Official Free Money Betting Superthread 2011/12

durkadurka

robbie1977 wrote: »

Have you been drinking gin durkadura ?
Your not thinking straight .:D

Yes.

Yes I have been drinking gin.

Juwwi

durkadurka wrote: »

Yes.

Yes I have been drinking gin.

When I read that I heard Father Jacks voice in my head saying it.

duckysauce

durkadurka wrote: »

Ive gin against all logic and reason to back Ireland to beat France.

think you are on to something there "hic" 3/1 aint bad , and les frogs were very poor in their last two matches.

durkadurka

robbie1977 wrote: »

When I read that I heard Father Jacks voice in my head saying it.

Feck! Murray! Shyte!

duckysauce

that would be a DECCIE matter

durkadurka

DECumenical?

Brilliant!

duckysauce

durkadurka wrote: »

DECumenical?

Brilliant!

:D

thomond2006

durkadurka wrote: »

DECumenical?

Brilliant!

Decumenical is up there with ambipropsterous. Another word into the rugby forum dictionary!

durkadurka

Both of them introduced my me!

durkadurka

Journo:So you've chosen DOC over Ryan, even though Ryan is ahead of him at Munster, and Ryan did well when he came on?

Fr Deccie: that would be a decumenical matter!

PhatPiggins

duckysauce wrote: »

think you are on to something there "hic" 3/1 aint bad , and les frogs were very poor in their last two matches.

The great problem with les frogs is that they can go from to zero to hero without any warning, they were awful and inspirational in the WC in the space of 2 weeks.

To be honest given our record in Paris 3/1 is too low.

duckysauce

yep you really never know so betting wise they are lethal, as I found out last sunday

4PP

Hi all, during the podcast this week

http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?p=77372715#post77372715

we speculated on Montpelier staying within the 'cap. (montpelier + 10 10/11 sportingbet)

The show was recorded on Tuesday so obviously no real team news. Since then the teams have been announced & imho Monty will not roll over so no reason to change that opnion.

As we mentioned in the podcast if you are interested in other bets/views on this weekends games to add to what is available here I, as well as DeDoc & phatphiggins amongst others post on ThinkBetProfit.

GL to all.

4PP

4PP wrote: »

Hi all, during the podcast this week

http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?p=77372715#post77372715

we speculated on Montpelier staying within the 'cap. (montpelier + 10 10/11 sportingbet)

The show was recorded on Tuesday so obviously no real team news. Since then the teams have been announced & imho Monty will not roll over so no reason to change that opnion.

As we mentioned in the podcast if you are interested in other bets/views on this weekends games to add to what is available here I, as well as DeDoc & phatphiggins amongst others post on ThinkBetProfit.

GL to all.

well that didn't go to well........

Iroced sums it up very nicely on "le café du rugby" thread

wp_rathead

Remember this feck up last week, i got Brive mixed up with Bordeux:

wprathead wrote: »

Match not till Saturday but I like the look of:
Brive +7 vs Biarritz

Biarritz at home:
Sat 03/09/11 T1 Biarritz 9 - 9 SU Ageno
Fri 09/09/11 T1 Biarritz 18 - 23 Castres Olympique
Fri 23/09/11 T1 Biarritz 24 - 29 Perpignan
Sat 22/10/11 T1 Biarritz 15 - 15 Lyon OU
Tue 29/11/11 T1 Biarritz 21 - 19 Bayonne
Sun 04/12/11 T1 Biarritz 23 - 30 Montpellier
Sat 31/12/11 T1 Biarritz 25 - 6 Toulon
Fri 10/02/12 T1 Biarritz 15 - 20 Stade Toulousain

7/8 games lost the -7 Handicap

Brive away in T14:
Sat 03/09/11 T1 Montpellier 12 - 28 Brive
Fri 09/09/11 T1 Perpignan 12 - 9 Brive
Fri 23/09/11 T1 Castres Olympique 30 - 24 Brive
Fri 30/09/11 T1 Stade Français 28 - 17 Brive
Sat 29/10/11 T1 Toulon 18 - 3 Brive
Fri 02/12/11 T1 Bordeaux-Bègles 16 - 12 Brive
Sat 31/12/11 T1 SU Agen 15 - 9 Brive
Fri 24/02/12 T1 Lyon OU 9 - 22 Brive

