The Football Tips Thread v3

Formation

Folks would there be any support for having a dedicated english football tips thread so this thread doesn't get cluttered every weekend with premier league accumulators?

I enjoyed reading this thread over the summer but it could go downhill as the average punter who only bets on premier league matches would not put in the same work that someone that covers 10+ foreign leagues?

SteelyDanJalapeno

I've said a few times to have a separate thread for tips and another for "this is my bets" thread

Formation

Any support for that TB? That would be great so long as people don't think every bet they make is a tip.

Lasagna Diarra

Anyone else fancy the unders in the Arsenal vs Sunderland game? Arsenal struggled to beat O'Neill's team last season and now without Van Persie it'll be even harder for them, plus Giroud, Podolski & Cazorla (if they start) are not used to the EPL yet while Sunderland have brought in Cuellar and Saha who have already played in the EPL. Also, Arsenal started last season poorly...

Any thoughts?

Fitzcal

TiltedBrain wrote: »

should win easy?

Should win but the 3-5-2 formation hasnt worked so far for Lennon.
Over 2.5 might offer best [EMAIL="value@4/5"]value@4/5[/EMAIL]

Formation

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Anyone else fancy the unders in the Arsenal vs Sunderland game? Arsenal struggled to beat O'Neill's team last season and now without Van Persie it'll be even harder for them, plus Giroud, Podolski & Cazorla (if they start) are not used to the EPL yet while Sunderland have brought in Cuellar and Saha who have already played in the EPL. Also, Arsenal started last season poorly... Any thoughts?

bit of a shot in the dark? Better to wait for a few games to see how teams are set up and taticts.

Fitzcal

Formation wrote: »

Folks would there be any support for having a dedicated english football tips thread so this thread doesn't get cluttered every weekend with premier league accumulators?

I enjoyed reading this thread over the summer but it could go downhill as the average punter who only bets on premier league matches would not put in the same work that someone that covers 10+ foreign leagues?

I would be in support for it as I prefer the European Leagues myself for the bets . As you say the thread has been very good over the Summer and some top tips have been enjoyed.

Prima Radona

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Anyone else fancy the unders in the Arsenal vs Sunderland game? Arsenal struggled to beat O'Neill's team last season and now without Van Persie it'll be even harder for them, plus Giroud, Podolski & Cazorla (if they start) are not used to the EPL yet while Sunderland have brought in Cuellar and Saha who have already played in the EPL. Also, Arsenal started last season poorly...

Any thoughts?

Dunno about unders but Betfred are laying 9/4 Sunderland or Draw in the Double Chance market.

Great price which I've taken.

RvP gone. No Koscielny or Sagna. Song almost certain not to play.

PEACEBROTHER

gone for 2 accums today ... 10e on both

Wolves

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stoke
Mk Dons

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Liverpool
Sheff Utd

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Blackburn
Tranmere

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Bolton
Celtic -1

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Newcastle
10e

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10e

Good luck all , hopefully we can find a few more crystal palaces this year . I only do 10e accums until i get into profit then try and step on the gas and take bookies to cleaners with heavy singles and doubles

inforfun

I dont bet on Feyenoord because i think it is a bad idea to bet on the team you support.

But i think the bookies have this a bit wrong:

Feyenoord to win to nil @2.6

Feyenoord will be without De Vrij who will be replaced by Mathijssen.
So far Feyenoord has been pretty solid in defence.

Add to that A Heerenveen side that lost their complete fwd line in Assaidi/Dost/Narsingh who were responsible (assist and/or scoring) for 62 out of their 79 goals last season.
Of those 17 goals where they were not involved, 4 were scored by 2 other players who left.

BKC

Formation wrote: »

Any support for that TB? That would be great so long as people don't think every bet they make is a tip.

I support that idea. For the tips thread, you should be required to give reasoning for the bet. I think it would be a great idea actually.

SteelyDanJalapeno

The thread or posts could include a bit more structure, Date, time, League, reasoning and odds for example

Formation

inforfun wrote: »

I dont bet on Feyenoord because i think it is a bad idea to bet on the team you support.

But i think the bookies have this a bit wrong:

Feyenoord to win to nil @2.6

Feyenoord will be without De Vrij who will be replaced by Mathijssen.
So far Feyenoord has been pretty solid in defence.

