The Football Tips Thread v3

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Bastia @ 1.70 next week vs Troyes has to be the bet of the month. I think I might put my biggest stake ever on this bet. Bastia are very strong at home and Troyes are 3rd division material. Bastia thrashed them 5-1 at home last season in the 2nd division.

Since Monaco have really screwed me over, I'm putting all my faith in Bastia... by far my biggest stake ever, next Saturday I'll be either very happy or very depressed don't think I'll be doing any more bets this week.

Headshot

las with his 1 million bet

mrdmb

gonna play it safe and take BTTS at 4/6 in the Atletico game..considering that they have conceaded some easy goals..

any thoughts on Lyon game......?

FlawedGenius

Velaz Sarsfield look good to beat an out of form Colon at 17/20
Any thoughts?

seanhynes

Got to oppose Inter after their start to the season,cannot buy a win at home..11/5 for a Florentina win looks a nice bet.. 1-3 and -1 Florentina aswell for fun

FlawedGenius

Will Falcao play?????.. Read 2 different sites 1 saying hes injured, other saying hes available.

magherakid

no he's 100% out

Fowler87

Taking Diego Costa anytime @ 7/4. Too good of a price leading the line with Falcao missing

BettorAssist

Looking ahead to the european matches I would appreciate some feedback on this accumulator

Lazio
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Chelsea
Juventus

5.09

babymanval

I can't articulate my frustration at not being on Atletico HT/FT after my reasoning posted earlier. It was spoiled for me in two separate doubles by Forest and Monaco. Snapping here.

SteelyDanJalapeno

tip74 wrote: »

Injuries & suspensions:
VVV Venlo v PSV Eindhoven
VVV Venlo: Maguire (0/0 m), Altheer (0/0 d), Reimerink (0/0 f), Meeuwis (5/0 m), Türk (6/0 m)
PSV Eindhoven: Pieters (0/0 d), Jörgensen (1/0 d)
pick 2

Stromsgodset IF v SK Brann
Stromsgodset IF: Aas (12/3 d)
SK Brann: Kalvenes (7/0 d), Sokolowski (9/2 m), Askar (22/8 f), Mjelde (20/2 m), El Fakiri (11/0 d)
pick 1

Sampdoria v SSC Napoli
Sampdoria: Pozzi, Juan Antonio, Tissone, Poli, Maxi Lopez, Maresca, Da Costa
SSC Napoli: Britos
pick 2

TiltedBrain wrote: »

3.93 treble

3 from 3

Lovely.

stingerro

babymanval wrote: »

EDIT 3: Also, am I missing something with the 11/4 price on Levante away to bottom of the league/F3 A10 Osasuna??? Is the Estadio El Sadar an uber-fortress or somethin?

Hoping that with my original reply to your post I stopped you from betting on Levante, as they got trashed by Osasuna.

grohlisagod

grohlisagod wrote: »

Atletico Madrid 11/10.

Espanyol have started poorly picking up just 1 point from their first 5. In fact they have lost 9 of their last 12 league games.

Atletico have won their last 6 in all competitions, scoring 21 goals in the process, and haven't lost in their last 16 competitive games.

Only real caveat is that Atletico played midweek, while Espanyol didn't and Espanyol are usually decent at home, but Madrid should have too much for them.

Lovely.

babymanval

stingerro wrote: »

Hoping that with my original reply to your post I stopped you from betting on Levante, as they got trashed by Osasuna.

You did, I didn't! Ah I had had a look at Osasuna's home/Levante's away form amd I was happy enough with what I had going into today:

- A 15/1 accum (free), waiting on Napoli and Monaco.
- Monaco win/Atletico HT/FT Double
- Atletico HT/FT and Forest HT/FT double (really disappointed with wasting money on Forest without researching, in a last minute panic trying to find a second leg for a double)

- Christ, today was such a farce that I even had an Everton win/Villa v West Brom (u2.5 goals)/USA Ryder cup treble to come in. I singlehandedly take responsibility for their singles collapse today.

