Cold Spell Prospects and Discussion (January + Early Feb 2012)

nacho libre

Duiske wrote: »

Amazed no one is talking about the GFS 06z. Huge differences from the previous run.

Saturday night. That Azores high looks like its smiling at us as it tries to make a break North West.


.

we need some snow and cold to bring this forum back to life!

If we could just see a high building up in Greenland, we could be in business, but it seem a section of the split polar vortex will hang around Greenland to stop the Azore high linking up with it. A mid Atlantic high wouldn't be a bad outcome.

if we are to get colder weather, it seems some are of the view that the Azore high is more likely to move north eastwards and eventually link with a Russian high moving westwards. That could easily go wrong, but if it did happen, that high would be hard to shift, and with the atlantic in a weaker state, we'd surely get at least two or three days of colder weather out of it.

still we shouldn't be getting sponge bob's hopes up just yet;)

Sponge Bob

If Su does't exercise an outright veto I may show some kindness Calibos.

Would the more memorable Su Su SuperCALIBlizzard not sound better. ??

Rebelbrowser

Sponge Bob wrote: »

If Su does't exercise an outright veto I may show some kindness Calibos.

Would the more memorable Su Su SuperCALIBlizzard not sound better. ??

As the person who proposed assigning this day to Su in the first instance, and to the extent I therefore retain any residual rights in relation to the naming of the day, I formally and irrevocably consent to Calibos' request.

Calibos

Sponge Bob wrote: »

If Su does't exercise an outright veto I may show some kindness Calibos.

Would the more memorable Su Su SuperCALIBlizzard not sound better. ??

Even though the sound of it is something quite attrocious?? :eek:

Not a fan of Julie Andrews then, No??

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4b-Z0SSyUcw

NB* Please do not make any assumptions about my sexual orientation based on the above.

Back on topic. I think the latest GFS 06z run is absolutely expialidocious

ninebeanrows

Ahem, back on topic now

Sponge Bob

GFS 12z shaping that Greenland Low up...but where will it go on Monday and Tuesday ?????

Sponge Bob

12z pushes that Greenland Originated Low much further north on Weds 25th, Donegal might get something out of it.

Another one run wonder.

DOCARCH

12z GFS shows a brief wintry mix for Wednesday but no sign of any cigars!

force eleven

Awful runs this afternoon. The Azores high rules the waves. :mad: Would take something special to change this past day 14.

jirafa

Michael Fish presents his weekly forecast on Netweather.tv



Video link http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=michaelfish;sess=

:(:(:(..Not looking good for snow now next week,,but at least ,it should feel colder, but things can and do change, over a few hours,,so who knows for certain. what may yet happen towards the end of next week .

derekon

jirafa wrote: »

Michael Fish presents his weekly forecast on Netweather.tv



Video link http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=michaelfish;sess=

:(:(:(..Not looking good for snow now next week,,but at least ,it should feel colder, but things can and do change, over a few hours,,so who knows for certain. what may yet happen towards the end of next week .

A Jirafa post that once again brings bad news in terms of possible cold, shocking! Only joking Jirafa - I know you are only the messenger!

I think I will give up reading these boards for a week or so, there is no decent sign of any cold for Ireland over the coming 7-10 days. Which guys, will bring us into the back end of winter, the door of opportunity is slowly closing..............:(

D

Tom Cruises Left Nut

derekon wrote: »

A Jirafa post that once again brings bad news in terms of possible cold, shocking! Only joking Jirafa - I know you are only the messenger!

I think I will give up reading these boards for a week or so, there is no decent sign of any cold for Ireland over the coming 7-10 days. Which guys, will bring us into the back end of winter, the door of opportunity is slowly closing..............:(

D

We have Feb and indeed March to go ! Faith my friend

derekon

t|nt|n wrote: »

We have Feb and indeed March to go ! Faith my friend

Yeah but how long can we keep postponing the cold for? Before we know it, we will be in May and thoughts will be turning towards summer..........:D

I will try keep faith but with nearly 2/3 of the real winter months behind us (i.e. December and most of January) faith is waning my friend.......

