The Football / Soccer Tips Thread v2

keane2097

razor425 wrote: »

Brave or stupid?

I feel Chelsea may have turned a corner at the weekend and Valencia seem very poor away from home. 8 away games in La Liga and Chmapions League this season and only 8 goals. 4 of the league games were against teams in bottom 5/6 of La Liga. At 21/10 I see a little bit of value here. Worth 5 euro imo.

Also Valencia missing a few key players.

Your sample size of Valencia not scoring away from home is pretty small so I wouldn't put massive stock in it. When you consider you're happy enough to dismiss Chelsea's poor defending over a similar sample size it should tell you that you may be reading too much into those stats.

buckfasterer

Just having a brief look through different odds on the phone here but for chelsea I'd fancy over 12 corners at 2/1 and a red card at 5/2. Basically this is due to chelsea having to chase after a couple of goals and putting the pressure on, and that their discipline isn't good either....and we all know what luiz is like! Late in the game if they're struggling then indiscipline will no doubt set in.

Yardie

razor425 wrote: »

Genk +1 @ 7/5 - Unbeaten at home in Champions League so far and will want to put in a good performance after being humiliated in the last round. Great value here especially considering Leverkusen's patchy away form.

Also keep an eye on Arsenal team for tomorrow, available +1 at 5/6 at the minute and Olympiacos have a massive currently.

Also Genk on the corner match bet are usually fairly good, can't find any odds now though.

Genk are 11/5 with Bwin for the corner match bet..Huge price IMO.

Genk are pretty strong for corners at home. They drew Corner match bet with both Valencia and Chelsea at home and won the CMB away in Leverkusen.
In CL Leverksuen won CMB in Valencia but lost it at Chelsea. Leverkusen have also have a terrible corner rate away from home in Bundesliga, averaging under 3 per game and lost 7/8 CMBs this season.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/champions-league/genk-v-bayer-leverkusen/most-corners

razor425

Your sample size of Valencia not scoring away from home is pretty small so I wouldn't put massive stock in it. When you consider you're happy enough to dismiss Chelsea's poor defending over a similar sample size it should tell you that you may be reading too much into those stats.

That's a fair point, maybe I have the rose tinted glasses on. I just see Chelsea scraping through with a 1-0 or 2-0 here though.

razor425

Genk are 11/5 with Bwin for the corner match bet..Huge price IMO.

Genk are pretty strong for corners at home. They drew Corner match bet with both Valencia and Chelsea at home and won the CMB away in Leverkusen.
In CL Leverksuen won CMB in Valencia but lost it at Chelsea. Leverkusen have also have a terrible corner rate away from home in Bundesliga, averaging under 3 per game and lost 7/8 CMBs this season.

That's a super price, definetly having some of that. Thanks a lot Yardie.

Lasagna Diarra

beretta_better wrote: »

OLYMPIAKOS

Probable Line-Up: Megyeri, Maniatis, Mellberg, Papadopoulos, Torosidis Potouridis, Holebas, Orbaiz, Abdoun, Pantelic, Djebbour

ARSENAL

Probable Line-Up: Fabianski, Koscielny, Vermaelen, Squillaci, Santos, Coquelin, Frimpong, Benayoun, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Chamakh, Arshavin

Over 2,5 @2.15 is a MUST

GL

yea over 2.5 missed sitters if Chamakh is in the starting 11

keane2097

razor425 wrote: »

That's a fair point, maybe I have the rose tinted glasses on. I just see Chelsea scraping through with a 1-0 or 2-0 here though.

Best of luck with the bet either way.

Yardie

Going for Djebbour anytime goalscorer for Olympiakos tonight @ 2/1 on betfair.

He has scored in his last 9 home league matches for Olympiakos.

buzztastic

razor425 wrote: »

Chelsea to win to nil at 21/10 worth a small bet.
Valencia struggle for goals away from home, only 1 against Genk and Leverkusen combined despite beating both fairly easily at home. Only a small stake as I have some slight worries about Chelsea's defence(i.e Luiz)

Fancy this as well, either gonna do chelsea 1-0 or this, 21/10 is the best price on oddschecker too.

awhir

Yardie wrote: »

Going for Djebbour anytime goalscorer for Olympiakos tonight @ 2/1 on betfair.

He has scored in his last 9 home league matches for Olympiakos.

yardie any card bet's you fancy tonight ?

Yardie

awhir wrote: »

yardie any card bet's you fancy tonight ?

http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=75847559&postcount=435

Soby

Yardie wrote: »

Genk are 11/5 with Bwin for the corner match bet..Huge price IMO.

Genk are pretty strong for corners at home. They drew Corner match bet with both Valencia and Chelsea at home and won the CMB away in Leverkusen.
In CL Leverksuen won CMB in Valencia but lost it at Chelsea. Leverkusen have also have a terrible corner rate away from home in Bundesliga, averaging under 3 per game and lost 7/8 CMBs this season.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/champions-league/genk-v-bayer-leverkusen/most-corners

Got em at 12/5 to win corners and 10/11 at +2 to cover myself .

ff9999

razor425 wrote: »

Brave or stupid?

I feel Chelsea may have turned a corner at the weekend and Valencia seem very poor away from home. 8 away games in La Liga and Chmapions League this season and only 8 goals. 4 of the league games were against teams in bottom 5/6 of La Liga. At 21/10 I see a little bit of value here. Worth 5 euro imo.

Also Valencia missing a few key players.

