    April 2011- Glasgow 29-37 Scarlets
    October 2010- Scarlets 18-14 Glasgow
    May 2010- Scarlets 32-37 Glasgow
    Sept 2009- Glasgow 19-11 Scarlets
    FT: Scarlets 16-14 Glasgow
    Like a boss:cool::cool:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭PhatPiggins


    wprathead wrote: »
    Scarlets vs Glasgow
    Glasgow +11 @ 10/11

    Scarlets in Rabo at home:
    Sun 04/09/11 RP Scarlets 32 - 9 Aironi View (23 point win)
    Sat 24/09/11 RP Scarlets 10 - 15 Leinster (5 point loss)
    Fri 07/10/11 RP Scarlets 33 - 17 Edinburgh (16 points win)
    Sat 29/10/11 RP Scarlets 24 - 17 Ulster (7 point win)
    Fri 25/11/11 RP Scarlets 22 - 12 Newport Gwent Dragons (10 point win)
    Mon 26/12/11 RP Scarlets 22 - 14 Ospreys (8 point win)

    Only vs Aironi and Edinburgh would they have beaten the 11point handicap.

    Glasgow in Rabo away:
    Fri 02/09/11 RP Ulster 28 - 14 Glasgow Warriors (14 point loss)
    Sat 17/09/11 RP Leinster 19 - 23 Glasgow Warriors (4 point win)
    Sat 01/10/11 RP Cardiff Blues 13 - 34 Glasgow Warriors (21 point win)
    Sat 05/11/11 RP Aironi 6 - 18 Glasgow Warriors (12 point win)
    Sun 04/12/11 RP Newport Gwent Dragons 14 - 14 Glasgow Warriors (draw)
    Mon 26/12/11 RP Edinburgh 23 - 23 Glasgow Warriors (draw)

    Won all but one +11 away handicaps (bar Vs Ulster)

    Past meetings (Glasgow +11 won all):
    April 2011- Glasgow 29-37 Scarlets
    October 2010- Scarlets 18-14 Glasgow
    May 2010- Scarlets 32-37 Glasgow
    Sept 2009- Glasgow 19-11 Scarlets

    Scarlets team:
    15 Dan Newton, 14 George North, 13 Scott Williams, 12 Jonathan Davies, 11 Sean Lamont, 10 Rhys Priestland, 9 Gareth Davies, 1 Iestyn Thomas, 2 Matthew Rees, 3 Deacon Manu, 4 Lou Reed, 5 Dominic Day, 6 Rob McCusker, 7 Johnathan Edwards, 8 Ben Morgan.

    Replacements: Ken Owens, Rhodri Jones, Rhys Thomas, Josh Turnbull, Aaron Shingler, Rhodri Williams, Stephen Jones, Viliame Iongi.

    Glasgow team: 15 Peter Murchie
    14 Tommy Seymour, 13 Rob Dewey 12 Graeme Morrison (captain) 11 David Lemi 10 Ruaridh Jackson 9 Henry Pyrgos
    1 Jon Welsh2 Fergus Thomson3 Moray Low4 Rob Verbakel5 Tom Ryder6 Rob Harley7 Chris Fusaro8 Ryan Wilson
    SUBSTITUTES
    16 Finlay Gillies17 Gordon Reid18 Ed Kalman19 Calum Forrester20 Johnnie Beattie21 Murray McConnell22 Alex Dunbar23 Scott Wight

    Love your attention to detail. Great call.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,976 ✭✭✭profitius


    Ulster are 10/11 against Leicester at the weekend. I think they'll win. They're in form, its in Ravebhill on a friday night. A perfect setting for Ulster. They've almost a full strength squad and it was close against Leicester in Leicester.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,071 ✭✭✭✭wp_rathead


    Surprised there is no handicap on Ulster, gonna have some of that

    Ulster at home In H'Cup:
    Fri 09/10/09 ERC Ulster 26 - 12 Bath Rugby
    Sat 12/12/09 ERC Ulster 23 - 13 Stade Français
    Fri 15/01/10 ERC Ulster 21 - 13 Edinburgh
    Fri 08/10/10 ERC Ulster 30 - 6 Aironi
    Sat 11/12/10 ERC Ulster 22 - 18 Bath Rugby
    Sat 15/01/11 ERC Ulster 9 - 6 Biarritz
    Sat 12/11/11 ERC Ulster 16 - 11 ASM Clermont Auvergne
    Fri 09/12/11 ERC Ulster 31 - 10 Aironi

