Euro 2012 Betting

ha ha hello

Im thinking of having a small bet on naming the finalists; anyone got any suggestions apart from the big three of spain, germany and holland (in particular any dark horses)?

http://www.paddypower.com/football/international-football/euro-2012-betting?ev_oc_grp_ids=273246

I was thinking of spain and czech republic; if spain top group C and czech republic come 2nd in group A, they can't meet until the final. Currently 80-1.

Thoughts?

edit: if the czechs finish 2nd in their group, their path to the final would likely involve germany/holland, then france/england/italy ..

kryogen

De Dannan wrote: »

England special on Will Hill

Gerrard to play every minute of every group match
NO 13/8
surely he will be subbed at some stage, even for 5 mins

With his age and his injury record this year that has got to be worth a punt, excellent spot

tinodz

One bet for tomorrow I decided on is a Wincast

Kerzhakov to score, Russia to win @ 4.50

The guy is coming of a spectacular season for Zenit, scoring 23 goals in 32 games, won the leauge with his team, and was the second top goal scorer in the league. He had a hatrick that season, and quite a few games with two goals. He was in great form during the recent friendlies too. He is pretty much playing his the best football of his career right now,

He was also the designated Penalty taker for Zenit - and scored his last three at least (cannot remember much further back, and Soccerway is playing up for me).

For me, he is the most in form of the Russians right now, and other than Shirokov (who is an attacking midfielder, and will likely create a lot of chances), should shine tomorrow.

ha ha hello wrote: »

Thoughts?

edit: if the czechs finish 2nd in their group, their path to the final would likely involve germany/holland, then france/england/italy ..

Russia/Poland really should be Top 2 in Group C. Like others, I was thinking of doing the Paddy Power Accumulator thing, and was debating between Russia/Poland for my pick. I cannot see the Czechs getting into contention at all to qualify.

Even if they do, I think far too much would have to come together for them to get to the final.

The Czechs also had a very rough road to qualify, and even their friendlies were rough. They scored just four goals - two of those been Penalties. They even had a hard time against Israel, who are in terrible form.

I guess anything could happen, and they could shine in the Euros after a bad run, but on current form that 80/1 does not seem high enough IMO.

ScummyMan

ha ha hello wrote: »

Im thinking of having a small bet on naming the finalists; anyone got any suggestions apart from the big three of spain, germany and holland (in particular any dark horses)?

http://www.paddypower.com/football/international-football/euro-2012-betting?ev_oc_grp_ids=273246

I was thinking of spain and czech republic; if spain top group C and czech republic come 2nd in group A, they can't meet until the final. Currently 80-1.

Thoughts?

edit: if the czechs finish 2nd in their group, their path to the final would likely involve germany/holland, then france/england/italy ..

France France France!!!


Seriously, I'm telling everyone that can listen that France will win it this year. Great manager in Laurant Blanc, settled squad for once, low expectations aswell. They're also in a piss-easy group.

You could do an awful lot worse than France imo, serious dark horses.

ha ha hello

tinodz wrote: »

Even if they do, I think far too much would have to come together for them to get to the final.

Yeah, the more I think about it, there are too many places along the way for it to go a different way to the outcome in my head!

@ Man.UnitedLad .. could be right, might put them as a finalist.

Fizman

A treble that I like the look of is the following:

Not to qualify from group:

Greece
Italy
England

Slightly over 7/1

Tigerandahalf

My small bet for today. Greece and Poland 0-0 and Russia Czech 2-0. Pays 90/1.

Formation

Fizman wrote: »

A treble that I like the look of is the following:

Not to qualify from group:

Greece
Italy
England

Slightly over 7/1

terrible price imo.

Luckycharms_74

Sir Vival wrote: »

1st T & C on PaddyPower offer of: Place a 4-fold Accumulator on the four Euro 2012 group winners and if exactly one leg lets you down, we'll refund your losing bet!

is.... Applies to Mobile bets and text betting only.

What's text betting..? and I presume this means bets placed on the regular website don't qualify...

Placed the bet online without reading the T&C. Called PP to change the bet and they say all bets placed on website are covered for the MBS.

DB74

Paddy Power has confirmed on Twitter that the MBS on the 4-group winners also applies to online bets.

