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Winter Charts 2011/2012

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    #182
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    The CFS has an easterly coming down into France bringing very cold temps there and cool temps here for the end of November and start of December. Might be an interesting trend to watch.


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    #183
    MiNdGaM3
    Registered Users Posts: 921 ✭✭✭MiNdGaM3


    The 12z GEFS run, perturbation 16 is very nice from t192 onwards, bags fully of potential and some wonderful synoptics. Have a look yerselves if ye like here http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?ech=192&code=16&mode=0&runpara=0

    And a teaser!
    179809.png


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    #184
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    MiNdGaM3 wrote: »
    The 12z GEFS run, perturbation 16 is very nice from t192 onwards, bags fully of potential and some wonderful synoptics. Have a look yerselves if ye like here http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?ech=192&code=16&mode=0&runpara=0

    And a teaser!
    179809.png

    *HOMER SIMPSON DROOL *... some more like these and ill be a happy camper!!


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    #185
    Trotter
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,362 ✭✭✭Trotter


    Dont you all see?! The Meteociel Map man is in charge of WEATHER! He's revels in snowless misfortune and throws out these charts before clicking NO SNOW for Ireland (Especially Cork and Waterford) around 3 days out. Then he laughs. Don't give in. You'll need a sombrero and shorts.. and an umbrella in November. Betcha.


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    #186
    arctictree
    Registered Users Posts: 4,326 ✭✭✭arctictree


    Thoughts on this one?

    Rtavn3001.png

    Still too early for an easterly to deliver?


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    #187
    Mr Benevolent
    Closed Accounts Posts: 12,456 ✭✭✭✭Mr Benevolent


    arctictree wrote: »
    Thoughts on this one?

    Rtavn3001.png

    Still too early for an easterly to deliver?

    Now there's a nightmare scenario.


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    #188
    bb1234567
    Registered Users Posts: 5,512 ✭✭✭bb1234567


    Confab wrote: »
    Now there's a nightmare scenario.

    is that good or bad, doesnt orange mean warm,oh im so confused:p


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    #189
    Speak Now
    Registered Users Posts: 8,672 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    arctictree wrote: »
    Thoughts on this one?



    Still too early for an easterly to deliver?

    Too early for that set up to deliver daytime temps around 10c to 12c.


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    #190
    Harps
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    The high pressure over Europe just wont move at the moment, right out to 384h on the 17th its still there on tonight's GFS, a bit drier at least but more boring nothingness for the first half of the month by the looks of it :(


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    #191
    arctictree
    Registered Users Posts: 4,326 ✭✭✭arctictree


    How about this puppy?

    Rtavn3601.png

    Would be interesting weather for sure if that panned out.


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    #192
    Elmer Blooker
    Registered Users Posts: 6,141 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    Harps wrote: »
    The high pressure over Europe just wont move at the moment, right out to 384h on the 17th its still there on tonight's GFS, a bit drier at least but more boring nothingness for the first half of the month by the looks of it :(
    If that high becomes a permanent fixture then this forecast posted on the winter 2011-12 thread will turn out to be very accurate :mad:
    590x446_10202220_2011-12-winter-highlights-euro.jpg


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    #193
    Speak Now
    Registered Users Posts: 8,672 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    arctictree wrote: »
    Would be interesting weather for sure if that panned out.

    More heavy rain i'd say :mad:


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    #194
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    arctictree wrote: »
    How about this puppy?

    Rtavn3601.png

    Would be interesting weather for sure if that panned out.

    That would be just rain. Check the 850hpa temps.


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    #195
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Had to go to the "ends of the earth " to find this .... Would love to see models for the week on from this date.... thats when things started to show for last year's Snow event :)

    180106.png


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    #196
    kstand
    Registered Users Posts: 1,248 ✭✭✭kstand


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    Had to go to the "ends of the earth " to find this .... Would love to see models for the week on from this date.... thats when things started to show for last year's Snow event :)

    180106.png

    Far out in FI and will wait to see how it develops but encouranging none the less.


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    #197
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    O M G!!! :D:D:D


    ECM1-144.GIF





    ..... :pac: ;)


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    #198
    Tom Cruises Left Nut
    Registered Users Posts: 9,017 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    O M G!!! :D:D:D


    ECM1-144.GIF





    ..... :pac: ;)

    Chancer ;)


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    #199
    Tom Cruises Left Nut
    Registered Users Posts: 9,017 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    This good ?

    gfs-1-384_jgw4.png

    gfs-0-384_sql8.png


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    #200
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    t|nt|n wrote: »
    This good ?

    Thats what i posted ! ha... Ye , its way out but its better than nothing :) , plus Nov. has only Begun! , usually winter talk only starts now! :)


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    #201
    Tom Cruises Left Nut
    Registered Users Posts: 9,017 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    t|nt|n wrote: »
    This good ?

    Thats what i posted ! ha... Ye , its way out but its better than nothing :) , plus Nov. has only Begun! , usually winter talk only starts now! :)

    You posted a chart from 2010 :confused:


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    #202
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    t|nt|n wrote: »
    Iancar29 wrote: »

    You posted a chart from 2010 :confused:

    Look above that one... :rolleyes:


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    #203
    dsmythy
    Registered Users Posts: 10,519 ✭✭✭✭dsmythy


    FI seems to trend towards an outbreak of cold from the north rather than the east. RTÉ wont care since it will just be the northwest getting the snow if that were the case :D


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    #204
    srocliffe
    Registered Users Posts: 117 ✭✭srocliffe


    That's the first even remotely decent chart in a while in FI, maybe a trend, or more likely it will be gone again on the next run.


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    #205
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 6,012 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    O M G!!! :D:D:D


    ECM1-144.GIF





    ..... :pac: ;)

    If that chart was a woman i'd get down on one knee and marry it


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    #206
    TheInquisitor
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,530 ✭✭✭TheInquisitor


    Winter is coming...

    gefs2.png

    gefs1.png

    gefs3.png


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    #207
    pistolpetes11
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 7,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭pistolpetes11


    Type of setup wont give snow on low lying areas but its nice to see . :D


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    #208
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    3 of 20 perturbations the best we can do, at 384 hours?!

    Thats taking FI too far . . .:P


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    #209
    pistolpetes11
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 7,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭pistolpetes11


    thetonynator wrote: »
    3 of 20 perturbations the best we can do, at 384 hours?!

    Thats taking FI too far . . .:P

    It has to start somewhere ,

    Last year was somewhat similar , nothing on the charts then bang out of nowhere in it came.


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    #210
    Harps
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    0z GFS has thrown up some really interesting developments from 192h onwards this morning, an easterly flow across the north Atlantic and a high building over Greenland eventually dragging down some cold air. Looks very similar to last Novembers outcome :)


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    #211
    arctictree
    Registered Users Posts: 4,326 ✭✭✭arctictree


    Yep, very depths of FI showing an interesting setup. Bordering on the timeframe for snow now...

    Rtavn3841.png

    Interesting signs on both GFS and ECM of an Atlantic/GL HP starting an easterly setup...


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