Official Free Money Betting Superthread 2011/12

thomond2006

Podge_irl wrote: »

Free money for Mr. Power perhaps!

aye

Judgement Day

A bad night for all three provinces.

Edinburgh vs Munster 29-14
Ospreys vs Connacht 20-15
Dragons vs Ulster 22-9

Not entirely surprising. Where was Dougie Howlett? And for Ulster where was Ian Humphreys? Are they both out injured or just rested?

MungBean

Anyone else throwing a few quid on Australia to beat the HC ?

-32 HT 10/11
-69 FT 10/11

A A Cooper first try scorer. 6/1

CIARAN_BOYLE

Judgement Day wrote: »

A bad night for all three provinces.

Edinburgh vs Munster 29-14
Ospreys vs Connacht 20-15
Dragons vs Ulster 22-9

Not entirely surprising. Where was Dougie Howlett? And for Ulster where was Ian Humphreys? Are they both out injured or just rested?

Humphries and cave were injured a couple of weeks ago against cardiff

I don't know about Howlett

thomond2006

I HATE POOL B.

• Lost out on €10 winnings on Argentina to beat England. England last minute try to win.
• Lost out on €12 winnings on no try in Argentina vs Scotland. Argentina try in the last 5 minutes.
• Lost out on €11 winnings on Scotland to beat England, England last minute try to win.

:mad::mad::mad:

Judgement Day

Another woeful betting session only salvaged by some last minute betting on England to win.

CatFromHue

The French...what to do with them!

Have they beaten the handicap in any of their games?

Podge_irl

CatFromHue wrote: »

The French...what to do with them!

Have they beaten the handicap in any of their games?

I'm not quite sure I'd describe that as "not beating the handicap".

Useless Frenchies. Remind me never ever to beat on them again.

Unless it's to beat NZ in a knockout game...

duckysauce

C Healy @ 25/1 motm , good odds after the italians bigging their scrum up , if Cian plays like he did against Austrialia could well get it.

thomond2006

Ireland 1/7 to win, -11 spread on PP. Thoughts?

Juwwi

thomond2006 wrote: »

Ireland 1/7 to win, -11 spread on PP. Thoughts?

I realy like the look of Ireland to win by 1-12 points at 15/8 with Stan James.
PP dont have odds for it tho.

Others I taught would give a run your ur money was was Man of Match ROG 11/2 SO'B 6/1 and Parisse 7/1
I'd prob pick ROG if I was doing 1 of the above.

I dont think I will do a bet tho as it can ruin a game sometimes when you have enough interest anyway when your team is playing.


Edit Just seen prob the worst value I've ever seen.
Ireland to win to nil 20/1
Another 20/1shot in the match is Parisse to score the 1st try.
I know whichone I'd take if I had the choice.

robbie1977

robbie1977 wrote: »

I realy like the look of Ireland to win by 1-12 points at 15/8 with Stan James.
PP dont have odds for it tho.

Others I taught would give a run your ur money was was Man of Match ROG 11/2 SO'B 6/1 and Parisse 7/1
I'd prob pick ROG if I was doing 1 of the above.

I dont think I will do a bet tho as it can ruin a game sometimes when you have enough interest anyway when your team is playing.


Edit Just seen prob the worst value I've ever seen.
Ireland to win to nil 20/1
Another 20/1shot in the match is Parisse to score the 1st try.
I know whichone I'd take if I had the choice.

WHAT?! :eek:
That's a huge misprice if true. Hammer it

Juwwi

Deleted User wrote: »

WHAT?! :eek:
That's a huge misprice if true. Hammer it

No its not a mistake they are just being very generous.
Here it is on betpack (betpack is basically the same as stan james)


http://www.betpack.com/betting/?sID=1626.2&sltc=176758.2&slc=338249.2&sle=1680152.2&slm=-1

thomond2006

Deleted User wrote: »

WHAT?! :eek:
That's a huge misprice if true. Hammer it

7/5 on Paddy Power.

GerM

It's a fairly normal price; I wouldn't be overly taken by it. They usually give thereabouts for being within 10 points of the handicap. Argentina are 11/4 to win by 11-20 for example (handicap 20) and Wales are 5/2 to win by 11-20 (handicap 19). Both more generous than the Irish odds albeit with a slightly smaller range.

Backing Ireland to beat the HC, and backing that bet together gives a gtd return if you do it in the right ratio.

Does it beat the 1/7 return for an Ireland outright win?

I imagine so

1/3 if you split the bet 65/35

theboss80

Figi 9/1 or +19 at evens on PP looks the most interesting. Don't forget the money back special if an 11 scores a try. Well worth the gamble Id say.

Last chance for pool stage accumulator aswell

thomond2006

With Carter out, I'm thinking of laying NZ on betfair and then backing them when the odds inevitably rise as news filters through about Carter's injury. What do ye think, I'm new to betfair so maybe my thinking is wrong.

Or am I too late already?

thomond2006

Bah, odds will shorten anyway by semi-finals. NZ with Slade at 10 should still beat Argies handily enough.

Nevermind...

thomond2006

Carter's injury has caused the outright market to alter its odds significantly.

Ireland down to 14/1 to win the comp, NZ up to 5/6.

Judgement Day

Great game and good result for me - for once.

Rjd2

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/internationals/rugby-world-cup


Interesting to see the differences in the match prices with the bookmakers in the 3 competitive quarter finals. Money to be made as long as you have multiple accounts.;)

thomond2006

Ireland 12/1 with PP but you can them at 16.5/1 on Betfair!

9/1 is a ridiculously low price for England.

Judgement Day

Just gone with Australia by -1. No matter what team PDV puts out I reckon the Boks are on a hiding to nothing.