Football Friend

Stuck 100e in my Paddy Power account this morning and was almost late for work trying to come up with my selections! I think I'll surely have a good chance with the top goalscorer

First off a patriotic bet on Ireland to win the tournament at 80/1 - 20e (10 of that is for my Dad! so dont judge it too harshly)

Four players to be top goalscorer for there respective teams

Benzema
Keane
Lewondowski
Ronaldo

80/1 - 5e

Player of the Tournament

Ribery 25/1 - 2.50e
Silva 25/1 - 2.50e

To Qualify from Group (Banker hopefully)

Spain
France
Germany
Russia

little under 2/1 - 20e

Top Goalscorer (like a kid in a candy shop)

Benzema 12/1 -5e
Lewondowski 20/1 - 2.50 e/w
Muller 28/1 - 2.50 e/w
Podolski 28/1 - 2.50 e/w
Kerzahkov 33/1 - 2.50 e/w
Robben 40/1 - 2.50 e/w
Ibrahimovich 50/1 - 2.50 e/w
David Silva 50/1 - 5 e/w
Affelay 100/1 - 2.50 e/w

It should add a bit of interest to the competition if nothing else!

TheRedDevil10

Benzema into 11/1 top scorer

Dodge

tinodz wrote: »

The guy is coming of a spectacular season for Zenit, scoring 23 goals in 32 games... had a hatrick that season, and quite a few games with two goals

by that logic he then has a lot of games with no goals. For this bet you'd prefer someone who scored in 23 games rather than twice in ten games...

Anyway. I think the Czechs are an OK price but can't find a bet today (yet)

Backstreet Moyes

Looking at Ozil 66's for top goalscorer just a small few euro. I think Germany will win it out so should play alot of games. Ozil scored 1 less goal that Gomez in qualifying and Gomez is 7/1. During qualifying he was fourth in number of shots on target so might be worth a small punt. Think 66's is too big.

John83

Are PP taking bets on Top Goalscorer from each team? I can't seem to find it anywhere.

firstsport

So, what are people thinking for todays matches ?

I just looked at the world rankings. I know Poland didnt have to qualify and have home advantage but theres still a huge gap !
Greece are 15th
Poland are 62nd

Poland 2.08
Greece 4.5

DB74

John83 wrote: »

Are PP taking bets on Top Goalscorer from each team? I can't seem to find it anywhere.

http://www.paddypower.com/football/international-football/euro-2012-betting?ev_oc_grp_ids=282239

razor425

DB10 wrote: »

Just in passing I think several sides are being over/under rated.

I think Denmark,Sweden, Greece, Czech Rep and Croatia could all cause alot of upsets.

Teams I really don't fancy are:

Italy, Russia, Ukraine and Portugal.

I think Ibrahimovich at 50-1 looks good for top scorer.

I agree many teams underrated imo. Agree with all of the above underrated teams except Czech Rep just can't see them doing anything even considering their group. Unfortunately for Denmark because of the group they are in I can't see them qualifying, I think they might shock one of the other 3 however(They beat Portugal and qualified top of their group). The other 3 have a great chance of qualifying imo, I have backed all 3 to qualify at about 2/1 each.

I don't like Italy, Poland, Ukraine and I think England could struggle. I have Ibra and Ozil as outsiders for top goalscorer.

bookie basher

firstsport wrote: »

So, what are people thinking for todays matches ?

I just looked at the world rankings. I know Poland didnt have to qualify and have home advantage but theres still a huge gap !
Greece are 15th
Poland are 62nd

Poland 2.08
Greece 4.5

lay poland or back the draw, greece are very solid and
poland dont deserve to be this short

John83

DB74 wrote: »

http://www.paddypower.com/football/international-football/euro-2012-betting?ev_oc_grp_ids=282239

Sweet, thanks.

Have Benzema, Keane & Ronaldo in a treble at the moment. Was looking to add another but can't decide between Kerzhakov, RVP & Lewandowski.

DB74

I think Greece and Sweden are both decent shouts to win their respective groups at 6/1 each. Best price double of 44.5/1 (VC) is also worth a small interest IMO

Fowler87

Have gone for trebles in these team top goalscorers... Keane @ 5/2, Lewandowski @ 7/4, Ronaldo @ 13/8 and Di Natale @ 9/2.. 1.50 trebles returns potentially over 200.