    UlsterRecord in Rabo League 11/12 in Ravenhill: W5 L1 D0- 7th in League

    Leicester away in H'Cup:
    Sat 17/10/09 ERC Viadana 11 - 46 Leicester Tigers
    Sun 13/12/09 ERC ASM Clermont Auvergne 40 - 30 Leicester Tigers
    Sat 23/01/10 ERC Ospreys 17 - 12 Leicester Tigers
    Sat 09/10/10 ERC Benetton Treviso 29 - 34 Leicester Tigers
    Sat 11/12/10 ERC Perpignan 24 - 19 Leicester Tigers
    Sat 15/01/11 ERC Scarlets 18 - 32 Leicester Tigers
    Sat 09/04/11 ERC Leinster 17 - 10 Leicester Tigers
    Sat 12/11/11 ERC Aironi 12 - 28 Leicester Tigers
    Sun 11/12/11 ERC ASM Clermont Auvergne 30 - 12 Leicester Tigers

    Leicester won 4/9 away games in HC- against 3 Italian Teams & Scarlets
    Leicester record away in 11/12 Aviva Prem: W4 L2 D0- Top of Table


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    wprathead wrote: »
    Surprised there is no handicap on Ulster, gonna have some of that

    Ulster at home In H'Cup:
    Fri 09/10/09 ERC Ulster 26 - 12 Bath Rugby
    Sat 12/12/09 ERC Ulster 23 - 13 Stade Français
    Fri 15/01/10 ERC Ulster 21 - 13 Edinburgh
    Fri 08/10/10 ERC Ulster 30 - 6 Aironi
    Sat 11/12/10 ERC Ulster 22 - 18 Bath Rugby
    Sat 15/01/11 ERC Ulster 9 - 6 Biarritz
    Sat 12/11/11 ERC Ulster 16 - 11 ASM Clermont Auvergne
    Fri 09/12/11 ERC Ulster 31 - 10 Aironi

    UlsterRecord in Rabo League 11/12 in Ravenhill: W5 L1 D0- 7th in League

    Leicester away in H'Cup:
    Sat 17/10/09 ERC Viadana 11 - 46 Leicester Tigers
    Sun 13/12/09 ERC ASM Clermont Auvergne 40 - 30 Leicester Tigers
    Sat 23/01/10 ERC Ospreys 17 - 12 Leicester Tigers
    Sat 09/10/10 ERC Benetton Treviso 29 - 34 Leicester Tigers
    Sat 11/12/10 ERC Perpignan 24 - 19 Leicester Tigers
    Sat 15/01/11 ERC Scarlets 18 - 32 Leicester Tigers
    Sat 09/04/11 ERC Leinster 17 - 10 Leicester Tigers
    Sat 12/11/11 ERC Aironi 12 - 28 Leicester Tigers
    Sun 11/12/11 ERC ASM Clermont Auvergne 30 - 12 Leicester Tigers

    Leicester won 4/9 away games in HC- against 3 Italian Teams & Scarlets
    Leicester record away in 11/12 Aviva Prem: W4 L2 D0- Top of Table

    Are you going for Glasgow again this weekend or will leinster blow them away ?


  • Registered Users Posts: 414 ✭✭DeDoc


    totally agree. Ulster to win is a stonking bet. I'd personally take them all the way to an 8 point handicap or so for this game.

    Tigers are missing Deacon, Tuilagi and Flood. And Ben Youngs is in terrible form. Their major remaining weapon to hurt teams is their scrum, and Ulster are strong enough there with Afoa not to be significantly discommoned IMO.

    If Ulster start the game well, I think a bonus point isn't out of the question.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,071 ✭✭✭✭wp_rathead


    +9 is big for an inform Glasgow team- but gonna avoid just in case Leinster have "one of those days" when everything clicks and goes right for them

    Glasgow havn't lost at home since 23rd September- but still gonna avoid cuase of Leinsters pedigree.
    DeDoc wrote:
    Tigers are missing Deacon, Tuilagi and Flood. And Ben Youngs is in terrible form.
    I'm seriously at a loss at the odds of Ulster- I really think the bookies over estimate the Aviva Premiership


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    I'm on Ulster too - you have been warned! :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    I'm on Ulster too - you have been warned! :D

    jesus Tigers to win by a point so ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    This forum will be on bread and water for a week if Ulster don't win, including me!

    *jinxed*


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,599 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    This forum will be on bread and water for a week if Ulster don't win, including me!