MungBean

Ireland -2 @ 10/11
England -3 @ 10/11
Australia scr @ 10/11

Treble.

duckysauce

MungBean wrote: »

Ireland -2 @ 10/11
England -3 @ 10/11
Australia scr @ 10/11

Treble.

added bnz to that argies have been bad

duckysauce

double on eng and kiwis comes in at 4/1 at the mo . good value imo.

Podge_irl

Presumably that's a double on them both beating the cap?

duckysauce

Podge_irl wrote: »

Presumably that's a double on them both beating the cap?

yep should have posted that

New Zealand (-26.0)

England (-4.0)

Podge_irl

Not sure how thrilled I'd be about that NZ cap. If England win I think they'll do so handily enough.

GerM

I fancy the Boks to do it. Two important things swing it for me. Firstly, they have probably the best kicker in the tournament in Morne Steyn and Australia don't even know who their kicker is let alone have a solid one. Secondly, this is cup rugby. It's going to get dragged into a dog fight and I can see that little bit of naivety in Australia in terms of dragging out a win and playing the smarter rugby. John Smit knows how to win and how to lead a team. Neither side have set the world on fire so far and I think it's going to be a very close match.

Ireland, England, SA and NZ comes in at 5/1.

CatFromHue

GerM wrote: »

I fancy the Boks to do it. Two important things swing it for me. Firstly, they have probably the best kicker in the tournament in Morne Steyn and Australia don't even know who their kicker is let alone have a solid one. Secondly, this is cup rugby. It's going to get dragged into a dog fight and I can see that little bit of naivety in Australia in terms of dragging out a win and playing the smarter rugby. John Smit knows how to win and how to lead a team. Neither side have set the world on fire so far and I think it's going to be a very close match.

Ireland, England, SA and NZ comes in at 5/1.

I think I'll wait until I see the Oz team before making any predictions. I agree with what you say but OZ beat SA in SA in the Tri Nations. This would have been a near if not full first team for the Boks at the time but the Aussies even started winning scrums in the game! Granted it was effectively the Boks first game of the international season as compared to the Aussies third or fourth.

SA do look like they will have more firepower (possibly even better players on the bench than in the starting team) than OZ what with Hougaard, Bismark, and Alberts.

Argentina at +26 though in my mind is great odds. I can see NZ having to work hard to beat them. The Argies will have had two hard fought games whereas the Kiwis will have only had possibly 12 min where the result of the game was in any doubt from the French game. Also when I hear the Argies saying they are going to have a cut off the Kiwis up front they actually will. It's not just idle talk!

Juwwi

The weather will be a big factor for this game.
If its dry I'd fancy Australia to wni it but if its wet I would'nt back them.

duckysauce

heres how the sheep are betting

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/rugbyunion/international/england/8807754/Rugby-World-Cup-2011-Sonny-Wool-the-psychic-sheep-predicts-England-to-beat-France-in-quarter-finals.html

CoDy1

Going big on Irl - 2. Evens

And following Frankie Sheahan on Irl -1, Eng -4, SA +1, Arg +27 @ 15's, cheeky acc!

duckysauce

wales gone to 6/1 , they have cost me this tournament :mad:

thomond2006

11 euro lost on Ireland.

(Although I'm sure others have lost more)

Gone for France at 13/8

cup of tea

on france 9/5....value

thomond2006

Also got on France to win. Looking good so far.

Judgement Day

Swings and roundabouts this morning but it could have been worse. I've thrown the winnings (?) on Munster by more than 6 tonight.

thomond2006

It's been fun Paddy, made a profit of €110 in the last months. But sometimes we have to move on to pastures new (i.e. Betfair) where conditions are better (i.e. better odds)

So €30 stuck into betfair and €10 on Munster at 1.51. The potential profit, €5.10, is subject to 5% commission but it's still far better payout than PP. I've left a tenner in paddypower in case they've any specials on, bar that I don't see any benefit to staying there over a betting exchange like betfair.

thomond2006

Laying Wales looks tempting at 1.85ish.

Podge_irl

thomond2006 wrote: »

It's been fun Paddy, made a profit of €110 in the last months. But sometimes we have to move on to pastures new (i.e. Betfair) where conditions are better (i.e. better odds)

So €30 stuck into betfair and €10 on Munster at 1.51. The potential profit, €5.10, is subject to 5% commission but it's still far better payout than PP. I've left a tenner in paddypower in case they've any specials on, bar that I don't see any benefit to staying there over a betting exchange like betfair.

Benefits to having both (and indeed even more, though I don't).

Better odds on betfair and ability to lay is quite nice, but you're reliant on people laying markets for them to even exist. Much wider choice of bets on PP

Judgement Day

Gone for a French win tomorrow at 6/5, so that will probably ensure a Welsh victory. I have zero interest in soccer but still couldn't resist a punt on Armenia to win the other night - between having their goalie sent off and an own goal...I'm jinxed lately. I think to ensure an AB victory on Sunday I'll have to bet the kitchen sink on the Aussies.

duckysauce

wales gone from -3 to +9 , after red card

Judgement Day

There is a God after all! Money from PP and France in the final.

duckysauce

Judgement Day wrote: »

There is a God after all! Money from PP and France in the final.

hope frogs turn up next week have them at 16/1

Judgement Day

duckysauce wrote: »

hope frogs turn up next week have them at 16/1

Hope you aren't going to lose too much so.

thomond2006

Backed France at 5.9 (only 5.0 or 4/1 on PP) to win the comp. I'm hoping the odds will shorten after tommorrow, then I'll lay them at lower odds. I reckon if Australia win the semi, the odds on France will definitely shorten.

duckysauce

Judgement Day wrote: »

Hope you aren't going to lose too much so.

lol there will be more wc controversy tomorrow, and the word all blacks will be said alot