The Football / Soccer Tips Thread v2

grohlisagod

Goalscorers the way to go for me this week. All anytime.

Di Natale 5/6 - Scored in his last 3 home games. Scored in his last 2 home games versus Inter. Usually turns up in the big games too.

Llorente Evens - Scored 4 in his last 4. Bilbao are always strong at home.

Gerrard 11/4 - I think this is good value. I fancy goals in this games and Gerrard has a decent scoring record versus Everton. 20/1 to score 2 or more which might be worth a look also considering he got a hat-trick in the last meeting.

Nuri Sahin

Sunderland, Leverkusen and Wolfsburg @ 3/1

Montpeiller @ 11/10

Giroud Wincast @ 13/5

The Irish Riddler

I don't see value in the montpellier price.

Treble is not too bad.

manual_man

gone for a bit of a correct score spread in the Liverpool Everton game 2-2 3-3 and 3-2 either way fancy there to be a good few goals and a close contest. good luck to all today

Lasagna Diarra

The Irish Riddler wrote: »

I don't see value in the montpellier price.

Treble is not too bad.

Really?? Montpellier (top of the league) @ 2.15 vs Lorient (18th and completely out of form) and you don't see value? Do you want Montpellier to be @ 4.00 or something??

MoscowFlyer

Over 2.5 goals treble

West Brom/QPR @ 4/5
Carlisle/Charlton @ 1/1
Stockport/Braintree @ 3/5

£15 stake. Good Luck.

Lasagna Diarra

2 singles:
Sunderland -1 @ 2.15

Under 2.5 in Nomme Kalju v Flora (Estonian league) @ 2.05

and a treble of:
Under 2.5 in Nomme Kalju v Flora
Sunderland
Montpellier
@ 5.64

and a double of:
Nafta Lendava or draw (Slovenian league)
BATE Borisov
@ 2.04

Nomme Kalju and Flora are the two best teams in Estonia at the moment, they're level on points but Kalju have a game in hand, Flora can't afford to lose this game. Both teams can beat all the other teams in the league so this is a very important game they don't want to lose. Against the 3rd best team in Estonia - Levadia - Kalju drew 0-0 and Flora drew 1-1, I'm expecting a similar scoreline today.

manual_man

Headshot wrote: »

Sergio Aguero @ EVS
Norwich v Man City
Anytime Goalscorer
Total stake € 21.00
Estimated return € 42.00

The only inform city striker

I hope you're right, but not from a betting point of view, rather a fantasy football one haha

magherakid

Single
Aguero anytime 11/10

Glenavon v Donegal Celtic
Glenavon are fighting to pull themselves away from the bottom of the league, Donegal Celtic are safe have nothing to play for so the game means more to Glenavon.

Single
Glenavon 11/10

Jackohearts

Howdy folks..
My Friday 13th bet was

Fleetwood Town -1 (v Lincoln)
SHampton v Reading BTTS
Stuttgart win
Leinster - 9
Shamrock Rovers -1
Stake €20 at roughly 12/1

Only for Fleetwoods horror start I'd be laughing

Right, enough of losing, some wins today please

Lasagna Diarra

treble:
Nafta Lendava or draw
Barcelona
Dynamo Kiev
@ 1.85

Headshot

Headshot wrote: »

Sergio Aguero @ EVS
Norwich v Man City
Anytime Goalscorer
Total stake € 21.00
Estimated return € 42.00

The only inform city striker

In the money

The Irish Riddler

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Really?? Montpellier (top of the league) @ 2.15 vs Lorient (18th and completely out of form) and you don't see value? Do you want Montpellier to be @ 4.00 or something??

Correct. If Montpellier were at home I would be backing at that price myself.


To scratch the surface of the match:
Lorient have lost 26% of their home games, Montpellier have won 40% of their away games.
Lorient have conceded just 0.66 goals per home game.
Montpellier have just a +5 away goal difference.
Lorient have won or drawn 3 from their last 6 if you want to talk about recent form so they are not completely out of form.