    *jinxed*
    Yep

    I'm also tempted by Connacht +27 should Connacht put out the full side. I just have a feeling and they haven't lost by 27 since preseason


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Problem for Connacht is Toulouse will certainly be looking for a bonus point given their head to head battle for the pool with Quins. I can see them scoring early tries and unfortunately a Connacht collapse could follow. This season Connacht have yet to throw in the towel and be hockeyed (although the Aironi could dispute that claim) but playing away to Toulouse is a different beast.


  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ Cassius Freezing Soy


    Tolouse to race to 4 tries, but to take the foot off the pedal.

    I'm deep in Connacht +24 and Ulster scratch


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,228 Mod ✭✭✭✭CatFromHue


    I went for Toulouse at -26 mainly because they won by 26 in Galway but didn't get the bonus point. After losing at home to Harlequins and only picking up one bonus point so far, they now need to get bonus points if they want a home quarter. Or even get out of the group! They're now on 13 points which is joint last out of all the group leaders.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,217 ✭✭✭LFC5Times


    Planned on backing Ulster too so was happy to see the scratch handicap.

    I remember the away game they lost to Leicester and Humphreys missed a kickable penalty which iirc would have levelled the game or put Ulster just in front.
    Then he either missed touch from a penalty or it was just a poor kick out of hands and led to Leicester getting a try.

    Could of been a lot different if it wasn't for those mistakes.

    Looking forward to this game now, seems to be a lot of the forum on Ulster :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭PhatPiggins


    Tolouse to race to 4 tries, but to take the foot off the pedal.

    I'm deep in Connacht +24 and Ulster scratch

    Just an observation but what motivation do you see Connacht having for this one? Other then the obvious professionalism/big occassion/let themselves down last week etc. I can see your logic as Toulouse more often then not do the bare minimum in the pool stages but they are well capable of putting 50 points on Connacht if the mood taakes them.

    I think Munster -14 is very doable especially if Castres roll at the reserves.


  • Registered Users Posts: 414 ✭✭DeDoc


    yeah, I'm not convinced by the Connacht game.
    Toulouse are only a point ahead of Quins right now, and they'll want to make sure they grab 9 points from the two games so that they stay top of the pool and possibly grab a home QF.
    Next weeks game is a tricky away fixture in Kingsholm, and that itself is followed only 5 days later by a T14 game where Clermont are breathing down their neck.
    They'll definitely want the 5 point haul here, and while I can see them making full use of the bench and easing off the pedal in the last 1/3 of the game, I'm not sure that Connacht will be close enough, or have enough in the tank physically or mentally to close the gap enough.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,442 ✭✭✭its_phil


    Gotta agree, stay away from the handicap and wait for Connacht points i'd say, Toulouse are leaking a lot of points of late. They have also scored 152 in 3 games!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,976 ✭✭✭profitius


    I think the Toulouse/Connacht handicap is a bit of a lottery. Munster too because all season Munster have been making hard work of putting teams away despite the performances of their pack.


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  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ Cassius Freezing Soy


    Just an observation but what motivation do you see Connacht having for this one? Other then the obvious professionalism/big occassion/let themselves down last week etc. I can see your logic as Toulouse more often then not do the bare minimum in the pool stages but they are well capable of putting 50 points on Connacht if the mood taakes them.

    I think Munster -14 is very doable especially if Castres roll at the reserves.

    I can see Tolouse getting a cricket score in the first half, perhaps leading by 15-20 by half time. Whereupon, they should realise that Connacht pose no threat to them. So from their perspective, there's no problem in allowing Connacht back into the game/ aim to earn their bonus point. The team will be fragmented by substitutions and to be honest, a lack of interest in seeing out the end of the game. The problem would be if Connacht actually manage to put up a good fight in the first half, forcing Tolouse to keep their team and strategy together, where they'd have the opportunity to pull away at the end if haven't earned their BP at that stage.

    Leinster v Bath 2011, or France v Ireland RWC 2007 would be a comparable gameflow imo.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    ulster now -1 with pp, bit of cash must have gone on them :p


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭PhatPiggins


    I can see Tolouse getting a cricket score in the first half, perhaps leading by 15-20 by half time. Whereupon, they should realise that Connacht pose no threat to them. So from their perspective, there's no problem in allowing Connacht back into the game/ aim to earn their bonus point. The team will be fragmented by substitutions and to be honest, a lack of interest in seeing out the end of the game. The problem would be if Connacht actually manage to put up a good fight in the first half, forcing Tolouse to keep their team and strategy together, where they'd have the opportunity to pull away at the end if haven't earned their BP at that stage.