Disastre.

Shane St.

Looking ahead to the Champions League surely S. Moscow will have too much for Celtic in Russia. 4/7 seeems a good price

SteelyDanJalapeno

Some selections for today :

FC Haka v HJK Helsinki - HJK win & over 2.5 goals @ 2.10 8/10

HJK top of the league scoring plenty of goals, averaging over 3 goals a game, Haka complete opposite, bottom of the league conceding plenty averaging 3.1 goals a game.

MSV Duisburg v Hertha Berlin - Hertha Berlin win @ 2.00 6/10

Berlin on good form undefeated in there last 5 games picking up 13 points from 15, Duisburg sitting on the bottom of the league on an awful run scoring only 3 goals in 8 games, conceding 17.

Drogheda United v Shelbourne - Drogheda over 1.5 goals @ 1.90 5/10

Drogs score an average 2 goals per game this season and can go 2nd in the league with a win, gonna take the better option of the goals market thou as Shels are well capable of grabbing a point from this, that being said Shels should have weakened squad tonight.

St Patricks v UCD - St. Pats win & over 2.5 goals @ 2.10 7/10

UCD games have a habit of going over lately, St.Pats should win if they want to keep the pressure on up the top of the league. 2-1 or 3-1 probably, BTTS also good.

Hapoel Beer Sheva v Maccabi Tel Aviv - Maccabi asian (-1) handicap @ 2.10 5/10

Maccabi have cleared the handicap in there last few games, they're on a run of 4 straight wins and they should make number 5 against Beer Sheva, They scored 4 in both home and away legs last year against them.

Jonkopings Sodra v Halmstad - Halmstad over 1.5 goals 1.75 7/10

Both teams average well over 2 goals each per game but I cant see much value in the match goals market, gone for Halmstad over 1.5 here, they've scored an average of 2.8 goals in they're last 5 games and are the most in form club in the league. Halmstad win and over 3.5 could also be tried, odds are very big thou.

SteelyDanJalapeno

Shane St. wrote: »

Looking ahead to the Champions League surely S. Moscow will have too much for Celtic in Russia. 4/7 seeems a good price

Very, Celtic rarely win away from home in European competition, I thinks its 3 wins in total in the last 10 years, against inferior opposition HJK and Helsingborg.
Russia would be a whole new level.

seanhynes

TiltedBrain wrote: »

Very, Celtic rarely win away from home in European competition, I thinks its 3 wins in total in the last 10 years, against inferior opposition HJK and Helsingborg.
Russia would be a whole new level.

Won in Moscow v Dynamo in the 2010 Europa qualifiers too

Fitzcal

seanhynes wrote: »

TiltedBrain wrote: »

Very, Celtic rarely win away from home in European competition, I thinks its 3 wins in total in the last 10 years, against inferior opposition HJK and Helsingborg.
Russia would be a whole new level.

Won in Moscow v Dynamo in the 2010 Europa qualifiers too

Celtic Also drew against spartak in 2007.
Although their away record points to a Moscow win Celtic have already played away on helsinki's plastic pitch so that wont be that much of a factor and Spartak are missing 5/6 key players according to most previews of the game I have read plus Samaras and Ledley will be back for Celtic as well as new signing Ambrose who has looked solid from what I have seen of him
It might be a game best avoided the corner market could have some value

Headshot

Nice odds on Barca -1 Ah @ 2.050. Before ill be jumping on that. Id like to know will they have the CB's back for that

I also like the Galatasaray HW @5/6. The Turkish nutter fans will be the place unbearable for Braga

inforfun

Celtic away in the CL stats

Looks horrible but the only times they get something, it is in Eastern Europe/Moscow

Alaska1

TiltedBrain wrote: »

Some selections for today :

FC Haka v HJK Helsinki - HJK win & over 2.5 goals @ 2.10 8/10

HJK top of the league scoring plenty of goals, averaging over 3 goals a game, Haka complete opposite, bottom of the league conceding plenty averaging 3.1 goals a game.

