The Long Slog Log

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I'm gonna keep track of my bets for the upcoming season here, it will hopefully help weed out the stupid ones!

Bet 365 sent me a 50% bonus up to €100 email there so have deposited €200 to take full advantage. That will leave me with a starting bank of €300.

First goal is to not lose it all by the start of the premiership :eek:

Second goal... Profit!!

Bets to follow...

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Athletico Miniero (2nd) vs Coritiba (15th) in Brazil Serie A

Athletico have a chance to go top with a win tonight which I expect. Coritiba have conceded 19 in their last 8 scoring 13 while Athletico have scored 21 in their last 8 conceding 6. Should hopefully be a few goals in this one.

€30 on O2.5 @ 4/7

L -€30

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The Strongest (7th) vs Nacional Potosi (12th) in Bolivia Apertura

Great home record vs poor away record and the home team are strong on paper!

€30 on The Strongest -1 AH @ 1/2

W +€15

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Bray (7th) vs Dundalk (12th) in Ireland Premier

Bray have scored 8 in the last 4 home games conceding 10 with 100% of their home games this season going over, Dundalk have scored 4 in the last 4 away games conceding 8 with 78% of their away games this season going over. Bray have Mulroy and Waters returning after suspension for the Bohs match last week.

€20 on O2.5 @ 4/5

L -€20

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Monaco vs Istres in France Ligue 2

Monaco should have too much for Istres. They have a 100% home record this season after 1 match!! winning comfortably in their first home match

€30 on Monaco @ 7/10

W +€21

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Dijon vs Tours in France Ligue 2

Dijon coming down from Ligue 1 have started well. Tours have lost a few players and are sitting bottom after 2 games. The head to head also favours Dijon.

€30 on Dijon @ 8/10

W +€24

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Olympics Boxing

Paddy Barnes L, John Joe Nevin W and Michael John Conlan all to win!

This is one from the heart rather than the head!! Hopefully Katie's victory was inspirational.

€5 on Treble @ 47.75/1

L -€5

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Great fight from paddy, I thought he did enough to win that, unlucky

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Cologne vs Sandhausen Germany 2 Bundesliga

Watching this one, Cologne have started the second half with a lot more intensity, went close before the break.

€20 on Cologne @ 1/1 IP 55 mins

L -€20

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Olympics 4 x 400m Relay

USA Women and Mens Double

€30 on Double @ 0.93/1

L -€30

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PGA Championship

€5 e/w on Gary Woodland @ 20/1

€5 e/w on Louis Oosthuizen @ 25/1

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Olympics Womens 5000m

€50 on Tirunesh Dibaba @ 2/5

L -€50

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1 bet from earlier, away from PC so no chance to post.



€85 on Fourfold @ 0.98/1

W +€83.39

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Waalwijk vs PSV Netherlands Eredivisie

PSV look on top in this one, expect them to win.

€40 on PSV @ 1/2 IP 20 mins

L -40

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Galway vs Cork Hurling Semi Final

Another one from the heart, Galway look a class act this year and Corks defence doesn't look great, if we can get Canning involved we should have enough to win. Hopefully we don't suffer a hangover from the last match.

€50 on Galway -3 @ 1/1

W +€50

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Naftan (9th) vs BATE (1st) Belarus Vysshaya Liga

Top of the league BATE have a very good away record, I would expect a low scoring away win here.

€70 on BATE @ 4/7

W +€40

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Upperchurch Drombane V Holycross Ballycahill - Tipperary Senior Hurling Relegation Semi-Final

Blindly following tip in GAA thread!

€20 on Holycross @ 11/10

W +€22

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Monday Update

Bets
Placed: 16
Won: 7
Lost: 9
Void: 0

Strike rate: 44%

Start Bank: €200 + €100 Bonus
Current Bank: €340.39

Got to improve the strike rate, got unlucky with some of my picks, bad decisions on others. Plenty to work on!!

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Cork City (8th) vs St. Pat's (4th) in Ireland Premier

Cork's last 3 home matches in the league have been draws, St. Pat's last 3 away matches in the league have been draws. Their last head to head meeting was a draw. So I can see it being a draw! I will err on the side of caution and go with the double chance along with the home side.

€30 on Cork City or Draw @ 8/13

L -€30

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Shamrock Rovers (3rd) vs Sligo Rovers (1st) in Ireland Premier

Important clash at the top of the table tonight, I'd expect a cagey 1st half and maybe a few goals in the 2nd half. All 6 goals conceded by Shamrock Rovers at home this season have been in the second half. Shamrock Rovers have scored 33 times this season, 10 of these in the 1st half and 23 in the 2nd half. Sligo Rovers have scored 32 times this season, 10 of these in the 1st half and 22 in the 2nd half. So the stats would point at a higher scoring 2nd half which is what I'll go for.

Sligo's top scorer Danny North (14 goals) is out for the rest of the season after rupturing his cruciate and Shamrock Rovers' last home match was a scoreless draw so I'd be wary of the 0-0 result and will have a saver on this.

€30 on Half With Most Goals - 2nd half @ 21/20

€5 on Correct Score - 0-0 @ 8/1

L -€35

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Brommapojkarna (2nd) vs Osters (1st) in Sweden Superattan

Expecting goals in this one. Overs has come in in 4 out of the last 5 home matches for Brommapojkarna and 4 out of the last 5 away matches for Osters. Coupled with the fact both teams have weakened defences would point to goals.

€30 on O2.5 Goals @ 8/11

W +21.82

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England Capital One Cup

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Coventry City
Chesterfield vs Tranmere Rovers
Exeter City vs Crystal Palace

€50 on O1.5 Goals Treble @ 0.95/1

L -€50

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Plymouth Argyle vs Portsmouth in England Capital One Cup

Portsmouth can't sign players and will be struggling to field a side. Their assistant manager will probably be playing in defence with a bench of youth players.

€25 on Plymouth -1 AH @ 2.1

W +€27.50

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One from last night, internet broke just after I placed it so couldn't post!



€55 on Double @ 1.85