    Leinster v Bath 2011, or France v Ireland RWC 2007 would be a comparable gameflow imo.

    My main concern for your bet is that tries for could come into play in determining the last home QF spot. Leinster,Munster and Sarries (imo) have 3 of the home quarters as good a secured. That leaves Toulouse (or Quins) in a straight shoot out with Edinburgh/Cardiff for the last spot. All have similar points and tries totals. Toulouse have Glaws away for their last game which is tricky by most standards. I think they'll see this game as the ideal opportunity to not only get the 5 points but to boost their tries for total as well.

    Just my opinion mind.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,053 ✭✭✭Gracelessly Tom


    Been looking at the h/c's for the weekend, thinking of:

    Ulster -2 @10/11 (Ulster to win comfortably enough)
    Cardiff @ evens (LI are out and Cardiff should be up for this)
    Gloucester +9 @10/11 (hosed Quins last week, albeit in Kingsholm)
    Leinster -8 @10/11 (Seem to be really motoring now)
    Sarries -7 @10/11 (Biarritz are a shambles this season)
    Scarlets @4/5 (Saints are out of Europe, Scarlets still in with a shout)

    returns €47.82 for each €1 "invested"


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Thanks for the reminder about Saracens vs Biarritz! The latter have been awful of late and -7 should be easy money.

    Ulster now -2 with Paddy Power and still look great value.

    Tonight Bordeaux vs Bayonne - any thoughts? Bordeaux beat Bayonne on the road and I can't see why they won't repeat it tonight but PP have Bayonne as the favourites - am I missing something? :confused:


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,053 ✭✭✭Gracelessly Tom


    Thanks for the reminder about Saracens vs Biarritz! The latter have been awful of late and -7 should be easy money.

    Ulster now -2 with Paddy Power and still look great value.

    Tonight Bordeaux vs Bayonne - any thoughts? Bordeaux beat Bayonne on the road and I can't see why they won't repeat it tonight but PP have Bayonne as the favourites - am I missing something? :confused:

    Can't say I'm an expert on Bordeaux rugby but it looks like they have a weakened team out tonight, certainly different from the team that won the Top 14 game and they lost the away amlin game easily. Out of the comp and Bayonne only a point behind Wasps so will be well up for this one.

    Having said all that, who knows with French clubs what will happen!! :D


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Can't say I'm an expert on Bordeaux rugby but it looks like they have a weakened team out tonight, certainly different from the team that won the Top 14 game and they lost the away amlin game easily. Out of the comp and Bayonne only a point behind Wasps so will be well up for this one.

    Having said all that, who knows with French clubs what will happen!! :D

    Spot on - (teams below from previous game with Bayonne and tonight's lineup) but I didn't know enough about Bordeaux to work out which was the weaker team. Might steer clear.

    BORDEAUX%2BTEAMS.jpg


  • Registered Users Posts: 414 ✭✭DeDoc


    Been looking at the h/c's for the weekend, thinking of:

    Ulster -2 @10/11 (Ulster to win comfortably enough)
    Cardiff @ evens (LI are out and Cardiff should be up for this)
    Gloucester +9 @10/11 (hosed Quins last week, albeit in Kingsholm)
    Leinster -8 @10/11 (Seem to be really motoring now)
    Sarries -7 @10/11 (Biarritz are a shambles this season)
    Scarlets @4/5 (Saints are out of Europe, Scarlets still in with a shout)

    returns €47.82 for each €1 "invested"

    Yep on Ulster.
    No on Cardiff - LI are far from out. Only 6 points from the top to bottom of the group, and the top two teams play away this weekend and then home in the last weekend against the same opposition. Quite possible that the last round of games will have 4 teams with only 2 points covering them.
    Gloucester. Generally like the bet, but a concern is the differing incentives for the teams. I'll certainly be watching the team news and camp quotes before getting stuck in.
    Leinster. I'm a little cautious. Leinster haven't been kicking ass away from home, in general, and Glasgow have plenty to play for. We're a much better side, but I'm not 100% confident of beating the cap
    Sarries. Again, I'm cautious here. Biarritz have been a little better recently, and Sarries still don't totally convince me. On balance yes, but a few signs that Biarritz are actually taking this seriously. They've won (well) away before in both Wasps and Leicester, so it isn't like they can't do it. Mind you the infuriating feckers have also lost at home to Italian sides etc!
    Scarlets: I fancy Saints for this actually. Scarlets really aren't that good a side IMO, and Saints are in better form now. Scarlets did well (obviously) in the first game, but they did get the rub of the green. I think Saints will want some revenge.