Lewandowski e/w top scorer @ 25/1
France group winners @ 6/4

And for todays match... Lewandowski first scorer @ 9/2

inforfun

Stats are quite in poland's favour:


Head-to-head matches: POLAND - GREECE
29.03.11 FRI Greece Poland 0 : 0
12.08.09 FRI Poland Greece 2 : 0
29.05.04 FRI Poland Greece 1 : 0
28.04.87 EUR Greece Poland 1 : 0
15.10.86 EUR Poland Greece 2 : 1
18.05.85 WOR Greece Poland 1 : 4
17.10.84 WOR Poland Greece 3 : 1

It is just the period is 28 years in which those matches were played

Still fancy Poland though. Dont rate Greece at all apart from them being annoyingly stubborn. But people look too much at Euro2004 and think they are a capable team.
Look at the results they had in WC2010 which is more realistic of their strenght >>first round exit.

firstsport

inforfun wrote: »

Still fancy Poland though. Dont rate Greece at all apart from them being annoyingly stubborn. But people look too much at Euro2004 and think they are a capable team.
Look at the results they had in WC2010 which is more realistic of their strenght >>first round exit.

The rankings would suggest the opposite
maybe I am reading too much into the rankings

goodolegill

although i agree with a good few of ughs in relation to the poland - greece game.
Poland are far too short for their first competitive game in over 2.5 years so its a lay of poland for me.

Just a point in relation to the rankings, they are distorted because friendlies arent given the same credit as qualifying games therefore as the poles didnt have to qualify mean they are in a false position in the rankings

DB74

inforfun wrote: »

Look at the results they had in WC2010 which is more realistic of their strenght >>first round exit.

Well Poland finished 5th in their qualifying group for WC2010, only finishing ahead of the mighty San Marino!

Home advantage will obviously count for something but IMO Poland are a poor side.

firstsport

Got this message from Bet 365

Place a pre-match bet on the Spain v Italy game and we will give you a free In-Play bet to the same stake on the big match.

To qualify for your free In-Play bet, simply place a bet before kick-off, then once the game starts place another bet on any In-Play market. If your FIRST In-Play bet loses we will refund this stake, up to the same value as your largest pre-match bet (max €50).

batistuta9

firstsport wrote: »

Got this message from Bet 365

what do you have to do to be able to withdraw money from them?

Dodge

DB74 wrote: »

Well Poland finished 5th in their qualifying group for WC2010, only finishing ahead of the mighty San Marino!

Home advantage will obviously count for something but IMO Poland are a poor side.

They're a far better side than 3/4 years ago in fairness (when those qualifiers were on). Even then they beat Czech Rpe 3-2 at home

Scezny in goal is only 22, Lewandowski's only 23 up front. They're immediately huge upgrades on where they were 3 years ago

Their squad isn't great but their first 11 is pretty good. I expect them to win this game and easily qualify for quarter finals

MattHelders

Double for tonight- Poland to win to nil and Russia to win

ShaneU

Ireland to beat Croatia enhanced to 4/1 , max bet €13

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-betting/facebook-enhanced-specials/Enhanced-Euro-2012-Specials?ev_oc_grp_ids=704214

Copper_pipe

Ireland to beat croatio on paddypower @4/1 13 euro max

eh i dunno

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-betting/facebook-enhanced-specials/Enhanced-Euro-2012-Specials-2

England 3/1 v france

Goldcupfav

Standout bet for me today is Greece over 2.5 cards with 365 at 4/5. Greece picked up 28 yellows and 1 red in 10 qualifying plus tonights ref is pretty card happy. http://www.soccerway.com/referees/carlos-velasco-carballo/45077/

kryogen

Card happy alright, the only other international game I can see there he had no cards at all though

Worth a punt though

famagusta

special in paddy power shop, lewandowski and kershakov to score first tonight 50/1 double, 10/1 anytime double. tenner on both

ShaneU

eh i dunno wrote: »

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-betting/facebook-enhanced-specials/Enhanced-Euro-2012-Specials-2

England 3/1 v france

4/1 now

roryc

Football Friend wrote: »

First off a patriotic bet on Ireland to win the tournament at 80/1 - 20e (10 of that is for my Dad! so dont judge it too harshly)

Persnally think this is a wasted bet but can understand it for patriotic reasons. You realise you got the worst possible price though? Most places are 100/1 and realistically I would say we are about 500/1.

