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The Football Tips Thread v3
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Looking at Genk v Basle tonight...
Genk are already through to the next round, but to top their group they need a Draw - Basle also need a Draw or better to progress to the next round. Basle could top the group - but need a big win against Genk, but they cannot afford to lose, as they could give Videoton a chance to qualify if they fail to at least Draw.
Seems like it has the makings ig a tight game -
Draw is available @ 2.50 loads of places
0-0 on Paddy @ 9.00
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Twente line up looks seriously weak but they play Helsingborg so they might get away with it.
Durdic of Helsingborg might be worth a little bet. Scored 10 in 11 in the Swedish league, 3 in 5 EL games and scored both Helsingborg goals the first time they met (2-2).
No idea if there are gs markets up though, no access to betting sites
Djurdjic scoring in the 6th minute so had high hopes for at least another.
Had bets on any time,2 or more and the hat trick @3/15/81
Just the one goal for him from 3 helsingborg goals
And in other news, i ll be wearing a Sporting kit tomorrow
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Basel just passed it around the back for the last few minutes with no pressure at all from Genk. Love that. Wasn't involved pre-match but got on the draw when my winnings were returned. :pac:
There was a few moments in the match for both teams to score, but overall it was a boring game. I think once it for to 80' both teams gave up
I agree that the last few minutes w;ere almost laughable!0 -
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Heracles V Uterecht (Dutch Eredivisie 7pm)
OVER 2.5 GOALS @4/9.
This looks a serious shout for over 2.5 goals, Heracles at home are unreal for goals lately, they average 3 goals per home game. They have played 15 league games and them 15 games have seen over 60 goals either for or against! In heracles last 3 games at home the scored 5,6 and 3 against Ajax.
Uterecht had a serious away record up until their last 2 games where they failed to score but before that on the road they managed to score 13 in 6 and have conceded in all but 1 away games this year (the only team that failed to score when visiting Uterecht was bottom side Rodja who have very poor goals tally)
I can see Heracles near beating the over 2.5 goals them selves here.
Last season the 2 games between these both went over the 2.5 mark with 4 going in both.
Tolouse V Bastia (French Div 1 7:45pm)
TOLOUSE TO SCORE 2 OR MORE TEAM GOALS @4/6
Tolouse at home have averaged over 2 per game, they face a poor enough Bastia team who haven't won in 7 games and on average away from home conceded nearly 3 per game. Bastia this year have conceded bucket loads and have the worst defensive record in the league.
Tolouse also have Ben Yedder who is the leagues 3rd top scorer not too far behind Zlatan he has 9 in 12 starts 7 of these have been first goals so I can definitely see him scoring here with Bastias defensive record and might also back him to score first @4's or Anytime @Evens in a single.
Blackburn V Cardiff
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE @4/7
Cardiff have a deadly goals tally this year think they have scored in every game this year barring 1 at the start of season. They have been playing great football lately and last 5 they won 4 and drew 1. Blackburn have poor record of late for a team looking to go straight back up aint looking good with 1 win from last 7 and conceding in each of these last 7. I cannot see Cardiff coming here and not at least getting 1 with the form they are on and the goals they have scored. Blackburn are good for a goal tonight them selves they usually get 1 at least at home and they should score at least one against Cardiff who have been shaky at the back this year away from home charlton got 5 at home to them forrest 3 palace 3 and bristol city 4
Going pretty big with 100 @3.9 for 390 returns with PP (Haven't checked other sites, they may be better).
Fairly confident about this bet. Tolouse 2 or more for me is an absolute banker, any Dutch game over 2.5 goals is usually nearly in by half time so should be pretty safe too.... For some reason feel really dodgy about BTTS in the Blackburn game, all the stats point to em both getting one but something telling me in the back of my mind leave that one out
Last 5 friday games in championship have been good games with loads o goals and BTTS winning in each of the 5, seeing as its the only 1 of these games i'll be able to watch live i prob will end up sticking it in to make the game interesting :pac: 0 -
infor thoughts on Heracles v FC Utrecht tomorrow?
Im liking the home team
Heracles at home is never a bad shout, apart from when they play Barca maybe....
Weather has been crap in Holland with quite some snow but this match will not be affected, artificial pitch. And that is also why Heracles at home is a good shout.
At the end of the afternoon i usually have a list of players missing for the weekend, last couple of games heracles have been without Gouriye (sp) and it seems he is rather important for them. Draw against Willem II and a loss against Groningen. bot away games.Also chipped in with 7 goals in 12 gams so far this season. i think he still will be out.
As it comes to over 2,5.... Check all the Friday games in the Dutch league of this season. Only 1 overs since august 10.
I hardly ever do unders because i hate them tbh but i took it a few times on the Friday eredivisie match. Of course the only time it went overs was one of those times
Utrecht is capable of keeping it tight so overs @4/7 .... i dont know.Straight home win i rate a safer bet than overs.
1 bet i like for the weekend is VVV Venlo - Vitesse >>> Vitesse to win and under 3,5 goals in the match @2.75 (last night)
Vitesse has won al matches away from home this season, all of them went under 3,5
VVV, crap as they are, have tighten the defense in the last few weeks and have 3 under 2,5 matches in a row now. 1 of those was away to Ajax.
Edit: Be careful with making any bets on the Dutch matches today. Lots of snow falling, Telstar match is already off, probably more will follow.0 -
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Lasagna Diarra wrote: »Be warned that Bastia have changed their tactic in their last game away to Lille, they switched from a very attacking tactic to parking the bus for 90 min and it worked... Lille only had 1 shot on target while Bastia had none. Bastia's coach said he's gonna try the same tactic today vs Toulouse. Toulouse have 2 important missings too: Capoue (def. mid.) and Abdennour (CB). Not saying they can't score 2+ goals against Bastia but it won't be very easy.
Cheers wont be betting on it after all, unexpected big bill had to pay today :mad: and after you saying this its no where near risking 100... thanks for saving me much needed money
i believe most dutch games are now off as well or is that just second tier dutch games does anyone know??!0 -
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HAIL HAIL
:pac:
After Celtics 6 Champions league games midweek and two previous Europe qualifiers they only won 3 of the following 7 league weekend games...
They lost home game to Inver, Drew away to Saint Johnston, lost to kilmarnock and drew to Hibs after playing midweek in the champions league this season.
Granted Kilmarnock are poor, but after the Barcelona loss 2-1 in camp neu Celtic that weekend lost to kilmarnock 2-0 in Park head. Which just so happen to be this weeks opponents.
This is obviously extremely dodgy but i reckon at 7/1 kilmarnock are worth a cheeky 10er. (Think I looked them up midweek and they were 9/1) Celtic didn't play well midweek but they were made work extremely hard for the win against Spartac and tomorrows game is a morning kick off. After the tiring game Wednesday night I reckon they will be still fairly drained come tomorrow morning, plus the euphoria of Wednesday night contrasted with playing away at Rugby Park to Kilmarnock a shock could be on the cards. (Think they only average 5 thousand fans per game here, this prob will be doubled against Celtic but will be still quite empty)
Obviously not worth more than 10 or 20 but at 7/1 i think they well worth the small punt.
They are 8s with Betfair.
Draw no bet @5's and double chance @2's also bets worth thinking about.0 -
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