Winter/Spring 2013 (Model Output Discussion)

Duiske

maquiladora wrote: »

Btw, this means the 12Z run was garbage after about the 24th.

Most notable there is how mild it is going to get in the early days of next week. Going to feel very pleasant in any sunshine.

Wolfe_IRE

maquiladora wrote: »

Btw, this means the 12Z run was garbage after about the 24th.

I am looking at it right now thinking the same as Maq, but still counting down the minutes until the next GFS run!

Wolfe_IRE

It like one of the fake runaway photoshop lines you draw, Iancar

Awaiting next run now

Wolfe_IRE

Simon Keeling of weatheronline.co.uk

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAEhgI9l5uU

leahyl

Wolfe_IRE wrote: »

Simon Keeling of weatheronline.co.uk

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAEhgI9l5uU

Very interesting vid Wolfe_IRE - didn't like what he was saying though about the lack of precipitation predicted :-P

Lucreto

leahyl wrote: »

Very interesting vid Wolfe_IRE - didn't like what he was saying though about the lack of precipitation predicted :-P

I think December 2010 was below normal rainfall but I don't find where I saw it.

I would prefer a cold winter than a big snowy one this year. Well at least until after Christmas.:D

srmambo

Lucreto wrote: »

I think December 2010 was below normal rainfall but I don't find where I saw it.

I would prefer a cold winter than a big snowy one this year. Well at least until after Christmas.:D

I'd like some days of snow, but a lot of really cold dry days with some nice frost works too :P

Wolfe_IRE

Netweather have updated their winter outlook
http://www1.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=longrange;sess=

"I have a feeling that the phrase 'Northern blocking' will replace the Jet Stream as the most talked about weather phenomenon over the next few weeks."

Su Campu

See, I have this problem with the term northern blocking, as if it's the holy grail of winter lovers. Yes, in past winters it's worked out well for us, but only because we've been on the right side of the block over Greenland. But we could equally have been on the wrong side too had it set up further west or east, and have a southerly instead of a northerly airflow. So by all means look for high-latitude blocking, but make sure it's in the right place!

randonio14

I've been looking at this thread for a while now.. i decided to sign up haha.
the Irish star published this today: http://thestar.ie/star/snow-way/

konman

randonio14 wrote: »

I've been looking at this thread for a while now.. i decided to sign up haha.
the Irish star published this today: http://thestar.ie/star/snow-way/

welcome to the madhouse:D:D:D:D;)

StormGazer.11

randonio14 wrote: »

I've been looking at this thread for a while now.. i decided to sign up haha.
the Irish star published this today: http://thestar.ie/star/snow-way/

Welcome, welcome just one word of advice, if your going to post that sort of link copy the article into the post. Some people in here get all up in a huff about feeding visits to those type of articles that can be a tad exaggerated at times.

Other than that I do hope your stay with us is pleasant and in case of an emergency the exits are located...... :cool:

catch.23

StormGazer.11 wrote: »

Welcome, welcome just one word of advice, if your going to post that sort of link copy the article into the post. Some people in here get all up in a huff about feeding visits to those type of articles that can be a tad exaggerated at times.

Other than that I do hope your stay with us is pleasant and in case of an emergency the exits are located...... :cool:

Don't copy the article, copy at most a few lines, copyright laws mean boards are responsible for you posting up a full article so it's not allowed.

randonio14

Sounds fun..

icesnowfrost

randonio14 wrote: »

I've been looking at this thread for a while now.. i decided to sign up haha.
the Irish star published this today: http://thestar.ie/star/snow-way/

i no it has to be taken with a pinch of salt but its great to see a cold winter being talked about in the paper

Su Campu

catch.23 wrote: »

Don't copy the article, copy at most a few lines, copyright laws mean boards are responsible for you posting up a full article so it's not allowed.

Or just don't post them up at all!!

ZX7R

Makes a change from the daily mail:rolleyes::D

Cliona2012

Is THE British Weather Services reliable?

Su Campu

Cliona2012 wrote: »

Is THE British Weather Services reliable?

They seem to have a pretty good expertise, with professional meteorologists, including John Kettley from the BBC.

I don't see Mark Vogan's name in there, strangely enough.....

silentscreams

so is it going to snow or what?

Cliona2012

Cliona2012 wrote: »

Is THE British Weather Services reliable?

I couldn't find anything about their track record ie. last summer, or Winter 09 - 11

Wolfe_IRE

silentscreams wrote: »

so is it going to snow or what?

Calibos

silentscreams wrote: »

so is it going to snow or what?

Have a look here and get back to us and let us know what it said.

JJJJNR

Stuck my cold weather tyres on the car yesterday as I normally do this time of year, didn't need them last year but again not taking any chances.

pauldry

from that crystal ball i forecast snow in the south, frost in the Southwest and Sun in the northeast. The rest will be meh!

touts

silentscreams wrote: »

so is it going to snow or what?

Definately.

Where? When? How much? How Long? They are the tricky questions.

mrweatherman

Correct me if im wrong BUT please dont kill me im not a pro like some of ye good folks here but is the current weather not mirror like to 2009-10 eg very mild october with very slightly higher than norm temps and flooding yet again in cork and dublin? Could we see a flip to much colder and hoping to alla and god that it snows like the good auld days

maquiladora

mrweatherman wrote: »

Correct me if im wrong BUT please dont kill me im not a pro like some of ye good folks here but is the current weather not mirror like to 2009-10 eg very mild october with very slightly higher than norm temps and flooding yet again in cork and dublin? Could we see a flip to much colder and hoping to alla and god that it snows like the good auld days

The proceeding season doesn't dictate what the following season will be like.

The famous winter of 46/47 was mild up until halfway through January and then look what happened.

IrishGurll

Very Interesting http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0TcEt5geXCk

derekon

IrishGurll wrote: »

Very Interesting http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0TcEt5geXCk

Oh for God's sake , not another Vogan!! However this clone has a very irritating English accent (as opposed to Vogan's Scottish/Northern Irish Foghorn). I can't take it any more............!!! :D:D:D

D