Add to that A Heerenveen side that lost their complete fwd line in Assaidi/Dost/Narsingh who were responsible (assist and/or scoring) for 62 out of their 79 goals last season.
Of those 17 goals where they were not involved, 4 were scored by 2 other players who left.

i was wondering why heerenveen were doing so poorly

Randomfriend

Under 2.5 goals is now 8/13 in the Ross county v celtic game, pretty good odds if you ask me, County have drawn both games so far 0-0 and are at home, while its not Celtics best lineup and they have also been relatively low scoring thus far this season.

Game is 20 mins old by the way Ross county very much holding their own.

Formation

TiltedBrain wrote: »

The thread or posts could include a bit more structure, Date, time, League, reasoning and odds for example

how to go about making it the done thing...

inforfun

Formation wrote: »

i was wondering why heerenveen were doing so poorly

They had 1 good game so far, at home vs Rapid Bucarest (4-0)
Other than that they havent scored a single goal in friendlies and the 1st league game.
They did get a new cfwd in though who was on fire for Helsingborg (12 in 14). He will not play tonight as the papers havent been sorted yet.

Lasagna Diarra

Odds on Monaco just rose from 2.80 to 2.95... I really doubt they're gonna lose this game so I've gone for a draw @ 3.00, Monaco have drawn their 2 away games so far and we could have a repeat of the Laval v Monaco game, Guingamp are strong at home like Laval.

The heat shouldn't be a factor as it's very hot everywere in France bar in Brittany (Guingamp is in Brittany)

SteelyDanJalapeno

Formation wrote: »

how to go about making it the done thing...

See what other members and mods think 1st

madma

there been loads of chances in the opening of the leeds/wolves match, after 10mins just backed overs 2.5 @ 2.3

lamoss

I have not had a football bet since the euros and have saved a bit of pocket money for the new season.
Not going to bet for a couple of weeks so I can see how things are settling in. You cannot go on last seasons form or results as their has been lots of changes with players, managers, etc. It,s a blank canvass to start over with.

I went into my local P/P this morning and the boys are gagging to get the football bets on ..........I just picked up a coupon and walked out ,I leave them to their Man U, Man City, Chelsea , Liverpool, celtic and rangers etc accas and specials.:p

I think I will be doing mostly BTS and U/O 2.5 bets when I start again, With an occasional small stakes lucky 15 .;)

I think this thread should be split like Tilted and formation mentioned , More detailed info for the serious punter and a thread for the occasional punters saturday bets.

The punters lounge football coverage is very good, this is what we should aim for here.

mailburner

podolski 1st gs at 7/2 to start off my season
didnt shop around though for prices

tempted to stick a few quid on fulham but without dempsey
im reluctant to pull the trigger

TheStook

lamoss wrote: »

I think this thread should be split like Tilted and formation mentioned , More detailed info for the serious punter and a thread for the occasional punters saturday bets.

The punters lounge football coverage is very good, this is what we should aim for here.

I've mentioned this before about the Punters Lounge layout. Obviously Boards Gambling threads dont have as much traffic as the Punters Lounge but a bit of organization wouldn't go astray. Perhaps a seperate thread for the Premier League, non reasoned bets and random reason bets. Not much but its a start.
I'd be willing to do the Premier League thread and post up the fixtures and odds every week perhaps?

redarmy

Sheff Utd @ 8/15
Win-Draw-Win
Sheff Utd v Shrewsbury Pending
Leicester @ 4/7
Win-Draw-Win
Leicester v Peterborough Pending
Fulham @ 4/5
Win-Draw-Win
Fulham v Norwich Pending
Arsenal @ 4/9
Win-Draw-Win
Arsenal v Sunderland Pending

madma

probably gonna regret this but.. pompey DNB @ 3.15

magherakid

Portsmouth v Bournemouth
Izale McLeod anytime 21/10

DiarmuidBoy89

Arsenal to score in both halves @ 6/5 thinking of putting 50 on it
Any thoughts?

magherakid

magherakid wrote: »

Portsmouth v Bournemouth
Izale McLeod anytime 21/10

lovely the goal machine Izale

Lasagna Diarra

Ibrahimovic will NOT play vs Ajaccio, it's official now.

2 singles:
Qormi in the Maltese league @ 1.78 - the odds on Qormi have dropped from 2.30 to 1.78.

Under 2.5 in Ajaccio vs PSG @ 1.83

Headshot

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Ibrahimovic will NOT play vs Ajaccio, it's official now.

link?

TheStook

TheStook wrote: »

Going for a Liverpool and Arsenal double @ 2.89

Pretty good value as I reckon both teams, especially Arsenal, will be going out all guns blazing. Liverpool always perform very well against West Brom also.

Also a small punt on a treble of Hull,Qpr and Blackburn @ 11.46

Just have a gut feeling here.

