Official Free Money Betting Superthread 2011/12

CoDy1

Leinster by 6-10pts is 4/1

Judgement Day

My try scoring bets in the Toulon game cost me but it's cured my taste for similar gambles today. I think I'll stick with my Ulster to win 3/1 and Ruan Pienaar to get more than 8.5 points and Johnny Sexton to get more than 11.5.

I had a punt on Crusaders to lead -6 at HT against the Blues this morning - they led by 31-Nil at the break!!

wp_rathead

One more kick Ruan!!

duckysauce

wprathead wrote: »

One more kick Ruan!!

as long as leinster cover the spread:p

Juwwi

Lads does the conversion for the penalty try count for Sexton over 11.5 points market ?

duckysauce

robbie1977 wrote: »

Lads does the conversion for the penalty try count for Sexton over 11.5 points market ?

am sure it does

duckysauce

this kick now will cover it anyway:cool:

Juwwi

duckysauce wrote: »

this kick now will cover it anyway:cool:

No thats only 9 points now

duckysauce

robbie1977 wrote: »

No thats only 9 points now

bloody beer

duckysauce

hic thatttsss tweve now

Juwwi

duckysauce wrote: »

hic thatttsss tweve now

:pac::pac::pac:

Judgement Day

Happy days but putting up with another year of my Leinster friends bragging is a high price to pay. Well done the Boys in Blue!

duckysauce

Judgement Day wrote: »

Happy days but putting up with another year of my Leinster friends bragging is a high price to pay. Well done the Boys in Blue!

what was the isa bet ?

Judgement Day

To score a try - usually a banker but he was strangely quiet (by his standards) today.

duckysauce

This weekend going for Leinster -8 and Tigers -6 double 3/1 .

Gracelessly Tom

duckysauce wrote: »

This weekend going for Leinster -8 and Tigers -6 double 3/1 .

I wouldn't touch the Leinster spread! Ospreys are a very good side and beat us a few weeks ago in the RDS. I know the lads will be hungry for the double but I think it will be a close one.

Leicester should cover theirs, but again, I'd be cautious. Might do a small double on draws with both spreads. That would be a lovely little earner!!

Gracelessly Tom

Gracelessly Tom wrote: »

Might do a small double on draws with both spreads. That would be a lovely little earner!!

Right, did it. €5 double on Leinster -7 to draw and Leicester -6 to draw. Pays 360/1!

Please, please, please, please, please...........

wp_rathead

Purely out of interest:

Leinster to win by 1-12 points @ 7/5
Leicester to win by 1-12 points @ 8/5
I did them in a Double @ 5.24/1

irishbucsfan

wprathead wrote: »

Purely out of interest:

Leinster to win by 1-12 points @ 7/5
Leicester to win by 1-12 points @ 8/5
I did them in a Double @ 5.24/1

Oh you beauty

thomond2006

Talking Rugby's Bet of the Week for this weekend is Tigers -6, available at evens in some places.

I also like the look of wrapthead's bet.

Podge_irl

wprathead wrote: »

Purely out of interest:

Leinster to win by 1-12 points @ 7/5
Leicester to win by 1-12 points @ 8/5
I did them in a Double @ 5.24/1

Where is that bet with?

wp_rathead

It's with Paddy's Podge
The market is "Win Margin"

Judgement Day

Jeez, what a weekend and there's still tomorrow to go. It seems that I'm in the unusual position of doing better than some of you this week. Doubled my money since last night but it's been insane. Toulon tonight was nearly my undoing - an awful spectacle and with the score at 0-3 to Racing after 20 minutes .....agh!! However, Racing managed to get more than the required 7.5 points in the 1st half so I clawed something back, but when Steffon Armitage got his try my 5/1 bet saved the day. My belief in the man upstairs is in danger of being renewed.





Anybody got any hot tips for the big game tomorrow?

duckysauce

the wee man to score

Bod motm 10/1
Rk motm 15/2

A forward will probably get it

thomond2006

For Leinster vs Ospreys, Paddy Power are refunding losing tryscorer bets if a forward scores the first try.

duckysauce

thank fcuk williams is retiring(cost me alot today) after the last few games he played you would say why, class player best of luck to him.

Judgement Day

I'm only a Euro down on yesterday thanks to limiting my betting to Leinster by -3 at Half Time, Johnny Sexton to get a Full House, Sexton and Rob Kearney as MOTM. When I look at it now Nacewa and Shane Williams to score tries was easy money but I've been burnt so often on 'obvious' try scorers that I passed up on them. Anyway, Shane Williams as so often before had the last laugh. One last game in him with Baa Baas I think, and then he really is retired!!

duckysauce

Judgement Day wrote: »

I'm only a Euro down on yesterday thanks to limiting my betting to Leinster by -3 at Half Time, Johnny Sexton to get a Full House, Sexton and Rob Kearney as MOTM. When I look at it now Nacewa and Shane Williams to score tries was easy money but I've been burnt so often on 'obvious' try scorers that I passed up on them. Anyway, Shane Williams as so often before had the last laugh. One last game in him with Baa Baas I think, and then he really is retired!!

hmm have backed mr williams in his last 3 final final games didn't today :rolleyes:
,will do when he plays against Wales;)

CatFromHue

The BaaBaa's are +8 for tomorrow nights game which seems pretty generous to me.

Fishooks12

CatFromHue wrote: »

The BaaBaa's are +8 for tomorrow nights game which seems pretty generous to me.

most of the players are on a 2 day turnaround, we'surely cover that

CatFromHue

I think this is a stronger BaaBaa team that played on Saturday and only Sackey, Tindall, Lawson, and Van Zyl started on Saturday.