6 clean sheets in 22 games this season for Chelsea. Albeit 2 home clean sheets in Champs League against Leverkusen & Genk (not the toughest opposition)

I just wouldn't be confident backing that Chelsea defence to keep a clean sheet at the minute, especially in a game of this magnitude. Soldado will cause trouble up front

awhir

Yardie wrote: »

http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=75847559&postcount=435

cheers

TheMilkyPirate

Yardie wrote: »

Genk are 11/5 with Bwin for the corner match bet..Huge price IMO.

Genk are pretty strong for corners at home. They drew Corner match bet with both Valencia and Chelsea at home and won the CMB away in Leverkusen.
In CL Leverksuen won CMB in Valencia but lost it at Chelsea. Leverkusen have also have a terrible corner rate away from home in Bundesliga, averaging under 3 per game and lost 7/8 CMBs this season.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/champions-league/genk-v-bayer-leverkusen/most-corners

Really wanna get on this but PP don't have it

Yardie

Soby wrote: »

Got em at 12/5 to win corners and 10/11 at +2 to cover myself .

Very nice price from Bet 365. I am gonna have a bit of that Genk +1.5 at evens.

EdenHazard

ive gone for
under 2.5-barca bate
over 2.5-olympiacos arsenal
shakthar-much better than the cypriot team, think it'll be 2-1 because thing have already qualifed so wont be as pushed
leverkusen-think theyll win comfortably
dortmund-dodgy but should win
chelsea

3 returns 223.

Yardie

baraca wrote: »

Really wanna get on this but PP don't have it

They are some jokers I'm still waiting since last night for a quote on Luiz to be booked and sentoff and Frimpong to be booked.

hefferboi

Selections:

1: Under 2.5 Barcelona v BATE Borisov
(Total Goals) 06/12/2011 None 2.30 To Run

2 Draw Plzen v AC Milan
(Half-Time) 06/12/2011 None 2.10 To Run

3 Over 3.5 Olympiakos v Arsenal
(Number of Cards in Match) 06/12/2011 None 1.80 To Run

4 Over 6.0 FC Porto v Zenit St Petersburg
(Asian Total Cards) 06/12/2011 None 1.80 To Run

Multiples
bet to win
4 Folds 1 5.00 73.25

On a bit of a bad run lately so I'm praying this comes through.

torrid

For the corners match bets is there a website that counts corners per respective team as game progresses?

Derek!

I'm goin for both to score in the Chelsea match @ 5/6.
A small bet on 1-1 aswell @ 7/1

awhir

torrid wrote: »

For the corners match bets is there a website that counts corners per respective team as game progresses?

flashscore and bet365

seanhynes

why are they removing handicap markets in the bloody kettering match all the time:mad:

awhir

Shakhtar Donetsk
Apoel Nicosia v Shakhtar Donetsk (2)
3.10
Over 2.5 Borussia Dortmund v Marseille
1.70
Over 2.5 Genk v Bayer Leverkusen
1.70
Over 2.5 Chelsea v Valencia
1.80
Over 2.5 Olympiakos v Arsenal
2.15
Multiples
Bet Type No of Bets Unit To Win
5 Folds 1 5.00 5.00 168.36

slookie

Got onto 365 for requests for Luiz cards tonight. These are the prices.

David Luiz to be shown a yellow card odds of 6/5

David Luiz to be shown a red card odds of 16/1

Any player to be shown a red card. odds of 9/4

What do ye think...

Dolph Starbeam

Going to follow a couple tips on here and going to go with a small stake on this accumulator, Apoel look a very good price @ 8/11 at home to Shaktar who have nothing to play for.

Genk v Bayer Leverkusen
Match Handicap +2 Genk +2 4/7

Barcelona v FC Bate
Both Teams To Score No 8/11

Porto v Zenit St Petersburg
Which Half Will Have The Most Goals? Second Half EVS

Chelsea v Valencia
Which Half Will Have The Most Goals? Second Half EVS

Borussia Dortmund v Marseille
Which Half Will Have The Most Goals? Second Half EVS

Apoel Nicosia v Shakhtar Donetsk
Match Betting APOEL Nicosia 13/10

Total stake €5.00
Estimated return €249.71

TheMilkyPirate

Mark! wrote: »

Going to follow a couple tips on here and going to go with a small stake on this accumulator, Apoel look a very good price @ 8/11 at home to Shaktar who have nothing to play for.

Genk v Bayer Leverkusen
Match Handicap +2 Genk +2 4/7

Barcelona v FC Bate
Both Teams To Score No 8/11

Porto v Zenit St Petersburg
Which Half Will Have The Most Goals? Second Half EVS

Chelsea v Valencia
Which Half Will Have The Most Goals? Second Half EVS

Borussia Dortmund v Marseille
Which Half Will Have The Most Goals? Second Half EVS

Apoel Nicosia v Shakhtar Donetsk
Match Betting APOEL Nicosia 13/10

Total stake €5.00
Estimated return €249.71

Gonna follow you for the laugh, don't know what to do myself so mightaswell

seanhynes

would over 5.5 cards in chelsea valencia be too much too ask for? it should be a tense game.. ref doesnt seem to keen on handing them out though

User Friendly

I couldnt pass up the Stan James price of 7/2 on Arsenal tonight, threw a tenner @ it.:)

Chelsea are also tempting @ 3/4 VC

mike65

Leverkusen won't want to finish 2nd so I presume they'll put their best out. Arsenal can't be caught so will they put out a League Cup type side?