Suicide rolling accumulators log

BKC

Interesting. Good start so far for your new strategy.

I will be following some of your future picks. Though I may go for the safer under 4.5 goals to suit my own log strategy.

Best of luck anyway. Looking good.

stingerro

To all my 3 followers - if I will catch odds In Play for over 1.5 goals (they aren't available pregame) and they will be as tasty as I expected, I will go in in this match - http://pl.soccerway.com/matches/2012/08/24/kazakhstan/1-division/sport-academy-kairat/fc-ekibastuzets-ekibastuz/1279806/

26 out of last 30 games for this teams ended over 1.5, also their earlier game this season had 3 goals. It's risky, but as goals handicap line is set at 2.25 I can't miss it a chance I see here. Game starts in 15 minutes.

stingerro

Game #5

Stake=93.24 pln. Odds=1.33

Sport Academy Kairat vs. Ekibastuz (over 1.5 goals) - 2:2

New bank=217.58 pln.

I didn't have a time to officially announce making bet, but I hope that doubters will be convinced by previous post. If not, I can make a print screen of my account. Two goals were scored before HT, so it was a very good find.

stingerro

Game #6

Vysocina Jihlava - Sigma Olomunec: over 1.5 goals (odds=1.38)

Stake=108.78 pln

It was a toss up between this match and FAI cup Waterford vs Mervue. But the latter just has been postponed to Monday, so now I hope odds for what I plan to do won't change in meantime.

Both Czech teams don't look to be particularly high scoring, but out of the last 28 games 26 times ended over 1.5. So I couldn't say no to odds like this.

One more game I was looking at was match between Gaz Metan and Turnu Severin. It should end under 3.5 goals and odds were 1.33.

stingerro

Game #6

Vysocina Jihlava - Sigma Olomunec (over 1.5 goals) - 1:1

New bank balance=258.38

I was really thinking I'm going down, when after guests scored quickly goal hosts equzlizer was disallowed before the break. But Vysocina keep attacking and they finally equalized in 80th minute. See you tomorrow.

Second game I was considering would be a winner as well, Gaz Metan won against Turnu Severin 2:0 (it was under 3.5 goals tip).

stingerro

Game #7

Sokolov - FK Taborsko: under 3.5 goals (odds=1.33)

Stake=129.18 pln

Game taken In Play in 38th minute, when hosts were leading 1:0. Had it in my plans for the day, just forgot about it.

More bets expected today and they are well researched. If only I had a time for researching more leagues.

stingerro

Game #7

Sokolov - FK Taborsko (under 3.5 goals) - 1:1

New bank balance=301.44 pln.

2nd goal was scored in 78th minute, so it was relatively easy. At least 2 more games planned for today.

stingerro

Game #8

Cherno More - Slavia Sofia: over 1.5 goals (odds= 1.50)

Stake=150.72 pln

The plan was to bet for under 3.5 goals in Warta Poznan - Dolcan Zabki, but odds overnight went under 1.30, so it was pointless.

Odds in this Bulgarian game are going into different direction than my bet is, so some risks are here. But their recent results, plus their H2H (including 3 goals scored in preseason friendly) are looking good enough to bet here.

I was also considering game from Montenegro - under 3.5 goals in Buducnost- Mogren match (odds close to 1.60), but decided it's too risky.

stingerro

Game #8

Cherno More - Slavia Sofia (over 1.5 goals) - 0:0 :mad:

New bank balance=150.72 pln

My streak is officially over. There were some shots in this match, but it just didn't happen this time. Can't complain, as other match I was looking into also wouldn't deliver. After goal in additional time Warta Poznan tied Dolcan Zabki 2:2 and I was seeking under 3.5 goals there.

stingerro

Game #9

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Okocimski Brzesko: over 1.5 goals (odds 1.33)

Stake=75.36 pln.

Had this game planned earlier today, so it's not a reaction for losing bet a moment ago. Zawisza should score 2 goals on their own here.

stingerro

Just spotted that Buducnost lost to Mogren 0:2, so I'm livid now - it was a potentially great under 3.5 goals bet for 1.60!!! :mad:

stingerro

Game #9

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Okocimski Brzesko (over 1.5 goals) - 4:0

New bank=175.22 pln

We are back in winning ways, nice. No more games for today, but I will be looking at Porto - Vitoria Guimares match. My research says under 3.5, but I'm scared of playing it in Porto domestic league match.

stingerro

stingerro wrote: »

No more games for today, but I will be looking at Porto - Vitoria Guimares match. My research says under 3.5, but I'm scared of playing it in Porto domestic league match.

