The Football Tips Thread v3

Radonman

Headshot wrote: »

Im currently looking at the JOINVILLE VS. IPATINGA Brazil serie B match

Im surprised by the odds on -1 Joinville

anyone have much thoughts about the game or previews?

http://www.betrush.com/pick,Joinville___Ipatinga,35366.html

Was looking at the same bet myself , looks good

Blatter

Headshot wrote: »

Im currently looking at the JOINVILLE VS. IPATINGA Brazil serie B match

Im surprised by the odds on -1 Joinville

anyone have much thoughts about the game or previews?

Well, although they lost their last game 3-0, they lost their previous 4 games before that by 1 goal each time so maybe that's why the -1 is a bit longer than you'd normally expect.

samsonmcmuffin

Am I the only one who never bets on friendlys

kryogen

Headshot wrote: »

Im currently looking at the JOINVILLE VS. IPATINGA Brazil serie B match

Im surprised by the odds on -1 Joinville

anyone have much thoughts about the game or previews?

I can only think it is because Joinville don't score a lot, only average 1.1 goals a game. In the 10 games so far they have also failed to score in 4 games.

They are a good unders team, 7 of 10 this year,

Look at the GD, 10 games played, 11 scored, 9 conceded. Wouldnt go mental with a -1 but given the form of Ipatinga it is worth a bet alright but with caution as they tend to lose games by 1 goal more often then not

kryogen

Regarding Serie B tonight, some value in the even moneyabout Avai v Atletico PR

BKC

BKC wrote: »

Basel to win to nil @2.20 vs. Flora Tallinn.

Love that!

Headshot

Thanks lads for the advice. Im now looking at the Join to win to nil @ 6/5

BKC

Santos @2.10 at home to Botafogo tomorrow night. Anyone have any thoughts?

Have a €50 free bet - would like to put it on something at evens or above.

Headshot

You do know their best players are gone to London?

BKC

Headshot wrote: »

You do know their best players are gone to London?

Ah, yes, I had forgotten about the Olympics. Cheers Headshot!

kryogen

I also did the Joinville win to nil bet, and I am still having to sweat!!!

Wish I had just done the bloody handicap

kryogen

Sorry wrong thread, but since I put it here I better put this in also!

Formation

For the above bet where ye are wondering whether to do the -1, bet365 is great for asian handicaps.

kryogen

Formation wrote: »

For the above bet where ye are wondering whether to do the -1, bet365 is great for asian handicaps.

The odds for -1 on the AH were roughly 1/2 iirc, it was bet365 I placed the bet with.....

They average a goal a game! 6 was not predictable

frat

BKC wrote: »

BKC wrote: »

Basel to win to nil @2.20 vs. Flora Tallinn.

Love that!

How much did you have on the Rovers bet?

tip74

Injuries & suspensions
Santos v Botafogo
Santos: Juan (5/0), Galhardo (2/0), Fucile (0/0), Bernardo (2/0), Braz (1/0), Rafael (3/0), Ganso (1/0), Neymar (3/2)

pick X2

inforfun

tip74 wrote: »

Injuries & suspensions
Santos v Botafogo
Santos: Juan (5/0), Galhardo (2/0), Fucile (0/0), Bernardo (2/0), Braz (1/0), Rafael (3/0), Ganso (1/0), Neymar (3/2)

pick X2

Thanks for the Sae Caetano one.
Was a sweat though with them 2 men down, going behind in the 90th minute but still manage to draw

Blatter

What do people think of Ibrahimovic top goalscorer in France next year at 4/1? Too short or decent value?

inforfun

Dont know who else is around there that could beat him tbh.

Blatter

Yep, that's what I'm thinking. As long as he stays fit for most of the season I can't really see past him. 28 league goals in 32 games for Milan last season, has scored goals wherever he's gone, being supplied by Lavezzi, Pastore, Menez etc, French league significantly weaker than Serie A.

inforfun

Will get a penalty about every other game though in France

Blatter

Boylesports offering 5/1 now, surely worth a few quid.

Roger Sterling

He's going to p*ss all over that league, surely. The only caveat is that he's fully motivated, he's the kind of player that can easily relax in a non challenging environment and not go flat out from the start. He's 31 now and getting paid an obnoxious salary so he might be thinking, even a little, that its pipe and slippers time.

inforfun

2 of last years TGS in France are gone, while Nene is on Ibra's team and i guess he will be the main contender.
Thing is that Nene took PSG's penalties and here you have the danger of your bet. Will he remain taking them or will it be Ibra?

If it will be Nene that 5/1 will be in danger.

BKC

frat wrote: »

How much did you have on the Rovers bet?

From last night:

I didn't get to place the Rovers to win to nil bet as I'm on my phone and can't talk to live help. Still 0-0 as I type.

I was planning on putting my €50 freebet on Rovers to win to nil, but I was out so could not get on to live help to get them to credit the freebet to my account.

Blatter

inforfun wrote: »

2 of last years TGS in France are gone, while Nene is on Ibra's team and i guess he will be the main contender.
Thing is that Nene took PSG's penalties and here you have the danger of your bet. Will he remain taking them or will it be Ibra?

If it will be Nene that 5/1 will be in danger.

Don't think Nene will start all PSG's games. He'll be competing with Menez and Lavezzi for the wide roles, with Pastore in behind Ibra.

Point noted all the same.

Fizman

PP don't have him listed yet.

Blatter

Fizman wrote: »

PP don't have him listed yet.

I don't think any bookmaker does bar Hills, I had to ring Boyles to put it on.

I inquired with PP and they were only offering 7/2.

Lasagna Diarra

Double:
Vardar not to score
Linfield not to score
@ 2.11

Blatter

Lads Stanjames are offering 7/4 (hills only offering 4/7) on Messi winning the ''UEFA best player in Europe'' award.

How it works is 52 journalists submit their first 3 choices. Messi won it last year collecting 39 out of the 52 votes.

He scored 73 goals and made 29 assists last season, 7/4 (I got it at 2/1) is a massive price.