The Football Tips Thread v3

seanhynes

He supports Villa,he's entitled to want Fulham to lose

Avfctom

seanhynes wrote: »

He supports Villa,he's entitled to want Fulham to lose

Obviously not i see enough chat in this thread mainly about liverpool i make one banterish comments and people calling to be banned its a joke

inforfun

The problem is by saying you want Villa to win, which is normal if you are a Villa fan, you basically say you are hoping he will lose his stake.
That is not very nice.

You can think it but i dont think you should post it in a betting thread.

As it comes to people betting against your favourite team... this is just a little stat:

VVV - Feyenoord.
Feyenoord only won 2x in 19 attempts over there....

Irish94

Tottenham vs Chelsea

In Spurs 4 home games this season, every game, the second half has been the half with most goals. In all their home games last season, 11 games out of 18, the second half had been the half with most goals.

Half with most goals - Second Half @ evens - €10

In the last 9 premier league games between the two, both teams have scored in 6 games. Between the two teams both have scored in the last 8 games out of 11 in all competitions.

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 4/7 - €20

Lord TSC

Avfctom wrote: »

Get a grip its a bit of banter

Now if only there was a topic for banter :P

Anyway, moving on....

Avfctom

inforfun wrote: »

The problem is by saying you want Villa to win, which is normal if you are a Villa fan, you basically say you are hoping he will lose his stake.
That is not very nice.

You can think it but i dont think you should post it in a betting thread.

As it comes to people betting against your favourite team... this is just a little stat:

VVV - Feyenoord.
Feyenoord only won 2x in 19 attempts over there....

I said it as banter not to affend people personally i think villa will lose but i hope we dont i dont hope hes bet loses id rather the punter win than the bookies but i love my club didunt think what i wrote would cause a problem il refrain from doing so in future but i expect others to be jumped on if they talk about a club

Austria!

Chelsea possession under 47% @1.8
Chelsea possession 47% of higher @2


Chelsea's average away possession this season: 48%
Spurs' average home possession this season: 55%
Looks like the bookies have priced this one pretty ok. On first glance, no value here.

Spurs home games (and where those teams rank in average possession this season): West Brom 16, Villa 13, Norwich 17, QPR 10
Chelsea's away games (and where those teams rank): Arsenal 1, Wigan 3, QPR 10.

I'm not going big on it, but chelsea more 47% it is.

Austria!

Fulham have 0 cards after 3 home games.
Villa have 11 cards after 4 away games.

Villa most bookings @1.8

Norwich have 1 booking after 3 home games.
Arsenal have 3 bookings after 4 away games.

No booking @ 13

magherakid

Burnley v Blackpool
Burnley HT Blackpool FT 28/1
Burnley have lost half time leads in their last 3 matches

tinodz

Austria! wrote: »

Fulham have 0 cards after 3 home games.
Villa have 11 cards after 4 away games.

Villa most bookings @1.8

Norwich have 1 booking after 3 home games.
Arsenal have 3 bookings after 4 away games.

No booking @ 13

Where are you getting the Villa odds? I'd jump on that!

magherakid

tinodz wrote: »

Where are you getting the Villa odds? I'd jump on that!

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/fulham-v-aston-villa/most-bookings

Headshot

bet365 have villa over 1.5 cards at 4/5

Austria!

I'm tempted, but Chris Foy has only given out 6 cards in his last 7 premier league games. Historically he gives out a fair few, but maybe he's changed.

Irish94

Irish94 wrote: »

Tottenham vs Chelsea

In Spurs 4 home games this season, every game, the second half has been the half with most goals. In all their home games last season, 11 games out of 18, the second half had been the half with most goals.

Half with most goals - Second Half @ evens - €10

In the last 9 premier league games between the two, both teams have scored in 6 games. Between the two teams both have scored in the last 8 games out of 11 in all competitions.

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 4/7 - €20

Boom. Only took 9 minutes in the second half for the first bet to win.

paddymayoman

Frankel, Utd, City, Arsenal fourfold at around 4/1, thinking of doing Reading and draw at 23/10. What are peoples thoughts on the Reading Liverpool match?

keysersoze0330

over 1.5 in all the rest (7) of the prem games today €50 paying €172.
over 2.5 in 6 games except the pool game €5 paying €100.

Good luck all

SteelyDanJalapeno

Irish94 wrote: »

Tottenham vs Chelsea

In Spurs 4 home games this season, every game, the second half has been the half with most goals. In all their home games last season, 11 games out of 18, the second half had been the half with most goals.