But I'm guessing you only have a PP account and aren't too bothered about the extra value...

Along with everyone else here, this is a bet I hope you win!

firstsport

Enhanced bet from Betfair
Spain to win Euro 2012
10/3

max stake €50
offer between 12 and 2pm

roryc

ShaneU wrote: »

4/1 now

Just got on for €25, crazy price.

A_Sober_Paddy

I went for the following

Poland
Germany
Ireland
France

all to qualify from their groups, put a €5 on it returns a little over €80

I know Ireland are long shots in the greater scheme of things, but @9/2 it was too good to turn down.

Football Friend

roryc wrote: »

Persnally think this is a wasted bet but can understand it for patriotic reasons. You realise you got the worst possible price though? Most places are 100/1 and realistically I would say we are about 500/1.

But I'm guessing you only have a PP account and aren't too bothered about the extra value...

Along with everyone else here, this is a bet I hope you win!

To be honest if Ireland win the Euros it wont bother me that I could have won an extra 200e if I placed the bet elsewhere. I'd happily settle for my 800e and a hangover!

I'm pretty confident it's a 'wasted bet' though but sure it makes things interesting, I imagine 90% of the bets posted in this thread are going to be 'wasted bets'.

I'm pretty confident that with all the bets Ive placed I could easily break even with small potential for a big win on a few bets I have. I don't consider gambling a viable source of income,entertainment is the name of the game!

redarmy

Football Friend wrote: »

To be honest if Ireland win the Euros it wont bother me that I could have won an extra 200e if I placed the bet elsewhere. I'd happily settle for my 800e and a hangover!

I'm pretty confident it's a 'wasted bet' though but sure it makes things interesting, I imagine 90% of the bets posted in this thread are going to be 'wasted bets'.

I'm pretty confident that with all the bets Ive placed I could easily break even with small potential for a big win on a few bets I have. I don't consider gambling a viable source of income,entertainment is the name of the game!

:rolleyes:

Nuri Sahin

Went for Poland and Russia wins in my betting log. Reasoning is there.

Outside of that, gonna be a tad more riskier with the first game with much bigger amounts -

Poland Win to Nil @ 15/8
Under 2.5 double @ Evens

Football Friend

redarmy wrote: »

:rolleyes:

? :rolleyes: ?? Does that have something to do with a bet you have made on the upcoming football tournament Euro 2012? I think that's what this thread was made for. I was stating I'd be happy if Ireland won Euro 2012 while also stating that I'm happy with my other selections as they may or may not make me money but it doesnt matter because I rely on my job for income and not the uncertainty that is gambling.

Trolling?

ft9

Benzema top scorer €25 10/1
France outright €25 9/1

roryc

Football Friend wrote: »

? :rolleyes: ?? Does that have something to do with a bet you have made on the upcoming football tournament Euro 2012? I think that's what this thread was made for. I was stating I'd be happy if Ireland won Euro 2012 while also stating that I'm happy with my other selections as they may or may not make me money but it doesnt matter because I rely on my job for income and not the uncertainty that is gambling.

Trolling?

I think it was based around the whole "90% of the bets on this thread are wasted bets" line. When a lot of the odds quoted are short prices you can understand how ridiculous this statement is!

Anyway like you say most people here are betting for fun, especially on the euros. Most people will break even, or win/lose a little.

roryc

-Ade- wrote: »

Went for Poland and Russia wins in my betting log. Reasoning is there.

I've gone with this earlier, only bet for the day.

Best price on VC, £10 returns £51.25. Will make these games slightly more bearable. Although I am watching the games in the sun so can't complain!

What is bothering me is that I'm starting to get shut out of all my accounts due to new Spanish gaming regulations, despite being in Gibraltar :mad:

Stan James and Betfred accounts already shut, Im guessing the rest will follow.

lamoss

just going to ease myself into the games........so a couple of doubles for small stakes to see how things pan out.

Poland
Russia
BTS @ 2.6/1

Poland
Russia
under 2.5 double @ 2.00

Good Luck Everyone.

Fizman

ft9 wrote: »

Benzema top scorer €25 10/1
France outright €25 9/1

Ah boll0x. Was looking at these at 2am this morning and they were 12/1 and 10/1.

France/Benzema double was 33/1 and now it's 22/1. Christ some money must have gone on them in the last few hours.

Still gonna go with them though, as singles.