  • Registered Users Posts: 414 ✭✭DeDoc


    Been looking at the h/c's for the weekend, thinking of:

    Ulster -2 @10/11 (Ulster to win comfortably enough)
    Cardiff @ evens (LI are out and Cardiff should be up for this)
    Gloucester +9 @10/11 (hosed Quins last week, albeit in Kingsholm)
    Leinster -8 @10/11 (Seem to be really motoring now)
    Sarries -7 @10/11 (Biarritz are a shambles this season)
    Scarlets @4/5 (Saints are out of Europe, Scarlets still in with a shout)

    returns €47.82 for each €1 "invested"

    Yep on Ulster.
    No on Cardiff - LI are far from out. Only 6 points from the top to bottom of the group, and the top two teams play away this weekend and then home in the last weekend against the same opposition. Quite possible that the last round of games will have 4 teams with only 2 points covering them.
    Gloucester. Generally like the bet, but a concern is the differing incentives for the teams. I'll certainly be watching the team news and camp quotes before getting stuck in.
    Leinster. I'm a little cautious. Leinster haven't been kicking ass away from home, in general, and Glasgow have plenty to play for. We're a much better side, but I'm not 100% confident of beating the cap
    Sarries. Again, I'm cautious here. Biarritz have been a little better recently, and Sarries still don't totally convince me. On balance yes, but a few signs that Biarritz are actually taking this seriously. They've won (well) away before in both Wasps and Leicester, so it isn't like they can't do it. Mind you the infuriating feckers have also lost at home to Italian sides etc!
    Scarlets: I fancy Saints for this actually. Scarlets really aren't that good a side IMO, and Saints are in better form now. Scarlets did well (obviously) in the first game, but they did get the rub of the green. I think Saints will want some revenge.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,071 ✭✭✭✭wp_rathead


    Been looking at the h/c's for the weekend, thinking of:

    Ulster -2 @10/11 (Ulster to win comfortably enough)
    Sarries -7 @10/11 (Biarritz are a shambles this season)
    Scarlets @4/5 (Saints are out of Europe, Scarlets still in with a shout)

    returns €6.56 return for each €1 "invested"

    Could juice it up with a couple of France Pro D2 match coupons:
    Auch 1/10
    Grenoible 1/33
    La Rouchell 1/14

    Comes to 6.73/1


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Final score 6 - 12 to Bayonne. Glad I stayed away now. :D


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,053 ✭✭✭Gracelessly Tom


    DeDoc wrote: »
    Yep on Ulster.
    No on Cardiff - LI are far from out. Only 6 points from the top to bottom of the group, and the top two teams play away this weekend and then home in the last weekend against the same opposition. Quite possible that the last round of games will have 4 teams with only 2 points covering them.
    Gloucester. Generally like the bet, but a concern is the differing incentives for the teams. I'll certainly be watching the team news and camp quotes before getting stuck in.
    Leinster. I'm a little cautious. Leinster haven't been kicking ass away from home, in general, and Glasgow have plenty to play for. We're a much better side, but I'm not 100% confident of beating the cap
    Sarries. Again, I'm cautious here. Biarritz have been a little better recently, and Sarries still don't totally convince me. On balance yes, but a few signs that Biarritz are actually taking this seriously. They've won (well) away before in both Wasps and Leicester, so it isn't like they can't do it. Mind you the infuriating feckers have also lost at home to Italian sides etc!
    Scarlets: I fancy Saints for this actually. Scarlets really aren't that good a side IMO, and Saints are in better form now. Scarlets did well (obviously) in the first game, but they did get the rub of the green. I think Saints will want some revenge.

    I see your point regarding LI but I still think Cardiff are going to be too good for them this weekend. LI are no great shakes imo.

    Quins - wheels seem to be coming off them and if Evans is still out or not fully fit they may struggle to put away Gloucester. Only doubt is history, Gloucester have an awful record in the Stoop.

    The more I think about it the more I think you could be right about Saints, they are hitting some form and could easily win this. Home advantage still just about swinging it for me.

    Leinster will cut loose.....blue tinted glasses on here!!:D


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,053 ✭✭✭Gracelessly Tom


    Final score 6 - 12 to Bayonne. Glad I stayed away now. :D

    Saw that, must have been a cracker!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭PhatPiggins


    Saw that, must have been a cracker!