Half with most goals - Second Half @ evens - €10

In the last 9 premier league games between the two, both teams have scored in 6 games. Between the two teams both have scored in the last 8 games out of 11 in all competitions.

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 4/7 - €20

Good stuff

magherakid wrote: »

Burnley v Blackpool
Burnley HT Blackpool FT 28/1
Burnley have lost half time leads in their last 3 matches

:eek:


Stoke will kick United all over the park today,

Stoke asian (-1) card handicap @ 1.850

skeleton_boy

No goals before 25.00 (Manchester United vs Stoke)
Aston Villa - over 1.5 cards
Arsenal

Treble @ 5.05

Stoke are typically tough to break down and have only conceded once in the first 25 (from the spot) this season. Added to this only 1 of United last 22 against Stoke have come within this time.

As alluded to here in a previous post Villa have 11 cards in 4 away fixtures this season. One feels they could be in for a long day also and frustrations could boil over.

Norwich are leaking goals in the last few game. Looks like a long relegation battle ahead for them this term. Aresnal should have enough to see what's been a very poor side so far this season.

inforfun

Karim El Ahmadi to be shown a card @3.8 (betfair)

As explained a few times already, he got 7 or 8 a season at Feyenoord and has got 3 yellows so far this season.
Most likely Villa to get one imo.

Blatter

Blatter wrote: »

Mata to be Sky Sports Man of the match @ 14/1 (betvictor). He's been in great form recently and had a nice break from the internationals as he wasn't in Spain's squad, so he should be relatively fresh. Tottenham away is a tough game, but 14/1 is too big a price imo.

Boom!

Fundamental Bettor

Burnley host Blackpool in the televised Championship match in what will be an entertaining local derby at Turf Moor.

Burnley have the highest goals per game average in the Championship at 4.3 and Blackpool are in 7th with 3.3.

Blackpool have the joint second best offensive record in the Championship and are facing Burnley who hold the top offensive record with 21 goals. Both teams concede regularly with only 3 combined clean sheets in the Championship.

Charlie Austin (Burnley) is the top scorer in the Championship with 11 goals and will be looking to get Burnley back to winning ways.


Selection: over 2.5 goals
Bookmaker: Stan James
Odds: 4/6

magherakid

Very nice well done Blatter

Lasagna Diarra

Gameiro anytime (PSG) @ 2.00

Last time he was in the starting line up, he scored a brace, he's very eager to prove to Ancelotti that he deserves a place in the team, PSG have a very strange line up today though.

inforfun

inforfun wrote: »

Karim El Ahmadi to be shown a card @3.8 (betfair)

As explained a few times already, he got 7 or 8 a season at Feyenoord and has got 3 yellows so far this season.
Most likely Villa to get one imo.

Reliable, he is.

BettorAssist

BettorAssist wrote: »

With a bit of a break of 'betable' matches, unless you are up to date on the Brazilian Serie A, it might be a good time to get some of the more experienced members to pitch in with a bit of advice on how they evaluate a bet. I tend to avoid betting on games where a few players would have been playing internationals as with the higher intensity of internationals, jet lag and fatigue you don't know what to expect.

For those reasons the only premier league match that holds a genuine betting interest for me this weekend is West Ham v Southampton.

over 2.5 goals @ 4/6
both teams to score @ 4/7

I would be interested to hear from some of ye which bet do ye think is better value and how you go about deciding on the fair/true odds.

Step up, step up.

so this week the overs were the right way to go.

magherakid

Norwich v Arsenal
Over 4.5 Goals 3/1 :pac:
There has been a total of 25 goals scored in the last five Premier League meetings between Norwich and Arsenal

De Dannan

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Gameiro anytime (PSG) @ 2.00

Last time he was in the starting line up, he scored a brace, he's very eager to prove to Ancelotti that he deserves a place in the team, PSG have a very strange line up today though.

Nice

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Gameiro anytime (PSG) @ 2.00

Last time he was in the starting line up, he scored a brace, he's very eager to prove to Ancelotti that he deserves a place in the team, PSG have a very strange line up today though.

boom! More money to put on Marseille!

inforfun

magherakid wrote: »

Norwich v Arsenal
Over 4.5 Goals 3/1 :pac:
There has been a total of 25 goals scored in the last five Premier League meetings between Norwich and Arsenal

On Arsenal &3,5 over at the same odds

frat

Avfctom wrote: »

Hopefully fulham flop;)

Well Fulham didn't flop. Swansea and Palace over 2.5 goals were in by 70 mins, and it was only a matter of time before Fulham beat a poor Villa side. Beauty 589 back on that one