I have a feeling that ye are basing your bets solely on the league table - thats what I see from the league table after looking at it for 1 minute.



Prediction: 1-1.

Lasagna Diarra

The Irish Riddler wrote: »

Correct. If Montpellier were at home I would be backing at that price myself.


To scratch the surface of the match:
Lorient have lost 26% of their home games, Montpellier have won 40% of their away games.
Lorient have conceded just 0.66 goals per home game.
Montpellier have just a +5 away goal difference.
Lorient have won or drawn 3 from their last 6 if you want to talk about recent form so they are not completely out of form.



I have a feeling that ye are basing your bets solely on the league table - thats what I see from the league table.

Stats don't tell the whole story. Lorient are having a dreadful season and they're now in the relegation zone, they have only 1 win in their last 13 games!! they managed to draw vs poor teams like Auxerre or Soxhaux but that's it, they're awful this season.

Montpellier must win this game as they're level on points with PSG at the top, their confidence is sky high, they recently beat Sochaux (who are a completely different team now) and won away to Marseille...who are having a dreadful season just like Lorient.

There's no way Lorient can get something out of this game imo.

mrdmb

4 accumlators

bayern to win at home
ac milan to win at home
dynamo kiev to win at him
Al Hilal from saudi arabia to win at home
2.5 for the four..

The Irish Riddler

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Stats don't tell the whole story. Lorient are having a dreadful season and they're now in the relegation zone, they have only 1 win in their last 13 games!! they managed to draw vs poor teams like Auxerre or Soxhaux but that's it, they're awful this season.

Montpellier must win this game as they're level on points with PSG at the top, their confidence is sky high, they recently beat Sochaux (who are a completely different team now) and won away to Marseille...who are having a dreadful season just like Lorient.

There's no way Lorient can get something out of this game imo.

OK. Good Luck.

ConorBFC3

Fancy Crewe to beat Macclesfield @2.00. Play-off hopefuls against bottom of the table (or 2nd bottom, can't remember).

Also a double of Sheffield United to beat Leyton Orient @1.33 and Sunderland to beat Wolves @1.53.

Single of Montpellier to beat Lorient @2.10.

MikeyGorse

Montpellier @ EVS
Lorient v Montpellier
Match Betting

Borussia Dortmund @ 6/5
Schalke v Borussia Dortmund
Match Betting

Total stake € 5.50
Estimated return € 24.20

sboyle01

N Bendtner anytime scorer 6/5 looks good if he's fit.
Ched Evans wincast 4/5 also.

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Under 2.5 in Nomme Kalju v Flora (Estonian league) @ 2.05


Nomme Kalju and Flora are the two best teams in Estonia at the moment, they're level on points but Kalju have a game in hand, Flora can't afford to lose this game. Both teams can beat all the other teams in the league so this is a very important game they don't want to lose. Against the 3rd best team in Estonia - Levadia - Kalju drew 0-0 and Flora drew 1-1, I'm expecting a similar scoreline today.

Get in

Lasagna Diarra

Wolves have also made a number of changes with Matt Jarvis, Kevin Doyle and Ronald Zubar dropping to the bench

SAFC: Mignolet, Bardsley, Richardson, Kilgallon, Turner, Larsson, McClean, Gardner, Colback, Sessegnon, Bendtner
Subs: Westwood, Bridge, Campbell, Vaughan, Ji, Meyler, Kyrgiakos

Wolves: Hennessey, Ward, Berra, Stearman, Foley, Kightly, Davis, Forde., Henry, Ebanks-Blake, Fletcher,
Subs: De Vries, Edwards, Johnson, Jarvis, Jonsson, Zubar, Doyle

mrdmb

won 2 bets at the 85 mins !
went for liverpool to win it was 4/1 with 20 euros
and the man city game goals more than 6.5 at 15/8 with 30 euros....:)

Shane St.