6/8 games won the +7 Handicap

• Biarritz in neutral venue (due to angrydadgate)
• Biarritz missing Harinordoquay and Yachvilli

Well Biaritz v Brive is this week.. and handicap is Brive +9 :eek::eek:
I honestly cannot understand this
yes Biarritz had a good win of 38-13 v Bordeux but Brive bet Stade de Francais and as the above stats show are no pushovers on the road

Also, Hurricanes at a scratch look decent to beat Western Force @ 10/11

MikeCork2009

Scotland are 7/2 with Ladbrokes for the match on Saturday. Loathe to bet against Ireland, but we had a tough game Sunday in Paris, we are missing the tallismanic POC, have a number of walking wounded and Scotland have had an extra week of rest. I know they have lost 3, but they have been playing some good rugby and were unlucky against Eng & France. Ire 1/4 vs Sco 7/2 looks crazy imo, so have taken some of the 7/2 on offer!!!

Judgement Day

7/2 - good odds for a gamble but I can't see Ireland rolling over for this one so I'll be going for try scorers and other options.

1/4 is generous imo

MikeCork2009

Cassius Freezing Soy wrote: »

1/4 is generous imo

Well you can get 3/10 with Sportingbet. But honestly I think 7/2 is standout about Scotland, given most places have them 11/4.

duckysauce

Judgement Day wrote: »

7/2 - good odds for a gamble but I can't see Ireland rolling over for this one so I'll be going for try scorers and other options.

TOMMY BOWE :D:D:D

duckysauce

And Hogg as well

wp_rathead

wprathead wrote: »

Also, Hurricanes at a scratch look decent to beat Western Force @ 10/11

hurrah, Hurricanes destroyed that at

unfortunately all it did was soften my losses on an accum I did for this weekend- the chiefs losing blew it up before it even got going ha

thomond2006

Clermont +1 away to Agen (10/11) is our bet of the week on the latest podcast.

They have made 10 changes from the side that hammered Toulouse A but it's still a strong outfit, some good players on the bench too like Pierre, Lapandry and Skrela. Buttin, normally a fullback, is a bright prospect. Very experienced backrow too.

4PP

thomond2006 wrote: »

Clermont +1 away to Agen (10/11) is our bet of the week on the latest podcast.

They have made 10 changes from the side that hammered Toulouse A but it's still a strong outfit, some good players on the bench too like Pierre, Lapandry and Skrela. Buttin, normally a fullback, is a bright prospect. Very experienced backrow too.

He's more than that thomond2006. He has been Clermonts outstanding player since the start of the season. Mainly down to the WC of course but since then has held his spot in the XV. Anthony Floch, coming back after injury will have to work hard to keep Buttin on the wing.
Buttin is solid under high ball, great speed & change of direction. Very dangerous.
In France the majority hoped he would have replaced Medard but thankfully (from an Irish point of view) PSA went with Poitrenaud
In any case its a great problem to have for Cotter.

MungBean

Kearney MOTM @10/1.

With Scotlands line out we will be looking for quick throws and to keep the ball in hand as much as we can. If he plays to the standard he has so far then he may be our stand out player again. Whether he gets the recognition or not though is another thing.


Edit: 12/1 on Boylesports

HappyBalance

Scotland evs at +8 looks a good shout imo

Judgement Day

Wales vs Italy still 50/1 on a Draw at Halftime - might just have a small one but expect Wales to win.

duckysauce

thomond2006 wrote: »

Clermont +1 away to Agen (10/11) is our bet of the week on the latest podcast.

They have made 10 changes from the side that hammered Toulouse A but it's still a strong outfit, some good players on the bench too like Pierre, Lapandry and Skrela. Buttin, normally a fullback, is a bright prospect. Very experienced backrow too.

duckysauce

MungBean wrote: »

Kearney MOTM @10/1.

With Scotlands line out we will be looking for quick throws and to keep the ball in hand as much as we can. If he plays to the standard he has so far then he may be our stand out player again. Whether he gets the recognition or not though is another thing.