Game finished 4:0 for Porto, so it was a poor bet. Have 6 games I really like today and since some of them are at the same time, I really don't know how to approach things

stingerro

Game #10

Gandzasar Kapan - Shirak: over 1.5 goals - odds=1.43

Stake=87.22

For the 2nd day in row I am going against odds movement, hopefully this time it will be with better effect. Game is from Armenia :rolleyes:

stingerro

Game #10

Gandzasar Kapan - Shirak (over 1.5 goals) = FT 1:1

New bank=212.46

This time I beat the odds factor, bet already won around 50th minute.

stingerro

Game #11

Moreirense - Nacional (over 1.5 goals) - odds=1.35

Stake=106.23 pln

Both this teams have great record in recent games (including last season), plus their H2H looks fantastic. I reccomended this match for BTTS in main Football section earlier today.

stingerro

Game #11

Moreirense - Nacional (over 1.5 goals) - FT 3:1

New bank=249.65 pln

I was very worried when guests got player sent off, when hosts were leading 1:0. It's aften an over killer (like in today's match between Slask Wroclaw and Korona Kielce), but fortunately next goals were scored after HT. Even Nacional scored consolation goal, which made BTTS landing, bet I've reccomended in main Football Gambling topic.

stingerro

I was planning to finish a day by going for a double, but previous bet wasn't resolved during the match (despite over 1.5 landing around 50th minute), so I've had no cash to bet. So I was late for under 3.5 goals in Videoton FC - Haladas.

Game #12

Brondby - Esbjerg (under 3.5 goals). Odds=1.33

Stake=124.62

stingerro

0:0 at HT - I covered my bet with over 3.5 goals with odds 13 (for 3.50 pln), so bet already won either way.

stingerro

Game #12

Brondby - Esbjerg (under 3.5 goals) - FT 1:1

New bank=287.69 pln.

stingerro

For today I've had 11 games on my shortlist, all of them would deliver. So question is - should I change my strategy? Was considering going with doubles, which would make a single bet probably around 1.8-1.9.

Also, since majority of games I choose for under 3.5 goals ends with less than 3 goals, I consider changing it from under 3.5 to under 3 AH.

Any opinions?

stingerro

Bet #13

Gazovik Orenburg - Oktan Perm (under 3.5 gls) & Rus St.Petersburg - Piter St.Petersburg (under 3.5 goals). Odds=1.92

Stake=143.84

Since nobody was willing to give me any input I outvoted myself and decided to go for doubles when possible. This two games for Russia looks nice enough (11/12 and 15/15 last games of this teams went under 3.5 goals).

Edit: Just saw that according to my rules I should never go for Gazovik, oh well...

stingerro

****...

stingerro

Bet #13

Gazovik Orenburg - Oktan Perm (under 3.5 gls) - FT 4:1 :mad:
Rus St.Petersburg - Piter St.Petersburg (under 3.5 goals) - FT 1:1

New bank balance=143.85.

I didn't spot the fact that Gazovik is 1.16 to win before match, which should make them unavailable, as I don't bet for teams with odds <1.50 if playing under 3.5. Maybe it would work... but their opponents had man sent off as well :mad:

stingerro

Bet #14

Jablonec - Sparta Prague (over 3.5 gls). Odds=1.33
Universatitea Cluj - Brasov (over 1.5 goals). Odds=1.37

Stake=71.92 pln

BKC

Would you consider splitting your stake and doing singles instead of doubles?

It will return less, but in the long run it could be more profitable. For example, your last double had one winner and one loser, but you ended up losing your full stake.

Just thinking out loud here. I'm nobody to take advice from when it comes to staking, etc. :pac:

stingerro

BKC wrote: »

Would you consider splitting your stake and doing singles instead of doubles?

It will return less, but in the long run it could be more profitable. For example, your last double had one winner and one loser, but you ended up losing your full stake.

Just thinking out loud here. I'm nobody to take advice from when it comes to staking, etc. :pac:

I will see how far (backwards or not) I will go with doubles. I plan to use them when having two games I really like at the same time, so in theory I plan to finish Monday with single bet for under 3.5 goals in Waterford - Mervue match. But everything can change with this project (it's probably too big of word).

BKC

stingerro wrote: »

I will see how far (backwards or not) I will go with doubles. I plan to use them when having two games I really like at the same time, so in theory I plan to finish Monday with single bet for under 3.5 goals in Waterford - Mervue match. But everything can change with this project (it's probably too big of word).

Sorry if I'm nitpicking, but I thought you said you don't back under 3.5 when teams are under 1.50? Waterford are @1.28 tonight.

stingerro

BKC wrote: »

Sorry if I'm nitpicking, but I thought you said you don't back under 3.5 when teams are under 1.50? Waterford are @1.28 tonight.

You're right. I remember having some good explanation for it on Friday (when game was originally scheduled to play), just forgot about it now :rolleyes:

P_1

Waterford postponed again lads