    The tv clock and score board were the only thing you could see. Absolute pea souper thick fog. Phillips pretty much won it for Bayonne with his defence.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,071 ✭✭✭✭wp_rathead


    Toulouse -12 at HT @10/11 in Connacht game looks good. Connacht always seems to start slowly and the home side will want to make amends for the Quins performance..

    EDIT: Did bit of research there cuase there is feck all on TV
    Toulouse average score at HT at home is: 13.2 - 9.4 (win by 3.8)
    11 home games HT score: 25-16; 3-0; 15-3; 11-6; 10-9; 12-10; 8-10; 13-12; 10-15; 15-12; 23-10
    Only bet the -12 HT Handicap once (vs Lyon on 7th Jan, last Saturday)

    Connacht average score at HT away is: 10.9 - 7.4 (loss by 3.5)
    9 away games HT score: 3-8; 6-0; 17-10; 8-20; 8-3; 19-10; 10-13; 18-3; 9-0
    Only lost +12 HT Handicap once (vs Munster on St. Stephens Day)

    I still think Toulouse will beat the -12, but it is food for thought


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,228 Mod ✭✭✭✭CatFromHue


    Treviso are +17 away to the Ospreys but the Opsreys are missing Ryan Jones( calf), James King (ear), Richard Fussell (ankle), Alun Wyn Jones (foot), Nikki Walker (ACL), and George Stowers who is banned. They've been a bit of a tricky team for Ospreys as they drew with them in Italy in the HEC and only beat them by 4 in the Pro12, which was also in Italy.

    Considering the Ospreys are out of the HEC and are struggling to make the Amlin it's hard to know what their motivation tonight will be.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,513 ✭✭✭seanhynes


    Racing metro are ****ing ****e:mad:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    SUFTUM!!! :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,217 ✭✭✭LFC5Times


    Well in Ulster :D

    I think a few off here also backed Ulster earlier in the week :pac:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭PhatPiggins


    LFC5Times wrote: »
    Well in Ulster :D

    I think a few off here also backed Ulster earlier in the week :pac:

    Ulster went from 10/11 to 4/6. Bookies took a hammering on that one, my heart bleeds ;)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    there is a tear in my eye at the moment for the bookies



    Best of luck for the rest of the weekend started off v well :D


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    profitius wrote: »
    Ulster are 10/11 against Leicester at the weekend. I think they'll win. They're in form, its in Ravebhill on a friday night. A perfect setting for Ulster. They've almost a full strength squad and it was close against Leicester in Leicester.

    cheers for getting the ball rolling


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,637 ✭✭✭CoDy1


    On the alternative Hc's on PP, Munster -13 & Leinster -5 is a little over evens.

    You could throw Toulouse -18 and get 2/1


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,228 Mod ✭✭✭✭CatFromHue


    I had Ulster
    to win at 10/11
    -7@ 2/1
    -13@ 4/1
    -23@ 9/1
    Yep 4 bets on the same game, I just staggered the amounts I bet as the handicap went up.

    I also had Edinburgh +7 @1-/11 so not too bad a night for me.

    All I need to do is start laying bets bigger than a tenner from now on!


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,489 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    While I think Leinster will win on Sunday, are Warriors not slightly overpriced at 3/1? They haven't lost at home since their RWC players came back. In fact they've only lost two games since then - away to Scarlets by 2 points and away to Leinster (by a lot admittedly).


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,442 ✭✭✭its_phil


    anyone else like the look of stade francais -22 vs Bucharest


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,976 ✭✭✭profitius


    Northampton are evens to beat Llanelli. I've a small bet on them.

    They'll want revenge and have picked their best team. I think they'll be up for this and play no fancy rugby but use their pack to grind Llanelli down.


  • Registered Users Posts: 204 ✭✭antogz1979


    Totesport have a mistake on their site. Northampton can be got at + 4 13/10. Just saw it now myself.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,071 ✭✭✭✭wp_rathead


    I wish gambling was always as straight forward that Ulster game last night :P
    some night


  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ Cassius Freezing Soy


    Tolouse to race to 4 tries, but to take the foot off the pedal.

    I'm deep in Connacht +24 and Ulster scratch

    Shippppppop


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,976 ✭✭✭profitius


    antogz1979 wrote: »
    Totesport have a mistake on their site. Northampton can be got at + 4 13/10. Just saw it now myself.

    Were you able to get it? Knowing bookmakers they'd have little problem saying its a mistake and paying you back less.


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