Good luck to everyone.

I'm not expecting much on the first weekend butt hopefully we will all have a bit of luck.

Providing none of yee are betting on Sunderland, West Brom, Swansea, Ipswich or Brighton .

Liverpool and Qpr are both done and dusted here.
Terrible start, Won't be betting on the first gameweek again.Lesson learned.

Lasagna Diarra

Headshot wrote: »

link?

http://www.lequipe.fr/Football/Actualites/Finalement-sans-ibra/306888

Headshot

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

http://www.lequipe.fr/Football/Actualites/Finalement-sans-ibra/306888

a **** it

bet void then

Lasagna Diarra

There are some great bets in the Europa League qualifiers :eek:

Slask not to score vs Hannover @ 2.10 - they were terrible against Helsingborg and lost 6-1 on aggregate, in the round before they barely beat some team from Montenegro.

Zeta not to score vs PSV @ 2.00 - Zeta are a Montenegrin team, nuff said...

Viktoria Plzen @ 2.45 vs Lokeren - Lokeren haven't played in Europe since 2003 while Plzen were in the CL groups last season.

magherakid

Newcastle v Tottenham
1st Half Tottenham Corners Over 3 21/10

Cabaye to be shown a card 12/5

Radonman

magherakid wrote: »

Newcastle v Tottenham
1st Half Tottenham Corners Over 3 21/10

Cabaye to be shown a card 12/5

Wow 2 mins in and the corner bet looks nailed on - pity I missed it

Avfctom

god my bets today where dreadful gona try recover on

benfica win
sevilla win

just under 2/1

Headshot

Alvaro Negredo @ 11/10
Sevilla v Getafe
Anytime Goalscorer
Total stake € 39.00
Estimated return € 81.90

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Qormi in the Maltese league @ 1.78 - the odds on Qormi have dropped from 2.30 to 1.78.

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Double:
Under 2.5 in Liepajas Metalurgs vs Skonto
Siauliai
@ 2.07

Get in! Now come on Bastia!

Headshot

Headshot wrote: »

Alvaro Negredo @ 11/10
Sevilla v Getafe
Anytime Goalscorer
Total stake € 39.00
Estimated return € 81.90

yessssssssssssss

redarmy

redarmy wrote: »

Sheff Utd @ 8/15
Win-Draw-Win
Sheff Utd v Shrewsbury Pending
Leicester @ 4/7
Win-Draw-Win
Leicester v Peterborough Pending
Fulham @ 4/5
Win-Draw-Win
Fulham v Norwich Pending
Arsenal @ 4/9
Win-Draw-Win
Arsenal v Sunderland Pending

fcuk arsenal..:mad:

Avfctom

wtf montpellier conceded 2 goals in the last minute to lose

Headshot

Headshot wrote: »

Zlatan Ibrahimovic To Score And Paris St Germain To Win @ 13/10
Ajaccio v Paris St Germain
Score And Win
Total stake € 35.00
Estimated return € 80.50

im dumbfounded, they wont void it and now its turned into a straight psg win

how ****ing bad is boyles. Hell pp wouldnt be this bad

edit

after iv kicked up a fuss "as a sign of goodwill they have canceled the bet" at least some sense prevailed but its nonsense that a rule like that exists

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Double:
Under 2.5 in Liepajas Metalurgs vs Skonto
Bastia
@ 2.52
...

Yea!!! Bastia scored the winning goal at the very last second

OnTheCounter

Two bets I like tonight are overs in the Montreal match and unders in the Bahia match.

sboyle01

Man City win and Aguero to score is evs with Boylesports. Surely they will get off to a flyer at home to Southampton!

keysersoze0330

redarmy wrote: »

fcuk arsenal..:mad:

Be wary of Arsenal, they will do this kind of stuff all season long. 1 team i certainly will not back or lay all season long.

magherakid

sboyle01 wrote: »

Man City win and Aguero to score is evs with Boylesports. Surely they will get off to a flyer at home to Southampton!

on Tevez wincast Evs

OnTheCounter

keysersoze0330 wrote: »

Be wary of Arsenal, they will do this kind of stuff all season long. 1 team i certainly will not back or lay all season long.

arsenal away are usually good for overs at about 4/7.

sboyle01

magherakid wrote: »

on Tevez wincast Evs

I thought about that and was afraid Tevez wouldn't start.

SteelyDanJalapeno

OnTheCounter wrote: »

arsenal away are usually good for overs at about 4/7.

73% of the 19 away games last season went over 2.5