D

Wild Bill

derekon wrote: »

Yeah but how long can we keep postponing the cold for? Before we know it, we will be in May and thoughts will be turning towards summer..........:D

Nah....recently Summer 'been starting in September

th3 s1aught3r

Wild Bill wrote: »

Nah....recently Summer 'been starting in September

more like a week or two in April/May and thats our lot, followed by 6 months of rain :cool:

Madpaddy79

th3 s1aught3r wrote: »

Wild Bill wrote: »

Nah....recently Summer 'been starting in September

more like a week or two in April/May and thats our lot, followed by 6 months of rain :cool:

Nah, summer is going to be on a Monday this year, sometime in september.

Wild Bill

Madpaddy79 wrote: »

Nah, summer is going to be on a Monday this year, sometime in september.

Yeh - Monday afternoon from 3 to 5.

kingshankly

Wasn't much difference between this month and last July to be honest

Wild Bill

kingshankly wrote: »

Wasn't much difference between this month and last July to be honest

July was much wetter.

lostinashford

Wild Bill wrote: »

July was much wetter.

How true, only 2mm of rain since the 5 January in Ashford

Musicman2000

Has anyone not see the GFS 18Z, Its still FI BUT the beast from the east has shown up:D Will be gone by tommorow but nice to see.

Sponge Bob

No. It has been supported through 3 or 4 runs now and this very thread was started off 2 runs. A Cold and Crisp spell is forecast.....finally.

I mentioned it this morning myself.

Deep Easterly

derekon wrote: »

Yeah but how long can we keep postponing the cold for? Before we know it, we will be in May and thoughts will be turning towards summer..........:D

Who knows, maybe summer 2012 will bring us a good decent cold spell, just like in 2011:





Fingers crossed everyone.

Wild Bill

The 4th Feb is 16 days away!

ffs - this is another crock of merde at the end of the rainbow :mad:

Musicman2000

Wild Bill wrote: »

The 4th Feb is 16 days away!

ffs - this is another crock of merde at the end of the rainbow :mad:

Take a chill pill Bill:) Its all about the trends

doccy

Musicman2000 wrote: »

Take a chill pill Bill:) Its all about the trends

It's time to face up to the truth .. there's a strong possibility this winters fcuked for cold lovers .. and we're still on this forum because we like talking about the weather

Musicman2000

doccy wrote: »

It's time to face up to the truth .. there's a strong possibility this winters fcuked for cold lovers .. and we're still on this forum because we like talking about the weather

If we had no decent cold by Mid march Ill agree with you, until then winter is far from fcuked:)

fizzycyst

Deep Easterly wrote: »

Who knows, maybe summer 2012 will bring us a good decent cold spell, just like in 2011:





Fingers crossed everyone.

That's just amazing, the summer months well below the mean and winter months above....hopefully we can reverse that this year.

BLIZZARD7

Wild Bill wrote: »

The 4th Feb is 16 days away!

ffs - this is another crock of merde at the end of the rainbow :mad:

I firmly believe that we are going to get an easterly in the next 2 weeks! Its been trending towards it for ages now- The rollercoaster is about to go into overdrive- Expect epic easterlys to be a developing theme on future runs over the next week! ;D

AO- Going deeply negative
NAO- Going negative
MASSIVE siberian high will build+push into scandi/iceland.
GP/Chionomaniac/BFTP over on netweather have been saying for days that easterlys should start appearing in Op runs, not just ensembles! M.T thinks there is a cold pattern building too, no? Of coarse all of these forecasters could be wrong, but GP is very rarely wrong and is never wrong when he is so sure of something! + Met office UK have a strong possibility of an easterly in their 15-30 day forecast, ie 50%.

I reckon the we are going to get a beasterly! Who's with me?





Dan :cool:

Rebelbrowser

doccy wrote: »

Musicman2000 wrote: »

Take a chill pill Bill:) Its all about the trends

It's time to face up to the truth .. there's a strong possibility this winters fcuked for cold lovers .. and we're still on this forum because we like talking about the weather

Au contraire . Its on people.....