In Lakifia, Louw, and Gorgodze they have an excellent back row and in Afoa, Jones, and August they have a better front row.

Judgement Day

Jeez, when you look at the scenario, Barbarians smarting from their mauling by England and some serious firepower in their team versus an Irish 'Barbarians' team captained by ROG. As this report on Scrum.com http://www.espnscrum.com/ireland/rugby/story/164726.html ROG has more caps than the rest of the Irish team put together! Baa-Baas to win @ 21/10 looks tempting. Why is it not being televised - or on second thoughts probably just as well.

P_1

Ireland +10-15 at full time is looking like a nice one to massage my cultivated tenner with (currently standing at 64 after 2 weeks). Just need to wait for Paddy to pop up the alt handicaps. I'd say that'll be something like 1/20 or so.

Similarly for the half time handicap Ireland +7 or so is looking pretty good for my cultivated fiver (standing at about 120 at present). Again get those alt handicaps up Paddy, I'd say that would be good for 1/5. Might risk about 100 of that on it.

Juwwi

I might have a go at Half time Barbarians - Full time Ireland at 6/1

Barbarians could start well and tire in the second half with some players having played sunday.

duckysauce

Judgement Day wrote: »

Baa-Baas to win @ 21/10 looks tempting.

good call sounded like a good game.

thomond2006

robbie1977 wrote: »

I might have a go at Half time Barbarians - Full time Ireland at 6/1

Barbarians could start well and tire in the second half with some players having played sunday.

unlucky!

thomond2006

Talking Rugby's BOTW is Clermont -4 vs Toulon (10/11).

Toulon (aside from Steffon Armitage) have been woeful in recent weeks, with Wilkinson off his game at the moment. Clermont are set to welcome back the likes of Hines and Buttin from injury. For Toulon, Carl Hayman is suspended but Kubriashvili is an excellent replacement, Toulon have probably 2 of the top 5 tightheads in the Top14.

I would expect Clermont to win by 8-10 points, -4 gives a bit of leeway.

Judgement Day

Still on my lucky streak with a decent win in the Crusaders vs Highlanders game this morning, so I'll be giving Clermont -5 a lash. Toulon are a shambles and it would take a miracle for them to pull off a win but it is the Top 14 - and Jonny could come good! I will probably reduce my exposure by also going for 1st half points when the odds are up on PP.

P_1

Along with here, Planet Rugby and my gut, I've been using this site to help me with my research to generate some tidy profit (I'm sure ye may remember me giving out about a few late tries costing me lots of dough!!)

http://rpbetting.wordpress.com/

Also, I've started a log on my betting (rugby and football are my main stays) over on the Challenges/Logs forum, have a gander and see if ye have any pointers for me on it.

http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056653206

Agree with you about Clermont btw JD, how did you get on with the betting on the Referendum btw?

Judgement Day

Well. despite my advice to others to vote yes and pile into PP, I stayed away from the betting myself and spoilt my vote in any event http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=78965212&postcount=26 - so I wouldn't have deserved to win.

I'll stick to rugby I think. My good run continued this morning with a bet on Chiefs -13.5 in the 1st half of the game with Blues. The half time score was 20-20. It could have been better as I was going to take Blues at -9.5 and 1st half total -22.5 (I think?) but I'm erring on the cautious side since my bad beating a few weeks ago.

Wales vs Baa-Baas tickles my fancy today - Baa Baas to win @ 2/1 and by more than 8 @ 9/2. That's an awesome backline the Baa Baas have out - Mils Muliaina, Isa Nacewa, Mike Tindall, Casey Laulala, Shane Williams and Stephen Donald.

P_1

My instinct is telling me that it'll be a Wales win but I'm not sure enough to lay down any of my cash on it.

Liking the Look of the Sharks and the Bulls to win and cover their respective spreads in the 2 South African derbies later on though.

Also Toulouse -9 against Castres is looking a bit tempting...

thomond2006

bloody clermont

duckysauce

good weekend if you are a bookie :mad:

Judgement Day

Dire end to my weekend - financially - as I was hammered yesterday in the Baa-Baas game and lost all my bets on the Toulon game today. Down €70 on the week - I had Tillous-Borde well backed at 12/1 to score a try - he damn nearly did - and the week would have had a different ending. Still the end result was worth the loss.

wp_rathead

Samoa U20's +62 v NZ U20's @ 10/11

strong chance that NZ won't break this
hopefully will be like the senior RWC where bookies underestimated the minnows

CatFromHue

wprathead wrote: »

Samoa U20's +62 v NZ U20's @ 10/11

strong chance that NZ won't break this
hopefully will be like the senior RWC where bookies underestimated the minnows

We're at +20 which against SA which seems a bit high to me.

thomond2006

wprathead wrote: »

Samoa U20's +62 v NZ U20's @ 10/11

strong chance that NZ won't break this
hopefully will be like the senior RWC where bookies underestimated the minnows

NZ beat Wales 92-0 in last year's comp...

Podge_irl

NZ are just laughably far ahead of all the other teams at this level. Wouldn't touch any bet against them.

wp_rathead

thomond2006 wrote: »

NZ beat Wales 92-0 in last year's comp...

....um, right.. when was looking up past scores I obvo missed that lil nugget..

..oh ****:o

Tox56

Podge_irl wrote: »

NZ are just laughably far ahead of all the other teams at this level. Wouldn't touch any bet against them.

Out of interest, is it due to size/developement or just flat out skill? Or both?