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Winter Charts 2011/2012

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    #362
    dsmythy
    Registered Users Posts: 10,519 ✭✭✭✭dsmythy


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    Imagine that dark blob keeping its energy by the time it got to us!?!.... I never seen that colour on it before! Its doesnt even correlate with a strong low or anything... thoughts people?

    181778.png

    I know we're delving slightly off topic with regards FI but the current GFS solution for that low brings it over us.

    azoreatt.png


    Actually now that I look at it again that blob stays put. That low over us is related to the same disturbance causing that blob.


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    #363
    bb1234567
    Registered Users Posts: 5,512 ✭✭✭bb1234567


    would worst case scenario of that bring floods as bad or worse as a few weeks ago?


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    #364
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Regardless of rain, that low on the 06Z GFS looks like a serious windstorm for the Scotland/ Northeast England and parts of Ulster if that were to verify.

    Track and intensity will change (maybe a lot), but worth keeping an eye on.


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    #365
    only one
    Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭only one


    What day should this be taking place?


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    #366
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    12Z GFS FI charts will be here in 3....2....1.... :P

    Oh, well, I'll be first then....

    gfsnh-0-372.png

    Hail Mary, full of grace, pray for us sinners, now and at the hour of our death....


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    #367
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 6,012 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    Some FI charts from the 12z

    adp0l4.png

    ic1oxs.png

    :pac::pac: for the lolz

    6y35mh.png


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    #368
    Musicman2000
    Registered Users Posts: 1,461 ✭✭✭Musicman2000


    GFS FI :)

    gfs-1-384.png?12

    And

    gfs-2-384.png?12


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    #369
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    It's so beautiful . . .*wipes tear from eye* . . .:pac:


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    #370
    Musicman2000
    Registered Users Posts: 1,461 ✭✭✭Musicman2000


    thetonynator wrote: »
    It's so beautiful . . .*wipes tear from eye* . . .:pac:

    You can shed another tear when its gone on the 18z run:D


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    #371
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    Musicman2000 wrote: »
    You can shed another tear when its gone on the 18z run:D

    Meh. Pub run doesn't count unless I want it too! And by the law of averages it'll be back in the 00z, and I'll conveniently ignore it's disappearance again in the 06z!!!

    Selective model reading ftw!! Mwahahahaha . . . .

    :pac::pac::pac:


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    #372
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    WHEN IS THE NEXT RUN OUT!?.... I need to know b4 im off to bed if its a gonner or what !!! ha :) * HANDS STARTS TO TREMBLE *

    nervous.gif


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    #373
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    WHEN IS THE NEXT RUN OUT!?.... I need to know b4 im off to bed if its a gonner or what !!! ha :) * HANDS STARTS TO TREMBLE *

    Hi,

    GFS starts rolling out at 930pm and will be completed by 2240


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    #374
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    181876.png

    Windy at 144hrs in the GEM.


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    #375
    Speak Now
    Registered Users Posts: 8,672 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    GFS track for same storm

    [URL="javascript: viewimage(1);"]h850t850eu.png[/URL]


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    #376
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »
    GFS track for same storm

    Saw that, said i'd post the more dramatic option!


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    #377
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    Starting to look promising at 252 hours on the GFS.

    edit: Maybe not.

    edit again: :D


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    #378
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    181877.png

    Its beautiful!!!


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    #379
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    6034073

    SNOW :D:D:D


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    #380
    Tom Cruises Left Nut
    Registered Users Posts: 9,017 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    This FI is amazing !!


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    #381
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    Best run of the winter IMO!!!


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    #382
    Tom Cruises Left Nut
    Registered Users Posts: 9,017 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    Me and Maq just been going mad about it on the chat channel !!


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    #383
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    6034073


    Cold spell goes and reappears at 384.


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    #384
    Speak Now
    Registered Users Posts: 8,672 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    thetonynator wrote: »
    Best run of the winter IMO!!!

    Sums up how poor the models have been for cold runs doesnt it


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    #385
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »
    Sums up how poor the models have been for cold runs doesnt it

    Well in fairness thats a decent run for this time of year anyway, regardless of how mild it has been.


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    #386
    Tom Cruises Left Nut
    Registered Users Posts: 9,017 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    Anyone able to post up the chart thingy to see if this run was an outlier ?


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    #387
    Speak Now
    Registered Users Posts: 8,672 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    thetonynator wrote: »
    Well in fairness thats a decent run for this time of year anyway, regardless of how mild it has been.

    Decent for some frost ;) i gave up on north/north westerlies for snow a long time ago :D easterly please for us in the sunny south east :)


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    #388
    only one
    Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭only one


    Would the south east get snow from this ?


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    #389
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    181880.png

    Snow risk IMBY at 192 hours.


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    #390
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »
    Decent for some frost ;) i gave up on north/north westerlies for snow a long time ago :D easterly please for us in the sunny south east :)

    A week of easterlies before christmas last year gave me 1.0cm snow . . .actually only 0.5cm of that came from an easterly the other 0.5cm came from a northerly!

    I'll take my chances with the northerly for now! The easterly cold is too far away at the moment to be of any use, wait til it gets to scandi properly.


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    #391
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Weathercheck, are you ok?
    Post if you are ok.


    :P


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