Sunderland -1 6/4. 40 beans on it

ConorBFC3

mrdmb wrote: »

won 2 bets at the 85 mins !
went for liverpool to win it was 4/1 with 20 euros
and the man city game goals more than 6.5 at 15/8 with 30 euros....:)

Aftertiming much?

That's not allowed here.

mrdmb

ConorBFC3 wrote: »

Aftertiming much?

That's not allowed here.

what do u mean.? am new here..lol

Shane St.

mrdmb wrote: »

what do u mean.? am new here..lol

don't put bets up after they won. Sure what good is that. The whole point of this thread is to share tips so others may have a chance to put them up. U just putting up winners is no good to anyone. there is a separate thread for that

Photo-Sniper

mrdmb wrote: »

what do u mean.? am new here..lol

Post the betslips or we just ignore it.

eh i dunno

PP down for anyone else??

mrdmb

ok i get u now...

ConorBFC3

eh i dunno wrote: »

PP down for anyone else??

Yeah, **** sake.

rossit

yeah what were the odds on that lol

Hamadeusentman

My only bet of the day is a double of Swansea v Blackburn BTS and west ham v Brighton BTS. €20 on.

PopTarts

eh i dunno wrote: »

PP down for anyone else??

Are they having a laugh? As well as the footie, it's one of the biggest days in the horse racing too!

Headshot

The sooner ye stop using pp the better, ****ing awful bookie

Paully D

rossit wrote: »

yeah what were the odds on that lol

About 1/5.

mrdmb

Headshot wrote: »

The sooner ye stop using pp the better, ****ing awful bookie

yeah i stopped using them...tottally agree with u....

Jackohearts

Phew.. about time
Couple of nice little returns from Liverpool and Man City

Now a Treble of
Swansea
QPR
Sunderland

mrdmb

sunderland to win 1st half at evens...a good one from the way the game is goin..

Nuri Sahin

Worth noting down Vaz Te for West Ham. The guy is on fire for them since joining in January.

Brain Stroking

Headshot wrote: »

The sooner ye stop using pp the better, ****ing awful bookie

As a matter of interest, which online bookie do you use? Thinking of leaving PP and today has cemented that

Headshot

Brain Stroking wrote: »

As a matter of interest, which online bookie do you use? Thinking of leaving PP and today has cemented that

Bet365

Badly layout site but it's one of the best

rossit

swansea to score 4 or more 9/1 if you could get the bet on pp live betting is crap was 641 in the Q for live help what a joke

Alaska1

Are the in running football matches on the PP live down for everyone else ?

rossit

Alaska1 wrote: »

Are the in running football matches on the PP live down for everyone else ?

yeah,load of horse sh-t

kryogen

Paddypower is useless, the sooner people stop using it altogether the better it will get though!

They have a huge share of the Irish market, if enough people leave they will have to look at themselves properly. Huge betting day today and they have been all over the shop.

---

For a footie bet, Bayern Munich home to Mainz, Munich -1

Waiting on it for a double after the Liverpool/Everton game earlier (BTTS)

robertowjr

-Ade- wrote: »

Worth noting down Vaz Te for West Ham. The guy is on fire for them since joining in January.

he scored 3 and there's still 30min to go

inforfun

Gomez hat trick @9

Reckon since Robben missed a penalty against Dortmund Gomez will now take them.

And lmao odds on a Ronaldo hat trick @2.75

Nuri Sahin

* BREAKING NEWS: *

All italian football leagues suspended after the death of Piermario Morosini.

.

Headshot

inforfun wrote: »

Gomez hat trick @9

Reckon since Robben missed a penalty against Dortmund Gomez will now take them.

And lmao odds on a Ronaldo hat trick @2.75

You should of waited for lineups before betting, strong chance of resting players

inforfun

Was just reading that of the Livorno player.
Was wondering why all Italian matches were postponed.
Heart attack on the pitch.
Damn.


Edit: You are right Headshot. Should have waited. Forgot about the CL