Edit: 12/1 on Boylesports

nice or a euro on D Ryan 25/1 if he does his calls right etc, might get it standing in for POC etc blah blah.

RuggieBear

duckysauce wrote: »

nice or a euro on D Ryan 25/1 if he does his calls right etc, might get it standing in for POC etc blah blah.

good call.

MungBean

duckysauce wrote: »

nice or a euro on D Ryan 25/1 if he does his calls right etc, might get it standing in for POC etc blah blah.

Only spotted that now

4PP

duckysauce wrote: »

nice or a euro on D Ryan 25/1 if he does his calls right etc, might get it standing in for POC etc blah blah.

Thats the kind of intuition that would be very very welcome on a specialised betting site. I could be wrong but as far as I know it wasn't posted elsewhere. Have you ever considered giving it a trial "paper betting" run?

PM if you're interested

duckysauce

RuggieBear wrote: »

good call.

usual should have stuck more on , but happy days and a great result

4PP

duckysauce wrote: »

usual should have stuck more on , but happy days and a great result

as phat phiggins says elsewhere "not losing is as good as winning" so by that reckoning you're ahead

duckysauce

4PP wrote: »

Thats the kind of intuition that would be very very welcome on a specialised betting site. I could be wrong but as far as I know it wasn't posted elsewhere. Have you ever considered giving it a trial "paper betting" run?

PM if you're interested

Have you ever considered giving it a trial "paper betting" run?

sounds like a cracking job where do i sign

Judgement Day

Tommy Bowe's disallowed try must have saved PP thousands.Yet another ****e weekend - will I ever get sense?

duckysauce

4PP wrote: »

as phat phiggins says elsewhere "not losing is as good as winning" so by that reckoning you're ahead

well ahead this weekend between clermont and D Ryan , PP is buying the beer .

MungBean

I had Ireland -8 so I broke even in the end. If I had an ounce of cop on I'd have stuck everything on the bet most likely to come off and I'd have made myself a few quid this weekend.

Pity I didnt spot Ducky's (may I call you Ducky ? :pac:) post before the match, I had a couple euro I wasnt quite sure what to do with and I'd definitely have stuck it on that.

Still I'm happy enough not to have lost I suppose.

wp_rathead

iv a friend who had decent sized lump on Ferris down for MOTM today- he is understandably disgusted that he didn't get it despite him blatantly being the best player on the pitch today (and for us all 6N)

good call on Ryan though ducky;)

its_phil

Accumulator with Clermont, Ireland -8 came out. Also had couple of football games on it! 19/1...winning

4PP

its_phil wrote: »

Accumulator with Clermont, Ireland -8 came out. Also had couple of football games on it! 19/1...winning

19/1! fracking excellent man!

missed your pregame game post, more's the pity

btw when did you post that tip??

Judgement Day

A picture paints a thousand words....only my bet on more than 18.5 points in the 1st half of the France vs England match saved my bacon. It could have been so different if Tommy Bowe's try hadn't been disallowed and if Wales had only got 1 more point.

Plus 10

Anyone have any opinion on how they are likely to price up the U20 game against England?

I was thinking maybe +7ish ?? Unfortunately I can't see us beating England.

6N bet this weekend

Big on Ireland +7.5 / Italy + 7.5 double on the Alternative Handicaps to give a 1.25 return.

duckysauce

Plus 10 wrote: »

Anyone have any opinion on how they are likely to price up the U20 game against England?

I was thinking maybe +7ish ?? Unfortunately I can't see us beating England.

+15

PhatPiggins

duckysauce wrote: »

+15

If only Ireland hadn't lost to France and were going for the GS tonight.....................wait a second

Ireland +18 Skybet, gimme.

thomond2006

On +15 on pp, c'mon boys!!

PhatPiggins

thomond2006 wrote: »

On +15 on pp, c'mon boys!!

:(:( you are but Paddy Powers pawn

thomond2006

PhatPiggins wrote: »

:(:( you are but Paddy Powers pawn

Works both ways I suppose, PP would be my pawn if I bet on England!

PhatPiggins

Acording to Frankie we should have lost by 478 points but a wins a win