MSV Duisburg v Hertha Berlin - Hertha Berlin win @ 2.00 6/10

Berlin on good form undefeated in there last 5 games picking up 13 points from 15, Duisburg sitting on the bottom of the league on an awful run scoring only 3 goals in 8 games, conceding 17.

Drogheda United v Shelbourne - Drogheda over 1.5 goals @ 1.90 5/10

Drogs score an average 2 goals per game this season and can go 2nd in the league with a win, gonna take the better option of the goals market thou as Shels are well capable of grabbing a point from this, that being said Shels should have weakened squad tonight.

St Patricks v UCD - St. Pats win & over 2.5 goals @ 2.10 7/10

UCD games have a habit of going over lately, St.Pats should win if they want to keep the pressure on up the top of the league. 2-1 or 3-1 probably, BTTS also good.

Hapoel Beer Sheva v Maccabi Tel Aviv - Maccabi asian (-1) handicap @ 2.10 5/10

Maccabi have cleared the handicap in there last few games, they're on a run of 4 straight wins and they should make number 5 against Beer Sheva, They scored 4 in both home and away legs last year against them.

Jonkopings Sodra v Halmstad - Halmstad over 1.5 goals @1.75 7/10

Both teams average well over 2 goals each per game but I cant see much value in the match goals market, gone for Halmstad over 1.5 here, they've scored an average of 2.8 goals in they're last 5 games and are the most in form club in the league. Halmstad win and over 3.5 could also be tried, odds are very big thou.

Some great research there, brilliant post.

Just to add to Halmstad, coming off a great win, were 2 down to League leaders Osters last Thursday and came back to win 3-2. They have won their last 7 league games in a row, including an impreissive 3-0 win against second placed Brommopojkarna in their patch.

Straight win for Halmstad is 10/11.

magherakid

One for tomorrow night
Port Vale v Dagenham & Redbridge
Tom Pope anytime 11/10
Top goalscorer in the league 2 with 9 goals

CucaFace

Shane St. wrote: »

Looking ahead to the Champions League surely S. Moscow will have too much for Celtic in Russia. 4/7 seeems a good price

I think they will get well beaten out there.

Saw Celtics games in the qualifiers and up against poor opposition they still looked quite average at best.

They seemed very open and i think they will get beaten by at least 2 goals.

And Moscow did very well away to Barca.

Backstreet Moyes

Helsinki 2-0 down unreal.

OnTheCounter

Nuts102 wrote: »

Helsinki 2-0 down unreal.

Its not that surprising.

HJK have won less than half their away matches.

Haka have lost less than half their home matches.

It a good example of why I very rarely back the away team. Sh1t happens a lot more often and the odds don't increase enough to fully factor in the home/away advantage/form.

babymanval

Nuts102 wrote: »

Helsinki 2-0 down unreal.

I lumped on them. Good stuff alright... The luck I've had on bets referenced on this page alone is shocking.

OnTheCounter

TiltedBrain wrote: »

Some selections for today :

MSV Duisburg v Hertha Berlin - Hertha Berlin win @ 2.00 6/10

Berlin on good form undefeated in there last 5 games picking up 13 points from 15, Duisburg sitting on the bottom of the league on an awful run scoring only 3 goals in 8 games, conceding 17.

Jonkopings Sodra v Halmstad - Halmstad over 1.5 goals 1.75 7/10

Both teams average well over 2 goals each per game but I cant see much value in the match goals market, gone for Halmstad over 1.5 here, they've scored an average of 2.8 goals in they're last 5 games and are the most in form club in the league. Halmstad win and over 3.5 could also be tried, odds are very big thou.

Those two are the only ones I would consider but its great to see someone posting reasoning with their bets. Best of luck.

The_Kew_Tour

United 1.77 on exchanges was too good to turn down to win in Romania.

Headshot

utd missing players, playing crap in the league and arent that good in europe of late

no bet for me